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2013 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

2013 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 85th Academy Awards through February 24th, when the winners are announced.

Remember a month ago when it seemed like this category was “Lincoln”‘s to lose, with “Life of Pi” and “Silver Linings Playbook” it’s closest challengers? It seemed only reasonable, since they had both best picture and best director nominations (which as you’ve probaby heard 1,000 times in the past month — only 3 films have ever won best picture without best director, the last being “Driving Miss Daisy”). But then the Golden Globes, SAGs, DGAs, PGAs and BAFTA Awards all helped drive Mr. Affleck from underdog to absolute frontrunner as the wild, wild ride to a frontrunner in this category has finally landed on “Argo.”  Which will now have the underwhelming legacy of being used as an example alongside “Driving Miss Daisy” when Oscar nerds try and make prediction arguments…

Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here, and this list of all the Oscar-nominated films available ON DEMAND right now.

The nominees:
“Amour” Nominees to be determined
“Argo” Grant Heslov, Ben Affleck and George Clooney, Producers
“Beasts of the Southern Wild” Dan Janvey, Josh Penn and Michael Gottwald, Producers
“Django Unchained” Stacey Sher, Reginald Hudlin and Pilar Savone, Producers
“Les Misérables” Tim Bevan, Eric Fellner, Debra Hayward and Cameron Mackintosh, Producers
“Life of Pi” Gil Netter, Ang Lee and David Womark, Producers
“Lincoln” Steven Spielberg and Kathleen Kennedy, Producers
“Silver Linings Playbook” Donna Gigliotti, Bruce Cohen and Jonathan Gordon, Producers
“Zero Dark Thirty” Mark Boal, Kathryn Bigelow and Megan Ellison, Producers

Will win: “Argo”
Could win: “Lincoln”
Should win: “Zero Dark Thirty”

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

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Comments

monkeypox6

How I think it should have been:

1. "Argo"*(Runner-up)
2. "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
3. "The Hunger Games"
4. "Les Miserables"
5. "Life of Pi"
6. "Lincoln"
7. "The Perks of Being a Wallflower"
8. "Silver Linings Playbook"
9. "Skyfall"
10. "Zero Dark Thirty"*(WINNER)

nusrat

I think it will be nice but not more then LIFE OF PIE .It was just speechless.Let see

kaylee riffer

I think the life of pi

matt

If Argo wins, I will never pay to see an american movie again.
Ben Affleck is the most boring nerd actor of all time.
If he wins it is a fix.

Oscara

UPDATES HERE FOR THE OSCARS 2013 (SNEAK PEAK, LIVE STREAMING, RED CARPET, RESULTS)

—– http://w.atch.me/Fpn4hV

Cindy

I've seen all of the films nominated this season (which is a first for me) and I was impressed by nearly all of them. Life of Pi and Beasts were absolutely amazing films in their respective ways however, I don't think they have what the Academy looks for in an Oscar film, which is disappointing. On the other hand, Silver Linings Playbook, in my opinion, should not have been nominated. I enjoyed the film well enough but I don't think it's Oscar worthy. It's just an odd choice for me and I would be incredibly shocked if it won. As for Amour it was a beautiful story and so well done but I think it will take the foreign film category but not the Best Picture too. It's not 'mainstream' enough, if that makes sense, for it to win. Now as for Les Miserables I adored the film. Being fluent in French and having always known the story and read the book I was greatly impressed by the film but I have a hard time seeing a musical winning Best Picture. I also think it's problematic that not everyone necessarily gets the depth of the story and that hurts it chances. Django Unchained was okay in my opinion. I like the premise of the story but there was something about it that was a bit off for me. Overall though, I thought it was worth seeing but again, I can't see it taking Best Picture. It might be too violent for this year’s Oscars considering all that has happened with gun violence in the U.S. lately. Also, I think it's hurt that in a lot of people's minds they associate it with the same time period as Lincoln and I think people would rather see Lincoln win than a film about a bounty hunting freed slave. I have one word for Zero Dark Thirty: no. This was the only film I just did not like at all. My problems with it were it was too… I don't know, it was indirectly 'America's the best' and 'we can get anything done whatever way we want'. It's too gung-ho America for me. Also, the event it depicts was so recent I feel like it was too soon; not because it's a touchy subject (though for some I'm sure it is) but because I still think a lot of people need to process what actually happened. Also, and I might be the only person who thinks this but I was put off by Jessica Chastain's performance. I just did not like this film at all. Okay, now comes the two films most people are talking about: Argo and Lincoln. Both films are exceptionally well done and quite different in topical areas. Let me first discuss Argo, to be honest I wasn't expecting to appreciate the film as much as I did. Middle Eastern politics has never been my forte or even interest but Affleck did an incredible job with the subject. I've heard some people complain that there are too many 'Middle Eastern' focused films in this year’s pool (which is ridiculous, two out of nine is not too much, at least in my opinion) and that it's too 'yay America!' like ZDT. However, I think it is better than ZDT in direction, subject matter, and nearly everything else. I think it illustrates the two sides better than ZDT did with its subject. Also, you can't compare ZDT and Argo because they are two completely different subjects twenty some years apart. So please no comparisons of ZDT to Argo please. Also I think Argo helps the public (at least American public) understand the relationship between the US and Middle East better. Sure, it has its inaccuracies but overall I think it's a good film to show the complexities of the relationship between the two regions. Now, onto Lincoln. Without a doubt I loved this film. Daniel Day-Lewis was fantastic as Lincoln, the whole cast was spot on, I thought. I really enjoyed seeing Lincoln portrayed as buying votes. I think that's thought of as dirty politics but when you think of what he was buying them for makes you think again. Yes, this film has its inaccuracies too, but I don't think that diminishes the quality of the film. It's still a solid film that explores a turning point in America. Also, I think Lincoln is a solid subject because he's one of America's most beloved historical figures, not to mention presidents. With that said I think Best Picture is between Argo and Lincoln and it's a very close race. Initially I thought Lincoln would win without doubt however, Argo has gotten incredible praise, as deserved, and therefore has become a major contender. Lincoln's that movie everyone's proud of in the sense that something good came out of the history the film is based on. Argo is more action packed and sheds light on the Middle East when there is so much chaos going on there now. (This is just a side note, but Argo kind of reminded me of the 2005 film Munich. I know the subject matter is nowhere near the same but maybe it was the way it was filmed but they were just similar to me for some reason maybe it was the cinematography… I don't know. Anyway…) I still think Lincoln might have the slight advantaged despite the acclaim and award success Argo has been having. Though it would not surprise me if Argo one. I guess we'll just have to wait!

Drekee

Life of Pi

Patricia

ARGO hands down…

Ray Schaffer

Saw Argo, great movie everyone applauded. Never saw that before. Tony Mendez a true American hero.. Should win and will win.

Leeh

Should Win: Zero Dark Thirty?? Are you kiddin' me??? I saw it yesterday (because the premiere here of Zero Dark Thirty was last friday) and even when it's not bad … it's not like Argo, I dare to say that I (PERSONAL OPINION HERE) enjoyed WAY more Silver Linings Playbook, Lincoln, Django, Pi and Lés Miserables. For me it goes like this:

Will Win: Argo
Could Win: Zero Dark Thirty // Lincoln
Should Win: Oh uhmmm ARGO! or maybe Django or Silver Linings…

lindsey

The last to win best picture without a best director was actually Chicago.

REAGAN

I seriously can't believe the amount of love LIFE OF PI is getting: It was a very pretty movie and that's about it. The book was touching and the movie was not. It's definitely between LINCOLN and ARGO, LINCOLN being more of a 'love-letter' to the Academy that will likely go unnoticed. Personally, SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK, to me, was one of the more truthful pictures i've seen in a long time, but I don't expect it to go as far.

will win: ARGO
could win: LINCOLN
should win: SILVER LININGS PLAYBOOK
won't win and shouldn't: LIFE OF PI

kamran

AMOUR need no nomination in this one , should win foriegn . ARGO is here to win it even a biggest snub in directiion. BEAST great film should have nomination only. DJANGO weakest film of tarantino yet so far , i dont like tarantino style to go in past era , hate it. LES MIS shut the singing for once and act ehhhhhhh eat my brain after watching hathway scene cant see the rest. LIFE great message that better as a novel , great effects but forgettable and after crouching and brokeback , lee give hollywood this. LINCOLN a legendry movie that will remain in history forever , great acting , great direction to win. SILVER such a lame story , love bradly acting , hate lawrence rude bitch acting , waste of direction and supporrting actors nominee. and ZERO memorable film , snubbed in direction , should won screenplay

THETRUECINEMA

I am confident ANG LEE will be the BEST DIRECTOR. I am hoping LIFE OF PI will be the BEST PICTURE as well. @laurelhero

james

More than three movies have won the oscar while ignoring the director.
Surprised that Indiewire got this wrong. The below are examples of best pictures while the director did not win the award.
Gladiator – 2000, Chicago- 2002 Crash- 2005, Shakespeare In Love- 1998, Chariots of Fire-1981, Driving Miss Daisy- 1989, Godfather part 1 – 1972 etc…

Fact check?

THETRUECINEMA

Before Oscars nominations were out back in January, basically no body paid any attention to LIFE OF PI [which made me wonder why]. Then nominations list was announced, and The Academy didn't disappoint.

We are now in similar situation. Little to no attention is given to LIFE OF PI, though it received 11 nominations. The Academy will give us surprises again, just like on many Oscars nights before.

To all LIFE OF PI supporters, continue to KEEP THE FAITH, just like PI.

** No comment on Lincoln still, due to this film still not available in this region **
@laurelhero

THETRUECINEMA

Before Oscars nominations were out back in January, basically no body paid any attention to LIFE OF PI [which made me wonder why]. Then nominations list was announced, and The Academy didn't disappoint.

We are now in similar situation. Little to no attention is given to LIFE OF PI, though it received 11 nominations. The Academy will give us surprises again, just like on many Oscars nights before.

To all LIFE OF PI supporters, continue to KEEP THE FAITH, just like PI.

** No comment on Lincoln still, due to this film still not available in this region **

Gabo

Will win: "Argo"
Could win: "Argo"
Should win: "Argo"

THETRUECINEMA

Though Argo has won string of awards going into Oscars, but I feel it will NOT win Best Picture. The Oscars is a totally different new game, and it usually tends to spring some surprises.

I have watched Argo once. It is definitely a Great film, I like it very much. However, I wouldn't watch it again. It is the type of film that you watch it once and you think hey wow what a great film and that's it, you wouldn't want to watch it one more time. It lacks those "special moments".

I still go for LIFE OF PI absolutely. I have watched it 6 times. And plan to buy and keep the Blu-Ray/DVD once out in store. It is more universal, has a number of unforgettable special moments, has Greater depths, is more difficult to make, more punch, it is just so BEAUTIFUL in every aspect of a Film.

