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2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Foreign Language Film

2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Foreign Language Film

Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the
86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are
announced.

There were quite a few films that didn’t even make it to finalist round of this category, including Saudi Arabia’s “Wadjda,” Chile’s “Gloria,” Iran’s “The Past,” Australia’s “The Rocket,” Canada’s “Gabrielle,” Singapore’s “Ilo Ilo” and Romania’s “Child’s Pose.” And while that certainly made for a few disappointments, the final lineup is still a strong batch of contenders, with Denmark’s “The Hunt,” Belgium’s “The Broken Circle Breakdown” and Italy’s “The Great Beauty” probably the trio most in, er, the hunt for Oscar.

Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

The nominees:
“The Broken Circle Breakdown” Belgium
“The Great Beauty” Italy
“The Hunt” Denmark
“The Missing Picture” Cambodia
“Omar” Palestine

Will win: “The Great Beauty” Italy
Could win: “The Broken Circle Breakdown” Belgium
Should win: “The Great Beauty” Italy
Shoulda been here: “Wadjda” Saudi Arabia

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

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Comments

Rosemary Walsh

Where is Argentina? Jauja has been sweeping through festivals all over the world garnering honors and praise. The actor Viggo Mortensen has been tireless in his promotion of this extraordinary film.

Vincent

Agreed, Wadjda should've been there.

Brina

I think The hunt was the best (followed by The broken circle breakdown). The great beauty was boring!

Ingmar

The BEST MOVIE OF 2013, Blue is the warmest color (La vie d'Adele/Life of Adele) was totally robbed!! Should've been nominated at least for BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE, BEST ACTRESS, BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS, BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY, BEST DIRECTOR and BEST PICTURE.
(Btw: the pic wasnt eligible because of stupid dinosaur Academy rules – it was released to "early" or smth.)

dim

i hope the broken circle breakdown wins!! i haven't seen all the other submissions, but TBCB is so emotionally strong it just leaves you wondering for days.. (for people with emotions only) The great beauty is also very clever and beautifully captured. i want to live in rome now. the hunt is very good, but not special. Wadjda is very nice, but didn't move me as much as the other contenders.

Brett

I want The Hunt to win, I hope it does

Delmon

I heard Blue is the warmest color missed the cut off date by 9 days or something like that. It's a great movie.

Sadie

Where the hell is Blue is the Warmest Color?! It got robbed, to be honest.

jess

The hunt.

John

"The Hunt"

HajimeBab

The Great Beauty wons the Golden Globe

Viva Italian Movies

Agree with "The Great Beauty" and "The Hunt" looking the strongest. After that I'm guessing "Broken Circle Breakdown," "Omar" and "The Missing Picture" … but wouldn't be surprised to see any of the nine get in.

lalapuput

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Robert

How could something of such beautiful minimalism and so devastatingly moving as
Austria's The Wall not get into the finalists? Has anyone sees this film?

declan

No reveries! The winner is the Hunt (Denmark).

James

Yes. -The Hunt

MM

The Hunt is just incredible…

Tom

Was A Hijacking not considered a foreign film? Or does it not qualify? Either way it was really good

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ERMANNO

"The great beauty" from Italy is an impressive movie , technically poetic with suggestive images of a crepuscolar Rome

Kim

Sad that Wadjda did not make the cut. That was probably my favorite movie of the year.

Kyle

For biased reasons I certainly wished Ilo Ilo won. Although clearly it wouldn't considering the competition, I'm more than certain it should have made the shortlist or even get nominated. In fact, Ilo Ilo won over The Grandmaster at the Golden Horse Award (which is the Oscars for Chinese language films!!). Very disappointed, I must say. Very disappointed.

Jonn

The broken circle seems to be à wonderful story!!

kami

Now thats interesting. Thats what i want SURPRISE.Now this is the surprise i want it in Best Picture and Boring Best actress Category this year. I hope i get that surprise. In this categopry i have no frontrunners but it would be better to honour the legend and thats the master of hong kong films Wang Kar-wai. The Grand master is also amazing film

Nikki

Surprisingly little support, in the comments, for the Broken Circle. Not that it's the best candidate per se, but the Academy is American, remember?
Fingers crossed for Mr. Vinterberg though.

