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2012 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress

2012 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress

Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 84th Academy Award winners through February 26th, when the winners are announced.

While Meryl Streep is probably closer to a win here than she has been in a good decade (or two), it seems unlikely that she’ll beat Viola Davis. The two are pretty evenly split when it comes to precursors: Davis took home the SAG Award and the Critics Choice, while Streep took the BAFTA and the Golden Globe. But it definitely seems like Davis has the stronger support among Academy voters for her performance in “The Help,” which could make her only the second African-American to win in this category (after Halle Berry). Michelle Williams has a minimal chance of shocking, while Rooney Mara and Glenn Close essentially have no chance whatsoever.

Best actress predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

The Nominees:
Glenn Close, Albert Nobbs
Viola Davis, The Help
Rooney Mara, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo
Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn

The Predicted Winner: Viola Davis, The Help
The Possible Spoiler: Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
Shoulda Been Here: Tilda Swinton, We Need To Talk About Kevin

This Article is related to: Awards


Comments

Pathum

I wish you I thought you get this throphy. I realy like your acting & Iwish you all the best!

Helmer

It's unbelievable how many comments of 320 were written by illiterates with poor grammar, spelling, punctuation, critical thinking. etc. Ramona among many others are the jokes!!!
I hope my point is made. Bless the Beasts and the Children.

Ramona

I'm just sick of Meryl Streep didn't see the movie don't care. I wanted either Viola Davis to win cause I loved the help or Michelle Williams. I mean come on the old crocodile got nominated for a golden globe for freaking Momma Mia two years ago??? What a Joke !

Mark

Whatever. This win was ridiculous. All due respect to Ms. Streep, who is a great actress, this was not her best role. The other nominees were stronger. Just proves how whacked in the head the Academy members are.

Nicholas Emery

What a tough choice. Yes, the front runners are Ms. Streep and Ms. Davis, however Glenn Close was superb in Albert Nobbs.

Still, my money is on Meryl…..

Cassandra

The only reason viola would win is if the academy decided to give out awards based on race or political affiliation (once again). They want the show be in the papers therefore, give the best actress award to a black or even better, a black WOMEN who played in a movie the was all about viewing blacks as nothing more than "the help". No one takes these shows seriously and they shouldn't start tonight.

Cassandra

The only reason viola would win is if the academy decided to give out award based on race or political accounting (once again). They want the show be in the papers therefore, give the best actress award to a black or even better, a black WOMEN who played in a movie the was all about viewing blacks as nothing more than "the help". No one takes these shows seriously and they shouldn't start tonight.

Chris

Rooney Mara – An incredibly challenging role and the character is a tremenous stretch for her. Thought her performance for this difficult role was flawless. She won't get it because she's new, young and her character is not endearing – people want to be made to like their characters. Rooney's character was too complex for the average movie viewer. HOPE THERE'S AN UPSET & ROONEY WINS. Kind of like the year Charlize Theron won for the film "Monster". There is no way anyone else should have won that year, but her character was anything but desireable and was also extremely complex. Rooney did an equally excellent job. Nobody else nominated even comes close, although some were very good. Bravo for Rooney!

Andrew

Meryl Streep has given the performance of her career, what more can she give than this? She should win. If she doesn't then I can only assume the votes were made to have the category less predictable.

one love

Hey!!! Don't any of you think that maybe there will be a tie for best Actress. I think both Davis and Streep should win. Like 1968 when Barbra and Katharine both receive the Academy Award for best Actress…………………………..

jim

STREEP's performance was riveting! There were moments in that movie that I couldn't separate Streep from Thatcher anymore. The detailed shaking of her hands… the intensity of the eyes… the tension on the lips. These are what made the performance so credible. I hope Meryl wins. Though I like The Help, it was really not Davis' performance alone that made it really good. The acting brilliance was shared by Spencer and Davis. In Iron Lady, no one could outshine Streep in any scene. Except the teacup at the end of the movie.

Walt

Lead toward Viola Davis with a very, very, very close second to Michelle Williams.

remlap48

This has to be the tightest category of em all. However, If I were Joe (Academy) voter, I'd have to go with Michelle Williams with a close 2nd going to Glen Close.

MSfan

I have finally accepted the fact that the next academy award Meryl Streep will win is a Lifetime Achievement Award, it really doesn't matter how many exceptional performances she delivers year after year, there will always be 'someone who hasn't won before and deserves it more'. Can you honestly tell me there's an actress who could have pulled off Margaret Thatcher?, and still the Oscar is going to Viola. It's like the academy looks at her work as if it's done by Meryl Streep and not an actress.

Ehefsfasfsfsfafasffaa

This year's is my least favourite Best Actress lineup since 2008. Not a single performance I care about.

Nina Persson

I saw Iron Lady. I saw Help and finally My week with Marilyn. No Doubt. I Prefer 100 % Michelle Williams and My Week With Marilyn. Forget all about an Oscar to Meryl Streep (Out Of Africa, Kramer vs. Kramer, Deer Hunter and Silkwood) Mrs. Streep is over the hill. Sorry about that! I can´t see an Oscar to Viola Davis (Disney, Disney and Disney). Its only a supp. role – so all the way to the Oscar Night, it must be pretty baby doll and the best actress in the US for the last 6-8 years mrs. Michelle Williams and of course Marilyn Monroe. No matter what. Maybe also best award supp. to Kenneth Branagh (Sir Lawrence Olivier) or maybe Christopher Plummer (!). That´s folks! Happy monday to all the people in the Kodak Theater! And especially to Michelle Williams….

Scott

MERYL STREEP ALL THE WAY!!!!! She is my idol I adore her and she there are no words to describe how unbelievably phenomenal she was in the Iron Lady! I loved Viola Davis in the Help but I think Meryl Streep has a better chance cause she played a British leader. Colin Firth won last year for playing Prince Albert/King George VI and Dame Helen Mirren won for playing Queen Elizabeth II in The Queen. Not only did Meryl Streep play Margaret Thatcher in her prime years but also in her later years with Dementia. It's not often you see the same actor playing a famous person at different times of their life. Marion Cotillard did that for Edith Piaf and look at how fabulous she was, her Oscar victory notwithstanding. Plus Meryl Streep is so versatile in the roles she plays, from the icy Miranda Priestly in The Devil Wears Prada to the weak, timid Sophie in Sophie's Choice to the fun loving Donna Sheridan in Mamma Mia. She's been had so many different roles it's impossible to ignore, not to mention all the accents she's done, including British for Margaret Thatcher, Polish for Sophie's Choice, Australian for A Cry in the Dark, and Italian in The Bridges of Madison County. The bottom line is Meryl Streep is one of the best actresses of all time, and I daresay she's even better than Katharine Hepburn who usually plays similar characters in the sense that you can always tell it's her, whereas Meryl Streep can do anything. ROCK ON MERYL!!!!!!

Sand

Viola Davis her part in The Help is not really a leading role, actually 3 actresses share the leading part(s). Having seen this film I think she may be very lucky to have been nominated as Best actress, and not once but for several awards. That really surprises me. Besides The Iron Lady I haven't seen the other films, but Viola should not be a threat. Her acting in The Help also didn't seem very heavy to do, besides she did the same before.

Abhishek

Dear Oscar, please give it to Rooney Mara and restore our faith in you by giving us at least one instance of how commercially successful movies and actors can also win Oscars. Making a dead face and drowning the audience into the ocean of pessimism is certainly a talent but so is pumping up their adrenaline, running the wheels of their intellect and making them believe in the character no matter how imaginary it is.

Sergio Chavez S.