THETRUECINEMA

Though Argo has won string of awards going into Oscars, but I feel it will NOT win Best Picture. The Oscars is a totally different new game, and it usually tends to spring some surprises.

I have watched Argo once. It is definitely a Great film, I like it very much. However, I wouldn't watch it again. It is the type of film that you watch it once and you think hey wow what a great film and that's it, you wouldn't want to watch it one more time. It lacks those "special moments".

I still go for LIFE OF PI absolutely. I have watched it 6 times. And plan to buy and keep the Blu-Ray/DVD once out in store. It is more universal, has a number of unforgettable special moments, has Greater depths, is more difficult to make, more punch, it is just so BEAUTIFUL in every aspect of a Film.

TheTrueCinema

Though Argo has won string of awards ahead of Oscars, but I feel it will NOT win Best Picture. The Oscars is a totally different new game, and it usually tends to spring some surprises.

I have watched Argo once. It is definitely a Great film, I like it very much. However, I wouldn't watch it again. It is the type of film that you watch it once and you think hey wow what a great film and that's it, you wouldn't want to watch it one more time. It lacks those "special moments".

I still go for LIFE OF PI absolutely. I have watched it 6 times. And plan to buy and keep the Blu-Ray/DVD once out in store. It is more universal, has a number of unforgettable special moments, has Greater depths, is more difficult to make, more punch, it is just so BEAUTIFUL in every aspect of a Film.

EVAN

The Best Picture will go between Lincoln and Life of Pi since they lead the nominations. I think Lincoln will win because it got the most nominations among them all. It had 12 while Life of Pi had 11. Argo would've gotten the most nominations and been the favorite if Ben Affleck had not got snubbed for Best Director. It may be winning a lot of other major awards, but it's not gonna win the Oscar for Best Picture. Now it will win under some other categories.

Ryan Lindauer

perfect. i could not make a better list. serious thumbs up!

Barbara

After seeing all the nominated movies – LIFE OF PI will win best picture. An absolutely magnificent movie! Beautiful soundtrack, cinematography is amazing.

John

No one seems to be talking about Zero Dark Thirty, seriously ? Give it a chance will ya

Keegan

I think Argo has about a 60% chance of winning, Lincoln with 30%, Silver Linings Playbook with about 20% and Life of Pi with 10%, but the best film of the year was The Master (and Django Unchained right behind it).

Thmo

Life of Pi will win. Lincln was boring and crap. Its only gonna get the Best Actor award.

Nathan

Will win – Lincoln
Should win – Argo or Django Unchained

I loved Argo and Django, didn't care for Lincoln but Lincolns the perfect "Oscar" movie. It was made to win best picture.

suyash

should win–>beasts of the southern wild
will definitely win–> beasts of the southern wild
if beasts of he southern wild will not win…oscar will lose my respect!

Daryl

Life of pi is really better, when i see the movie and it ends i feel that i can´t talk, only feel it when i watch Titanic, l.a confidential, Green mile, schindler`s list and forrest gump
i think life of pi should win.

andrea

Watch Oscar Awards 2013 Online

http://oscaraward2013live.com/

David

Um, the last movie to win "Best Picture" without winning "Best Director" was "Crash" in 2005. DO YOUR RESEARCH!!!!! Also, "Beasts of the Southern Wild" should totally win, even though it won't.

sean

Seen life of pi 3 times yes , fantastic in 3d you have to see it this way. Lincoln not an epic or classic ok a watchable show. Would i watch it again ..No .Hugo was yhe only show last year i could watch once a year. Watch listen and enjoy LIFE OF PI

HONOR THE TRUE WINNER

You gotta watch LIFE OF PI at least once [and then THINK about it even more], and you would realize that this film has to be the BEST PICTURE. It has all the great ingredients to win this accolade [hope The Academy get it right this time].

Art, Technology, Storytelling, All perfectly and beautifully blended together. It has such Great depth that makes you want to watch it over and over and over and over again, in a long, long, long, long time to come.

It's like listening to John Lennon. It's like slowly peeling an onion to find out what's in the core, whilst tears slowly trickle down.

Anyway, it doesn't really matter to me whether it wins any Oscars. @laurelhero

Mike

Django is easily the Best Picture of the year. It has nothing to do with whether you like Tarantino or not; it simply serves as an example for why we go and see movies. You get people that will pick any one of those movies that are nominated and give their reasons why it's better than the other, and don't get me wrong, they are great movies. The thing is with Django is that it combines all movies together in to one. Action, comedy, western, history, politics, racism…and more.

Uriah

The anticipation of finding out who wins an Oscar is killing me! There are a lot of movies that I loved, but Life of Pi was my favorite movie of last year. I’m looking forward to watching the Academy Awards. Sadly, on the 24th, I’ll be working late at DISH. I’m just glad that my DISH Hopper DVR uses the PrimeTime Anytime feature to automatically record all four major networks during primetime, so I won’t miss it entirely. I have other shows on at the same time as the Academy Awards, so it’s nice that those will still be recorded.

HONOR THE TRUE WINNER

LIFE OF PI deserves BEST PICTURE. ANG LEE deserves BEST DIRECTOR again.

Sam

The Academy Awards wants to improve on a lot of things which includes integration, recognition, fame and education. All of these elements are carried out though each of the film nominated. The Oscars will elect a film that has generate fame through box office success, integration amongst blacks and whites acting together and is educational to the young generation. That is as we all know it LINCOLN (BEST PICTURE OF THE YEAR).

HONOR THE TRUE WINNER

IF race/ethnicity of its nominees is one of the influencing factors in determining the Winners, then sadly The Academy will lose its meaning and its place/role as the ultimate representation of GLOBAL films recognition. @laurelhero

Honor The True Winner

IF race/ethnicity of its nominees is one of the influencing factors in determining the Winners, then sadly The Academy will lose its meaning and its place/role as the ultimate representation of GLOBAL films recognition.

Ades

Life of Pi will win. Great movie and well done. Lincoln was a bore. Typical Oscar bait movie. Pathetic.

Hamid

Hi..i am irani..i think winner:lincoln_life of pi..
But argo:argo is not perfect real..argo is politicali film..

Zach

Lincoln will win. Argo is being favortied but I just see this as history repeating itself. The same thing happened with Apollo 13 and Braveheart in the 90s. Apollo 13 won all the guilds but the director was not nominated and a movie with a big name director and about a much farther in the past incident rather than one only a few decades old won.

Morgan

For me
What should win: Argo or Lincoln
What I wish would win: Zero Dark Thirty and Django: Unchained
What will never win: Les Miserables

Duddi

I've seen them all, and the best ones were Zero Dark Thirty and Amour… So i hope a surprise in this category is not out of the question, knowing that a real race is between Argo and Lincoln.

Kelly Windswort

I have seen Lincoln, Beast of the Southern Wild, Silver Lining Playbook, Argo, Django Unchained, Zero Dark Thirty and Life of Pi. Haven't seen Les Mis and Amour as yet so I won't comment on either. However, from the films that I have seen there were honestly all good except for Silver Lining Playbook which I still cannot understand how in the world that got nominated. "SLP REALLY", I strongly believe that it's there on the nomination list just to occupy space. ZDT, amazing but don't really see it as an Oscar winning film like The Hurt Locker. Argo was focus mainly on political issues which is why it got nominated. Politics tend to control the Academy Awards so I won't be surprise it Argo wins. Life of Pi without a doubt should take home all the technical categories including best song. But, it has a slim chance of winning due to the fact that Life of Pi isn't doing well at other awards leading up to the Oscar ceremony. Beast of the Southern Wild, trilling, compelling and outstanding motion picture which should win since it reflects the reality of life for most people but I don't know if voter will feel the same way. Django Unchained was extremely written perfectly with great dialog and brilliant actors that were over look (Leo Dicaprio). Despite it's worthy of winning an Oscar the voters are not so drawn to the film. Lastly, Lincoln which seems to be the big buzz for the Oscar. Lincoln will win upsetting all those who are in favor of Argo. Remember the title says Best Picture (Lincoln) not Most Favorite Film (Argo). With that said, Lincoln could win, should win and WILL WIN.

Bruce

If Zero Dark Thirty win, it will be a big big surprise for everyone but for me I'll be so happy. But I don't think it will happen unless there is a miracle. I think it will be just between Argo and Lincoln and since Argo got everything (PGA, SAG(hard to believe it won), The Golden Globe and recently DGA), the Oscar will surely belong to Argo. That's it, end of the race. The Academy has sucked us this year

^_^

for me …
will win : LIFE OF PI or LES MISERABLES
could win : ARGO or LINCOLN or ZERO DARK THIRTY
should win : LIFE OF PI or LES MISERABLES
should be on the list : SKYFALL and THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL :-)

Ross

The Dark Knight Rises, The Raid, The Hobbit, Looper, and Cloud Atlas weren't nominated. Beasts Of The Southern Wild, Les Mis, Silver Linings Playbook, and Lincoln were nominated. Way to fuck up big time, academy.

JD

I doubt that Argo will win best picture. Lincoln is the clear front runner. I feel that Zero Dark Thirty also has a very good chance of winning. Silver Linings Playbook also has a chance to pull off a surprising win.

Paulo

It´s Argo´s year.it´s a political award, praising the work of the intelligence services

Camilo Caballero

I don't think the Academy will go as far as giving Best Picture to a film that wasn't nominated for Best Director, so I think Lincoln is still the frontrunner. However, by the looks of it Argo is making a case for itself to be the first film to do so since 1989. Wouldn't mind if it did, however I still think Lincoln is the production that most deserves it as every aspect of the film is done very well. For Zero Dark Thirty, that's one of the most overrated movies of the year. Sure it is well made, Bigelow is very good at directing and Chastain delivers an amazing performance. But still, the move creates no empathy for the characters whatsoever, the script isn't anything special and is full of cheesy lines, and the movie does nothing but scream that the US's war is the correct one. A very propagandist film that won't really appeal to overseas viewers. Silver Linings Playbook, on the other hand, is a very good option for an outside position, and I would be happy if it did win.

Oscar Specialist

I still think Lincoln is the front-runner….

Doddi Jonsson

Zero Dark Thirty is one of the most overrated movies in recent history!! Why on earth "should that picture win"? Silver Linings Playbook, Lincoln and Argo are all better and deserve to win, and even few other films that weren't nominated. My choice this year is definitely Argo where you have suspense, acting, script, music and great directing … marvellous fun and a brilliant movie. ZDT … a monotonic chronological look at a very boring manhunt.

