2012 Oscar Predictions: The Screenwriting Categories

2012 Oscar Predictions: The Screenwriting Categories

The indieWIRE will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 84th Academy Award winners through February 26th, when the winners are announced.

There’s actual suspense in both the screenwriting categories, with one pegging Woody Allen against likely best director Michel Hazanavicius, and the other finding the teams behind “The Descendants” and “Moneyball” fighting for the win. It could go either way in both regards, though Allen’s script for “Midnight in Paris” and “The Descendants” team of Nat Faxon, Alexander Payne and Jim Rash are more favored. There’s room for shockers in both regards though. The teams behind “Bridesmaids” and “Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy” could find sympathy votes for the Academy snubbing them in the best picture category in favor of undeserving fare like “War Horse” and “Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close” (neither of which got screenplay nods).

Screenwriting predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

Best Original Screenplay

The Nominees:
Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
JC Chandor, Margin Call

Asghar Farhadi, A Separation
Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Kristen Wiig & Annie Mumulo, Bridesmaids

The Predicted Winner: Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris
The Possible Spoiler: Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist
Shoulda Been Here: Mike Mills, Beginners
 

Best Adapted Screenplay

The Nominees:
George Clooney, Beau Willimon & Grant Heslov, The Ides of March
Nat Faxon, Alexander Payne & Jim Rash, The Descendants
John Logan, Hugo
Bridget O’Connor & Peter Straughan, Tinker, Tailor Soldier Spy
Aaron Sorkin, Steven Zaillian & Stan Chervin, Moneyball

The Predicted Winner: Nat Faxon, Alexander Payne & Jim Rash, The Descendants
The Possible Spoiler: Aaron Sorkin, Steven Zaillian & Stan Chervin, Moneyball
Shoulda Been Here: Pedro Almodovar, The Skin I Live In

This Article is related to: Awards and tagged


Comments

Paula

are you kidding that Beginners should have been there ? Watched it – very depressing a downer of a movie – would not recommend any aging person to watch it…. Acting was very good – but the story – seems more like a cathartic project for Mr Mills. I am so relieved it was not nominated.

Sarah

Kidding me? The Artist's screenplay?
Interesting film and enjoyed it alot but couldn't watch it as a serious film…a little bit cheesy… when it finished I didn't think about it anymore, just finished! and didn't feel like watch it again. But I liked to watch "midnight in Paris" once more, really enjoyed it. After watching "A Separation" not only thought about it, I've already watched it three times.

Chrille J

Next year,one film will probably get 3 noms;Best picture,costume design and sound-mixing…that´s how bizarre some of these noms are spread out. Well,if we ignore Maras purchase and Swintons snub and that feminism is getting rewarded through mediocracy…is that really what women want?

The film has 6.9 to further make my point. You never saw Anchorman,Wedding crashers or 40-year old up for heavy Oscarnoms,equally well recieved,higher rating. Hmm,I wonder why…

When men crap in sinks and throw up on eachother,it´s cliche,gross and immature.When ladies do it,it´s groundbreaking,bold and fresh…yes? The mere fact that it took so long for a film like Bridesmaids to come along is partly why its rewarded,hence the irony. If it´s not compensating or noms of guilt,I guess we can expect a new trend with noms for Tony Scotts cinematography,Mark Strongs Ridley Scott-villains or any other decent summerentertainment. Best ensemble?

Didnt see fatty Galifianakis come close to a nom in the Hangover. Carells retarded weatherman in The anchorman was funnier then McCarthy….why single out her? Wiig was way better and with Albert Nobbs and The iron lady,its not like it was an abundance of for good leading female acting in great films. nThey have to reward it cause it can never be done the 1st time again….rediculous.

The descendants is almost a given,with a slight chance for Tinker Tailor. Bafta,Online Film and San Francisco wins plus one dead co-writer gives it sympathy points.
Allen is 99%,Bridemaids might spoil…The guard should´ve been there….AND Gleeson instead of Bechir.

Pedro

Midnight in Paris is by far the best Original Screenplay. I, however, don't agree that Moneyball or The Descendants are the best Adapted Screenplays. I loved The Ides of March

Kamran

All Iranians are waiting for the success of A Separation in the Oscar Award ceremony. It is the first time a film from the middle east stands at such a high position. The people are full of sense of praise and pride. The film success means much more to Iran than only a film award.

Matt

Margin Call should win for original…the descendants for adapted

Kamran

We all will see the selection of A Separation from Iran as the winner. This film really deserves the award.