Totally agreed Meryl excellent and brilliant..but is not fair put meryl front sized Rooney Mara…I think that it the Academy Award deserve credibility, will must win ROONEY MARA…if not, will be a Shit More.. She was incredible in the movie she deserves to take it…

Chris

I saw Iron Lady and I saw The Help – no comparison, seriously. Meryl Streep must win, she was awesome!!!!

Zak

Meryl Streep plays the same crusty vagina character in every movie.

barb

In your best actress list you said Tilda Swinton should have been there. Just saw We Need To
Talk About Kevin. Could not agree more!! Fabulous acting!

Jorge

This is the award for the BEST performance of the year. I have seen all the nominations and it is undoubtedly deserved by Meryl. Her transformation is astounding. I love that they youngsters think she deserved it for Doubt or Devil Wears Prada or Julie & Julia, which she did. But lets not forget about The French Leutenant's Woman, A Cry in the Dark, Silkwood, Ironweed, Out of Africa. If you haven't seen them, you must. But regardless. The best performance by a female actor in 2011: Meryl Streep. Hands down.

Chris O

I saw the iron lady and it was HORRIBLE!! Im sorry but i dont care how good people think Meryls performance was, i think it was okay at best. The last thing she needs is another award. Viola Davis should win it and she deserves it. Im sorry but i cant give an Oscar to a person who acted in a bad movie i just cant.

Ed

MERYL STREEP WINS

Stephen Nickens

Honestly, I saw both The Help and The Iron Lady to compare and make an unbiased prediction. The Iron Lady, Meryl Streep (always my favorite) gave a breathtaking performance, undoubtedly the best performance by an actress this year. The Help was a GOOD movie, and Viola Davis' performance was GOOD. That's all, just good. In no way do I think she deserves the Oscar. Yes, she has been nominated before and lost. Yes, Meryl Streep has been nominated seventeen times and won twice, but the award is supposed to be given to the actor who gave the best performance of the year. That is completely and truly Meryl Streep. So, when it comes time for Oscar Sunday, Viola Davis may take home the prize, but deep down she should know that it belongs to Meryl.

Mitchell Davis

Meryl Streep deserves her third Oscar here. Her performance was remarkable, and drove the entire picture. Viola Davis was good, but more of a supporting role in an ensemble picture. Michelle Williams is always good, but I think her time will come in the future. I feel sorry for Glenn Close. The woman can't catch a break! And Rooney Mara? Her nomination was prize enough.

Pedro

Meryl should win and I believe she is the predicted winner. Haven't seen My Week With Marilyn though..

marilyn

who ever wins best actress should publicly acknowledge that Tilda Swinton is the actress should have been given the Oscar.

GENADIJUS

There will be a split of votes in best actress or vbast actor categories, for sure. Michelle Williams in front of Davis vs. Streep and Brad Pitt in front of Clooney vs. du Jardin.

dcaris

Streep and V. Davis are both even in greatness – but it long over time for Streep to win again.

HAWAIIAN STYLE

ITS VERY INTERESTING TO READ MANY OPINIONS OF WHO SHOULD AND SHOULDNT WIN THE OSCAR FOR BEST ACTRESS AND WHO SHOULD AND SHOULDNT HAVE BEEN NOMINATED THIS YEAR. I RESPECT THEM ALL. WITH THAT SAID , IM CHEERING FOR VIOLA DAVIS TO WIN. GOOD LUCK TO ALL.

Antony

Meryl will win- the Academy HAS to give her its third Oscar, they can't wait any longer- and she shoulda won her 3rd on at least 2 sepereate occassions in the past decade ((Adaptation and Julie + Julia.) Poor ole Glenn Close- she can't get a break at Oscat time can she..!?

Marilyn

I LOVE Meryl Streep and I LOVE Viola Davis. I say this is a two actress race and it's too close to call.

MIB

I feel sorry for Streep because she should have won oscars Doubt and Devil Wears Parada. Academy just see her and say oh yes she is streep she is terrific as always lets give award to someone else. too bad. i hope she wins this year. I mean if Academy just see her performance as an actress not as Streep she will win. if she doesn't i think she should never attend any Oscar ceremony again. she has been robbed for several years now just being Streep.

Bheki

The announcement that Streep will star in a screen adaptation of August: Osage County was the worst idea ever, now the voters are certainly going to hand it over to Viola to help her career since they feel they will have another chance to honour Streep the next year like always.

Nick R. Hansson

This will be Michelle Williams first Oscar – putting her up there with Julia Roberts and before Annette Bening, Ashley Judd and Viola Davis. It´s only a match between Michelle Williams vs. Meryl Streep. M.W. took the role of the Worlds most sexiest icon ever – and yes, she play her, but better than that – she also was Marilyn Monroe.
Amazing performer. Michelle Williams deserves it – Hollywood and MM too. If you talk about Meryl Streep. She won BAFTA in UK for Maggie Thatcher. God save the Queen in England, not in US. So MW will easily win the Academy Award (actress) 26. february 2012 in The Kodak Theater, LA! Last year she could have taken the Oscar for Blue Valentine. OK! It went to Black Swan & Natalie Portman. So THIS YEAR nobody members of the jury can drop the last six years best US-actress!!!

rey

Streep will win and for me V. Davis it a supporting rode

spanishfan

In my opinion (and after seeing all the 5 movies), to not award Streep for her perfomance this year would be a crime and it will mean that the oscars have become the last joke… but after all it won't surprise me since we are very used about the oscars and their silly and arbitrary decisions (but I hope Streep to don't even bother to came back another year if they nominate her again (like Hepburn did). She will do herself a favour).

Yeb vas

Melancholia stunk. Boring boring boring. If you liked this movie, you must have been drunk watching it.

Steve Shear

Saw all the movies. Hugo stunk. Meryl Streep by far deserves to win. Best performance imo of her career. Viola Davis will probably win to help her career. That is why the oscars have been bs for years. How many academy members actually watch the best films and actor performances, etc?

Flawed

Meryl is great and all but I am going to root for Viola Davis for this reason:
Why do we, as fans of Movie Awards have to get stuck with Britain's love affair with itself.
Every time a movie is made about a British figure, it gets so much love as if the rest of the world gives a crap. The Americans don't even make us suffer. Rooney was awesome but at least Viola stands a chance. I'll wait and root for Meryl when she's in a movie I actually wanna see.

cameron

I think that the best preformance this year by far was Michelle Williams, this woman took on the role of an icon and was incredible. She didnt play Marylin Monroe, she became her. While i believe that either Davis or Streep will win i hands down believe Williams deserves it

Alegria

It's time for Meryl Streep to pick up the Oscar Award after 29 years of waiting and working so hard!!! She deserves it!!!!!!!

doppelganger

I'm beginning to think that almost nobody here has seen "the girl with the dragon tattoo". Meryl Streep…YES! Michelle Williams…HUH? Viola Davis….AWESOME, but I didn't walk out of the film thinking this woman NEEDS an award.

Roony Mara blew my ever loving mind. The way she used her body, the very cool accent, the fearlessness. If Rooney or Meryl don't win I will seriously be scratching my head.

THE GREAT MERYL

Meryl Streep gave the best performance and will win if the Acamedy Voters look at her performance as if this was her first film. Viola Davis was good and had her moments but
The Help was a very Hollywood mainstream film with good actors.

Mehrdadiii

Hopefully, Meryl Streep will win… don even doubt… ;)

One Love

Viola Davis will probably win best actress but to be truly honest, no actress stood out this year. There is always that actress you just know is going to win ever year like Charlize in Monster, Reese in Walk the Line, Hilary in Million Dollar Baby, Sandra in Blind Side or Natalie in Black Swan. I couldn't care less who win for best actress but best wishes to all!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

bob hawk

Yes, Tilda shoulda been here — as well as Olivia Colman and Kirsten Dunst. They were all BRILLIANT — something I cannot say for all the excellent actresses who WERE nominated. (This was an exceptionally strong year for lead actress.) And as for Streep, why doesn't the Academy just give her an over-sized Oscar for every performance she ever has given or will give in her lifetime? Furthermore, I'd hate to see her win for IRON LADY, since she was working her usual fine craftiness within a vacuum of mediocrity. I'd rather wait and see her win for what is sure to be a ferocious tour de force as Violet in AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY.