Doddi Jonsson

Zero Dark Thirty is one of the most overrated movies in recent history!! Why on earth "should that picture win"? Silver Linings Playbook, Lincoln and Argo are all better and deserve to win, and even few other films that weren't nominated. My choice this year is definitely Argo where you have suspense, acting, script, music and great directing … marvellous fun and a brilliant movie. ZDT … a monotonic chronological look at a very boring manhunt.

Harris

Argo fuck yourself. I'm still on team Lincoln.

Helmer Oster

Sheldon should be a film scribe for a newspaper or magazine. He must spend seven days a week
at the silver screen and searching every piece of pulp about performances and productions.
OMG!

Sheldon Gaskell

My Best Choices for the main categories of the 2013 Oscars. * indicates an actor, film, director, etc. that was snubbed in this year's Oscar nominations.

Best Picture
* The Master or Moonrise Kingdom – the tenth Best Picture nominee

Winner: Life of Pi – Lincoln is the most popular choice, but from a cinematic perspective it is no match for the magical brilliance of Life of Pi. The film is texturally beautiful with sounds, music, color, and awe-inspiring cinematography. The directing, acting, and story are exquisite, and the film is successful in reaching into that philosophically unexplored place in the mind of viewers. Sadly, I doubt the film will receive the attention it deserves by the Academy.
Runner-ups: Silver Linings Playbook

Best Director
* Kathryn Bigelow (Zero Dark Thirty) – replacing Steven Spielberg (Lincoln)
* Ben Affleck (Argo) – replacing Benh Zeitlin (Beasts of the Southern Wild)

Winner: Ang Lee (Life of Pi) – Spielberg failed to deliver in his direction of Lincoln's character and death. Lee's direction in Life of Pi through the combination of image, action, sound, music, and story is astounding and difficult to beat. Michael Haneke's direction in Amour is also superb, but it is unlikely that a foreign film director will gain too much attention from the Academy.
Runner-ups: Michael Haneke, David O. Russell

Best Actor
* John Hawkes (The Sessions) – replacing Bradley Cooper (Silver Linings Playbook)

Winner: Joaquin Phoenix (The Master) РIt is highly likely Day-Lewis will take the Oscar. Phoenix is the best choice, however, based on the direction in his acting and heart-wrenching depiction of a decaying man. Hugh Jackman is incredible in Les Mis̩rables, but the scope of his acting is no where near that which Phoenix and Day-Lewis offer in their performances. The Academy also generally avoids awarding top prize to actors in musicals, which puts Jackman at a great disadvantage in the race. Day-Lewis and Washington both delivered powerful appearances in Lincoln and Flight; however, these performances are not their greatest to date.
Runner-ups: Daniel Day-Lewis, Hugh Jackman, Denzel Washington

Best Actress
* Marion Cotillard (Rust and Bone) – replacing Quvenzhane Wallis (Beasts of the Southern Wild)

Winner: Emmanuelle Riva (Amour) – Her touching performance in Amour is sure to please the Academy Critics. Also in her favor is the fact that she is the oldest actress nominated for the Oscar. If she does not bring home the prize, then Jennifer Lawrence will.
Runner-ups: Jennifer Lawrence, Jessica Chastain

Best Supporting Actor
* Leonardo DiCaprio (Django Unchained) – replacing Alan Arkin (Argo)

Winner: Phillip Seymour Hoffman (The Master) or Christoph Waltz (Django Unchained) – It is a competitive race in this category with Tommy Lee Jones' strong appearance in Lincoln, DeNiro's poignant performance in Silver Linings Playbook, and Waltz's elegant hilarity in Django Unchained. Hoffman best demonstrates his ability to connect with audiences in his monumental performance in The Master, but it will not be a quick Oscar win for Hoffman with these other worthy nominees. Waltz won the Golden Globe in this category making him the frontrunner and most likely candidate to take the prize.
Runner-ups: Robert DeNiro, Tommy Lee Jones

Best Supporting Actress
* Nicole Kidman (The Paperboy) – replacing Jacki Weaver (Silver Linings Playbook)

Winner: Anne Hathaway (Les Mis̩rables) РNo other actress this year will most attract the Academy's attention than Hathaway's brilliant performance as Fantine in Les Mis̩rables. Amy Adams is stellar in The Master, but Hathaway's performance is the most Oscar-worthy.
Runner-ups: Amy Adams

Best Original Screenplay
* Rian Johnson (Looper) – replacing John Gatins (Flight)

Winner: Quentin Tarantino (Django Unchained) – Tarantino does it again in this thrilling Spaghetti-Western-esque classic. Django's plot is enthralling, the dialogue is interesting and character-driven, the one-liners are hilariously placed, the writing is superb overall. Wes Anderson and Roman Capplo's writing in Moonrise Kingdom is unique, poignant, and offers audiences an interesting perspective on the joys and troubles of youth; however, Tarantino is most fitting for the Academy's tastes in this category.
Runner-ups: Wes Anderson and Roman Cappola, Michael Haneke

Best Adapted Screenplay
* Stephen Chbosky (The Perks of Being a Wildflower) – replacing Chris Terrio (Argo)

Winner: David O. Russell (Silver Linings Playbook) – It will surely be a race for top prize in this category between Russell and Kushner. Although both nominees are successful in their abilities to connect with audiences through realistic dialogue and impressive plot lines, Russell's writing in Silver Linings Playbook is arguably more original and connects with audiences on a deeper level than Kushner in Lincoln.
Runner-ups: Tony Kushner, David Magee

Best Cinematography
* Mihai Malaimare Jr (The Master) or Andrew Lesnie (The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey) – replacing Seamus McGarvey (Anna Karenina)

Winner: Claudio Miranda (Life of Pi) – Life of Pi's visual magnificence will take the Oscar. The scene where Pi looks into the ocean of glowing phosphorescent jellyfish is enough to win the prize. Deakins' cinematography in Skyfall will be a worthy competitor, however.
Runner-ups: Roger Deakins

Best Original Score
* Alexandre Desplat (Zero Dark Thirty) or Reinhold Hell & Johnny Kilmek (Cloud Atlas) – replacing Thomas Newman (Skyfall)

Winner: Mychael Danna (Life of Pi) – There is overall beautiful music throughout Life of Pi that touches the very heart and soul of the viewers. Compared with other contenders there is no doubt Danna will take the Oscar.
Runner-ups: John Williams, Alexandre Desplat

Best Original Song
* "Ancora Qui" (Django Unchained), Ennio Morricone – replacing "Everybody Needs a Best Friend" (Ted)

Winner: "Pi's Lullaby" (Life of Pi), Michael Danna, Bombay Jayshree – The song's mystery and power stirs the very soul; however, there has been recent debate whether this song is truly original. This controversy may impede its chances of winning.
Runner-ups: "Skyfall," "Suddenly"

Riveria

Its between Life of Pi and Lincoln. Silver Linings Playbook? HA!
Beats of the Southern Wild was just an awful, awful movie. I had to turn it off after 30 mintues because it was so badly made and the acting wasn't anything great.

frankie

I think Lincoln should and will win. That movie is impeccable in every form.

TONY

Argo and SLP were WAAAY over-rated. Beats of the Southern Wild is probably the only movie in that lists that even deserves to be there

TIM

The Life of Pi song nominated under original song category has created a row in India. Both Bombay Jayshre (for lyrics) and M.Danna are nominated under this category. However, there are reports in the media that the lyrics are not original, but extremely similar to another famous lullaby from Kerala, a state in India. Bombay Jayshre had sung the "original" song "Omanathink kidavo" in her album "Valsalyam". Reports say that M.Danna had heard the song in this album and approached her for Life of Pi.

Amit

Argo has a great chance to win the Best Film category this time

jerry

Zero Dark Thirty was a complete ZERO and should get zero votes for a movie that I would not even consider a movie. It is a good reenactment like last years Hurt Locker which was an instantly forgettable flick just like this one is. Silver Linings should win and Jennifer Lawrence is the best new actress on the planet.

Argo

They should take ou that shit amour and put Skyfall and The Impossible and Argo should win

Matt Murdock

I'm AGHAST that people (including good old Indiewire) seriously think Lincoln will win Best Picture. There's ZERO chance of this happening. Are you all BLIND? At best, it'll win best actor. Maybe a few technical prizes, but not much. The film is too predictable and conventional…

Even Silver Linings Playbook is a more serious contender, having been the first film in 31 years nominated for Best Film + Director + Screenplay + all 4 acting awards.

But I think – if it keeps momentum – Les Miserables will win. Not that it's the best film of the lot (far from it!) but that's never the issue when it comes to Oscars!

Argo *could* do a Hurt Locker and come out as a modest winner (Best Film + Screenplay only, maybe one more) rather than sweeping the board.

Mano

"Lincoln" film is the best movie for the Oscar awards 2013. Nicely directed by Steven Spielberg with excellent production design, make up, superb editing, best American historical reality and
very impressive acting of 16th past President of US, Abraham Lincoln, played by David Lewis as most attractive actor fpr President Lincoln. The movie Lincoln has 12 Oscars nominations now.
We presume it will get more than 6 Oscar awards this year. Thanks to Academy for showing us such a nice movie which will be remembered for many years to come. Congratulations to Steven Spielberg for his wonderful direction and making of Lincoln for us. Mano

almeida

The only award Lincoln should win is the sham movie of the year award. Lewis was the only thing enjoyable to watch in Lincoln. That is all. The movie itself was poorly executed and relatively uninteresting despite the huge potential it had to be interesting given the subject manner. I'm sick to death of movies based on historical landmark events being given so much attention when the movie was overall poor.

Django Unchained was a very entertaining movie (ironically enough also concerning black slavery as did Lincoln, but presented in a very different manner – not saying this is how I expected Lincoln to be). However, you wouldn't expect a movie with many darkly comic humorous jokes (with no deeper meaning except entertainment) about slavery and violence to win the Oscars. Django is simply one of those movies you sit back and enjoy for wild, crazy entertainment. I'd be surprised if it wins, but not at all disappointed.

Zero Dark Thirty, Amour, Argo and Beasts of the Southern Wild were all well executed films, but nothing too special per se. I'd be very surprised if any of these won.

Les Miserables was pure bliss, although I'm really not a fan of musicals, but I have to admit was a great movie. Life of Pi was extraordinary and the special effects added immensely to a fantastic viewing experience. Silver Linings Playbook executed a heartfelt romantic feel with perfection, something many romantic movies these days fail to do. I would expect any of these 3 to win, but from the bottom of my heart I want SLP: it was the most genuine movie of the year.