Brett

Uhhh why is The Past not on this list anymore?

Disappointed

Jesus, those are horrible omissions, and yet there are better ones that weren't even submitted. Still the most f-ed up category at the Oscars. From this eligible group, Paolo Sorrentino's film is probably the only one I'd vote for by default.

Marcus

Gloria is the best film of the year and Academy must nominated it.

Bard

My money is on Denmark (The Hunt), Belgium (The Broken Circle Breakdown), Chile (Gloria), Israel (Bethlehem) and Brazil (Neighbouring Sounds). I think The Hunt will win it.

Mexicano

Wajda
The Past
The Great Beauty
The Hunt
Heli

Remember, Heli beated The Great Beauty and The Past as Best Director in Cannes. The Cannes Jury Members were Steven Spielberg, Nicole Kidman, Ang Lee and Christoph Waltz, all of them Oscar winners and Academy Members. Remember my words.

Gain

The Hunt and The Past are SO getting nominated

Indaco

The Great Beauty is the runner up after Blue Is The Warmest Colour at LA Awards. I think that Academy will nominate it.

BOO

The Great Beauty has been getting an awful lot of attention. I think they'll nominate it.

aer

transit should be in top 5

Nicola

The Great Beauty should rise.

GIGI

List "The Great Beauty" among the main five

Hajime

The Great Beauty won EFA any hours ago….

Mexicano

Talking about foreign lenguagemfilms, here you have a joke:

United Nations were updating their statistics and they began a survey. The question was: "What is your opinion about the scarcity of food in the rest of the world"?

The survey was an epic failure because:
In Cuba they didnt know what is "your opinion"
In Europe they didnt know what is "scarcity"
In Axxxxx -wont say it for not ofending- they didnt know what is "food"
And… In the USA they didnt know what is "the rest of the world"

kami

My predicted nominees are

The Broken Circle Breakdown (Belgium)
The Great Beauty (Italy)
Ilo Ilo (Singapore)
The Rocket (Australia)
Wadjda (Saudi Arabia)

In the shortlist

Gloria (Chile)
Heli (Mexico)
The Hunt (Denmark)
The Past (Iran)

Mexicano

Heli from Mexico won the Best Director Prize to the following films:
* Le Passe (The Past)
* The Great Beauty
* Nebraska
* Inside Lewyn Davis
* The Immigrant (Starring Marion Cotillard, Joaquin Phoenix and Jeremy Renner)

The President of the Jury was Steven Spielberg and among the Jury Members were Ang Lee, Nicole Kidman and Christoph Waltz.

It is simply stupid that the predictions are not listing Heli…

Mexicano

Why is Indie Wire snubbing Heli from Mexico?
The film won Best Director in Cannes this year. God was the President of the Jury that chose Heli!! Sorry, I meant Steven Spielberg, The Mighty King of Hollywood…
But Ang Lee, Nicole Kidman and Christoph Waltz were also members of the Jury!
All of them Academy Award Winners and powerful enough inside The Academy. Ang Lee is the current Oscar Best Director.

Yes, thanks to the absence of "Blue is the Warmest Color", this year this category raised the bar and competition is too tight.

My prediction:
1. Heli from Mexico
2. Wajda from Saudi Arabia
3. Le passe from Iran
4. The Hunt from Denmark
5. Gloria from Chile.

Possible spoilers:
6. The Great Beauty from Italy
7. Neighbouring Sounds from Brazil
8. The Rocket from Australia
9. The Broken Circle Breakdown from Belgium.