Gary

As I said, 1 every 4 yrs OR SO, I didn't mean it as exact…BUT, I DID state that it would be the 1st time in OSCAR HISTORY that 2 African American Actors/Actresses WON, if that turns out to be the case…which I hope it does!

That's a factual statement.

Gary

I having been an actor and worked in Hollywood in various capacities ACTOR being one of them, have this to say in my opinion…It si so much easier for an actor to play a role BASED on someone that they can watch or see footage of, (i.e. Meryl Streep as Margaret Thatcher0 or in Glenn Close'scse, she has played Albert Nobbs ONSTAGE for YEARS, and fought to bring it to the Screen, However, Viola Davis a MAGNIFICENT and somewhat underrated actress CREATED HER CHARACTER FROM SCRATCH!!! She MOLDED & SCULPTED her Character. To ME that takes a lot more than watching someone who is/was alive and they can copy them

My vote is for Viola Davis..Meryl already has 2 Oscars, and think about this… IF Viola Davis & Octavia Spencer BOTH WIN, it will beThe FIRST time in the Academy Awards History that 2 Black Actors/Actresses Have won in the same YEAR, NOT 1 every 4 or so yrs and Only 1 wins…It's about time Hollywood opened their eyes. I mean take "Precious fprnstance, I LOVED the Movie it was MAGNIFICENT and for a first timer Gabourey Sidibe to be Nominated for Best Actress, God Bless her! BUT then on the other side of the coin, I love Sandra Bullock, but really, how much of a stretch was it? 1) She's Beautiful,2) Ballsy, 3) RICH & 4) From TEXAS…Gabby was a first timer, Hollywood takes care of t's own, it's sometimes like a "Good Ol' Boys Club!!!!

There's SOUCH more talent that we never get to see, or are so fixated on what we know…like…creatures of habit!
OH & For the record, I am a White Male, and I was a casting assistant at one time as well. to just WISH Hollywood was MORE Color-Blind and really saw the difference between creating a character from your own soul, and heart than playing an actual person whom you can STUDY, using video, news tapes etc…

I wish them BOTH an Oscar, Viola & Octavia! And for Best Acor: Damien Bichir-A Better Life, I KNOW it's a Longshot, but aGREAT Movie, Toss-Up Between Christopher Plummer & Max von Sydow, BOTH AMAZING Performances, for Best Supporting Actor.

Gaspar Marino

In my heart of hearts, I would like to see Glenn Close or Meryl Streep win…they are both GREAT actresses, but if we are talking the best performance by an actress out of this list, then my vote goes to Viola Davis. She did not portray a charactature, she imbued Abileen with real heart and soul and expressed with her face and eyes true emotional feelings. Her performance was true and in the moment. That is what is called acting.

Daniel

Being realistic, the best performance of the year was KIRSTEN DUNST – MELANCHOLIA, all of this ladies (especially Viola Davis) are out of her league, but for one reason, the voters just ignore her, so now, the one that really impress me was Michelle Williams, she portrait multiple faces of Marilyn, every time she's out of screen, the film looks really to wreak, she is the soul of the movie, she really deserve it, one of the best and risky actresses working today. I hope she win.
Viola or Meryl could win just for political reasons (talking about Viola) or the sentimentalism (talking about Meryl), but, being honest no one of those 2 ladies really deserve it.
Michelle Williams will win!!!!!!

Richard

all of the five nominees gave A+ performances. but just on the fine tuned nature
of the performance Meryl Streep should win. just because "The Help" made a truck
load of cash doesn't mean Davis should win. if she does win its because to put it
discreetly she got the sympathy vote.

also why in God's name do people think Tilda Swinton should have been nominated
for "We Need To Talk About Kevin"? it was one of the worst films i've ever seen and she
gave a one note performance.

Steve

Moneyball, an American pastime played by the rules of late capitalism. Lays bare late capitalism's commodification of information, flex labor, and the ruthless drive for efficiency. Honest and timely, in spite of its sentimental veneer.

Steve

The answer is Rooney Mara. All the others perform: given the particular moment in the film, each is either ahead of her performance, or her performance is out in front looking back. Mara, on the hand, just is. She entirely inhabits her character and gives us something new.

Bert

Shoulda Been Here: Tilda Swinton???
are you kidding. What so good about her acting then? i'm curious.
This woman has just one look on that faec, and we see it the whole movie… no wait.
we see it in every movie she played. Same roles. the not so likable character.

my winner is by far! Rooney Mara, The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo

richard

Don't think is right. Meryl Streep should finally win her next oscar for her portrayl of Margaret Thatcher.
She morphed into this layered, textured woman seamlessly which to me was a more difficult acting accomplishment than what was required from Viola Davis in The Help.
Viola Davis was superb as she always is but she just didn't impact this movie goer like the Iron Lady did.
The Help was a great book and could have been a great film. It just got schmaltzy. I would have loved the characters more if they hadn't been trying so hard to sell their characters.
Anyway good luck Meryl. Hope they all stop taking your brilliance for granted this year.

Anna Neville

If Meryl does'nt win this year it will be a farce She is without doubt the greatest actress in the world today and one of the greatest of all time. The supreme Laurence Olivier was nominated 9 times and won one, what does that tell you? Perhaps a role as Golda Meir or star of a remake of "the Colour Purple" would impress The Academy. Could someone please explain to me what a SAG speech has to do with an Academy Award winning performance.

xris

Having seen The Iron Lady, Streep raises the bar once again, the problem with her is that she's Meryl Streep, for her it was just another day in the office nothing special and the academy always expects a performance like that from her. If it truly was about the acting, she'd have at the least 5 oscars already. I'm quite sure if Michelle Williams pulled off Meryl's role in The Iron Lady thre'd be no question about who will win the oscar… after Viola's speech at the SAG's, the oscar is pretty much in the bag for her and it's sad because Meryl really deserves it, 2-16 is an embarrassment to the academy, until Meryl pulls off another 'Sophie's choice' I don't think she will win any time soon.

Helmer

Meryl Streep gave one of the best performances of her life! After seeing all the nominees in their respective movies, there is no comparison about Best Achievement by an Actress in a Leading Role! The Oscar should go to Ms. Meryl Streep, hands down. Her work was one of dimension, nuance, showing warts and all, motivated, and detailed. She made a total, honest transformation into the character of Margaret Thatcher. Ms. Streep is our most versatile and
greatest film artist ever, plus her stage work has been respected as well . . . . . I saw her perform "Mother Courage" at Shakespeare in the Park in New York several years ago – riveting and engaging. Streep has 17 Oscar nominations, and a Best Actress Oscar for "Sophie's Choice" and a Best Supporting Actress Award for "Kramer vs. Kramer." After all these years of superior and consistent work, she deserves another Best Actress Oscar like Sally Field, Jodie Foster, Louise Rainer, Hillary (UGH) Swank, to name a few who have been awarded two Best Actress honors.
Let's not forget some of the recent '"flash-in-the-pan would-be actresses" who have been recognized as Best Actress and who will never, ever come close to getting another nomination because they have little talent, discipline, and skill – BUT they knew how to play the publicity and promotional game for expressing themselves as dedicated artists when they were merely duplicating their real life tragedies such as the recent N. P. and H. B. Give me a break!
In conclusion, Meryl gets a "10," Glenn an "7," Viola (she cries convincingly in everything she does like "Doubt" or "ELAIC", including her Tony-winning performance in "Fences.") a "5," Michelle a "4," and Rooney (reminded me of streetwise N. P. with 2 expressions) a "1." Tilda should have been nominated before Rooney. But alas, the members of A.M.P.A.S. make the decisions and, just like me, it is all about personal "choices" which is what acting is all about. I am hoping on February 26, I will be happy and content with a Streep win!