John

Okay, lets get real, "NO WAY" Silver Lining Playbook will win best picture. The Academy is in favor of a film that can be both memorable and fit into its agenda of great editing, performances, execution, direction and is able to draw viewers through its commercial campaign success. And which two films have done that so far, both Lincoln and Beasts of the Southern Wild. People as much as you may hate it but in reality both Lincoln and Beasts of the Southern Wild are Oscar material. As soon as you people get that through your thick greasy skull then we all can just move on with our lives.

tom smith

I can't recall a year with more excellent films. but although I loved "Lincoln,""Argo" and "Django," my nod goes to "Life of Pi." Simply enough, a perfect movie, from the lilting score to the surreal cinematography, unbelievably realistic special effects, the astounding acting (how did the no-name teenaged Pi not warrant an academy nod?), and the fascinating story. This film deserves best director, best film, best cinematography, and best screenplay, in addition to best score- athough the others are all close seconds. What's more- there are no zombies, robots, superheroes, or vampires in any of these films!!!!! Praise be the Lord!!!

Nick.Fokias

When will film directors realize that making pictures i.e. Argo that "accidentally/incidentally"attempt to legitimize State murder and torture and then defend it as their right to "artistic expression" are simply deluding themselves.My god we may have won the Second World War against Germany but we lost the war against Fascism.I do hope Argo wins nothing and is seeen for what it is- a very poor attempt to legitimize an illegal act of State terror.The trouble is those involved in the production think they're on the side of the "good guys"

Yummygoody

What happen to Cloud Atlas ???? :O

onelove

The best film this year is Lincoln despite of it's heavy dislike from viewers… Argo wasn't bad either…. the fact of the matter is that the Academy Award will give it to a film that has done great at the box office and commercial success… Both Lincoln and Argo did great at the box office as well as Django Unchained… Zero Dark Thirty, Silver Lining Playbook was a complete flop at the box office and has little commercial campaign in it's favor… Not to mention the heavy dislike ZDT is receiving from the Washington… So with that said, I would give it to Lincoln…

declan

Seen them all, got the tickets. On deep reflection the four best movies of the year are: "Silver Linings Playbook", "Zero Dark Thirty", "Argo" and "Django Unchained". They are all the best pictures and all of them absolutely deserve an Oscar for the best picture. But since "In art the best is good enough" ZDT should be the winner. Nevertheless, if the most powerful investors are to decide here and the matter is already settled, then "Lincoln" is going to "win".

BOO

If it weren't for the director snub, Zero Dark Thirty could have a pretty dang good shot at winning. I would still call it runner up since there really isn't much else that has a shot. I mean everyone loves it. Reguardless, Lincoln will win.

USAcks

Zero Dark Thirty…seriously? Still believe in the osama story and just war? Every day more idiots …

Martin

Check out my final predictions for this categorie at http://www.mondoglam.com/2013/01/camino-al-oscar-2013-predicciones_9.html

Francesco

My final Best Picture nominee predictions (assuming there will only be 8) are: 1. Argo; 2. Lincoln; 3. Les Miserables; 4. Zero Dark Thirty; 5. Life of Pi; 6. The Master; 7. Silver Linings Playbook; 8. Moonrise Kingdom… 9 and 10: Django Unchained and Skyfall

This is a mixture of favorites and the obvious frontrunners. I'm thinking there may only be 8 nominees, but that could easily change. 2012 was such a wonderful year for film, it's almost impossible (speaking of another potential nominee…) to truly know. Guess we'll find out in 9 hours!

Spark

I haven't seen Django and The Master, but from that list (why is The Impossible not in it?) this is my rank: 1. Lincoln, 2. Zero Dark Thirty, 3. Amour, 4. Skyfall, 5. Les Miserables, 6. Beast of Southern Wild, 7. Argo, 8. Silver Linings Playbook, 9. Life of Pi, 10. The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, 11. Moonrise Kingdom.

Scott

If there are 7, even 6, there is no way The Master should not be included. Probably the only real thought-provoking and bold movie to come out this year.

^_^

FOR ME THERE WAS ONLY 5 FILMS THAT MAKES ME FEEL GREAT:
1. SKYFALL (BEST ACTION FILM THIS YEAR)
2. THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL (BEST DRAMA COMEDY FILM THIS YEAR AND ALSO THE BEST DRAMA COMEDY I'VE EVER SEEN)
3. LES MISERABLES ( BEST MUSICAL FILM THIS YEAR)
4. LIFE OF PI (BEST FANTASY FILM THIS YEAR)
5. FRANKENWEENIE and RISE OF THE GUARDIANS (BEST ANIMATED FILMS THIS YEAR)

^_^

Erik

Top 10 (not in any order) Argo, Life of Pi, Silver Linings Playbook, Django Unchained Les Miserables, Zero Dark Thirty, Skyfall, Cloud Atlas, The Master, Lincoln.

James K

Top 10 Best Picture predictions alphabetized.

Amour
Argo
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Django Unchained
Les Misérables
Life of Pi
Lincoln
Silver Linings Playbook
The Master
Zero Dark Thirty

I think that The Master and or Beasts of the Southern Wild could be replaced with either Skyfall or Flight. I don't think that Moonrise Kingdom has any shot what so ever. It couldn't even muster up a Globe nominations. Skyfall being the first Bond film to reach over a billion dollars at the box-office might help it out, but I doubt it. Didn't help Deathly Hallows: Part 1 or The Dark Knight. I hoping for a Looper spoiler, but it seems like it may only get nominated for Screenplay.

Sean

None of these films really overwhelmed me. I've seen them all and my favorite was Skyfall. I think it was a bad year for movies. That being said The Master should be higher because I thought it was better than Lincoln, Les Mis and Life of Pi. My top five would be The Master, Skyfal, Argo, Silver Linings Playbook, and Django Unchained

Con

I find it baffling that Les Mis has remained in the top 5 despite its mixed critical reception. I haven't seen it yet, so I can't form an opinion. However, wouldn't it only be logical for it to drop in the rankings below movies that got better reviews than it did?

Suhaylee Consuela de los Angeles Fonseca Hincapié

It seems rather impossible to me that you forgot to include 'The Impossible.' Big mistake.

Marty Berry

How could you leave out "The Impossible"?

Graham

Lincoln, Argo, Zero Dark Thirty and Django Unchained are all Best Picture quality. Even though I haven't seen Beasts of the Southern Wild, its always nice to see an indie darling slide onto the list (Winter's Bone). I agree that the bigger stuff should get in there, not so much the Avengers (that's not what Joss Whedon was going for anyway) but The Dark Knight Rises for sure. Also, isn't Amour foreign? I'll see it if it gets nominated, as boring as a movie about the bonds of love in old age sounds. But all in all, sounds like a great year for movies.

Jeff

The Hobbit was an excellent movie. Don't go by reviews all the time. I have a feeling it might make the Oscars. Life of Pi was excellent too, why is it ranked at 7th here? Its atleast the top 4 or 5. That movie will defintily get into the Oscars.

Timi

TDK was so overrated. Its not Oscar material. I just saw the Hobbit, alothough not as good as any of the LOTR movies, its much better then that silly mess of a movie TDKR. I read the reviews of the Hobbit thinking it would be bad, but went I went to see the movie, the critics were so wrong! It was great.
I lso read the reviews of TDKR and thought it was gonna be so great but it wasn't. Just pure overratedness! Anne hatheway getting an Oscar for Catwoman? LOL big time!

joe

as long as lincoln doesn't win best picture i will be satisfied. i have a feeling though im going to be greatly dissapointed

ryan

they seem to go for movies that aren't as publicized I still think HP: Deathy hallows shouldve gotten something, and I do believe that Avengers, TDKR, or skyfalll should make the nominations. I mean, the guys who make the most, they rarely get nominated. All three of these movies made over a billion bucks.

Jim

I think that Silver Lingings Playbook or Argo should win. I thought that those were the two best films.

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Sam

Moonrise Kingdom & Beasts of the Southern Wild are two of the greatest films I have ever seen! I want BIG wins for both of them!

José Cruz Rubio

Well! I think that this year is going to be a positive one. Even though, I loved Les Misérables on stage, it didn't move me that much as a film and I ended up feeling… a little miserable; thou, I'm sure it's going to get the Oscar for best song as it happened before to Evita in 1997 with You Must Love Me. (A way the Academy appreciates the talents of Claude-Michel Schönberg
Alain Boublil as it did with Andrew Lloyd Webber and Tim Rice.) I considered then, that it's Ang Lee's year. Not only as a director, but also his movie Life of Pi should win the most accolades. Life of Pi, probably should get, under my consideration (I don't know much about movies , I'm just a fan!!!) 5 to 6 awards, including best music score, best cinematography, best visual effects and best adapted screenplay. It is a great film with an even greater message. If it's not, because Richard Parker (the Bengal tiger on the film) is part CGI, I would've given him an award too. What can you expect from a man who still thinks that the best supporting actor in 2000 was no other than Wilson the Volleyball in Cast Away?

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Bob

Skyfall becoming the first Billion dollar Bond film should warrant a nomination. Mendes has really taken the 50yr old franchise to new heights of box office and critical acclaim. Plus its a beautifully made film.

Lezlie

I believe after the PGA-s that Skyfall has a very good chance at being nominated for best picture (and I think it would deserve it, much better then Les Misérables!). I dare to say it has Much better chances then Amour. I just don't get this predictions, sorry. I mean, last year there was A Separation, which was a great film, everyone loved it, audiences, critics, and Amour is faring just as well this year. Was the Separation nominated for Best Picture? No. I think the same will happen to Amour, it will probably win the Foreign Language Oscar, but I don't think they will nominate it for Best Pic. Sorry for the long post.

tony

all these people proclaiming which film should win. but how many have seen ALL the films in the hunt? if you havent then I dont see how you can declare which deserves to win. I do think its an open race this year for best film.

^_^

IF SKYFALL WILL NOT BE NOMINATED FOR THE BEST PICTURE… I RATHER CHOOSE THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL TO BE NOMINATED….AND IT WAS THE BEST COMEDY DRAMA FILM THAT I'VE EVER SEEN.. GREAT ACTING, AND IT CAN MAKE YOU SMILE EVERY MINUTE SO WHY IT IS IN NO. 13??? AND ALSO HOW CAN YOU SAY THAT SKYFALL HAS NO CHANCE TO BE NOMINATED??? IT IS BECAUSE SKYFALL IS AN ACTION MOVIE??? I THINK THAT IS NOT FAIR :-((

???

I know you're all gonna rip me to shreds but why isn't Looper at least not really being talked about. It was one of the most original movies I think I've seen in years. I would definitely put it on this list but I realize you're only putting up what you guys think based on trends and what not but I think Looper should be on here. It got great reviews tho idk how it did at the box office. Also Dark Knight Rises should be on here and so should Perks of Being a Wallflower I really enjoyed that movie.

dani

what does it mean when they say possible spoilers

BOO

Why does Zero Dark Thirty move down to 3? It has the most awards so far, even though it may not be as Oscar-y as the 2 above it.

