Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 85th Academy Awards through February 24th, when the winners are announced.
Here's our take on best supporting actor, which was the most difficult to predict going in given the remarkable amount of worthy contenders. DeNiro, Arkin, Hoffman and Jones all came through on somewhat expected nominations, while the fifth, wildly competitive slot went to Christoph Waltz in the end. All five men have already won, and all could win again in the toughest acting race to call in some time.
Jones won the SAG, Hoffman won the Critics Choice, Waltz won the Globe and the BAFTA, but DeNiro and Arkin are from films the Academy clearly were quite taken by… So my guess is as good as yours. Though that guess is that DeNiro's heavy push for himself wins out in the end, and he gets his third Oscar (on the same night Daniel Day-Lewis gets his third, and a year after Meryl Streep got hers).
Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here, and this list of all the Oscar-nominated films available ON DEMAND right now.
Alan Arkin in "Argo"
Robert De Niro in "Silver Linings Playbook"
Philip Seymour Hoffman in "The Master"
Tommy Lee Jones in "Lincoln"
Christoph Waltz in "Django Unchained"
Will win: Robert DeNiro
Could win: Anyone! But Jones and Waltz seem to be in a three-way race with DeNiro.
Should win: Philip Seymour Hoffman
Check out all predictions in all the categories here.