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2010 Oscar Predictions

2010 Oscar Predictions

I can’t resist.

And its not a total crap shoot idea either. Last year, I ended up doing pretty well (save for all that Miracle at St. Anna stuff). I actually got 3 of 5 best actor nominees predicted, and rightfully predicted best actress (though my best supporting actor prediction – John Malkovich for Changeling – makes me ill).

2009’s crop offers a whole parade of Oscary possibilities – such as your likely biopics (Clint Eastwood‘s Mandela project, which I’m just gonna call Mandela; Mira Nair‘s Amelia, Ang Lee‘s Taking Woodstock, perhaps Spielberg‘s Lincoln); literary adaptations (Martin Scorcese‘s Shutter Island, Peter Jackson‘s The Lovely Bones, Stephen FrearsCheri, Julie Taymor‘s The Tempest); huge budget musicals starring everyone you can think of (Rob Marshall‘s Nine), interesting latest projects from innovative directors (The CoensA Serious Man, Terrence MalickThe Tree of Life, Paul GreengrassGreen Zone, Steven Soderbergh‘s The Informant); and lighter, potentially crowdpleasing fare (Sam MendesAway We Go, Jason Reitman‘s Up In The Air, Nancy Meyers‘s untitled Meryl Streep comedy, Judd Apatow‘s Funny People). Add that to some huge(r) question marks (James Cameron‘s Avatar, Jane Campion‘s Bright Star, John Hillcoat‘s The Road), and the dozens of films I failed to mention, and this could be a really, really interesting year.

Some things to potentially note:

– It could actually, well, look just like 2007, if the cards fall a very specific (and unlikely way). Imagine this scenario: A Coen brothers film (A Serious Man), a Jason Reitman film (Up In The Air) and a Joe Wright film (The Soloist) nominated for best picture; Daniel Day-Lewis (Nine), Johnny Depp (Public Enemies), and George Clooney (Up In The Air), and Viggo Mortensen (The Road) battle it out for best actor; Marion Cotillard (Nine or Public Enemies), Javier Bardem (Biutiful), Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Boat That Rocked) all among the other acting nominees…

-This could be a very good year for female directors: Kathryn Bigelow, Lone Scherfig, Mira Nair, Nancy Meyers, Jane Campion, Julie Taymor and Nora Ephron all have promising works out there. I’ll wager this now: one of them will be a best director nominee. Which one, I really don’t know.

-Matt Damon has THREE big performances (Green Zone, The Informant, Mandela), and is extremely overdue for a second acting nomination. I’d say the surest possible thing to say is that he will be nominated in some capacity.

-For the past six years, at least one acting nominee has come out of Sundance. This year Mo’Nique and Carey Mulligan seem like the odds on favourites to fulfill that history.

Anyway, here’s my suggested five, winners in bold (all of which I’m sure will be wrong):

BEST PICTURE
The Informant
Mandela
Nine
Shutter Island
Taking Woodstock

BEST DIRECTOR
Kathryn Bigelow, The Hurt Locker
Clint Eastwood, Mandela
Ang Lee, Taking Woodstock
Steven Soderbergh, The Informant
Martin Scorcese, Shutter Island

BEST ACTOR
Matt Damon, The Informant
Daniel Day-Lewis, Nine
Leonardo diCaprio, Shutter Island
Morgan Freeman, Mandela
Demetri Martin, Taking Woodstock

BEST ACTRESS
Carey Mulligan, An Education
Michelle Pfeiffer, Cheri
Maya Rudolph, Away We Go
Hilary Swank, Ameila
Audrey Tatou, Coco avant Chanel

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Matt Damon, Mandela
Jonathan Groff, Taking Woodstock
Richard Kind, A Serious Man
Alfred Molina, An Education
Mark Ruffalo, Shutter Island

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Kathy Bates, Cheri
Penelope Cruz, Nine
Mo’Nique, Precious: Based on the novel by Sapphire
Imelda Staunton, Taking Woodstock
Michelle Williams, Shutter Island

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Away We Go
Broken Embraces
Funny People
A Serious Man
Up

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
An Education
Mandela
Nine
Shutter Island
Taking Woodstock

BEST ANIMATED FILM
Coraline
The Fantastic Mr. Fox
Up

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Comments

Cedric

and…the secrets her eyes?

Jeff

Have a look at this prediction – He claims that he knows who will win – http://blog.tomedes.com/oscar-winner-2010-best-foreign-language-film/

Davis

This is all going to be wrong.
Did you see Taking Woodstock?!?!

WILL

Great list, but i think that vigo mortensen and jhonny depp will be nominated.
And Matt Damon can win two oscars.

oscar

PELÍCULA
01) Up to the Air
02) The Lovely Bones
03) Nine
04) Up
05) Invictus
06) The White Ribbon
07) The Road
08) Precious
09) The Hurt Locker
10) Julie & Julia
11) A Single Man
12) An Education
13) Bright Star
14) A Serious Man
15) Whatever Works
16) Capitalism: A Love Story
17) The Informant
18) Chéri
19) Inglourious Basterds
20) Is Anybody There ?