Justin

Silver Linings Playbook was the year's best film. I loved every minute of the movie, from the very first minute to the very last minute. Fantastic performances by Jennifer Lawrence and Robert DeNiro but Bradley Cooper was perfection in his role. I loved the storyline, the direction, the writing. Just fantastic!

Dood

There should be 6

1. The Master
2. Lincoln
3. Argo
4. Beasts of the Southern Wild
5. Silver Linings Playbook
6. Zero Dark Thirty

if…

7. Django Unchained
8. Life of Pi
9. Moonrise Kingdom
10. Amour

^_^

THE BEST EXOTIC MARIGOLD HOTEL in no. 13?????? and where is SKYFALL????

Lizzie

SLP will probably get nominated, but only if they have more than 5 spots. It shouldn't be that high up.

MN

I think Lincoln will win…

jenniferWest

A great year for movie lovers. I hope Argo wins Best Picture. A great movie. Lots of edge of your set fun!

fred

While I have not seen all of the movies mentioned, "Lincoln" is an amazing film achievement. I got so involved with this film, I had no idea that it was 2 hours and 30 minutes in length. Is there really any director better than Steve Spielberg? Every actor was superb, but Daniel J. Lewis was incredible. In any scene, you eyes were riveted on him … This is what great filmmaking is all about. Bravo!

Jross

I agree with most of this list, but TDKR should be higher. I'm not a fanboy or anything but are we all forgetting that it made the AFI's top ten of the year?

beenthere

Life of Pi and probably Amour will be in the final five, replacing Les Miserables and Silver Linings Playbook. The Sessions will do much better than indicated. You heard it here.

Zane

Argo, Lincoln, and Zero Dark Thirty have the best advantage at best picture and best director.

Pianoman

Zero Dark Thirty honestly should win Best Picture. That movie was truly amazing. Les Miserables was also pretty good.

rami

i need many picture of 2013

superhero

Where is Cloud Atlas??….Best moovie i have seen in the past 1O years…shame

Jd

After seeing some of the other movies I have to conclude that the hobbit won't get much. Shame -I guess the hobbit just wasn't as awesome as I thought. I had to watch it again to really analyse the movie on a critical level. I was wrong -but I am sure that it will win the technical oscars though. It seems that the big players are Lincoln And le mis.

James

What is happening with Cloud Atlas is truly shameful.

Along comes a film that is ambitious, beautifully written, acted and shot. Against all odds (story, financing, etc) it was made with a top notch cast. This is one of those films, those very rare films, that makes it into your special top ten in your life.

I've been monitoring twitter for some time before and after the movies release to see what people have to say about it. The vast majority of the tweets are from people who are blown away by the film, and can't wait to see it a second time. Very, very few comments from people who didn't care for the film.

As an aside, this may be one of the films weaknesses in the current film world. Many audiences don't have the patience for a movie of this length, and the true payoff for the movie doesn't come until it's nearly over.

Pair that with the marketing of the film; Lana Wachowski said it herself; the movie is hard to describe, it's hard to distill. So I can imagine the group of friends gathering to head out to a movie, or a couple, and asking what they should see. If someone suggests Cloud Atlas, they would then be challenged to explain what it's about. It's impossible to explain this film well to friends and convince them to go see it. You may have a chance if you tell them who is in it, and who made it.

I don't know if this really counts as a strike against the movie, but I have my suspicions. It was made pretty much ouside of the Hollywood system. It was shot overseas, financed overseas, and Warner Bros. only agreed to distribute it domestically. That's all the studio backing it got.

When I saw the movie premiere at TIFF, it got a standing ovation for ten minutes. Yes, the cast and directors were there and there were a lot of WB people in the house. But the TIFF crowd is not your typical moviegoing crowd at all – they are the kind of crowd that loves movies like Cloud Atlas.

Apologies for the long winded comment here (I anticipate a TL;DR). But I'll conclude with this:

Cloud Atlas probably won't win much of anything at the Oscars. I will be upset about that, and invariably go through the typical disbelief that it would be absent from a list when lesser movies will be on that same list. But there is one thing for me that I can do to give myself peace of mind.

They can't take the movie itself away from me. It's easily one of my most favourite films of all time, and when it comes out on Blu Ray I'll have it pretty much forever.

They also can't take away the tremendous pride the cast and crew must have for this film. The actors themselves will likely never do anything this ambitious again in their careers. For the Wachowskis – well, I wouldn't put it past themselves to top this one day (and of course Tom T. as well, he's an excellent director in his own right).

Sorry, broke my soapbox.

Monika

Seen everything except Django and Beasts. I think 'The Master' is a shoe-in. Still in my personal top 5 of the year. I don't think 'Amour' will be in the Best Picture category, although it surely deserves it. It is a guaranteed win for Best Foreign Film so they may keep it there. Not sure. I also agree all 10 slots will get filled this year. It's been a stellar year for film!

Jd

What is wrong here man! The hobbit was so amazing. It does not deserve the Oscar but it at least deserves a nomination. Lotr paved the way for the recognition of excellence of fantasy films. It is such a shame that the fantasy movies are being snubbed. It is the age of fantasy movies. Embrace it! Lincoln seems amazing, I think it has best pic and director in the bag. Life of pi should get the screenplay award. Everything else is left in the air for the hobbit to catch!

Bauggs

Top 8 make it in.

Sel

The only ones of that list that I haven't seen are "Zero Dark Thirty", "Les Miserables", "The Master" and "Django". Right now from that list my favourite film is "The Impossible". "Life of Pi" was terribly ridiculous (sorry but I laughed unintentionally). The last movie of the list that I've seen was "Lincoln"… I wasn't impressed at all (maybe because I'm not from the U.S.A. and "I don't care that much"), it was well made but somehow I didn't care at all. It's not in that group of Spielberg's bests (E.T., Saving Private Ryan, Schindler's List…). The biggest HIGHLIGHT of that movie was Sally Field (WHAT A PERFORMANCE!!), Brilliant, just brilliant… and of course Daniel Day-Lewis.

derrick

what happened to Hyde Park on the Hudson for best picture?

John

If all the nominee slots don't get filled, I'm going to be pissed. Last year there was one slot not filled and it could've been with films like Drive, Harry Potter and The Deathly Hollows Part 2, 50/50, Shame, or Warrior.

BOO

Here's why The Master will be nominated. It has been winning a lot of awards lately, which doesn't show that it will win, but shows how many people are big fans of the movie. Many critics will put it high up on their ballots. There are too many fans behind it for it to be missed.

Scarps

"Lincoln" was not that great as I thought it would to be.

John

I am so angry. This is a SCANDAL. Where the h*ll are all the Oscar nominations for Cloud Atlas?! It shoud at least have been nominated for Best film, Best score, Best screenplay, Best directors, Best actors, Best actress, Best editing, Best cinematograpy, Best sound, Best MAKE UP. This is bullshit. Those dumb, narrow-minded, ignorant academy jury and critics are a fucking joke. I haven't seen a more masterpiece ever, and I won't for many years to come. This is a joke. The end.

You're Joking

Life of Pi trumps Lincoln, Argo, and Les Mis easily. Beasts of the Southern Wild should be on the 6th spot. Horrible List IMHO.

zirku12

I think it is possible that "Amour" gets an best picture nomination, but it will lose against "the Untouchables" in best foreign film categorie at the Sscars . The Chances are small, but it is realistic, like 20%-30 % . The Untouchables won`t get an best picture nomination for sure . Sounds weird but it could really happen !

Legendoom

This is so crappy. The Avengers, The Dark Knight Rises and the Hobbit were all films that 150% deserve a nomination. But since the Academy is full of people who have a hard-on for drama, I'll never see a science fiction film get nominated that isn't a rip-off of a drama.

sjfdsf

C'mon guys why is "The Watch" on this list? ;)

fspraggi

Lincoln was the most boring movie ever

Paul

Django could be a sleeper hit in a few categories

Maria

What about Looper?

BOO

At this point with awards and AFI's top 10 coming out along with critic's top 10 lists, I think that it's obvious that if there are 10 nominees they will be: Zero Dark Thirty, Lincoln, Les Miserables, Argo, Life of Pi, Silver Linings Playbook, Beasts of the Southern Wild, Moonrise Kingdom, The Master, and Django Unchained. No Amour, no Skyfall.

Scott

My choices (Regardless if I've seen the film or not):

The Dark Knigt Rises (My favorite of this year)
The Master (Haven't seen it, but I don't doubt Paul T. Anderson)
Lincoln (Haven't see it, but it's Spielberg…)
Life of Pi (Haven't seen it, but it looks mindblowing)
Zero Dark Thirty (No one's seen it, but just read about it)
Django Unchained (No one's seen it, but Tarantino never disappoints me)
Les Miserables (No one's seen it, but it looks good and is prime Oscar bait)
Argo (Haven't seen it, but Affleck is a great director)
Moonrise Kingdom (Different from anything I've seen, but I enjoyed it)
End of Watch = Dark Horse (Great film, great acting with intesne emotion, not so great ending though)

Lezlie

I still believe they won§t nominate Amour for best picture, but it could very well win foreign language. And if that's the case, I hope Django Unchained will take its place.

Paul

The Dark Knight Rises, Rise to the 13 xD

I told you, TDKR might not be a perfect film but it is pretty good and RT explains it well: ''The Dark Knight Rises is an ambitious, thoughtful, and potent action film that concludes Christopher Nolan's franchise in spectacular fashion, even if it doesn't quite meet the high standard set by its predecessor.''

steve

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YAWN

The Master will be recognized because the industry is trying to position Anderson as the next big IT director, despite not having the work to back it up. The Academy also loves to award unworthiness, one would even think it was one of the criteria that they look for. Zero Dark Thirty will win BP because the Academy loves safe politics, and an anti-Bin Laden, SEAL movie sounds right up their alley.

BOO

Zero Dark Thirty has the advantage of a much later release. Because of this there is no chance that another film will drown out it's hype. It can only increase from here. I think it will win.

SOME GUY

Prometheus and Looper might have a shot. Both are good movies with good directors

Scotty

Silver Linings Playbook? Seriously?
And The Hobbit, a LONG shot? Wtf?
This list sucks.

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MovieBuff

Really? You have Skyfall and not Cloud Atlas?

Nick

Oh C'mon Silver Linings Playbook is NOT oscar worthy

Mark

I'm not surprised to see Les Mis getting some flak from reviewers, simply because it's a musical and the hype that has preceded it for so long now has probably irritated the "reviewing elite." No matter, methinks the negative reviews are biased by people who had made up their minds about the film long before they saw it. The Academy will definitely say differently, and much more in its favor.