And that's it!
There are no more possible nominees…

mike

Good List This Year But Hard To Imagine The Great Beauty Won't Be In The Final Five. One Of Those Rare Treats That You Wish Would Never end

Viscious

Here's who I'm rooting for:

1. Wadjda
2. The Hunt
3. The Past
4. Ilo-Ilo
5. Renoir

Mexicano

And where is Heli from Mexico? I mean, Heli won Best Director in Cannes from the hands of Steven Spilberg. Spielberg was the president of the Jury last Cannes Film Festival, the most important of the world. That man knows how to film no? Besides, he has enough power and influencie inside The Academy to backup this nomination. Spielberg voted Heli for Best Director in Cannes, but not only him, this year the Festival Jury included very grave erigíos of Hollywood such as the there times Academy Winner Ang Lee (the current Oscar to Best Director), the Academy Winner Nicole Kidman and the two e Academy Winner Christoph Waltz. They all chose Heli for Best Director. Be smart! There is no logic in excluding Heli from the predictions.

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Mexicano

1. Le Passe from Israel.
2. The Hunt from Denmark.
3. Gloria from Chile.
4. Heli from Mexico.
5. Neighbouring Sounds from Brazil.

This category will be for Latin American films.

Gustavo

I was born and live in the Brazilian city Neighbouring Sounds was shot (Recife, which is not the main center of the country's cinema) and I can honestly tell that the movie depicts a story we can see everyday by living here or in other large cities in Brazil: the influence of our colonial past, characterized by landlordism and slavery, in the modern days economic grownth society.
However, I think the lack of participation in main movie festivals (such as Cannes, Berlin or Venice) might dicrease the film's chance of a nomination. Sadly.
I believe the final five will be:
The Hunt
Wadjda
The Past
Gloria
Child's Pose/Neighbouring Sounds/The Great Beauty

Aurelièn

The final five will be:
The Great Beauty
The Hunt
Neighbouring Sounds
Wadjda
The Past (or Gloria)

r.

An Episode in the Life of an Iron Picker (Bosnia-Herz.)
Gloria (Chile)
The Hunt (Denmark)
Child's Pose (Romania)
Wadjda (Saudi Arabia)

It's unlikely there will be a better film this year than Brazil's Neighbouring Sounds.

arshadfilms

Here is my dream list:
The Past- Iran
Zinda Bhaag- Pakistan
Gabrielle- Canada
Child's Pose- Romania
The Hunt- Denmark

All great films!

James Davise

I cannot believe that UNA NOCHE, the Cuban movie, is not up here. That was the best movie I saw this year. Hands. Down.

jessn

The hunt was such a great film. Mads deserves an oscar for his performance. The whole cast was great.

Brett

What about Young and Beautiful?

vincent

I think the final five nominees will be

The Great Beauty – Italy
The Rocket – Australia
ILo ILo – Singapore
Neighbouring Sounds – Brazil
The Hunt – Denmark

Julia Islas

1. The great beauty – Italy
2. Gloria – Chile
3. Anina – Uruguay
4. Zinda Bhagg – Pakistan
5. The Hunt – Denmark

Brian Meyer

I think the winner will be Neighbouring Sounds or The Hunt

Hajime

The Hunt
Wadjda
Neighbouring Sounds
The Rocket
The Great Beauty

Mexicano

And were is Mexico with Heli, Best Director winner this year Cannes Film Festival?

^_^

my predictions :

1. ILO ILO – SINGAPORE
2. WADJDA – SAUDI ARABIA
3. HELI – MEXICO
4. TRANSIT – PHILIPPINES
5. METRO MANILA – UNITED KINGDOM
6. THE ROCKET – AUSTRALIA
7. THE GREAT BEAUTY – ITALY
8. THE PAST – IRAN
9. THE GRANDMASTER – HONGKONG
10. GLORIA – CHILE

matthew

My predictions

The Hunt
Gloria
Neighbouring Sounds
The Great Beauty
Wadjda

Gregory

Brazil's "Neighboring Sounds" is a definite possibility. Although it's maybe too "indie", it was included in the 2012's 10 Best Movies list by New York Times and premiated in Rotterdam. And, also, the movie is awesome.

Josh

The Hunt was a great movie, but more because of Mads Mikkelsen's performance than anything else. Wish there was even the faintest chance of him getting nominated because he more than deserves it.

Darkness69

Where's the Bosnian candidate that already won this year's Grand Jury Prize at the Berlin Film Festival "An Episode In The Life Of An Iron Picker" by the Academy Award winner Danis Tanović???

Janson

What about 'The Past' and Poland's Andrzej Wajda's (Oscar Winner in the past -life achvmnt award) 'Walesa. Man of Hope'?

spassky

frustrating only one film per country can be submitted. I really enjoyed "A Hijacking" and, no doubt, a bunch of others I'm forgetting right now, but on the other hand I really enjoyed "The Hunt" as well… (can't speak to "Blue…"s quality as I haven't seen it)

BOO

If Blue is the Warmest Color was eligible it would have it so easily.

Hajime

Oh, it's here.

Hajime

Where's The Great Beauty, the italian candidate?

lmbsie

re: Broken Circle Breakdown, "Flemish" is the name of a group of people, not a language. The Flemish people speak Dutch.

Mexicano.

I believe the list will suffer many changes, since this is the Most Difficult Category to Predict at this moment. I don't see countries with a strong film industry like Italy and Spain. I don't even see Russia, Austria or Japan. Another raising countries in the film industry are also missing, such as Denmark (A better world, A Royal Affair, Lars Von Trier, Mads Mikelsen, Alicia Vikander) and Mexico (Alfonso Cuaron, Gonzalez Inarritu, Guillermo Del Toro, Guillermo Arriaga, Love Bites, The Crime of Father Amaro, And your mother too, Biutiful, Pan's Labyrinth, Babel).

Mexicano.

Where is Mexico?
Mexico will have to decide between two potential major contenders for Oscar in Foreign Language: Heli (winner of Best Director award in Cannes) and Instructions Not Included that is already in the Top 10 of Foreign Lenguage Films of all times in USA and is selling out the tickets in Mexico. Besides this two, this year was good for Mexico since it was also launched the Most Successful Picture in Mexican Films -"The Nobles"- which sent "The Crime of Father Amaro to the second place". However "The Nobles" is a Comedy that can not be taken seriously for Art Awards -except for the impressive work of Luis Gerardo Mendez-.
I am sure Mexico will be included in the final list this year and without "Le Passe" and "Blue is the Warmest Colour" the Award could go to any country.

Mexicano.

Great that this category has also come to the predictions!
I agree with Brett… where is Le Passe? I think this film had even more chances to win than Blue is the Warmest Colour. But not seeing any of both, I think is stupid. France is making extraordinary films lately, but has taken wrong decisions for competing to the Oscars.
1.-First, they sent Persepollis instead of La Vie en Rose (La Mome), film in foreing lenguage that earned Marion Cotillard the Oscar as Best Actress for an extraordinary work and an acting legacy as Edith Piaf. However, Marion wrote history joining the italians Sophia Loren and Roberto Begnini as the only interpreters winning an Oscar for a foreign lenguage film.
2.- With "Un Prophete" France was deserving but that year foreign lenguage films were heavy weights, even more than Hollywood's films. Over "Un Prophete" and "Das WeiBe Band", Argetina won with the extraordinary master piece "El Secreto de sus Ojos". It was not French time.
3. The Artist won all the awards as Best Picture including Jean Dujardain as Best Actor and Berenice Bejo being nominated as well.
4. Last year Emmanuelle Riva should have won the Oscar as Best Actress over JLaw. Marion Cotillard and Jean Louis Trintignant didn't even get a nomination.
5. Last Year France could not make it as Best Foreign Language nominee because they chose the wrong film. Rust and Bone should have been the french choice.
6. It is very sad to see that Le Passe will not be the french contender. Berenice Bejo -a previous nominee- has received raves for her work there. Tahar Rahim, the awarded young leading of "Un Prophete" is also part of the cast and the Director is an Oscar Winner for "A Separation".
Summary: France are great filmakers and terrible competitionmakers.
Sad, sad, sad…

Brett

Where's The Past? Where's Young and Beautiful?

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