DIRECTOR
01) Jason Reitman – Up in the Air
02) Michael Haneke – The White Ribbon
03) Clint Eastwood – Invictus
04) Peter Jackson – The Lovely Bones
05) Rob Marshall – Nine
06) Kathryn Bigelow – The Hurt Locker
07) Lee Daniels – Precious
08) Lone Scherfig – An Education
09) Joel Coen & Ethan Coen – A Serious Man
10) Stephen Frears – Chéri

ACTOR
01) Morgan Freeman – Invictus
02) George Clooney – Up to the Air
03) Christopher Plummer – The Last Station
04) Michael Caine – Is Anybody There?
05) Daniel Day-Lewis – Nine
06) Colin Firth – A Single Man
07) Robert Duvall – Get Low
08) Paul Bettany – Creation
09) Viggo Mortensen – The Road
10) Michael Douglas – Solitary Man

ACTRIZ
01) Meryl Streep – Julie & Julia
02) Michelle Pfeiffer – Chéri
03) Gabourey Sidibe – Precious
04) Emily Watson – Within the Whirlwind
05) Hilary Swank – Amelia
06) Julianne Moore – Chloe
07) Naomi Watts – Mother and Child
08) Kristin Scott Thomas – Nowhere Boy
09) Helen Mirren – The Last Station
10) Brenda Blethyn – London River

ACTOR DE REPARTO
01) Matt Damon – Invictus
02) Stanley Tucci – The Lovely Bones
03) Christoph Waltz – Inglorious Bastards
04) Alfred Molina – An Education
05) Kodi Smit-McPhee – The Road
06) Samuel L. Jackson – Mother and Child
07) James McAvoy – The Last Station
08) Richard Gere – Amelia
09) Bill Nighy – The Boat that Rocked
10) Jeff Bridges – The Men Who Stare at Goats

ACTRIZ DE REPARTO
01) Annette Benning – Mother and Child
02) Susan Sarandon – The Lovely Bones
03) Penélope Cruz – Nine
04) Judi Dench – Nine
05) Sissy Spacek – Get Low
06) Kathy Bates – Chéri
07) Amy Adams – Julie & Julia
08) Anna Kendrick – Up in the Air
09) Patricia Clarkson – Whatever Works
10) Rachel Weisz – The Lovely Bones

GUIÓN ADAPTADO
01) Up in the air
02) The Lovely Bones
03) Invictus
04) Nine
05) Precious
06) Julie & Julia
07) A Single Man
08) An Education
09) The Road
10) The Last Station

GUIÓN ORIGINAL
01) Up
02) The Hurt Locker
03) The White Ribbon
04) Is Anybody There?
05) A Serious Man
06) Bright Star
07) (500) Days of Summer
08) Whatever Works
09) Inglorious Bastards
10) Broken Embraces

PELÍCULA ANIMADA
01) Up
02) The Princess & The Frog
03) A Christmas Carol
04) Ponyo
05) Coraline
06) The Fantastic Mr. Fox
07) 9
08) Ice Age 3
09) Monsters vs. Aliens
10) G-Force

Jim

HAHAHHAHAHA HOLY SHIT! You picked Demetri Martin! hahhahahah you are an IDIOT! Oh my god you are fucking terrible! (I forgot to mention this in the last post)

Jim

Wow- Taking Woodstock isn’t going to get nominated for ONE award, let alone get nominated and win for Best Picture… I know this was before the movie flopped, but come on- if you’re going to be foolish enough to predict an award show a YEAR away- at least pick something that might have a chance. Taking Woodstock never had one. Your site fucking blows man- It’s funny to see your ignorance shown to the two people that actually have come to see your picks (yeah i know i am one of them- but once was enough for a visit). You don’t even have fucking Malick as a Director consideration- but oh wait it’s Ang Lee’s to lose, right? Stay out of anything Oscar related- you are POSEUR.

oscar

BEST FILM
An Education
Bright Star
Chéri
Invictus
Is Anybody There?
Julie & Julia
The Lovely Bones
Nine
Up
Whatever Works

BEST DIRECTOR
Jane Campion – Bright Star
Stephen Frears – Chéri
Clint Eastwood – Invictus
Peter Jackson – The Lovely Bones
Rob Marshall – Nine

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
Michael Caine – Is Anybody There?
Daniel Day-Lewis – Nine
Morgan Freeman – Invictus
Christopher Plummer – The Last Station
Mark Wahlberg – The Lovely Bones

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
Marion Cotillard – Nine
Michelle Pfeiffer – Chéri
Saoirse Ronan – The Lovely Bones
Hilary Swank – Amelia
Emily Watson – Within the Whirlwind

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Matt Damon – Invictus
Alfred Molina – An Education
Bill Nighy – Glorious 39
Stanley Tucci – The Lovely Bones
Christoph Waltz – Inglorious Bastards

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
Kathy Bates – Chéri
Julie Christie – Glorious 39
Penélope Cruz – Nine
Susan Sarandon – The Lovely Bones
Meryl Streep – Julie & Julia