Mehrdadiii

A Separation will surprise us all… am quite sure… ;)

Michael Davenport

I recently watched 'The Artist' and absolutely loved it! It's really refreshing to see a film go back to the roots of movie magic!

Patrick

these are the wrong nominees, these are original screenplay nominees.

majid

As i told you before the nominations have been announced my first three predict was correct so my last prediction changes to:
1.A SEPARATION 2.artist 3.midnight in paris 4. bridesmaids 5. margin call

joe

midnight in Paris

James H.

A separation!

s.m.s.h

a separation for sure

Mahyar Brad

My predict is:1.midnight in paris. 2. 50/50. 3.separation. 4.tree of life. 5.a bout eli(Asghar Farhadi)

Patrick

Glad to see a bit of love for Farhadi and "A Separation". As much as I enjoyed "The Artist", frm which I left grinning from ear to ear, the plot of the film is pretty straight-forward and predictable. It's the performance and production of the film that makes it a delight.

Not so with "A Separation". The film unfolds with new facets to the story that shift how you think about the characters and their choices. Your sense of right and wrong is challenged along the way and you opinion of who is right moves throughout the story and even after you leave the theater. Brilliant film.

MAJID

my predict is 1.A SEPARATION 2.artist 3.midnight in paris 4.50/50 5. bridesmaids

imwatchinu

The Help, The Descendants and War Horse, for Best Adapted
Best Original: Midnight in Paris, Beginners and Young Adult

David Eddington

Why doesn't Water for Elephants even get mentioned as a possibility for Best Adapted Screenplay? Surely it's the best cicus movie since The Greatest Show on Earth, and I though it was well adapted from a terrific novel.

Rick in MI

The Dececendants VS The Help? A good fight!

Rick in MI

Simple choice — Woody Allen in a cake walk! "Midnight in Paris" was the most original film of the year, and one of my favorite 3 films of the year also. SEE IT if you haven't done so!!!

ali

just separation… golden globe winner …golden and silver bear winner.. best original screenplay L.A FILM CRITICS ASSOCIATION AND ….

Evan

Tate Taylor, ugh!!! He made his "friend" Nate Berkus (Oprah's style guy) one of the producers. But we all get it, they both play for the "same team".

Ike

It's too bad that "The Beaver" with Mel Gibson and Jodie Foster wasn't more liked. It was the best movie of 2011, and had a fantastic script crafted perfectly to show the excellent contrasts between two of the characters (I won't give anything away, but I definitely recommend seeing it)

mayne

Since the Globes don't split the category, it's hard to say what a win means. But I'm beginning to think, Woody for Best Original, Payne for Adapted, and The Artist will still go on to win Best Picture. It'll be unconventional, but I'd bet on it.

Martin

"The Descendants", 100%
"Moneyball", 100%
"Hugo", 95%
"The Help", 75%
"War Horse", 60%

"The Artist", 100%
"Midnight in Paris", 100%
"Young Adult", 80%
"Margin Call", 60%
"Bridesmaids", 55%

http://www.mondoglam.com/search/label/Oscars

Help

Very surprised to see Tate Taylor for The Help up there on adapted. Really thought the script in that movie underwhelmed and the superb acting really made that movie. Drive should enter that category instead of The Help.

HP's Kloves Overlooked... Again!

Unbelievable that after adapting 5 Harry Potter novels for the screen that Steve Kloves has never been nominated. Talk about an epic undertaking!! I'm not sure who's driving this wagon but the HP empire has generated sooooo much for the film industry over the past 10+ years, not to mention the admiration of tons of fans, that the small gesture of a nomination would be in order. Shame on you all… WGA, HFPA, and more than likely the Academy.

TGWTDT is pretty low

It could get one. Maybe at 6

mike

Emilio Estevez' THE WAY screenplay content was insightful, inspiring, and humorous.
Hope it is nominated.

Adriana

Young Adult! BFCA and WGA… it should be closer to the top 5.

joe

I agree with top 5 and the best 1. Woody Allen, Midnight in Paris2. Michel Hazanavicius, The Artist but National Society of Film Critics choice silly and ridiculous.they did main object.did they see win win ,Martha Marcy May Marlene,50/50,Bridesmaids?stupid award .

Edward Copeland

With the exception of praise for Melissa McCarthy, the awards love for Bridesmaids is ridiculous. I didn't even like The Tree of Life and now I'm starting to feel sorry for Terrence Malick since his film keeps getting snubbed in favor of this giant turd. The art directors guild nomination was a joke. Any writing nominations are worse. That overlong, crappy script by Wiig and Mumulo makes Tina Fey look like Moliere. Perhaps we were all too hard on Nia Vardalos (Was that her name?) when she got nominated for My Big Fat Greek Wedding. It sucked too but not nearly as badly as Bridesmaids. What kind of bribery budget do they have for their awards campaign?

ddd225

I havnt seen the Artist, but how is a movie with very little dialouge possibly a screenplay cobtender?

