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oscar thursday: predictions

oscar thursday: predictions

Isn’t it crazy that Kate Winslet will win her first Oscar for “The Reader.” Must have been a surprising morning at the Winslet-Mendes household this morning. Likewise at the home or office of Scott Rudin, who must have been the most shocked at the strong performance of “The Reader.” A big disappointment is the omission of Sally Hawkins for best actress, while I was happy to see “Frozen River” get a screenplay nod.

My full list of rankings for each Oscar category will be posted on Movie City News later today, but here’s my current list of predicted winners, as of this morning. Sadly, at this moment I’m expecting a strong showing for Ben Button on Oscar night. I’m predicting 7 Oscars for Gump II.

Picture: “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Director: “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” David Fincher
Actor: Sean Penn in “Milk”
Supporting actor: Heath Ledger in “The Dark Knight”
Actress: Kate Winslet in “The Reader”
Supporting actress: Penelope Cruz in “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”
Animated feature: “WALL-E”
Animated short film: “Presto” action short film: “Spielzeugland (Toyland)”
Adapted screenplay: “Slumdog Millionaire”
Original screenplay: “Milk”
Art direction: “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Cinematography: “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Costume design: “The Duchess”
Documentary feature: “Man on Wire”
Documentary short subject: “The Conscience of Nhem En”
Film editing: “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Foreign language film of the year: “Waltz with Bashir”
Makeup: “The Dark Knight”
Original score: “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Original song: “Down to Earth” from “WALL-E”
Sound editing: “The Dark Knight”
Sound mixing: “The Dark Knight”
Visual effects: “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”

I am trying to get fellow Oscar geeks Peter Knegt and Keaton Kail to join me in occasional blog prognosticating in the weeks leading up to Oscar night, so with that in mind Peter’s picks are on his blog, while Keaton’s predictions are on his.

Anyone else care to weigh in?

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