Tristan

Meryl Streep deserves to win her 3rd Oscar for the Iron Lady. It's Best Actress in a film you are nominated NOT best actress in a best picture nominated film. C'mon winners should be based on their performance not on dramatic speeches…

Mark N.

Meryl Streep is wonderful and I love pretty near anything she does, but she honesty deserved better material than "The Iron Lady". The best performance in that film was Jim Broadbent. This is really through no fault of Meryl's own. The movie is just dull and poorly-executed. She was more deserving of the Oscar for "The Devil Wears Prada" than here… and come on, folks, you can't give someone an Oscar to make Oscar history (she needs to win 2 more to beat the great Kate Hepburn anyway) or because they're 'due' for another win. Really? To do that is just ignoring the performance altogether. Sadly, the actress who DESERVES to be here – Tilda Swinton – is not. In lieu of her, the next best, fully-nuanced performance is Viola Davis. Davis stole the scene from Streep when she was supporting-nominated for "Doubt" a few years back (she should have won then). With "The Help", she proves even more that she's got tremendous acting chops. Streep will nab the Oscar from her this year, which won't really be justified. I love Meryl Streep, and she was a great Margaret Thatcher, but it just doesn't sing as a Best Actress-winning role for her at all.

Meryl Delivered the Best Performance

No contest…La Streep delivered the best performance this year. Acamedy Members
don't mess it up like you have done in the past.

Nik Grape

Why can't they just be happy with Octavia Spencer getting the Supporting Actress oscar? Man, Davis' SAG speech was very emotional and this also goes a long way and doesn't bode well for Meryl but seriously, anyone who has seen both performances doesn't have to think twice about who'se better and who really deserves the Oscar. The only consolation we have is that Meryl and Viola are such good friends and Meryl would be one of the happiest people if Viola won but of course, i think we all know deep down she wants to win her third Oscar as well. Let's all hope I guess. This category and Cinematography are the only thing that's making this year's Oscar very exciting..

Dissapointing-Year!!

This is by far one of the strangest races in film award season… We weren't sure who was gonna win at the Golden Globes after Viola Davis took home a Critics Choice, but Meryl Streep ended up winning and deservedly so… Then came the SAG awards and everyone expected Viola Davis to win simply because Meryl had won before and Viola hadn't… of course, Voila beat Meryl. We are now headed for the BAFTAs and the front-runner race has changed: it's Meryl against Tilda Swinton because Tilda is British and Meryl played a British character. After the BAFTAs, we gleefully look forward to the Oscars: Meryl vs Viola again and everyone wants Viola to win as it would be great to have Viola make an historic achievement as the second African-American ever to win an Oscar for best actress. How the winners in these awards are determined is just disappointing. Why can't it be simply about performance?

I'm sure the current Academy members would do anything possible to ascertain no other actor, like Kethrine Hepburn, ever wins 4 Oscars in their lifetime.

Lhorraine

Can Michelle Williams do what Meryl Streep did in "The Iron Lady!Meryl Streep deserves 100% win Oscar!

Mali

This will be Michelle Williams first Oscar, putting her right up there with Julia Roberts. Strongest competition is Meryl Streep.
PS: The brilliant Glenn Close should sit with Leonardo Di Caprio in the "I'm shamelessly doing this just to be nominated for an Oscar" table on the night.

LouiseRigetts

The Iron Lady, Meryl Streep will win if there is any justice! She was outstanding in the film and for that alone she should win. See the film and you all will agree. Go Meryl!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Lee

It's definitely between Viola and Meryl. I haven't seen "The Iron Lady", but I'm sure Streep was absolutely astounding, as always. However, I'm totally rooting for Viola. She was sensational in "The Help". Meryl might have been better, but I truly want to see Viola take home the statue. As an actor of color, I've been awaiting another African American woman to be Best Actress. Viola will hopefully be the second. I know it's not about if you've already won an oscar, but let's get real. Streep will be nominated again in no time. This may be Viola's only chance…Not saying she's not talented enough to be nominated again, because that would be a lie, but Hollywood is silly. The other nominees were great too by the way!

rfarrello

Meryl Streep gave the best performance by an actress and should rightfully be awarded the Oscar. Case Closed. But the Acamedy will most likely mess up again. Cases in point… no nomination for Meryl for THE HOURS (Kidman and Moore were terrific… but Meryl by far made the film a classic, Bullock winning for Blide Side over Meryl's Julia…don't get me started…. Acamedy Members…please wake up. Davis, Rooney were great along with the non nominated Jodie Foster (another screw up).

Juha Tapani

Tilda Swinton should have won ! What a jokie nominations: Glenn Close, Meryl Streep and Michelle Williams for "tv-movies"…So…
Hopefully then Viola Davis will win !

NickGNEWYORK

As we all know the race is between Streep and Davis. Having seen both films twice I have great admiration for both of their performances. The Help was a better film, but The Streep was the better actor. Meryl, you deserve it. There were many moments in the film where I forgot I was watching Meryl, it felt I was watching a woman's life unfold. Viola you were fantastic. Good luck to the both of you!

mehrdad

Meryl Streep waz a real "Margaret Tatcher" in the movie "The Iron Lady"
I waz really shocked and amazed by her very outstanding performance…!
I guess this year'z her year…!
Bafta and Oscar… ;)

Bogdan

I'm so happy about Rooney Mara's nomination, but i think Glen Close should finally win the Oscar because she's given brilliant performances throughout her long career along with "Albert Nobbs". Tilda Swinton, Kirsten Dunst and Keira Knightley should have all been nominated.

Spark

Meryl Streep all the way!!! She has been the best leading performance this year. I hope she wins it, she deserves it the most. Viola Davis has been great, but not THAT great.

Sel

I think the academy is going to award Viola Davis for being black (so, if Meryl was black…). But Streep has made the best leading performance of the year (male or female). They are not going to award her even knowing she has been the best… that's a little embarrasing, but that's what the oscars have been doing lately… and that's why Streep only has two oscar in more than 30 years of nominations.

    Kasai

    You have no proof the academy was going for Viola Davis because she’s black. Stupid racist.

Jonathan

And the Oscar goes to…..MICHELLE WILLIAMS for "My Week With Marilyn". Michelle Williams is outstanding. She´s the one that will be giving the winning speech at the Oscar night. Meryl Streep did a good job – but "The Iron Lady" itself was so silly. Michelle Williams is ahead in all the critic awards – and she will win easily!

Michael

Shoulda Been Here: Kirsten Dunst, Melancholia.

Joe

Well Meryl won the Golden Globe for Best Actress, and now Viola Davis who I love just won for The Help. What confuses me is which award actually determines the winner at the Oscars? Some say the Golden Globe, others say the S.A.G. Awards? Just because Meryl has won twice and nominated over 17 times does not mean she should not win. But the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences is strange. You never know how the Oscars will turn out. My prediction is that it will be a toss up between Meryl and Viola. My guess it will be Viola Davis but would love to see Meryl take home the golden statue. And hey Katherine Hepburn took home four (4) of these Best Actress Oscars home. So why not Meryl……

MOLLY

If Meryl Streep doesn't win, I will literally blow a fuse. The idea that "she's already won, let someone else win," is stupid. The award is for Best Actress, not Best Actress Who Hasn't Won Yet. Meryl has been snubbed for YEARS and deserves to win this year. For sure.