ADAPTATED SCREENPLAY
An Education
Chéri
Invictus
The Lovely Bones
Nine

ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Bright Star
Is Anybody There?
The Hurt Locker
Up
Whatever Whings

ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
Coraline
Ice Age 3
Ponyo
The Princess & The Frog
Up

FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
Broken Embraces (Spain)
The Milk of Sorrow (Peru)

FERNANDO

BEST ACTRESS: SARAH MICHELLE GELLAR FOR VERONIKA DECIDES TO DIE…. AMAZING PERFORMACE

oscar

BEST FILM
01) Shuttter Island
02) The Lovely Bones
03) Chéri
04) Invictus
05) Nine
06) An Education
07) Bright Star
08) Up
09) Amelia
10) Precious
11) The Hurt Locker
12) Is Anybody There?
13) Love Ranch
14) Whatever Whings
15) Public Enemies
16) Away We Go
17) The Road
18) Julie & Julia
19) Taking Woodstock
20) Inglorious Bastards

BEST DIRECTOR
01) Martin Scorsese – Shuttter Island
02) Clint Eastwood – Invictus
03) Stephen Frears – Chéri
04) Rob Marshall – Nine
05) Peter Jackson – The Lovely Bones
06) Lone Scherfig – An Education
07) Woody Allen – Whatever Works
08) Jane Campion – Bright Star
09) Mira Nair – Amelia
10) Taylor Hadford – Love Ranch

BEST ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
01) Leonardo DiCaprio – Shuttter Island
02) Michael Caine – Is Anybody There?
03) Daniel Day-Lewis – Nine
04) Morgan Freeman – Invictus
05) Christopher Plummer – The Last Station
06) Peter Sarsgaard – An Education
07) Joe Pesci – Love Ranch
08) Robert De Niro – Everybody’s Fine
09) Brad Pitt – The Tree of Life
10) Johnny Depp – Public Enemies

BEST ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
01) Michelle Pfeiffer – Chéri
02) Audrey Tautou – Coco Avant Chanel
03) Hilary Swank – Amelia
04) Emily Watson – Within the Whirlwind
05) Carey Mulligan – An Education
06) Helen Mirren – The Last Station
07) Robin Wright Penn – The Privates Lives of Pipa Lee
08) Jennifer Connelly – Creation
09) Carey Mulligan – An Education
10) Saoirse Ronan – The Lovely Bones

BEST ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
01) Stanley Tucci – The Lovely Bones
02) Bill Nighy – The Boat that Rocked
03) Matt Damon – Invictus
04) Ben Kingsley – Shuttter Island
05) James McAvoy – The Last Station
06) Christoph Waltz – Inglorious Bastards
07) Alfred Molina – An Education
08) Christian Bale – Public Enemies
09) Jeff Daniels – Away We Go
10) Ewan McGregor – Amelia

BEST ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
01) Judi Dench – Nine
02) Kathy Bates – Chéri
03) Meryl Streep – Julie & Julia
04) Rachel Weisz – The Lovely Bones
05) Patricia Clarkson – Whatever Works
06) Imelda Staunton – Taking Woodstock
07) Emily Mortimer – Shutter Island
08) Susan Sarandon – The Lovely Bones
09) Penélope Cruz – Nine
10) Michelle Williams – Shutter Island

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
01) Shuttter Island
02) Chéri
03) The Lovely Bones
04) Nine
05) Invictus
06) The Private Lives of Pippa Lee
07) Amelia
08) Within the Whirlwind
09) Julie & Julia
10) From Time to Time

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
01) Up
02) Is Anybody There?

03) An Education
04) Tetro
05) Whatever Whings
06) Inglorious Bastards
07) Public Enemies
08) A Serious Man
09) My Sister’s Keeper
10) Love Ranch

gamus

My predictions for best picture:
The Road
Tree of Life
Public Enemies
Nine
The Informant

Engin Sevim

Best Picture:

Nine
Lovely Bones
Precious: Based On The Novel “Push” By Sapphire
Biutiful
Amelia

Best Animation:

Up
The Princess And The Frog
Fantastis Mr Fox

Rory

I’ve been following “Away We Go” since it was first announced. I agree that it has a really good chance in the Original Screenplay category since a majority of the “main” opponents would be Adapted Screenplay. However, I don’t quite understand the Maya nomination. If they do go with an actress from a comedy, they might just go with Meryl for the Nancy Meyers project or even Amy Adams or Emily Blunt from “Sunshine Cleaning.” I just don’t see Maya as competition as Grace from “Away We Go.”

Fred

it’s very hard to predict a year ahead but I totally agree on your predictions for Taking Woodstock. I hope Ang Lee will become the first Asian director to get the oscar for best picture.
Concerning the actors and the actresses, I express some doubts as far as Tautou is concerned.
Nice pick in the best supporting category; Ruffalo was perfect In Zodiac and so he will be in Shutter Island.
The Lovely Bones and Tree of Life have strong chances, to my opinion.

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