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Alex

even though it won't be nominated for Best Picture, Looper remains the best film of the year (though I have yet to see Zero Dark Thirty, Django Unchained, Les Mis, Amour or The Hobbit)

Michael

At this point, with no clear front runner, I think Zero Dark Thirty seems to be sweeping in there, and I think that is now the one to beat.

etlysh

I'm surprised "Les Miserables" is still in the top 5 after the not-so-rave reviews it received and after what was expected from it.

etlysh

I'm surprised "Les Misérables" is still in the top 5 after the not-so-rave reviews it received and after what was expected

Keil S.

Life of Pi is so overrated.

Forrest

Why is Life of Pi moving so far down so many people's lists? There were some great movies this year, but most of them have been done before. The guy below me completely nailed it. Ang Lee deserves to be recognized for making one of the most beautiful movies ever. Life of Pi was unlike anything else that came out all year and deserves Best Picture or Best Director!

Michael M.

And the Academy award for best picture will probably go to Life of Pi, The Master, or Djanjo Unchained. I wouldn't be suprised to see Lee win the coveted Best Picture (He is a long overdue recipient for Best Picture, and yes i'm exluding his foreign language film win). I also wouldn't be surprised to see The Master potentially snab Best Director, it truly is incredible. I have a feeling it'll be split this year. Look im not biased, and I will admit I have a particular fondness for P.T.A, but truly ask yourselves "What domestic film radicalized or elevated cinema this year?" I guarantee you won't be crying "Lincoln" because that film is classical Spielberg sentimentalism. ZDT and Les Mis, while respectfully directed by phenomenal directors, seem a bit too unoriginal or contrived. I mean were not Propogandist here, so Bigelow's film is excluded from any victory. And besides it's relatively early to award previous Best Picture Auteurs such as Hooper. Ebert himself claimed that Argo would win the two major categories, and he normally estimates the probable winner, but is the Academy ready to aknowledge Affleck? I don't think so. Unfortunately, Haneke, Leox Carax, Miguel Gomez won't be recognized, and they had the best releases of the year, HANDS DOWN. Even the Site and Sound aknowledged them for Best annual releases.

So that brings me back to my original predictions: Lee, Tarantino or P.T.A, and truly a win for any of them would completely be justified. They're three astounding Auteurs who have yet to be recognized for their contributions to the art called Cinema, that we so passionately appreciate.

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BOO

Lincoln will probably be drowned out by Les Miserables and Zero Dark Thirty, which seems to be the frontrunner right now. It's also being released the last of all the possible nominees.

Cameron

As far as contenders go, I haven't seen Zero Dark Thirty, The Master, or Django Unchained. Moonrise Kingdom did have a lot of good things put into it, but perhaps too many, overwhelmingly so- give it nods for art direction, cinematography, and score- that's it. Now- Le Mis. How many times have we done this? Five? Six? Best picture nominations should bring original ideas and unexpected brilliance to the screen. Le Mis doesn't. It is very good- but it's not original. Give it nods for costumes, art direction, and a best supporting actress nod for Hathaway. Lincoln is phenomenal. It's a top-five Spielberg and the script is extraordinary. It's a frontrunner. Flight is an outstanding drama, bracing, and heartfelt- it also deserves to be looked at. Cloud Atlas- by far the most ambitious film of the year- astonishes and astounds as a whole- definitely nominate it. Argo- not as good as everyone says- but definitely very good. This'll probably make my top ten list but be either 9 or 10. Beasts of the Southern Wild- WOW. What an amazing vision. Give it a best picture nod and a best actress nod for Wallis. Life of Pi is dazzling, but it has its flaws- whether it deserves a best picture nod, I'm not sure- but as far as technical categories go- it deserves it all. Silver Linings Playbook should go head to head with Lincoln for Best Adapted Screenplay. It's great. It also has four flawless performances. Best picture? Not sure. Now stick with me. There are two movies that are sure to be left by the wayside, but are both excellent films- not worthy of winning Best Picture, but surely worthy of a nomination. And those are End of Watch, which takes a piece of you and is written and acted with a startling urgency, and Looper- the best action movie in years- and an astounding original vision. Somebody say something about this.

Tony

It will be "Lincoln"

Bob

Alright, last and final prediction list….

1) Zero Dark Thirty
2) Argo
3) Les Miserables
4) Lincoln
5) The Beast of the Southern Wild
6) Django Unchained
7) Silver Linings Playbook
8) Life of Pi
9) Moonrise Kingdom

That is my final prediction on how it will pan out. As for the winner it shall be one of the big 4 like everyone else said. Zero Dark Thirty, Les Miserables, Argo, or Lincoln.

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Martinize

Every Best Picture nominee is an end-of-the-year release, which is obviously part of their Oscar strategy. Are Academy members so forgetful that they can't recognize great movies from a few months earlier?

declan

This year it's going to be Argo or Zero Dark Thirty. Both perfect masterpieces, the latter being THE ACADEMY OPTION.

Xenon Priory

this list is brutal in my opinion, you suck penis, argo sucks more and you all smell like poop I AM A SLAVE TO THE ONLINE WORLD CRYING OUT FOR ATTENTION, YOUR CHOICES NEED MORE THOUGHT LIFE OF PI MORE LIKE LIFE OF ONE GUY AND A TIGER AM I RIGHT…

Vanessa

I have only seen The Master and Argo fronm the group of possible nominees and I didn't think they were as great as everyone says they are. I loved There Will Be Blood but The Master was all over the place. I still need to see Beasts of Southern Wild. I loved Anna Karenina and I think it should get nominated for costumes, cinematography, set design. I agree that the Oscars are quite political and this year will not be that interesting in terms of nominations.

Gavin

DARK KNIGHT RISING will get a nomination.

Hamid

Acadmy oscar is mor political…"argo"_"zero darkly.."is not perefct true..

BOO

I heard the oscars already said they weren't nominating DKR, not that I thought they would have anyway.

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Bob

Here it goes…

Best Picture

1) Zero Dark Thirty
2) Les Miserables
3) Argo
4) Lincoln
5) Silver Linings Playbook
6) Life of Pi
7) Django Unchained
8) The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
9) Moonrise Kingdom
10) The Beast of the Southern Wild

The other possibility…switch out either Moonrise Kingdom or The Beast of the Southern Wild for Amour. Or take both out and add Amour. These are my predictions, what you guys think?

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Dave Traverso

Lincoln's gained a lot of steam and, unfortunately in my opinion, has surpassed Argo. Les Mis and ZD30 are the only shots left at dethroning Spielberg and his baby in the Best Picture category

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Derrick

Trust me, Best Picture is going to Argo, Lincoln or Zero Dark Thirty and Best Director will be Affleck, Spielberg or Bigelow. Why? Because all of these movies are about things that war hungry, patriotic Americans love. That's the reason why the pathetic 'Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close' was nominated last year. The Oscars are more political than we know. Tarantino is way overdue, but it's not happening.

Mauricio Amzarr

Oscars is the starbucks of film festivals. They ignored Melancholia, they will surely ignore Cloud Atlas, I would prefer to watch a low budget indian movie than this ceremony.

Ross

1. Lincoln
2. The Hobbit
3. Life Of Pi
4. Zero Dark Thirty
5. The Dark Knight Rises (as a compensation for not nominating The Dark Knight, espescially when they did nominate crap like Frost/Nixon & The Reader)

monkeypox

I have not seen any of these movies yet, but here's my nominee list: (in alphabetical order)

1. Argo
2. Beasts of the Southern Wild
3. The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
4. The Hunger Games
5. Les Miserables
6. Life of Pi
7. Lincoln
8. The Sessions
9. Silver Linings Playbook
10. Zero Dark Thirty

ryan

Once the reviews for The Hobbit are released, it will immediately jump into the top 10… I think.

Pitres

Oh come on The Dark Knight Rises? Its only Oscar worthy in terms of visaul effects. Not Best picture, or any acting awards.
Anna Kariena does seems to make alot more sense that Batman. Why does that suprise people?
There is alot of good movies this year and very high contendors for Oscars.
Lincoln,The Master,Les Miserables, The Hobbit Part 1, Life of Pi, Beasts of Southern Wild,Argo,ect
Batman doesn't stand a chance. I seriously laugh at those who think it deserves all these Oscars lol.

Michael M.

A possible Best Director win for Tarantino, Andersen, or Lee seem highly probably. I mean those three are overdue recipients. Sadly though I see something like Lincoln potentially snubbing the other phenomenal entries that far exceed Mr. Spielberg's talent (Come at me Fanboys). Excluding Flight and the remaining December/January releases, I've seen every other entry thus far and imo Lincoln, Life of Pi and The Master are the top contenders. What a great year for cinema, will be hard to make an accurate prediction at this point.

darthstich

You forgot about the crowd pleaser entries. There is always one that a lot of people saw that gets at least nominated. Film like Skyfall and the Hobbit will get boosts in possibility because of that and films like The Hunger Games, The Avengers, and The Dark Knight Rises have potential to make the nominee list but are unlikely to win.

Sam

I would predict in this order of likelihood

1.Les Miserables
2.Argo
3.Zero Dark Thirty (it has really glowing reviews right now)
4.Lincoln
5.Silver Linings Playbook
6.The Hobbit: An Unexpected Journey
7.Life of Pi
8.Amour
9.Beasts of the Southern Wild
10.Moonrise Kingdom

Joe

I don't see how the Hobbit is a long shot, all three of the Lord of the Rings got a best picture nomination and one holds the record for the most oscar wins. As long as it is done to Lord of the Rings quality (which there is a great chance at that), it should be more of a shoe-in.

As for Skyfall, I don't see a James Bond movie getting a best picture nomination. Although it's more realistic than seeing Batman with the Dark Knight Rises nominated, it probably won't be.

Josh

There are movies like Anna Karenina, The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel, Skyfall, etc. nominated but The Dark Knight Rises isnt?

Nat

I would be shocked to see Life of Pi win… Terribly written and mediocre acting, but should sweep the technical categories.

spikewestphal

skyfall better be in the best film because i download alot of fims pirted it is one of the few films i wanted to pay to watch

Rimi John

What about Lawless? We saw Argo, Lincoln and Lawless and, personally, I liked Lawless the best.

BOo

I really hope Lincoln doesn't win. It just wasn't great to me. Reviews for Zero Dark Thirty are suggesting a new frontrunner.

Ave

The Hobbit? I am suprised why its ranked so low on the list. Peter Jackson's all 3 Lord of the Rings were brilliant.

Chris

There are too many exceptional films this year not to expand the nominations to 10.
My 10:
Amour
The Master
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Holy Motors
Argo
Lincoln
Moonrise Kingdom
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty

Chris

There are too many exceptional films this year not to expand the nominations to 10.
My 10:
Amour
The Master
Beasts of the Southern Wild
Holy Motors
Argo
Lincoln
Moonrise Kingdom
Les Miserables
Life of Pi
Zero Dark Thirty

OSHANE KAKO

LIFE OF PI, CLOUD ATLAS, PROMETHEUS AND LES MISERABLES

omar

in my opinio ,we should not forget Denzel and at least" flight " should be nominated for best picture.

Sarah

I'm hoping 'skyfall' will at least get a nomination

Seb Moore

The Master deserves to win but won't. At this stage, I could see Life of Pi taking it. I reckon Cathryn bigelow's Zero Dark Thiry is a major dark horse. Like The Hurt Locker, I reckon it could come out of nowhere and position itself as one of the major contenders in a month or so.

Seb Moore

The Master deserves to win but won't. At this stage, I could see Life of Pi taking it. I reckon Cathryn bigelow's Zero Dark Thiry is a major dark horse. Like The Hurt Locker, I reckon it could come out of nowhere and position itself as one of the major contenders in a month or so.

Dee-ann elkington

Can I possibly put another prediction in, and mention the twilight saga. That defo requires an Oscar. I would be shocked if it didn't win.

John Flake

'Zero Dark Thirty' is going to pull a "Hurt Locker" and sweep in at the last minute and claim Best Picture. Calling it now. Don't bet against Kathryn Bigelow.

martin Servante

Cloud Atlas outway's all predictions here for the Best Movie of 2012 in my opinion!

tres

Yes I also agree that the Hobbit stands a good chance at the Oscars. Hitchock looks good too.

tres

LOL Why are all those people saying that the TDKR us gonna get best pic? Such a good competion this year. I can't see a movie like the TDKR winning over Lincoln, Les Miserables Sliver Linings,etc.
It was a superheo movie. Nothing special. I honeselty thought is was soo overrated.
LOTR and Gladiotor got nominated because thoses movies was actaully done well. Lots of intresting costumes,good acting,great sceanary, great plot line, great scripts. Which is good for the oscars.
All three of the Batman movies had boring plotlines. Heath ledgers death sorta added to the hype surround the second and third movies especially. He was the only intresting thing about those movies. Other than that, its was just like any other superheo movies. Like Spiderman or the Avengers.

Jeremy

Best Picture shouldn't be decided based on who recieves the best reviews. The truth is, Argo had one of the worst scripts of the year, I could shit out a better script in two days and I'll take the pepsi challenge to that bet anyday. The acting was nothing great, there was no charecter development in any charecter and from beginning to end, Ben Affleck played the most boring charecter ever portrayed on film. If you watch the trailor, you've watched the movie. If you ask me "The Master", although having a rushed script by PTA was one of the best pictures of the year , I han't seen Lincoln yet but all of you have to really stop and think, what does it mean to make a best picture at the Oscars? Great Acting with charecter development and growth, a script and dialogue which challenge the acting, perfect direction, great cinamotography, etc… Did Argo really have all of that? Is it really the "Best Picture"? Thats what all of you seem to think, Rottentomatoes only counts for so much, it shouldn't get in the way of your own thinking.

Brad S

How do you not put "End of Watch" on this list. Not only do the leads have amazing chemistry, but if you dont walk out with a greater respect for the police force you are completely insane and missed the point. These cartels do this to mexican police on a daily basis and they are coming over our borders… This movie is the wake up call movie of the year.

BOO

I doubt Skyfall will be nominated.

Daniel

moonrise kingdom should DEFINATELY be nominated for best picture, it was fantastic and Wes Anderson is one of the few consistantly brilliant directors out there today along with Paul Thomas Anderson. I don't understand this 5 to 10 films could be nominated, they changed it to 10 films now they're messing around with it, why not just have 10!?!? I don't get this idiocy.

numbers

Come on children. Most of these movies are terrible, and I really can't see The Hobbit not pulling a nomination (or in that case possibly a win). According to these "predictions" The Hobbit is at the very bottom of the list, which is just hilarious. And for god's sake, some of these movies I've never even heard of!

JJ

can i say… The dark Knight Rises?? or it doesn't count for the oscars? …..No? so why…..the Lord of the Rings? or Gladiator?

Gian Franco

The Dark Knight Rises Is The Best

william

i don't understand how the hobbit is a long shot. you do realize one of jackson's lord of the rings was nominated and WON best picture. I'm sure the hobbit won't be any much of a different amount of effort.

Joe

I see both Django Unchained and Cloud Atlas strong contenders. The Academy loves Tarantino and Cloud Atlas is a powerful epic with a lot of heart that is unlike any movie ever made. The Academy has recognized those kinds of films before.

flmbyz

Argo, Lincoln, Silver Linings Playbook and Les Miserables are all the best bets at this point. I also expect strong showings from Django Unchained, The Hobbit and Zero Dark Thirty. If Life of Pi lives up, then it's in also. Everything else seems to be a longshot. While I thought The Master was a top contender at an early point, the box office and mixed reviews are probably going to hurt it. While the new rules may help it, I'm not sure how large the passionate fanbase for The Master is as well as if there are as many supporters as The Tree of Life. Hitchcock will have a lot to live up to in order to make it here.

Jay

Is there any outside chance for "The Hunger Games" or "The Dark Knight Rises" to be nominated for best picture? Or is the academy still biased against big summer movies with good ratings?

Me

I wouldn't underplay the legitimate possibility of Cloud Atlas sneaking in, here's my case. (1. With the new voting rules, movies don't necessarily need to be as widely loved as they need to have a small and passionate fanbase. (2. Cloud Atlas is an incredibly divisive movie, some love it, some hate it, but the former cloud play to the point I made in No. 1. (3. Last year, Warner Bros. was able to manuever getting Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close a BP nod, a movie that is even more divisive than CA, and even some of the good reviews weren't that good, where as it appears that Cloud Atlas has the better overall reviews. It's still a long shot, but it wouldn't shock me.

matt

watch out for J. A. Bayona´s “The impossible” as this year underdog. The only powerful drama in a crowded field + stunning visual and sound effects + 2/3 great performances + excellent early critics reviews (89 at metacritic). Add it is a true story and the emotional factor…Seems to be a real contender, isn´t it?

Brandon miller

Where the hell is Prometheus…. In all of these categories including best actress and best supporting actor?….

Andrew

What is your guys' opinion of "Seven Psychopaths" ?
Not saying it should be nominated. I'm curious to other peoples' opinions on it.

Jason1978

Moonrise Kingdom deserves a nomination. Wes Anderson's best in my opinion and he seemed to have finally won over most of his critics too.

Zane

Ether The Dark Knight Rises or Argo

Em

I just saw Argo yesterday, and it's really incredible. Affleck should get a Best Director nom, and maybe an acting one as well, and it should be one of the leading contenders for Best Picture along with Les Mis and the Master. Absolutely a stunning movie! Goodman and Arkin should both be considered for supporting actor noms as well. On the Les Mis note, I think it's high time that Hugh Jackman got an acting nom, and I hope this is his chance. He should also host again… :)

Joe

The Dark Knight Rises is the best of the year so far IMO. However, the Oscars are biased against all genre films that aren't LOTR. Just like The Dark Knight and HP7 Part 2, Rises will get snubbed.

XXXX

What about Skyfall? It's getting rave reviews.

Asantewa

I find it incredible the "Middle of Nowhere" is nowhere on the list. Not only should it me in the Best Film category, but it's great cast should dominate the acting categories, it's soundtrack should be a winner and the cinematography is definitely a container. There should be no questions of nominations for Best Director and Best Original Screenplay. They are givens. Come on now, what is Indiewire talking about?

Sam

Why the hell isnt the Hobbit higher up on this list?? It will definately be better than half of these movies. It will probably be Les miserables, Hobbit, the Master, Argo, Lincoln, Life of pi, Silver Linings Playbook, Django Unchained, and Moonrise Kingdom.

samya

No Looper ?

Michael

If* there is six, THAN The Master? Well there goes all critical devotion. Pretty amusing as to how everyone was boisterously praising the Master to insurmountable heights and lo and behold, it's aggregate reception clearly dissuaded it's pundit followers. I personally enjoyed The Master for it's aesthetic inclination and historical panoramic scope, as well as it's gorgeous cinematography and lastly the exhilerating and ferocious performances of Phoenix and Hoffman. I predict a Best Actor for Phoenix, regardless of all the fatulation and tits. Although needless to say, immediately upon viewing the Life Of Pi trailer, I was irrevocably certain that it would inevitably win. Lee clearly went through turmoil to produce this film, and the Academy has evaded Lee's much deserved recognition. BrokeBack equals historical snub.

Miguel

If* there is six, THAN The Master? Well there goes all critical devotion. Pretty amusing as to how everyone was boisterously praising the Master to insurmountable heights and lo and behold, it's aggregate reception clearly dissuaded it's pundit followers. I personally enjoyed The Master for it's aesthetic inclination and historical panoramic scope, as well as it's gorgeous cinematography and lastly the exhilerating and ferocious performances of Phoenix and Hoffman. I predict a Best Actor for Phoenix, regardless of all the fatulation and tits. Although needless to say, immediately upon viewing the Life Of Pi trailer, I was irrevocably certain that it would inevitably win. Lee clearly went through turmoil to produce this film, and the Academy has evaded Lee's much deserved recognition. BrokeBack equals historical snub.

Austin

I'd say replace the Master with Django Unchained. the master was excellent, but from what my reviews garnered (I'm a film critic), people were not very entertained by the movie, although they recognized its artistic endeavor. Sure the Oscars are for the art of film, but built into the art itself is also entertainment. Granted, it's not all about entertainment, otherwise the whole thing would be flip flopped, but those two things should be able to balance, like with The Artist. Artistic? you bet. Entertaining? hell yeah. That blend really solidified its place. And from what I've seen of pre-screens and such from Django, it's Tarantino at his usual artistic and entertaining pace, and that's enough to nearly consistently earn him a nod. Just my take. But I do agree, things will unfold very interestingly in the weeks to come. Either way, I think we can all agree that between the incredible films up for possibility, and Seth Mcfarlane and his (possibly) well done, youth drawing act, the Oscars this year will be a great experience.

Jeff

The Avengers?
That's certainly an interesting pick.
I mean I liked it but an Oscar?

SpringBreakers=OSCARS

What about Spring Breakers? It's going to be a future classic and has gained a lot of great reviews. That's if, it can be considered for 2013. Either way, it needs much more respect if it doesn't make it for 2013, maybe 2014 Oscars instead?

declan

I guess there is a movie the Academy should consider, it is called the Tall Man, and it appears to offer a new concept and a new course that the Cinema could take…

j

What about Holy Motors?

Alex Thompson

The best movie of the year is definitely Moonrise Kingdom. I'm in love with that movie, the wonderful shots, the subtle humor, the acting and the overall storyline. I reccomend that movie to everyone and I would be pissed if it doesn't win or if it doesn't get nominated

Lautaro

Life of Pi fue un desastre en crítica, una decepción. The Master no para Mejor Película?

Da Gloiben Schloiben

Just saw Argo, and I can promise everyone that it won't win, but will probably secure a nomination.

Jeremy

Quite honestly there have been some great movies made this year but theres a few things I don't want to see happen. If Bradley Cooper gets an acting nod I will flip shit, he doesn't deserve to be classified as a contending actor because to me his acting has been and will continue to be shit until his career is over which is just a matter a matter of time. I saw the trailer for Silver Linings Playbook and I don't think it deserves to be second in a list of great contending films. Looper on the other hand was one of the most original films I've seen and a log time and DESERVES some recognition, if not a Best Picture nod then at least a Best Original Screenplay nod. The Master, PTA needs to smarten the fuck up and quit rushing his writing and really, thats what he has been doing in every film he's done except Hard Eight and Boogy Nights, do you even remember what you were taught in school!? Beginning, Middle, End, not WTF did the movie just start? How did we get here? Who the fuck is this? Thats an ending!? As much as I respect his work I can't consider him a master film maker until he creates something with basic writing structure that doesn't leave you sitting in your car banging your head against the steering wheel wondering why the fuck something I could write a better of in a week got produced in the first place, I'm fucken serious, quit rushing your writing because these films have the potential of becoming masterpieces but fall short because of your pride. Joequin Phenox deserves a win for Best Actor, one of the best performances I have ever seen. But for Best Picture, I don't want to see Hooper get another nomination, same with Tarintino, even Spielberg, great films but Director who already recieved their fair share of recognition. Until I watch the rest of the contenders I can't even make an educated guess about who will win, a lot of good films this year.

BOO

All the long shots expect The Hobbit can pretty much be thrown away. Or maybe Cloud Atlas too stays. I'm predicting The Sessions and maybe The Impossible.

Alex

No love for Looper?

Corvo

All we know right now for sure is that this will be a split year: BP, BD, BA, BAss will go to people involved in four different movies.

Michael M.

P.S Silver Linings credibility as a Best Picture contender seems faltered. And don't try to convince me that Bradley Cooper will attain a best actor nomination HA.

Michael M.

If* there is six, THAN The Master? Well there goes all critical devotion. Pretty amusing as to how everyone was boisterously praising the Master to insurmountable heights and lo and behold, it's aggregate reception clearly dissuaded it's pundit followers. I personally enjoyed The Master for it's aesthetic inclination and historical panoramic scope, as well as it's gorgeous cinematography and lastly the exhilerating and ferocious performances of Phoenix and Hoffman. I predict a Best Actor for Phoenix, regardless of all the fatulation and tits. Although needless to say, immediately upon viewing the Life Of Pi trailer, I was irrevocably certain that it would inevitably win. Lee clearly went through turmoil to produce this film, and the Academy has evaded Lee's much deserved recognition. BrokeBack equals historical snub.

BOO

At this point I'm pretty sure The Sessions is getting nominated. That and The Impossible have great reviews.

Justin G.

I really think Moonrise Kingdom deserves some love. It was fantastic. Wes Anderson movies are often overlooked though. As for The Master, while I didn't love it as much as I had hoped, it is definitely getting a nom. It's such a powerful movie – it has to. I can't wait for Argo and Silver Linings.

heydoo

I'm not quite sure what's wrong with everyone here, but to think that The Hobbit will somehow be bypassed is extremely ridiculous. Have any of you even seen what Peter Jackson is capable of???????

Jay

What about "The Gray?" Best movie I've seen in a long time but it came out early in the year and the oscars always pic newer stuff.

Amir Singh

who cares about oscars and hollywood films.
bollywood rules
i know you all american are addicted to bollywood films
accept it india is number 1
richest, cleanest. entertaiment and more india overtake USA

seanpaulmahoney

Well, looks like the TIFF audience award winner Silver Linings Playbook should lock that film in for best picture nomination. Not everyone can agree on The Master and Hyde Park will probably only get acting noms. But Silver Linings has the best overall buzz so far. I can't wait to see all of these films!

Michael

Too soon for a lot of these predictions. Smells Like Studio Spirit perhaps? At this point, BEASTS OF THE SOUTHERN WILD, THE MASTER, and ARGO are looking like deadlocks.
HYDE PARK ON HUDSON is rating a low 50% currently on the tomatometer (but that didn't stop the appalling EXTREMELY LOUD… last year did it?) while LINCOLN looks as if it was tailor made for the award season. The trailer is so "Doesn't this look important and worthy?" Who knows?
PS It might be wise to keep a window of hope for HITCHCOCK too. Oscar loves appearance altering roles as much as he loves Hopkins and Mirren.

Jack

1. Argo 2. Lincoln 3. Silver Linings Playbook 4. The Master 5. Les Miserables. If more than 5: 6. Beasts of the southern wild 7. Life of Pi 8. Zero Dark Thirty 9. Promised Land 10. Amour

Jeff

Hyde Park, Anna Karenina, Cloud Atlas and (sadly) Wallflowers are all getting negative buzz and don't look like Best Picture contenders anymore. I have a strong feeling Looper is this year's Inception. The Dark Knight Rises is like HP7 part 2 as in they both have strong fan appeal but it's probably not the Academy's suit. The Master looks like it's the best movie of the year but it's not mainstream enough and won't appeal to everybody. Argo has the best chance at winning IMO.

BOO

Well Moonrise Kingdom seems like it could easily get one considering if all other movies fail, we know it's been critically acclaimed. And Silver Linings Playbook seems more good not great. And Oscar never nominates foreign movies unless they are big blockbusters. I mean A Separation was one of the best and most acclaimed foreign films in years. So I don't think Amour will get one.

Mikky

"The Hobbit" will get a nomination for best picture like the 3 previous "Lord of the Ring".

Ignatius J. Reilly

The same people who are begging for Dark Night Rises are the same people who were up in arms about Alan Rickman last year. The Oscars care very little about comic book adaptations, and to my understanding, the consensus was that Rises wasn't as good as its predecessor. Of the 25 on this list, it can surely be said that at least 5 of them will bomb; however this generally looks like a good year for movies. Anna Karenina looks more promising than Les Mis, but Joe Wright's previous Keira Knightley British novel adaptations didn't fare well during Oscar season. Roger Ebert has blogged that Argo will win based on its success at TIFF, though I think The Master really has it in the bag. The Academy has ducked PTA for too long. As to the real quality of his movies…that's another question.

Donald Clarke

Cloud Atlas and Life of Pi both — on the evidence of their trailers — look like meretricious waffle to rate alongside the woeful Lovely Bones.

Dustin

Hands down, Moonrise Kingdom is the best picture of they ear thus far, and could wind up carrying home a golden statue for Wes this year.

abhay

no doubt– CLOUD ATLAS WILL WIN BEST PICTURE :)

mass

As much as I want PTA to win a freaking award, I think the Oscars will actually give the best pic to Affleck's Argo….

BOO

What made them move down Anna Karenina? And I have a feeling Flight or The Impossible will not see best picture nominations. Moonrise Kingdom might, and the Hobbit seems more likely than 20. The Sessions should maybe be moved up, too.

Max

Ok a few things. The fact that TDKR is above the Hobbit kinda seems a bit off at this point. While I admit that TDKR was good it was miles behind the previous film that didn't get a nomination and was so so so much better. Also all the LOTR movies got a nomination and the third one won so I see little reason for it to have a lower rank than something slightly better than an action movie. also I don't think it's as huge insult for it not to be nominated as the first one. I'd almost be more angry if it did than if it didn't

Jeff Kemp

I don't see the new Coen brothers movie in here.
I have a feeling the new Malick movie's Oscar buzz is going to go up dramatically when they release a trailer for it.
I really hope TDKR gets a nomination rather than Moonrise Kingdom, which reminded me of Midnight in Paris last year because it's good, just not Best Picture material.
Also, Cloud Atlas looks brilliant and if it is it should be recognized.
The one movie up in the top five that looks like it could be bad is Lincoln, which looks boring as hell. Probably like The Iron Lady to show the lead actor's talent and win them an Oscar.

sean

Well Gatsby has been shelved until summer time so we can strike that one from the list. Ruby Sparks looks like it will make "the best of 2012" lists and Little Miss Sunshine swept so perhaps a similar fate awaits it?

ryan lindauer

you clearly haven't seen beasts of the southern wild

Xas

1. The Master, 2. Les Misérables, 3. Argo, 4. Lincoln, 5. Zero Dark Thirty, 6. Beasts of the Southern Wild, 7. Hyde Park on Hudson, 8. Amour

Will

Well The Great Gatsby is out of the race now due to schedule changes. I personally think Hyde Park on Hudson and The Hobbit have better chances of getting nominated than something like Les Miserables or Zero Dark Thirty or Argo

Glen

The Oscars will be a travesty, and a sham if Dark Knight Rises is not nominated.

Applause

Les Miserables may not have been released yet but as Tom Hooper calls it, the musical is already part of the global conversation. Not only that, it has been adapted on film in various countries and languages and many people are likely familiar with its place in classic literature. Including its original Paris incarnation, the musical itself ( on which the movie musical version is based) has been around for 30 years, so much of the character portrayals and music already have a familiar ring. Les Miserables also won Best Musical on Broadway when it debuted in America. Its first teaser seemed to have drawn much attention and praise from moviegoing audiences for its unusual approach to film musicals!

Jack

PICTURE:
1. The Master
2. Lincoln
3. Les Miserables
4. Hyde Park on Hudson
5. Argo

6. Beasts of Southern Wild
7. Zero Dark Thirty
8. Anna Karena
9. Life of Pi

10. The Great Gatsby

TIM

Duncan: I don't think it's about marketing as much as it is about likelyhood. When you have Oscar favorites like Steven Spielberg, P.T. Anderson, Tarantino, Ang Lee etc. and recent winners like Tom Hooper and Kathryn Bigelow releasing films right around Oscar time, it is almost certain that they will attract attention. Adding the ones that are already out there to much acclaim ("Beasts of the Southern Wild", "Moonrise Kingdom", "The Dark Knight Rises", "Amour"), you get an approximate idea of what it will all turn out like next year. Think about the 2012 season. I don't think anybody was predicting "The Artist" to do so well, but a Martin Scorsese film coming out in November seemed like a sure bet for Oscar attention. And we all know how that turned out.

duncan

I am flabbergasted that of the Oscar contenders predicted by web sites predicting same, 90% or more of these movies have not yet been released and many will not be until the end of the year. This strikes me as simply marketing by the studios.

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