Lorimoore

Meryl Streep will win and deserves the win. Would love to see Meryl and Cate Blanchett in film together. Was disappointed that Jodie Foster was not nominated for Carnage.

DavidNYC

And the winner is… MERYL STREEP!!!!!!!! Sorry Viola!

T

I'm rooting for Viola Davis or Rooney Mara. Meryl Streep is an amazing actress, but I think, because she has won twice, a different actress should win. But since this is about overall best acting in a film…can it be a 5-way tie?

Dan

Swinton was brilliant in 'Kevin, I hate the academy!!!!!!!

gary

meryl streep was BRILLIANT as Maggie Thatcher..her accent..her conviction to a person that she does not agree with politically takes such brilliance in Meryl Streep! If she doesn't win the Oscar I promise to NEVER have faith in the Academy Awards EVER again..She's long overdue after 30 yrs since her last win as Best Actress..talk about paying ur dues ??? GO MERYL! I love and appreciate your talent as a fellow thesbian! YO GO GIRL!!! xo Gary

Grant

This one I'm not so sure about, it's kind of up in the air for me. Viola Davis proved a lot to me in her performance in "The Help" I think she pretty much was the film. But then again it is Meryl Streep

ACADEMY BUDDIES for Michelle Williams

Michelle Williams was NOTHING LIKE THE REAL MARILYN. She couldn't nail anything about Marilyn. What kind of CONSPIRACY is going on at the ACADEMY OF ARTS AND SCIENCES for this NOBODY ACTRESS to once again get nominated for MEDIOCRITY. Please enough already with the lack of proper judgement about this actress. She does not belong amongst the talented. The ONLY REASON she garnered any interest amongst critics was EDDIE REDMAYNE. Is that how the ACADEMY picks nominees? THE LAZY BUTT WAY.
Check out the critics choices? These critics made absolutely no sense in their descriptions .
All I got out of their USELESS RANTING was uneducated garbage. Did these people go to college? Most of them sound like they didn't finish highschool. Is that what the academy wants? To be represented by useless ranting,people that try very hard to SOUND SMART?
One final piece of information for the public. Michelle Williams is a member of the Academy of Arts and Sciences. How interesting and are her BUDDIES there going to give her an OSCAR for
BEST ACTRESS also?

tony chambers

ARE YOU KIDDING MERYL STREEP HANDS DOWN WINNER!!!

md

Streep should finally get another oscar. It's about time. Becoming another person is what you call real acting.

JONAH

It makes me so happy to think about all the exposure Rooney's going to get. I think she's brilliant and The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo was my favourite movie of the year (at least considering the actresses named above). I really hope she ATLEAST gets nominated!

I am going to be so enraged if Michelle Williams wins however. And although The Iron Lady was good, Meryl should have won for Doubt and for The Devil Wears Prada, in my opinion. I think this year should go to Viola or Rooney. <3

ks

Enough already about Meryl Streep . . . it should go to Rooney Mara.

YassinNG

Between 1998 and 2011, eight actresses who have won the Golden Globe for Best Actress – Motion Picture Drama have won the Academy Award for Best Actress, so I think it will be Meryl Streep…

Martin

I posted my own predictions hours before the announce…some similarities, and also some differences with IW. Check and comment: http://www.mondoglam.com/2012/01/predicciones-al-oscar-2012-ultima.html

MIB

Really i think that Streep has been unlucky for several years. people and academy just see her outstanding performances every year and say oh yes its streep lets look somene else for the award. i mean that she should have won oscar for "Doubt". i hope this year they will look her performance in Iron lady as just an actress who has given brilliant performance rather than thinking about streep. i hope this year she wins.

Charlotte

THERON deserves a NOD from Oscar for her work in Young Adult. How the hell did she end up in POSSIBLE SPOILERS? I am scratching my head.

movienotesbook.blogspot.com

The battle should be between Viola Davis in The Help and Tilda Swinton in We Need to Talk About Kevin.

Nil

I loved the way Meryl Streep played Margaret Thatcher. She was wonderful, magnificent. I really hope she gets the Oscar. She deserves it.

Genadijus

This year is quite clear: Streep, Davis or Williams.
My predictions for 2013:
Naomi Watts – "Impossible"
Keira Knightley – "Anna Karenina"
Meryl Streep – "Great Hope Springs"
Diane Kruger – "Farewell, My Queen"
Kristin Scott Thomas – "Only God Forgives"

Daeshawn

1.Meryl 2.Rooney 3.Viola 4.Michelle 5.Tilda
Meryl is a legend no matter what characters she portrays. She is phenomenal in all of her movies.
Rooney was amazing in the girl with the dragon tattoo. I read all of the trilogies and she did such a great job. She transformed from being a girly to Lisabeth Salander. But 'Hey' if she doesn't win, I think it's a greatest gift to be nominated and to be known. Hopefully she'll be in many more movies.

GRRL

Michelle Williams was extraordinary as Marilyn. Hard to recreate such an iconic figure in such a profound and touching performance. For that, she is #1 with Viola as a close 2nd. While Meryl is very good as Thatcher, the movie is coming off of the heels of The Queen and King's Speech. I think that is a liability even with Meryl's performance

One Love

Meryl Streep is the most powerful yet outstanding actress of all time. However, Viola Davis is the most deserving of all the predicted nominees. Personally if I was in-charge of the Academy Awards only Meryl and Viola would be nominated for most outstanding performance by an Actress in a leading role. Props to both influential women.

Mehrdad

1. Meryl Streep has done the best performance
This year and I thought i was watching The
lady tatchet herself in the movie…
2. Jodie Foster was also amazing in Carnage, but
i dont think she will be even nominated…!
3. Have U guysz seen the "certified Copy"
Julliete binouch is really amazing in it
4. kristen Dunst has already won important
Awards such as palm i dore from cannes which
She really deserved.
5. Elizabeth Oslen is also my fifth choice…
She was really adorable…
In the end i think and i hope that Meryl gets
Her third Oscar…

iwatchinu

Ms. Davis, Ms. Streep and Rooney Mara front runners

barron

i have only witnessed Viola Davis' performance , in your the list all the movies at best actress, i haven't seen them they are not released here in manila! i only see the help in piracy!

Sam

We all know who'll be nominated (Streep, Davis, Williams, Swinton and Close/Mara). But who truly deserves at least a nomination…. Michelle Yeoh, Elizabeth Olsen and Kirsten Dunst! Who gives a sh*t about the quality of their movies…. Just consider the quality of their acting, commitment and transformation! Michelle Yeoh in 'The Lady' FTW!

dude

elizabeth olsen was amazing in martha marcy she should be nominated insted of rooney mara the greatest lizbeth salander performance has been already overlooked (noomi rapace) last year

streep
davis
williams
olsen
i know this is imposible …. but dunst should also be there ( in reality this is swinton)

Tillman

See Jodie Foster in Carnage. Becasue if you did, she would be in the top five. I hope Acamedy Voters do not overlook her!

Iron Stance

What's with the anti "Streep"ers????? A group of us saw Iron Lady and were amazed by Streep's performance. I went back again and she was even better than I remembered if that's possible. Hopefully and rightfully she will win and even if she doesn't, her body of work is enhanced by another outstanding performance.

Rich

Forget just a nomination – Rooney Mara should win the Oscar this year.

rafael

ROONEY is that a joke over streep and glenn close that will be the joke of the year let get serious ok

Sarah Proebsting

I apologize for the wrong adjective "extrodinary." It is not even a word. But neither Meryl Streep or Tilda Swinton are award-winning as they protray. The Girl with the Dragon Tatoo can be frightening to the human eye. The transformation of this movie and character from Swedish to American knowledge was a masterpeice. We need riveting peices to keep our sanity and energy alive. Sorry for you Meryl Streep, Tilda Swinton, Julia Roberts, and Sandra Bullock fans out there. American women stay away from me:)

Harshwardhan S k

well the hollywood royalty ie. Meryl streep and glenn close (if she,s nominated) have done exquisite work in thier films..following nt far behind is tilda swinton in her splendid performance in we need 2 talk about kevin.But the actress dat really touches my heart is Michelle williams in My wekk with Marilyn playin a totally opposite character den wat she is in real life.and dis is wat should be awarded by the AMPAS. so final word..

1.Williams'
2.Meryl
3.Tilda
4.Glenn close'
5.Rooney mara

Sarah Proebsting

If we are looking for major transformation of a fictional character, for example, Natalie Portman in "Black Swan," then Rooney Mara should get the award. Certainly, actressess like Merly Streep and Tilda Swinton have been extrodinary in movies they have made. However, to transform yourself into someone that you absolutely are not in real life is real character acting and awarding. Maybe Rooney is in last place for now, but I beg you academy award judges to take another look. She is an American actress playing a Swedish hacker in very disturbing and intellectual characteristic way. I think this was an amazing performance.

gregg

streep will win and deserves it. i just can't for one see her being nominated roughly 20 times and only winning it twice. hepburn won 4 and was nominated 13 or 14 times i believe. so, if anything, i doubt the academy will deny her based purely on this fact. all that aside, i do believe streep should win. davis was great, but she wasn't much more than a tweaked version of herself in all of her other movies with a slightly altered accent. streep went far beyond imitation to method embodiment with the voice, mannerisms, and physical attributes. i doubt any other actress alive today could've done what she was able to do with that role aside from possibly Cate Blanchett.

Abie

Here we go: 1) Williams 2) Streep 3) Davis 4) Theron 5) Swinton

Ida

Theron should be nominated over Close and Mara. It's not rocket science.

Buck Green

Viola Davis was amazing in "The Help" and deserves to win. Someone here said they thought that Davis' role was a supporting one. Not true. Her performance pervades the film. She was haunting and carries the film. This would have been true even if she had less screen time. Remember how Marlon Brando won the Oscar for Best Actor for "The Godfather" and he is on camera much less than Al Pacino? Even Meryl Streep herself at the Golden Globes said that Viola was her girl and certainly hopes Viola wins against her at the Oscars as well. Its time to get over the Streep-mania. Her performances are no better than any of the contenders.

Valleymazz

1. Meryl Streep
2. Viola Davis
3. Jodie Foster
4. Michelle Williams
5. Mara Rooney

Rick in MI

Michelle Williams was AMAZING! I liked "Marilyn" because of her. Likewise Rooney Mara MADE "Dragon Tattoo". While I liked "The Help", I though Emma Stone made the movie — to me Viola Davis' role was supporting and her nomination should be also. PLEASE NOT Meryl Streep… she is/was just DREADFUL and I also can't stand the witch!!! (Insert b here)

Simmons 1972

Meryl Streep Is the Best….

Gokul

Emma stone (The Help)

Lindsay

Viola Davis. I loved her performance and I wish her the best of luck. I will be rooting for you. Meryl Streep will be a very hard competition but I believe the Oscars will go with Rooney Mara. She was hard core and it was intense watching her in some scenes. I know this is a very tough decision even for myself.

AJM

STREEP WILL NOT BE BEAT. IRON LADY REINFORCES THE GREATEST ACTING TALENT IN THE WORLD. WHAT A JOKE SANDRA IN HER LIFETIME TV ROLE IN THE BLIDE SIDE WINNING OVER STREEP IN JULIA & JULIA. WHO FELL ASLEEP AT THE WHEEL? AND LETS NOT FORGET "THE OVERLOOKED"… JULIANNE MOORE (OVERLOOKED FOR KIDS ARE ALRIGHT AND SINGLE MAN, TWO OSCAR WORTHY NODS TWO YEARS IN A ROW) and the WONDERFUL SIGOURNEY WEAVER – DID ANYONE SEE JODIE FOSTER in CARNAGE, SAORISE RONAN OR CATE BLANCHETT in HANNA? COME ONE GUYS!!!!!!!

BOO

DEFINITLY put Meryl Streep over Michelle Williams. She's easily in the top 2

alemdia

what about carnage? that was just pure acting class. The whole movie was carried by superb acting. If it doesn't get at least one win for acting, the oscars are garbage.

Nathalie

I think it will be a big fat joke if Elizabeth Olsen does not win. She was absolutely amazing in MMMM.

Wendy

Meryl Streep is the best! She gets Oscar :) I think :)

Francine

I wish the marvellous Meryl Streep gets it.

Juha Tapani

What A Bore…Meryl Streep In A Very Bad Movie….Rooney Mara In Worst Movie Of The Year. Michelle Williams And Glenn Close In Tv- Movies Of The Week. Oscar`s…
Tilda Swinton Only Clear Winner…Not A Chance….
Well…Hopefully Viola Davis Then….

Louise

Miss Rooney Mara! That girl gave it her all and she was fantastic!

Morgan

Hopefully most of the nominations are for biopics. It's is so awesome when an actor or actress does a great imitation of a real person. I'm sure that it is the hardest part of being an actress. I mean , first you have to wear a wig- then maybe talk with some accent. And these nominations are so rare.

Reina

I've seen Meryl Streep's movie and she was so great!! the best actress of all time..an actress needs to prove themselves first in any theatrical plays…for us to say that they are a great actress if she can do all that will definitively be considered…so versatile…BAFTA and OSCARS should be given to her…Meryl is the Best Actress this Year!

Evan

Love Meryl. She deserves to win. But is anybody tired of her constant praise of Viola Davis? We all know Viola is terrific. But Meryl's been doing this since the movie Doubt. Enough already. So tacky, especially when you're up there holding the award Meryl. We get it. Viola is terrific. It's just starting to look odd. "Viola, you're my girl". So ridiculous. Watch the Oscars. If Meryl wins, same thing again. If Viola wins, Meryl will be over the top with applause, standing ovations. Camera will be right on her.

Justin

I've seen Meryl Streep in "The Iron Lady". Fantastic as usual. I've seen Viola Davis in "The Help". She was really good. These two ladies are guaranteed a Oscar nomination and it doesn't matter which other lady gets nominated because it's going to come down to either Streep or Davis. I'm going with Streep. The most nominated person and she has only won twice but she is outstanding in everything that she does. I still love Viola Davis. She will have a great career in the future and I see her winning but not this year!

Ike

Why the heck would Keira Knightley be a long shot? How come no one appreciates her performance? As good as actresses like Michelle Williams and Viola Davis were, Knightley gave the absolute best performance of 2011, and she didn't even receive a Golden Globe nomination! I do not agree with people who say her accent was bad or that her character was so different than the other calm characters in "A Dangerous Method." That is the point: she is supposed to appear as a monster compared to them.

Vilde

Rooney Mara!! Definitely

Meghan

Rooney Mara should without a doubt be nominated for The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo. Her performance makes the entire movie (along with the score, which should have been amped up a bit considering the tone and subject matter of the movie are much more compatible with Trent Reznor's musical style than The Social Network). The movie would not be receiving near the buzz or critical acclaim that it has gotten (being the redheaded stepchild to the previous Swedish version of the film) without Mara's heart-wrenching and bone-chilling embodiment of Lisbeth Salander. Mara gives her soul to become a character who, despite being so different from the majority of individuals in society, nevertheless inexplicably brings out in all who view her performance the emotional torment, stifled rage, and the collective human drive to fight back and survive against all odds through life's most desperate of situations.

mad

the girl with the tatoo should win

thanasis

i think Tilda Swinton must win!! her perfomance was brilliant!
and nominations must be
Kirsten Dunst, Charlotte Gainsbourg, Meryl Streep and Glenn Close

k stroop

Still wish to see Julianne Moore with an oscar.

J Andersson

Olivia Colman or Viola Davis, great performances from both!

Patty

Why is Michelle Williams even being considered for a "leading" performance nomination? She may have the title role in "My Week with Marilyn," but she does not have the starring role – she's supporting Eddie Redmayne, who has the most face time in the movie. Remember how in the 1970s Louise Fletcher got the "Best Actress" nom for the clearly supporting role of Nurse Ratched in "One Flew Over the Cookoo's Nest?" I hope history will not repeat itself.

Anna

The Help should make a clean sweep this year, it was the best film I've seen in a long while!

Elliot

Meryl is outstanding…Viola is luminous…Michelle is incandescent..A joke that ONE has to be the best..They are all THE BEST

Ham

I'm thinking: Glenn Close – Albert Nobbs, Viola Davis – The Help, Meryl Streep – The Iron Lady, Tilda Swinton – We Need To Talk About Kevin, Michelle Williams – My Week With Marilyn….I think this is finally Meryl Streep's year.

Daisy Kenyon

Why is Eliz. Olsen a long shot.? When that movie came out–(and now )……she was all the shit.

bill

For as much as I love Meryl, I think Michele Williams was
astounding. I was prepared to be disappointed, but it turned out that I feel in love

Martin

Viola Davis, "The Help", 100%
Meryl Streep, "The Iron Lady", 100%
Michelle Williams, "My Week with Marilyn", 100%
Glenn Close, "Albert Nobbs", 90%
Tilda Swinton, "We need to talk about Kevin", 75%

http://www.mondoglam.com

rosy

Rooney Mara win my heart with her poweful performance. And her audition was the rape scene! Mara all the way.! Surely the academy won't be as blind as to snub her.

Fistintoface

Rather slice my face open than see "Iron Lady" or "Albert Nobbs" but must for completion sake. Indeed, the gates of glory in my limited and solely subjective vision are open to any of these: C.Theron, K. Dunst, E. Olsen, M. Wasikowska, V. Davis, J. Chastain, E. Anaya, M. Williams and most exquisitely Patricia Rooney Mara. The latter filled my heart with sweet hate and anguish and terror and revenge. The others were mightily effective but failed to reach down into the core of my sodden being and wrench up actual emotion. In the end they were characters in a movie whose significance in my life faded with the final credits. But Ms. Rooney's Lisbeth Salander hurt me.

Spark

I have seen TGWTDT and I haven't seen Mara's performance sooo good. In fact, Noomi Rapace was light years better than her with her strong and charismatic Lisbeth and she wans't even nominated!! I think only Meryl Streep or Viola Davis deserve a win this year.

BOO

A lot has changed with TGWTDT since it got nominated at the DGA.

Pourya

Meryl , she is simply the best…

Joseph

Meryl Streep does well but her movie SUCKED! on the other hand, Kirsten Dunst does awesome and her movie RULE!
Meryl Streep did a good job in 'The Iron Lady' but the movie itself was silly!

Chris

Keira Knightley a long shot?! I think she did an amazing job in "A Dangerous Method."
Definitely her best performance to date.

Filmbuff

MERYL STREEP CLEAR WINNER! OUTSTANDING IN HER ROLE IN IRON LADY!!!!!!!!!!

reyhane

if meryl streep wins ? it's gona be legen . . . wait for it . . . dary LEGENDARY

Harve

What claque keeps honking Meryl? It's another Great Impersonation.

Cadence

Best case scenario when I wake up Oscar nominations morning: Gary Oldman is nominated for Actor, Charlize Theron is nominated for Actress, and Tree of Life is nominated for Picture. If the Academy wants to be really bold maybe throw in Drive for Picture instead of War Horse or Dragon Tattoo.

Ariel

1. Viola Davis, The Help
2. Michelle Williams, My Week With Marilyn
3. Meryl Streep, The Iron Lady
4. Tilda Swinton, We Need To Talk About Kevin
5. Charlize Theron, Young Adult

That looks a lot better :)

Simba

You mean possible spoilers, right?

Also, I have a huge issue with Charlize Theron being below Close and Mara. Lets not reward the most fearless and amazing female performance of the year. AMPAS = cowards

Chantal

Why is it that Melancholia is not nominated for Best Movie and Kristen Stewart is not nominated for Best Actress?? Is it because they are against Lars?

A. O. Zeta

At the moment, I think it is still between Viola Davis and Tilda Swinton. Still to see The Iron Lady and My Week With Marilyn.

Btw, Olivia Colman, Kirsten Dunst, and Elizabeth Olsen should rank higher.

movienotesbook.blogspot.com

Valentina

If Meryl Streep doesnt win her third oscar it is going to be World War 3. Please she deserve it :)

ValentinaAlvarado

Meryl Streep deserve that Oscar, her performance in The Iron Lady is a masterpiece, I like Viola Davis too but there is not a chance of winning this if Meryl Streep is nominated. Meryl Streep is The Best Actress Ever.

Mehrdad

This year, Meryl will
Definitely get her third Oscar…
No Doubts

Juha Hovilainen

We All Do Know Who The Winner Should Be: Tilda Swinton.
Rooney Mara….Give Her The Razzie Award Thank You !
You Watch Noomi Rapace First And Then Come Back.
Since Swinton Do Not Have A Chance…
Let It Be Viola Davis Then… ?
Meryl Streep…Makes Me Sick And
Glenn Close In An Avarege "Tv-Movie" Of The Week…NEVER….!
Michelle Williams….What A Joke…

Luciana

Rooney Mara, Rooney Mara Rooney Mara. One of your picks should make room for Mara.

Academy's A Joke

STREEP! All the way!
Most nominations and most overlooked… Her performance in The Iron Lady was nothing short of perfection. The Academy needs to stop hating and give her the long overdue recognition she truly deserves!

Emma

Keira Knightley is really good!

JONAH

I am very annoyed that Mara is considered a long shot. Her performance was amazing and rare for someone of her age. I feel like the only 3 who truly deserve it are Meryl (Without a shadow of a doubt), Mara or Viola Davis.

Spanishfan

I have just seen "The Iron Lady" and I have to say it: Meryl Streep performance is a masterpiece. I wanted Viola Davis to win the Oscar… now I really hope for a Streep victory.

snake

2 stand above the crowd. the oft-mentioned rooney mara and the never mentioned
berinice bejo, a luminous presence in " the artist ". streep and williams are fine but
imitations shouldn't count.

Faisal

emma watson seriously deserves dis 1….

Will

Why the hell is Elizabeth Olsen considered a long shot? She was fantastic.

Lucy

If Rooney is snubbed I won't even watch the ceremony. If she is it will be one of the best group of actresses ever nominated. I love them all.

Caitlin

Honestly I think Kirsten Dunst should WIN for her performance in Melancholia. Its a shame so many people are considering her a long shot at this point but I could see her getting a nomination. The controversy surrounding von Trier (which is silly in my opinion- the Hitler stuff was clearly a joke) and how the movie isn't typical oscar-bait shouldn't get in the way.

I love Meryl Streep and Michelle Williams but they should have won for Julie and Julia and Blue Valentine.

brih

Kirsten Dunst is getting the nod because she was reall good in Melancholia.

Tony Mazza

Hands down…Meryl Streep. Both Davis and Williams were great, but Streep deserves it. Still pisses me off Streep was NOT even nominated for THE HOURS. Also Jodie Foster for Best Supporting….

Mark

"and the Oscar goes to….Viola Davis, The Help." She gave such a compelling and heartfelt performance in that movie, she DESERVES the Oscar. Not that the others don't deserve recognition as well, but trust me, once you've seen The Help- particularly the end scene- I'm sure you'll agree.

ANNA

La Streep

Nomination Steal

I heard the only reason Michelle received that role in Brokeback Mountain was because she made sure Ang Lee didn't know she was on Dawson's Creek. He later made reference to how he would not have picked any actress from that show to be in his movie. Michelle cheats her way into getting a role for Brokeback Mountain and then traps Heath Ledger to continue the ride and now here she is. Oscar nomination city for Michelle Williams.

Rehearsed Roles

Just stop it already. Michelle Williams has no Marilyn Monroe appearance and can't act like her
no matter how hard she tried. Oscars are meant to be for actors that absorb roles like a sponge not the ones that are struggling to become the character. That might be fine during dress rehearsals but not the final cut. That's about all you will get from Michelle,a struggling dress rehearsal performance to be Marilyn Monroe and nothing more.

Carey Mulligan deserves an OSCAR NOMINATION for The Great Gatsby not Michelle Williams for My Week With Marilyn.

Oscar Cheat

Michelle should be very ashamed of herself participating in a movie that is not true. That week NEVER happened. Collin Clark is nothing but a miserable nobody desperate for some recognition that he is not entitled to. Also I would never consider this to be a movie about Marilyn Monroe unless someone told me because really this was just an opportunity for Michelle to visit Planet Marilyn but yet she was allowed to continue acting like Michelle Williams. The only requirement was to dress like Marilyn but it didn't matter if she could act like her. It was fine for Michelle to literally be herself. Where's the oscar performance in a movie like this?

Julia

Meryl Streep should win. She is great in every role and, unfortunately, her best is always ignored. Meryl Streep?! She's the greatest living actress & she definately deserves more than two oscars!! Being the Iron Lady is the role the academy is waiting for. This should be Streep's year!!!

Steph

Rooney Mara!! She's new, brilliant, and a fantastic actress!

Nicole

God, this needs to be Meryl! For people saying she is "overrated" could you please tell me how? She has only won two oscars out of what? 40-50 movies. Her talent is in fact underrated. She deserves the oscar, infact; the oscar deserves her! I will be deeply surprised if she doesn't infact get it. I mean, just because she is in the running with new and young actresses, doesn't mean that she's going to automatically lose. She is stunning and her portrayal beats all once again.

MVT

Keira Knightley is such a long shot she should be found deep in the Ocean where no crazy producers will hire her ever again because she. Just. Is. The. Worst. Actress. Ever.

Nicolas

Streep as usual !

Watcher

MERYL!!!!!!!

Julie

The Oscar goes to…. Meryl Streep for The Iron Lady

I saw the film last night , and OMG that performance is the best i saw ever.

mostafa

Meryl Streep

will

It will be Michelle Williams all the way. She is ahead in all the critic awards, and she is playing the most demanding role (Marilyn). She also has two other films bring critical acclaim (Meek's Cutoff, Take this Waltz). So, she's the one that will be giving the winning speech come oscar night.

Richard

I think Olivia Colman is a worthy dark horse contender this year for 'Tyrannosaur'… the Academy love those Mike-Leigh style, gritty British performances and this one is sensational. I personally think Viola Davis is a silly nomination in a film which has (basically) been made for the Academy Awards… which itself is becoming somewhat of an aggressor on creativity, a joke and a declining critical wasteland… It will be the 'Long Shot' performances listed here that will be remembered for years to come… and that will always hold the highest prestige as performances in small films which were far too great to ignore.

Mayukh

Where's the Lizzie Olsen love in these comments?

Michael

Guys i think and hope that there will be a surprise in this category.Tilda Swinton was absolutely amazing.Plus the movie is talking about touching,like motherhood.She had a few lines,acted amazingly good with her eyes.Simply amazing.Best of luck Tilda.

Jensen

I love reading all these pro-Theron and Dunst comments :) Warms my heart. As someone below pointed out, Dunst has a very slim almost non-existent chance of being nominated so all of my support goes to Theron. The Academy would be stupid on more levels than one if they fail to nominate her especially if they nominate Glenn Close. (lol no one likes Close)

Court

Ugh, where the fack are Charlize Theron and Elizabeth Olsen?

HammerTime

This is what it should/hope it does end up looking like: 1) Williams (who will win) 2) Swinton 3) Davis 4) Theron 5) Streep. CASE CLOSED.

Marya

Peter, check yourself before you wreck yourself! Lets move up Williams (she's going to win) and lets simmer down on Davis. She has gotten almost zero love from the precursor awards (critics circles, etc) and I doubt she will fare well with the BFCA. She'll be nominated, sure but won't win. Also, I agree with all the comments below me- Charlize Theron should be number 5! Rooney Mara should be BELOW Kirsten Dunst. Justice for Kiki!!

Nandra

That fifth slot should be Charlize Theron's. I think it will happen.

Albertross

Close's inclusion is such a joke. The film has been critically bashed and her performance HAS NOT been critically heralded. It's a so-so performance in a bad movie. Her narrative reeks of desperation. How can you snub someone like Theron who gives arguably the best performance of the year in YOUNG ADULT over someone who is just so desperate to get nominated because they haven't had a decent screen role in years? I really hope voters see through the fog and nominate the worthier candidate- Theron.

none

Who really deserves an Oscar is Noomi Rapace for her portrayal of Lisbeth Salander in the Swedish version of The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo. I know it's a Swedish movie, but still, she is so amazing. Don't get me wrong, Rooney Mara is good. But Noomi Rapace is just so much better.

Mark Brown

Viola! She IS Aibileen in "The Help."

RDP

Mara, Dunst (F*uck the voters for ignoring her on many award ceremonies), Swinton, Davis, Theron and Streep were terrific in their respective roles and they should on the top of best Actress list.

Dani Kurtz

Rooney Mara is going to upset the apple cart with her stunning performance in The Girl With The Dragon Tattoo!!!

ALEX

Rooney Mara absolutely deserves to win how in any way is her character "the average teenage girl you see in a shopping mall"? did you even see the movie??

Peter Wolf

Meryl Streep followed by Michelle Williams. As for Rooney Mara: Good job but how is it any different than the average teenage girl you see in a shopping mall in San Fernando Valley?

Drew

Kirsten Dunst should in no way be a long shot.

jennifer

Rooney Mara and Glenn Close should be in there. Of your predicted list I think Williams could make room for Mara or close since there's already a portrayal of a real person in these group of actresses and her movie didn't receive as good critics as Dragon tatoo or Albert nobss.

Tom A

I'm nuts about Rooney's performance. While Meryl is the greatest actress ever in my opinion, again she just doesn't turn in the best performance of the year.

Selenator

I think this is going to be a two-horse racing: Viola Davis Vs. Meryl Streep :-) Actually, the two of them deserve to win!!!

Johan

Kirsten Dunst should be nominated this year! Why is she in the long shot?? Dunst's performance in Melancholia is just complex and haunting.

gabriel

Theron or Mara could be taking Close ' s spot

gabriel

Theron or Mara could be taking Close’s spot!

joanna

Viola Davis or Glenn Close

Veeresh

What about Rachel Weisz for The Whistleblower ??

terry

There is usuall a citical consensus that goes to another actress that keeps Meryl Streep from winning her third Oscar. There doesn't seem to be that state of affairs this year. I think Streep wins.

rebecca blakc

I think Rooney Mara deserves this one.

Correct

Kirsten Dunst was incredible. I want Meryl because she is LOOOOOOOOOOOONG overdue, but Kirsten was amazing – she slayed me in that film.

Tony

MERYL!!!!!!!!!

Joseph

what about Angelica Houston in 50/50?

A. O. Zeta

I'd like to see Felicity Jones in Like Crazy and Brit Marling for Another Earth on this list. Though, I think Viola Davis should win.

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