Mike

of the one's in this list that i've seen i would say hands down, Tate Taylor should win this! The Help was an incredible adaption!

Alvy Singer

Overall, I like the Writers Guild Awards better. Whether or not one wins is not affected by other categories, and, at least in recent years, they pick the better script. Up in the Air should have beat Precious without question. Same with American Splendor; it lost to The Lord of the Rings because the Academy felt like they needed to honor the series, which apparently a lot of people think Harry Potter deserves this year. The King's Speech did not deserve all that it won last year. I would have given the writing Oscar to The Kids Are All Right.

lucy

My favorite adaptations, The girl with the dragon tatoo , Drive and The help. Steve Zillian was brilliant, he made Stieg Larsson's prose into a very compelling movie, he made larsson overattention to coffee and sandwiches dissapear into pure brilliance. If Drive don't get at least 3 oscar nods I won't trust the academy again.

Bridesmaids at number 3? FUCK

I don't see why Bridesmaids could get oscar nominations. I haven't seen it, but still

the mayne

You guys seem to forget that Borat was nominated in a writing category, albeit for Best Adapted. That being said, Bridesmaids does have a shot. I don't think that Young Adult or Beginners have a chance at spoiling. The Academy has been pretty favorable to Jason Reitman films in the past few years, even giving a nod for directing Juno, and the fact that he likely has no chance this year does not breath life to Diablo Cody's script. No film, save for Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind and Talk to Her, in the past ten years has won Best Original without also being nominated for Best Picture. Talk to Her also won Best Foreign Language. The fact that anyone would doubt Woody's nomination is almost preposterous–he has the most nominations ever in this category. This all being said, it seems that Midnight in Paris and The Artist have the best chances at winning this category, the latter probably doing so. I would have to say this was a bad year for original screenplays all together, I mean Win Win was an okay movie, but some of the writing was pretty bad. The Adapted Screenplay is going to be tough to predict, but exciting to see who wins. I'm not sure Tinker has a chance, but if either of the top two predicted here, it will be a second win for both Sorkin and Zaillian, as well as Payne. I wish there were a site where William Goldman predicts the Oscars. He is amazing. He called Gladiator winning Best Picture before it even came out, as well as On Golden Pond.

Nat

Bridesmaids should be getting nominated for Razzies not Oscars… It was an AWFUL film.

Trent

the movie Bridemaids was really good. I also predicted that i would get nominated on my list. add me on facebook. trentledford@ymail.com and follow @trent_ledford to get my oscars update and also other good movies update

MNBK

OS:
The Artist
Midnight in Paris
Rango
A Separation
The Tree of Life

Saba

My vote would go for A Separation, the script was really really great!
Can't believe that Woody Allen's is put 1st.

MVT

if the world was a fair place – and it isn't – A Separation would get nominated not only for best foreign language film, but for best actor/actress and screenplay. Seriously the film of 2011.

jean

Yes yes yes to Harry Potter, everyone knows the story, the film and the cast deserve this award! HP all the way!

Catca

Why is Steve McQueen's screenplay for "Shame" even a long shot? The positive reviews for the movie have centered around terrific acting performances from Fassbender and Mulligan. The reviews, even positive ones, all cite problems with the screenplay. Put simply, it's not a well regarded screenplay.

Edward Copeland

I thought Tree of Life was the usual goofy, gooey Malick mess, but I'd much rather see it end up as an original screenplay nominee than the crappy Bridesmaids.

Michael

Gosh.I can't believe "Midnight in Paris" is likely to be nominated.It shouldn't even be in the darkest horses.I insist in "We need to talk about Kevin".

AKASH

Steve Kloves, it's not an easy job that he's managed to accomplish.

A. O. Zeta

Midnight in Paris at the top? Seriously???

amir

Asghar farhadi should be nominated for his masterpiece.

Bacon is good for your soul

50/50 is a true story and Bridesmaids will not get nominated

JD

No way! Margin Call is the breakthrough film of the year, It will get nominated on the screenplay category. Take shelter has a much better chance than War Horse. In adapted, The help is a shoo in. It's the precious of this year.

A. O. Zeta

I can't understand why Midnight in Paris is leading this list. If you guys will be able to see a movie from the Philippines released in 2004 entitled Moments of Love, you might consider moving Midnight in Paris to a lower rank.

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *