You will be redirected back to your article in seconds

2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the
86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are
announced.

"Gravity" vs. "12 Years a Slave"? That certainly seemed like the
narrative we were heading into for quite some time, which would have shared  commonalities
with the "Avatar" vs. "The Hurt Locker," "Hugo" vs. "The Artist" and
"Life of Pi" vs. "Argo" showdowns that met the last three years (an
expensive, 3D critical and commercial hit versus a smaller film tackling
history in one way or another)… History won all three times, but this
year is clearly closer than ever. The two films historically tied
for the PGA top honors, which just goes to show how tight this is. Add
in "American Hustle," which has received a ton of love from the
precursors too, and we got ourselves a bonafide three-way race. Unless
something truly shocking happens, one of these three films is winning
best picture, and we’ve been going back and forth between "12 Years" and
"Gravity" as my pick… I’ve finally landed on the former, but frankly
am just excited to be this uncertain so late in the race.

Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.


The nominees:
“American Hustle” Charles Roven, Richard Suckle, Megan Ellison and Jonathan Gordon, Producers
“Captain Phillips” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti and Michael De Luca, Producers

“Dallas Buyers Club” Robbie Brenner and Rachel Winter, Producers
“Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón and David Heyman, Producers
“Her” Megan Ellison, Spike Jonze and Vincent Landay, Producers
“Nebraska” Albert Berger and Ron Yerxa, Producers
“Philomena” Gabrielle Tana, Steve Coogan and Tracey Seaward, Producers
“12 Years a Slave” Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Steve McQueen and Anthony Katagas, Producers
“The Wolf of Wall Street” Nominees to be determined

Will win: "12 Years a Slave"
Could win: "Gravity"
Should win: "Her" (though "12 Years" or "Gravity" would suit me just fine).
Shoulda been here: "Inside Llewyn Davis"

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

Sign up HERE for
Indiewire’s Awards Season newsletter and receive a twice-weekly email
roundup of our awards stories, hand-picked by our editors from across
the Indiewire Network, plus additional coverage in the final run up to
the Oscars.

This Article is related to: Awards and tagged


Comments

JD

Will Win ''12 Years a Slave''
Could Win ''Gravity''
Should Win ''12 Years a Slave''
Should be here ''Saving Mr. Banks''
Should not be here ''The Wolf of Wall Street''

Joe Cromwell

1. Only God Forgives
2. Twelve Years A Slave
3. Dallas Buyer's Club
4. Her
5. Inside Llewyn Davis
6. Nebraska
7. Mud
8. Wolf of Wall Street
9. Jack the Giant Slayer

fernando meibak

For me the best movie is Blue Jasmine, unbelivable that was not appointed inside the list of best pictures

Faithy

After watching Nebraska, I can't even imagine anything else coming close to moving me the way this film did. I'm watching as many of the nominated films as I can, and nothing else holds a candle.

Green

Should have been here – INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS.

I don't think anyone can say that enough. Did the Academy just not use the last spot to show how nit-picky they are? Pathetic.

KH

"The Butler" SHOULD definitely have been among the Best Picture nominees. The absence of ANY nominations for "The Butler" is a travesty. I guess only ONE Black film can be nominated in a year, heh????

Jeff

I'm willing to bet that the majority of the people on this forum never even watched Nebraska. Why Bruce Dern, June Squibbs, and the movie as Best Picture isn't mentioned by most proves that most haven't watched it. What an amazing movie! Powerfully driven by strong performances. This is the movie that should win. This movie made me laugh so hard and was a breath of fresh air. I judge movies by how much they capture my attention, draw me in, make me feel, the tange of emotions….what a great movie

Andrew

Gravity had stunning cinematography and intense scenes, but the plot/story was seriously lacking. I might be crazy for saying this, but I feel that an oscar-winning movie should have an exceptional plot… otherwise the movie shouldn't even be considered. Doesn't mean its a horrible movie, just not an oscar winning movie.

anon

Christian Bale was phenomenal in Hustle, as was the entire cast. The nominees for best pic, I think, were all lacking in some way, none of them are movies I care to see again, EXCEPT Hustle, because there were so many twists and the clothes and music made it fun to go back to that time.

Tom Dye

Only Hollywood "political correctness" could propel a lousy movie like Twelve Years a Slave into Oscar contention.

Joe H.

Brett's got the right idea.

Best Pic:
Prediction: 12 Years
Deserving: Wolf of Wall Street

Best Director:
Prediction: Alfonso Cauron
Deserving: Alfonso Cuaron

Best Actor:
Prediction: McConaughey
Deserving: Ejiofor

Best Actress:
Prediction: Blanchett
Deserving: Blanchett

Supporting Actor:
Prediction: Leto
Deserving: Fassbender

Supporting Actress:
Prediction: Lawrence
Deserving: Nyong'o

Brett

Best Picture:
Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
Deserving: American Hustle

Director:
Prediction: Alfonso Cuaron
Deserving: David O. Russell

Actor:
Prediction: McConaughey
Deserving: Bale

Actress:
Prediction: Blanchett
Deserving: Adams

Supporting Actor:
Prediction: Leto
Deserving: Cooper

Supporting Actress:
Prediction: Lawrence
Deserving: Lawrence

Juan

I really don't understand the hate towards American Hustle. I mean it really isn't as great as some people are saying but it is not as terrible as people in here are saying. It was a bit of let down for me since it's not as excellent as O. Rusell's to previous films but it is still a great film. Anyways in my opinion Her should win because it was innovative, entertaining and simply beautiful with a great script, amazing characters and great performances. Nebraska is a close second since it was truly a work of art.
In MY opinion this should be the Oscar winners in the "major" categories.
Best Picture: Her.
Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón.
Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey/Leonardo DiCaprio.
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett.
Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto.
Best Supporting Actress: June Squibb/Jennifer Lawrence.
Best Original Screenplay: Her.
Best Adapted Screenplay: The Wolf Of Wall Street.

QUENTIN STRUM

I love the underdog (American Hustle). Here is how my preferential voting went for best motion picture nominations.

1. American Hustle
2. 12 Years A Slave
3. Dallas Buyers Club
4. Her
5. Captain Phillips

With preferential voting for the Oscar, you don't have to list all ten films. So, obviously, my vote for the win goes to my number 1. Let's see what happens come Oscar night.

MTN

"Gravity" is the best film of 2013. It should win and I hope it does win. It would break through the glass ceiling for Sci- Fi if it wins. I hope the Academy will get it right. It will be a serious letdown if 12 Years wins. How many more Oscars need to be awarded to films dealing with the Holocaust. Slavery and racism before we can award something new and truly groundbreaking like "Gravity."
A film that got audiences back to theaters.

Juha Tapani

Now that I have seen all the nominated best picture movies….The winner should be:
"Gravity"… Instant classic.
"12 Years…" will be forgotten in the same way as most mediocore winners…"Ordinary People",
"Out Of Africa", "Driving Miss Daisy", "Shakespeare In Love" among others…
Some under-rated movies should have been nominated for best picture: "Rush", "Prisoners", The Place Beyond The Pines" and "Blue Jasmine". Just to mention few….
I do know that "Gravity" won`t stand a change for winning, but to the end I keep hoping for a miracle…That won`t happen.
"American Hustle" was a neat fashion show, "The Wolf Of Wall Street" was just boring porno- and drugshow. The rest….Nothing special.
If you want to watch a film about slavery, then try "Mandingo" or tv-serie "Roots". They have showed all there is to know about slavery subject.
For whatever reason people disliked or hated "Gravity" it will be labelled a masterpiece years to come. End of discussion.

Kay Roper

I l ike the movie gravity and 12 years a slave

Fan

Literally any other movie besides american hustles. American Hustle was so boring and disappointing. This is coming from someone who loves the actors in the cast and the director but the movie is over hyped and has no substance.

Lala

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave (Should: Gravity/Nebraska)
Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron (Should: Cuaron)
Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey (Should: Bale/McConaughey)
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (Should: Streep/Bullock)
Best Supp. Actor: Jared Leto (Should: Leto/Cooper)
Best Supp. Actress: Lupita Nyong'o (Should: Anyone but Roberts)
Best Original Screenplay: Her (Should: Her/Nebraska)
Best Adapted Screenplay: 12 Years a Slave (Should: Wolf of Wall Street)
Best Documentary: Act of Killing (Should: Act of Killing/20 Feet From Stardom)
Best Animated Film: The Wind Rises (Should: None of the ones nominated)
Best Cinematography: Gravity (Should: Gravity/Nebraska)
Best Editing: Gravity (Should: Gravity)

Minhyuk

I REALLY WANT PHILOMENA TO WIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Denny J

I think that American Hustle is one of those movies that gets a ton of nominations but ends up with nothing. Derivative and cheesy with overblown everything. Tease your hair and show as much cleavage as possible and you get a nomination. Let's face it, box office receipts are what drive the Oscars which leads me to Gravity. Basically a live action cartoon with Sandra Bullock whining for a couple of hours. Since Her has no chance whatsoever, I'll go with 12 Years A Slave – good story, solid performances from everyone, well done on every level. In a perfect world, the list of the actual best pictures of the year would have been quite different. Among the nominated films, I'd rather see Captain Phillips or Philomena win than either American Hustle or Gravity.

Brett

I want American Hustle to win but it might go to 12 Years a Slave, which I don't mind much because it'll be Brad Pitt's first Oscar

FRANCISCO

By the way…where is "The Butler", ''Inside Llewin Davis'', ''Mandela, long walk to freedom'', "Saving Mr. Banks", ''Rush'', or ''Before midnight'' ?? I do really believe they deserve something else…

Jay

12 Years a Slave was a work of art. One of the most beautiful movies I've ever been blessed enough to see. Has to win. Anything else would be a joke.

Travis

American Hustle was boring, and very disappointing. There was a good story, but it did not deserve a 2 hour and 15 min runtime. It's a con film which failed at letting the audience know the plan and setup of the operation, unlike The Sting or even Ocean's Eleven. Filled with idiot characters like in Pulp Fiction which is completely fine to have, only unlike Pulp Ficiton, here half of the film's dialogue is not interesting or worth following along with.
My true best picture pick is: Nebraska
Okay with winning: Her, The Wolf of Wall Street, Gravity, or 12 Years A Slave
Which film was snubbed: The Place Beyond The Pines

foozy

gravity should win. can the academy afford to make the same mistake as avatar vs. hurt locker. let's hope someone there is using their brains…

Juha Tapani

"Gravity" all the way… "12 Years…" was zero, nothing. Watch "Mandingo"(1975) and then come back. ! Lupita`s "acting" was media core and came from make up department.
Michael Fassbinder was nominated because he should have won for "Shame".
Only positive thing about 12 y…. The other woman…Sarah Paulson. She did the best acting in this movie…Of course they did not nominate her. Whatever she did or said…Was the only moments when 12….came alive.
Well…When all the hype is gone….It will look just dull, white guilt thing…Masterpiece…never.
Last year a tv-movie "Argo" won….What a joke…But that`s Oscar.
Does somebody wants to see…"Ordinary People", "Out Of Africa", "Driving Miss Daisy", "Rainman", "Shakespeare In Love"…Etc…
Did not think so…
Same route/thing will happen to "12 y.i.s"…Dead on arrival…

joe

I found Gravity extremely boring and thought Sandra Bullock was annoying and whiny. Her was just strange and not really my cup of tea.
12 years a slave was the best show I've watched this year, so it should win. I really enjoyed all the other nominations for best flick though. (except Gravity and Her)

Lester

i post this site in Frinzee it really helps me decide lol

Ronnie d.

Her should NOT win best picture.

minhyuk

Will Win: American Hustle
Should Win: Her, Gravity or 12 Years A Slave
Should Not Be Here: Nebraska
Should Have Been Here: Saving Mr. Banks
Dark Horse : Philomena or The Wolf Of Wall Street

Kyle Wells

Ok. The race is absolutely between Gravity and 12 Years A Slave. But who would be the winner ? I mean, the Academy, historically, would choose 12 Years A Slave, as it is obvious because historical drama about slavery impresses the most. But Gravity, I don't know, it connects more and it delivered great visual effects. While the plot was predictable, but the film does have better chance of winning than 12YAS. And yeah, Her is awesome, but it should win Best Original Screenplay, rather than this one. I prefer Philomena or Captain Phillips. But yeah, it would suit me fine

Mia

Gravity was horrible. Complete;y cheesy and predictable. The only thing good about it was the imagery and special affects. I dont understand how it made the "best Picture" nomination.

Klamentyne

i think the best director is a lock for Alfonso Cuaron but not so sure about "Gravity". but i absolutely agree that "Her" should win!

Antonio

I agree with you on everything except the "will win" category: I think "12 Years a Slave" will win. The biggest disappointment for me is also that the Coens' movie is not within the best 10 films of the year according to the American Academy. I expect "American Hustle" won't win. It's too simple and the denouement is very predictable.

Dan

I can't see Gravity beating 12 Years A Slave to be honest.

Nicholas Guy

It has to go to Gravity. That film was concise, every image packed a punch and the whole package was incredible.

Typeaux

I'm leaning toward American Hustle for Best Picture over Gravity, and to tell the truth, I'm getting tired of the historical guilt-laden films and so haven't bothered to see "12 Years a Slave" (even though I like Ejifor's past work). You say "Her" should win, but it was a film that was more thought-provoking than enjoyable for my tastes. Far too many holes in the premise that were not addressed or glossed over. The surrogate scene was simply uncomfortable and served no real purpose in that film. Amy Adams was the best part of the picture, and Johannsen always has a terrific voice, even if she's playing a disembodied cartoon of a character here.

"Gravity" is a terrific escape film — again with far too many holes, but far easier to ignore than the "Aw c'mon" moments in "Her," of which there were far too many.

Definitely Cate Blanchett for Best Actress. In fact, if there were a higher award for her work in "Blue Jasmine," she'd deserve that too.

I have to go with Jennifer Lawrence for "American Hustle." She's just too good to pass over.

I'll go (not too far) out on a limb to pick McConaughey for Best Actor. Simply outstanding.

I'll pick Jared Leto for the same film. He brought a world of range and sensitivity to his part.

Julia F

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave

Best Actor: Chiwetel Ejifor or Matthew McConaughey (both equally deserving)

Best Actress: Cate Blanchett

Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto

Best Supporting Actress: Lupita N'yongo or Sally Hawkins

Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón

James S.

You lost all respect in my eyes the moment you said that stinking pile of crap 'Her' should win.

Andrea

Life of Pi vs Argo? Lol.
Don't you mean LES MIS vs Argo? It was never going to be Life of Pi. Not even close.

Adsy

Best Picture:
12 Years a Slave

Best Director:
Steve McQueen

Best Actor:
Matthew Mcconaughey

Best Supporting Actor:
Michael Fassbender

Best Supporting Actress:
Lupita Nyong'o

Ivan

All good movies (but I'm very sorry to not watch Nebraska yet) and almost any of them could win and would deserve it. Still, when I'm thinking which of these movies I will remember most in let's say 10 years- I think it will be Wolf of Wall Street. It would be a great moment that finally one "comedy" get Oscar- this one really deserves it.

Riley

IMO. I'd rank them this way
1. Wolf of Wall Street
2. Her
3. 12 years a slave
4. Dallas Buyers Club
5. American Hustle
6. Gravity
7. Captain Phillips
8. Nebraska
9. Philomena

All very very good movies. I think 12 Years a Slave or American Hustle will win. Wolf of Wall Street should win.

Asmartperson

Her?…. Is that a joke? That has to be the dumbest comment on the history of this site, hands down. You're telling us "Her" should win the oscar for best picture… Ok then

Juan

12 Years a Slave should win this. It's truly a masterpiece. If not, then Her should win. American Hustle and Gravity were very good movies but they aren't overall amazing. Hustle it's all about the performances while Gravity about Special Effects and those are the categories where they should be rewarded.

M.

Since 12YAS won the PGA and Nyong'o has won all the awards an actress is supposed to to win, it looks like the film will win all the important Oscars. So…does that mean the producers, the PR people, studio, etc., will call off the dogs and end their smear campaigns against all the other films especially American Hustle?. A lot of bullshit smear campaigns going on.

Beth Sinatra

Have you seen the YouTube video by Ted Stevenson and Samantha Massell "Predicting the Oscars" it is a wonderfully done and entertaining performance. They should win an Oscar.

ZAK

Prediction and Deserving possible nominees that might win and what I want to win:

Best Picture:
Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
Deserving: American Hustle

Best Director:
Prediction: Alfonso Cuaron
Deserving: David O. Russell

Best Actor:
Prediction: Matthew McConaughey
Deserving: Leonardo DiCaprio

Best Actress:
Prediction: Cate Blanchett
Deserving: Amy Adams

Best Supporting Actor:
Prediction Jared Leto
Deserving: Michael Fassbender

Best Supporting Actress:
Prediction: Lupita Nyong'o
Deserving: Jennifer Lawrence

Best Original Screenplay:
Prediction: Her
Deserving: American Hustle

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
Deserving: Before Midnight

Best Animated Feature:
Prediction: Frozen
Deserving: Frozen

Brett

Are you kidding me? Rush got completely shut out! Inside Llewyn Davis only got ONE nomination that's pretty insulting to the Coens, where's Young and Beautiful from The Great Gatsby? Where's American Hustle for Makeup? Where's Tom Hanks?! Really?! Saving Mr. Banks only got a Score nod? What the hell is Alone but Not Alone? Where's Daniel Bruhl? Where's Emma Thompson? Where's Jake Gyllenhall for Prisoners? Instead they nominate Jonah Hill for playing Jonah Hill? Not the worst year but still disappointing, at least American Hustle got a lot of love

Jack

Best Picture:
Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
Deserving: 12 Years a Slave

Best Director:
Prediction: Alfonso Cuaron
Deserving: Steve McQueen

Best Actor:
Prediction: Chiwetel Ejiofor
Deserving: Robert Redford

Best Actress:
Prediction: Cate Blanchett
Deserving: Cate Blanchett

Best Supporting Actor:
Prediction Jared Leto (ugh)
Deserving: Michael Fassbender

Best Supporting Actress:
Prediction: Lupita Nyong'o
Deserving: Lupita Nyong'o

Best Original Screenplay:
Prediction: Her
Deserving: Her

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
Deserving: Before Midnight

Best Animated Feature:
Prediction: The Wind Rises
Deserving: The Wind Rises

Best Foreign Film:
Prediction: The Great Beauty
Deserving: The Hunt

kami

I actually go with the golden globes top 10 and except the last two i am sure of all 8

1. Gravity
2. Her
3. 12 Years a Slave
4. American Hustle
5. Inside Llewyn Davis
6. Captain Phillips
7. Nebraska
8. Philomena
9. The Wolf of Wall Street (Too graphic for oscar)

10. Rush (May be)

Blue Jasmine / Dallas Buyers Club (Could be)

Brett

Prediction and Deserving possible nominees that might win and what I want to win:

Best Picture:
Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
Deserving: American Hustle

Best Director:
Prediction: Alfonso Cuaron
Deserving: David O. Russell

Best Actor:
Prediction: Matthew McConaughey
Deserving: Christian Bale

Best Actress:
Prediction: Cate Blanchett
Deserving: Amy Adams

Best Supporting Actor:
Prediction Jared Leto (That'd be neat, the lead singer of a hard rock band winning an Oscar)
Deserving: Daniel Bruhl

Best Supporting Actress:
Prediction: Jennifer Lawrence
Deserving: Jennifer Lawrence

Best Original Screenplay:
Prediction: Her
Deserving: American Hustle

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
Deserving: Captain Phillips

Best Animated Feature:
Prediction: The Wind Rises
Deserving: The Wind Rises

Best Foreign Film:
Prediction: The Hunt
Deserving: The Hunt (despite that weird opening scene where a completely nude man jumps in the water)

ZAK

After due thought and consideration and just how the Golden Globes turned out

Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave
Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron
Best Actor: Matthew McConaughay
Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (definite lock)
Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto (definite lock)
Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Lawrence (one can hope)

What do you guys think?

Dylan

My Nominations (Best Picture):
12 YEARS A SLAVE
AMERICAN HUSTLE
BLUE JASMINE
CAPTAIN PHILLIPS
FRUITVALE STATION
GRAVITY
HER
INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS
NEBRASKA
THE WOLF OF WALL STREET

Matt

1. 12 Years a Slave
2. Gravity
3. Inside Llewyn Davis
4. Her
5. American Hustle
6. Nebraska
7. Captain Phillips
8. Blue Jasmine
9. The Wolf of Wallstreet
10. Philomena
If academy decides to expand with 10 films Wallstreet and Philomena along with Blue Jasmine will sneak in. My top 7 will definitely make the cut. 12 Years a Slave will win Best Picture with Gravity not far behind

CALD

I've seen everything in the top 12 but Philomenia, Banks, and Blue. The other
9 are fantastic movies. But my question is what is this lack of love for the Place Beyond the Pines? I have it as my 5th favorite movie of the year after Hustle, Dallas, Nebraska and Slave. Who agrees Pines is one of the best movies of the year?

kami

8 films are locked

1. Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón)
2. Her (Spike Jonze)
3. 12 Years a Slave (Steve McQueen)
4. American Hustle (David O. Russell)
5. Inside Llewyn Davis (Joel & Ethan Coen)
6. Nebraska (Alexander Payne, In Theaters)
7. The Wolf of Wall Street (Martin Scorsese)
8. Captain Phillips (Paul Greengrass)
9. ???????????
10. ??????????? (if oscar wanted)

Just because pga and bafta didnt nominate Inside LD doesnt mean that its out. a serious man wasnt nominated in pga and true grit also didnt get any recognition in directing in any other award except oscar. beside that i didnt like A.hustle and the Wolf is a bad movie but its pretty much locked and A.hustle might end up winning but i wish Her won the best picture. the last two its too unpredicted. may be oscar left those two spots and nominate only 8

Glenn

My Predictions for Winners

Best film : Gravity
Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey
Best Actress : Amy Adams
Best Actor in supporting role : Jerad Leto
Best Actress in supporting role : Jeniffer Lawrence
Best Director : Alfonso Cuaron
Best animated movie : Frozen

Glenn

My Predictions for Winners

Best film : Gravity
Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey
Best Actress : Amy Adams
Best Actor in supporting role : Jerad Leto
Best Actress in supporting role : Jeniffer Lawrence
Best Director : Alfonso Cuaron
Best animated movie : Frozen

Kansas

I think this list is pretty spot on, especially for 1-3. Though I do think Dallas Buyers Club has more of a chance of getting in than Philomena if there are only 8 nominees. I could easily see Saving Mr Banks and Philomena fighting it out for a final spot especially if they have 10 nominees. Inside Llewyn Davis still has a good chance of getting in here but it isn't gaining as much momentum as originally expected. Knowing the academy August: Osage County & The Butler could find noms, it would be surprising but not totally out of nowhere.

Jahan

Even though my favourite was Gravity, I would be quite alright with 12 years a slave winning best picture. However I do think that Gravity should and will win for its editing, cinematography, visual effects, score, sound editing and direction. If Steve McQueen wins over Cuaron for best director, I will be annoyed.

Zach

If it were up to me here are my nominees
1. 12 Years a Slave
2.The Wolf of Wall Street
3. Fruitvale Station
4. Inside Llewyn Davis
5. Her
6. Captain Phillips
7. American Hustle
8. Philomena
9. Saving Mr. Banks/ Rush
In my opinion both Gravity and Nebraska, while both very good films, are overrated a bit

George Meyers

I really think Rush could get in there. I found 12 Years and Gravity a Little empty in screenplay…

Iver

You need an editor. Lots of embarrassing grammar.

JD

Wolf was not that good. It was way too long. I'm okay with long movies, as long as they don't feel like they're long. With Wolf, I kept thinking that it was finally over, but there was still more. Furthermore, I did not find any of the characters to be likable and had nobody to root for.

MARKI

Before Midnight and Blue is the Warmest Color deserves two spots… pleasee!!!!!

GIGI

Thinking about last year Amour's exploit, The Great Beauty or Blue is the Warmest Color could be considered by the Academy.

downster

The "check out the predictions for all categories here" link is dead, and has been from the get go. Just so you know. Someone might want to fix it.

teacher

There will be no surprise. The winner is 12 Years a Slave.

Frank

Interesting top 10 order.. I would like to see your top movies of 2014 list.
http://bestmoviesof2014.net

Sachin Dharwadker

1. Her
2. Inside Llewyn Davis
3. Blue is the Warmest Color
4. 12 Years a Slave
5. American Hustle
6. Gravity
7. Nebraska
8. The Wolf of Wall Street

Ryan

Fruitvale isn't even on the long shot list… what a crappy world we live in

FRENCHIE

AMPAS please!!! BEFORE MIDNIGHT is one of the best films of the year!!!!! Give one spot to 'Before'!!! for BEST PICTURE plzzzz!!

Anon

I really do hope AMPAS make the right decision when it comes to this year's BP category. I mean, it's for a year that has the number 3 in it and as their decisions over the past 20 years (I'm not counting the decades prior to that) have shown, they rewarded the right film that was released in a year with the number 3 in it.

I do hope you followed that…

declan

My absolute locks:
12 Years a Slave
Gravity
Out of the Furnace
Overrated:
American Hustle
Wolf of Wall Street
Beautiful but overdone or naive:
Saving Mr. Banks
The Butler
Captain Phillips
The Winner is:
12 Years a Slave is not just a movie or story.
It is clinically pure pain from the sore cut, hurled on to the screen so it can hurt you more and more for days on end…

Brett

1. 12 Years a Slave (Steve McQueen, Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Anthony Katagas, Bill Pohland, Arnon Milchan, and Jeremy Kleiner, producers)

2. Gravity (Alfonso Cuaron, and David Heyman, producers)

3. American Hustle (Megan Ellison, Charles Roven, and Richard Suckle, producers)

4. Wolf of Wall Street (Martin Scorsese, Leonardo Dicaprio, Riza Aziz, Emma Tillinger, and Joey McFarland, producers)

5. Rush (Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, Peter Morgan, Brian Oliver, and Eric Fellner, producers)

6. Blue Jasmine (Letty Aronson, Steven Tenenbaum, and Edward Walson, producers)

7. The Butler (Lee Daniels, Cassian Elwes, Lara Ziskin, and Buddy Patrick, producers)

8. Captain Phillips (Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti, and Michael De Luca, producers)

9. Inside Llewyn Davis (Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, and Scott Rudin, producers)

10. Saving Mr. Banks (Ian Collie, Phillip Steur, and Allison Owen, producers)

11. Nebraska (Albert Berger, and Ron Yerxa, producers)

12. Her (Megan Ellison, and Vincent Tayday, producers)

EVE

my predictions
1. 12 Years a Slave
2. Gravity
3. American Hustle
4. Nebraska
5. Her
6. Inside Llewyn Davis
7. Captain Phillips
8. The Wolf of Wall Street
For 9 /10…. I WISH it would be BEFORE MIDNIGHT and BLUE IS THE WARMEST COLOUR!!!! PLEASE ACADEMY!!

Justin

Captain Phillips was outstanding. It should definitely be nominated for Best Picture, director, actor and Supporting actor. The movie deserves it! 12 Years a Slave was disappointing. I thought it was choppy and it didn't flow. Good acting though. Gravity was intense and entertaining and Sandra Bullock was brilliant. Blue Jasmine was great, with a incredible performance by Cate Blanchett. American Hustle was disappointing. The acting was so so but Bradley Cooper was pretty good! The Wolf of Wall Street was terrible. The acting was alright, but too many sex and nudity scenes. I don't mind sex and nudity in films as long as it makes sense to the plot and storyline of the movie.

kami

After watching american hustle, captain phillips and saving mr bank these are my predictions (Not for oscar only but for overall best of 2013. The film that i want oscar should nominate)

1. Gravity
2. 12 Years a Slave
3. Blue Is the Warmest Color
4. Her
5. Nebraska
6. Inside Llewyn Davis
7. Fruitvale Station
8. The Wolf of Wall Street
9. Prisoners
10. The Past

Jasper

For me, American Hustle is above and beyond, the best film of the year. While I thoroughly enjoyed 12 Years a Slave and found it to be moving, beautiful and brilliant, those same words, and a few others, could also be used to describe American Hustle. Rush also deserves a nomination in my opinion, as no other movie has thrilled me in that way before.

My predictions for Best Picture :

1) American Hustle
2) 12 Years a Slave
3) Gravity
4) Rush
5) Captain Phillips
6) The Wolf of Wall Street
7) The Place Beyond the Pines
8) Nebraska
9) Her

kami

I just watched american hustle and it was just ok film. The first half is a another side track from actuall plot, the middle was exciting because the actual story starts from middle and the end is ultimately you get it. The direction not fantastic among the competition this year. the acting guys were ok. bradly was so over acted and christain was just doing the character well. Amy try so hard but that stupid british accent loose her acting skills and jennifer really! she is the best thing in this movie? her character was so mature for her and also doesnt add anything. she also over acted. If amy has been given that role it will be great. and the biggest flaw of the film is Screenplay,. Its just so confusing and dull. overall not my fvourite.

Brett

American Hustle was the best movie this year! That movie deserves Best Picture

MARIU

I absolutely admire BEFORE MIDNIGHT!!! Just give one spot to 'Before' trilogy!!

Tom

Judi Dench and Steve Coogan's screenplay will land Philomena as a Best Picture nominee.

Lilly

Nebraska and saving mr banks should be locks

Brett

The Academy might surprise us next year, it might not go to 12 Years a Slave even though that's the movie everyone is locking, they could pull off another Crash move (P.S I don't think that movie's win is not as bad as everyone says)

James

My top 10
1. 12 Years A Slave (best, most important film of year)
2. The Place Beyond The Pines (sadly overlooked, some great all time movie moments)
3. American Hustle (David O Russell is crazy nuts, great acting)
4. Inside Llewyn Davis
5. Her
6. Nebraska
7. Fruitvale Station (terrific movie, great job by a 1st time director)
8. Prisoners (has its problems but still great, tense, unpredictable movie)
9. Frances Ha (have to be able to relate to it in some way I guess)
10. Spring Breakers/Only God Forgives (both different, both great scores by Cliff Martinez)

honorable mentions: The Way Way Back, Dallas Buyers Club, Blue Jasmine

haven't seen: Before Midnight, Gravity, Rush, Saving Mr. Banks, Wolf of Wall Street (really wanna see, think would make list), Blue is Warmest Color

Zach

I don't really understand where all the love for gravity is coming from. It was a great demonstration of special effects, but the story and acting along with many other things do not hold a tourch to the likes of 12 years a slave, the wolf of Wall Street, and captain Phillips.

kami

Great to see Rush again on the list but why Lone survivor, prisoners and all is lost is out over august osage county and the butler. just because august osage and the butler get best ensemble cast nominees at sag award doesnt mean they are good film. In the competition between august osage vs lone survivor, lone survivor get positive reviews while august osage get mixed average reviews.

Grego

Too many comments to read…but does Before Midnight really not have a shot at even a long-shot here? Universal critical acclaim, a guaranteed Screenplay nod…

Brett

Best Picture:
12 Years a Slave
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Wolf of Wall Street
Nebraska
Rush
Captain Phillips
Saving Mr Banks
American Hustle
The Butler
Blue Jasmine
Her

Best Director:
Joel and Ethan Coen
David O. Russell
Martin Scorsese
Ron Howard
Steve McQueen
Alfonso Cuaron
Spike Jonze
Alexander Payne
Lee Daniels
Paul Greengrass
John Lee Hancock
Woody Allen

Best Actor:
Bruce Dern
Robert Redford
Tom Hanks
Matthew McConaughey
Chewitel Ejiofor
Leonardo Dicaprio
Joaquin Phoenix
Oscar Isaac
Hugh Jackman
Christian Bale
Forest Whitaker
Daniel Radcliffe

Best Actress:
Meryl Streep
Emma Thompson
Sandra Bullock
Judi Dench
Cate Blanchett
Kate Winslet
Greta Gerwig
Brie Larson
Berenice Bejo
Amy Adams
Adele Exarchopoulos
Julie Delpy

Best Supporting Actor:
Tom Hanks
Jared Leto
Michael Fassbender
Jonah Hill
Bradley Cooper
Jake Gyllenhaal
Woody Harrelson
John Goodman
Harrison Ford
Matthew McConaughey
David Oyelowo
Daniel Bruhl

Best Supporting Actress:
Oprah Winfrey
Jennifer Lawrence
Lupita Nyong'O
Julia Roberts
Melissa Leo
Carey Mulligan
Margot Robbie
Sally Hawkins
Octavia Spencer
Lea Seydoux
Naomie Harris
Scarlett Johanson

Best Original Screenplay:
Her
Gravity
The Butler
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Past
Mud
Nebraska
All is Lost
Blue Jasmine
American Hustle
Prisoners
Saving Mr. Banks

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Wolf of Wall Street
Philomena
Blue is the Warmest Colour
12 Years a Slave
Short Term 12
Rush
Before Midnight
The Spectacular Now
Captain Phillips
Mandela Long Walk To Freedom
August Osage County
Labor Day

Leonardo

The Place Beyond the Pines???

batoor

Just watched american hustle and loved it.

Bob

Have not chcked back here in a little now and wow, are Top 10 films are exactly the same…shits crazy lol.

Updated List

Predicted Top 10

1) 12 Years a Slave
2) Gravity
3) American Hustle
4) The Wolf of Wall Street
5) Her
6) Nebraska
7) Saving Mr.Banks
8. Captain Phillips
9) Inside Llewyn Davis
10) Dallas Buyers Club

Real Threats that Could Enter the Top 10

11) Blue Jasmine
12) Philomena
13) Fruitvale Station

Possibles

14) Lee Daniel's The Butler
15) August: Osage County
16) All is Lost

Long Shots

17) Rush
18. Mud
19) Before Midnight
20) Enough Said

Best Director

1) Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
2) Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity
3) David O. Russel – American Hustle
4) Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street
5) Alexander Payne – Nebraska

Runner ups

6) Spike Jonze – Her
7) Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips
8. John Lee Hancock – Saving Mr.Banks

Best Actor (Pretty damn strong year; only surefire nominees are Ejiofor and McConaughey honestly)

Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
Bruce Dern – Nebraska
Christian Bale – American Hustle

Real Threats/Runner ups

Robert Redford – All is Lost
Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips

Possibles

Joaquin Phoenix – Her
Oscar Isaac – Inside Llewyn Davis
Michael B. Jordan – Fruitvale Station

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Emma Thomphson – Saving Mr.Banks
Judi Dench – Philomena
Meryl Streep – August: Osage County
Sandra Bullock – Gravity

Runner ups

Amy Adams – American Hustle
Brie Larson – Short Term 12

Best Supporting Actor

Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street
Daniel Bruhl – Rush
Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips

Runner ups

Tom Hanks – Saving Mr.Banks
James Gandolfini – Enough Said
Bradley Cooper – American Hustle

Best Supporting Actress

Lupita Nyong'o – 12 Years a Slave
Jenifer Lawrence – American Hustle
June Squibb – Nebraska
Julia Roberts – August: Osage County
Oprah Winfrey – Lee Daniel's The Butler

Justin

I don't understand why so many people loved 12 Years A Slave. It was an alright movie, but that was all. I thought it was choppy and it didn't flow. Definitely not Best Picture. The acting was good though. Gravity was intense and entertaining and Sandra Bullock was amazing but it's not Best Picture. A nomination, yes. Captain Phillips was one of the best movies this year and Tom Hanks was so so great. Definitely deserves a nod for Pic and Actor. Blue Jasmine was a really good movie that definitely not only deserves a Best Pic nomination, but also for Cate Blanchett and Woody Allen for directing.

kami

After announcing the shortlist of foreign film. i m offf with these predictions anymore. I think This year oscar will surprise us. but watching what they choose in foreign film category my surprise predictions are (Which is not my actual prediction. actual prediction right above)

1. 12 Years a Slave
2. Gravity
3. Blue Is the Warmest Color
4. Nebraska
5. Her
6. Inside Llewyn Davis
7. The Wolf of Wall Street
8. All Is Lost
9. Dallas Buyers Club

And if they want 10

10. Fruitvale Station/Blue Jasmine

I know the last few are boring but critically stand out. anything can happen

Alex Thomas

Largely agree with these predictions except surely 12 Years A Slave is far and beyond the deserved favourite. I can't see it losing personally.

Brett

1. 12 Years a Slave
2. Wolf of Wall Street
3. Inside Llewyn Davis
4. Captain Phillips
5. Saving Mr. Banks
6. Her
7. Rush
8. The Butler
9. Blue Jasmine
10. Gravity
11. American Hustle
12. Nebraska

Brett

Dallas Buyers Club is a longer shot than Rush!!

Brett

What if the Academy surprises us next year, and decided to give the big categories (Picture, Actor, Actress, Supporting Actor, Supporting Actress, Director, Original Screenplay, and Adapted Screenplay) 12 nominees because of 12 Years a Slave just so people won't go "Why isn't he nominated?" "Why isn't that movie nominated"?

Bard

My predictions would be:

• Gravity
• 12 Years A Slave
• American Hustle
• Nebraska
• Inside Llewyn Davis
• Her
• Dallas Buyers Club
• Blue Jasmine
• Captain Phillips
• Saving Mr. Banks

With Gravity as having most chance to win I'm afraid

benutty

Before Midnight is showing up in this cat. It's my longshot bet.

Liam

I'd still argue 'Lone Survivor' is a possible contender. That movie could be a serious surprise for everybody.

Will

Rush should at least be considered, it has a Globe nomination

Maxi

If you guys are not against austrian, germans and british very strictly … then the name RUSH should already be there in the list on the top of this article !! AND I AM SURPRISED it is not because people simply have not watched it .. BUT I JUST HOPE THAT OSCAR AWARD MAKERS and JUDGES MUST HAVE WATCHED IT carefully ! AND I HOPE this movie can win at least one OSCAR either in music (hans zimmer score 'lost but won'), DANIEL BRUHL (niki lauda) or the DIRECTOR himself RON HOWARD … GRAVITY should not win any OSCAR cause it is not based on true story at all and is not accurate in most of the cases !! 12 years a slave is a genuine true story so was captain philips and coming wows BUT nothing was better than RUSH a truly inspirational story of heros … one of them is still alive !

Max

You know I wouldn't be surprised if AFI almost completely predicts things with their top 10 list

Brett

Rush has a Golden Globe nod, you might want to reconsider putting that back on the list

Brett

1. Gravity (Alfonso Cuaron and David Heyman, producers)
2. 12 Years a Slave (Steve McQueen, Brad Pitt, Anthony Katages, Bill Pohland, Jeremy Kleiner, Arnon Milchan, and Dede Gardner, producers)
3. Wolf of Wall Street (Martin Scorsese, Leonardo Dicaprio, Riza Aziz, Emma Tillinger, and Joey McFarland, producers)
4. American Hustle (Richard Suckle, Charles Roven, and Megan Ellison, producers)
5. Blue Jasmine (Letty Aronson, Steven Tenenbaum, and Edward Walson, producers)
6. The Butler (Lee Daniels, Cassian Elwes, Lara Ziskin, and Buddy Patrick, producers)
7. Nebraska (Ron Yerxa, and Albert Berger, producers)
8. Saving Mr. Banks (Allison Owen, Ian Collie, and Phillip Steur, producers)
9. Rush (Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, Brian Oliver, Peter Morgan, and Eric Fellner, producers)
10. Inside Llewyn Davis (Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, and Scott Rudin, producers)
11. Captain Phillips (Michael De Luca, Scott Rudin, and Dana Brunetti, producers)
12. Her (Megan Ellison, and Vincent Landay, producers)

lawrencek

Llewyn Davis should be in the 'lock' category, no way with all the buzz it's not getting nominated.

Matt

12 Years a Slave, American Hustle, Gravity, The Wolf of Wall Street, Nebraska, Captain Phillips, Inside Llewyn Davis

Possible: The Butler, Saving Mr. Banks, Blue Jasmine, Fruitvale Station, Her, All is Lost, Dallas Buyer's Club

KAY

Ppl should watch it…American Hustle would win best picture. ..yes! I said it…

kami

I think afi top 10 and sag acting nomination were show whose get nomination.

1. 12 Years a Slave (Win Picture, Director, Sup.Actress , Adapted Screenplay)
2. Gravity (Win Film Editing , Cinematrogaphy, Sound Mixing, Visual Effects)
3. Inside Llewyn Davis (Win Prod Design, Original song(maybe Her))
4. The Wolf of Wall Street
5. American Hustle
6. Nebraska (Win Best Actor)
7. Captain Phillips
8. Saving Mr. Banks
9. Her (Win Original Screenplay)

If they want a 10
10. Fruitvale Station

Also The Other WINS: Best actress: Blue Jasmine, Best Sup.Actor: Dallas Buyers Club, Best Costume Design: The Great Gatsby and Best Sound Editing: Rush

And also Best Documentary: Stories We Tell, Best Foreign Film: The Great Beauty and Best Animated Film: The Wind Rises

End of Story whats the next oscar

Movie Man

Wolf of Wall St should not be a lock – I saw it a academy screening last week and it was at best avg, and in my estimation below avg. It shouldn't be a best pic nominee, and hopefully won't be. As for the others, Her is a lock for best pic – in fact a true contender against Gravity for the win. Fruitvale Station is way overrated – plus the director took so many liberties with story and presented more as propaganda, not a good movie at all with avg at best acting. Hopefully, this doesn't get major awards respect bc it doesn't deserve it.

As for my top 10 (having just seen American Hustle)
1. Her
2. Gravity
3. American Hustle
4. Nebraska
5. Blue Jasmine
6. Frances Ha
7. Lone Survivor
8. Inside Llewyn Davis
9. Saving Mr. Banks
10. All is Lost/Captain Phillips

BOO

My top 10 Oscar predictions once again matched the AFI's top 10, which in included Her and Fruitvale Station. Although last year the nominations weren't the same. I don't agree with your order but I do agree with your top 9 and think that Fruitvale Station should be moved up. I still think 12 years a slave will win. Picture and director because they don't tend to split the awards regardless of how great Cuaron was and how a split could honor both films.

kami

My new prediction (Just think of which movies are oscar material rather than buzz making movies)

Look for win

1. Gravity
2. 12 Years a Slave
3. The Wolf of Wall Street

Lock for nominees

4. Inside Llewyn Davis (Oscar cant neglect coen brother)
5. Nebraska (Old folks voters loved old people movies e.g last year foreign film amour)
6. Her (Oscar sometime not interested in new unusual project but critics rewarding it)
7. Blue Jasmine (Oscar loves Woody)
8. Fruitvale Station (Win an honarary rewards. It could be the last year beast of southern wild)

Under the Question which one oscar choose

9. American Hustle (Entertaining film rather than oscar material)
10. All Is Lost (Now this is oscar material)
11/12. Captain Phillips vs Lone Survivor (One action film might get a chance because of portraying real drama)

In the Mix (Nomation for acting and screenplays are must. might end up in the nominee list)

13. Saving Mr. Banks
14. Blue Is The Warmest Color
15. August: Osage County
16. Dallas Buyers Club
17. Prisoners
18. Philomena
19. Before Midnight

JC

Why is The Wolf of Wall Street in your almost certs when pretty much no-one's seen it yet, and American Hustle isn't in the certs despite an extremely high rating on RT and MC?

1. 12 Years a Slave
2. Gravity
3. American Hustle
4. Inside Llewyn Davis
5. Captain Phillips
6. Nebraska
7. Saving Mr Banks
8. The Wolf of Wall Street
9. Dallas Buyers Club
10. Her / All Is Lost / Philomena
10.

Brett

I'm not a fan of The Butler, I hated how they portrayed Ronald Reagan as a racist president, when at any point did Reagan ever mention crap like that?!

ken

How can 12years still be considered a best pic favorite when it hasn't won a single award yet?…I seen it and it is great…but its being snub now for the like of other so so films.

Brett

Why is Rush in the technical awards, the costume awards, and Supporting Actor? It needs more attention like Best Picture and Best Director, have you forgotten that it's directed by RON HOWARD?!

Harry

Let me say first that I have not seen Wolf yet but I do not think it will win Best Picture. No matter how good it is, I've heard it is mainly excessive sex that serves no purpose to the story at all. Just like the book. I still love everyone of Scorsese's works and will love this as well, but I don't think it will win.

The award goes to…12 Years a Slave/Inside Llewyn Davis/American Hustle!

Brett

1. Wolf of Wall Street (Leonardo Dicaprio, Martin Scorsese, Riza Aziz, Emma Tillinger, and Joey Mcfarland, producers)

2. 12 Years a Slave (Steve McQueen, Brad Pitt, Anthony Katagas, Bill Pohland, Jeremy Kleiner, Arnon Milchan, and Dede Gardner, producers)

3. American Hustle (Richard Suckle, Charles Roven, and Megan Ellison, producers)

4. Nebraska (Ron Yerxa and Albert Berger, producers)

5. Rush (Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, Eric Fellner, Brian Oliver, Andrew Eaton, and Peter Morgan, producers)

6. Blue Jasmine (Letty Aronson, Steven Tenenbaum, and Edward Walson, producers)

7. Inside Llewyn Davis (Joel Coen, Ethan Coen, and Scott Rudin, producers

8. Captain Phillips (Michael De Luca, Scott Rudin, and Dana Brunetti, producers)

9. Saving Mr. Banks (Allison Owen, Ian Collie, and Phillip Steur, producers)

10. The Butler (Lee Daniels, Cassian Elwes, Buddy Patrick, and Lara Ziskin, producers)

11. Gravity (Alfonso Cuaron, and David Heyman, producers)

12. All is Lost (Neal Dodson, Anna Gerb, Teddy Schwarzman, and Justin Nappi, producers)

Brett

I want Wolf of Wall Street to Win because Scorsese needs more Oscar love, he's one of the greatest directors of all time and so far he only has 1? While Spielberg (who is overrated) has 3, Woody Allen has 4, Francis Ford Coppola has 4, the Coens have 4, and George Lucas has…oh yeah

Kami

OMG someone help oscar this year. i give up to do prediction any more because i always snub someone better. i dont know how oscar make final 10 over these 18 films

12 Years a Slave, All Is Lost, American Hustle, August: Osage County, Blue Jasmine, Blue Is the Warmest Color, Captain Phillips, Dallas Buyers Club, Fruitvale Station, Gravity, Her, Inside Llewyn Davis, Lone Survivor, Nebraska, Philomena, Prisoners, Saving Mr.Banks and The Wolf of Wall Street

I cant even rank them now but let face it this time if oscar snub someone better there will be huge controversies

Bob

Here we go. Update Time.

Best Picture (Predicted Top 10)

12 Years a Slave
Gravity
The Wolf of Wall Street
Inside Llewyn Davis
Her
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Nebraska
Saving Mr.Banks

Runner Ups/Real Threats that could enter the Top 10

All is Lost
Blue Jasmine
Philomena

Possibles (cause its the Oscars so movie that don't deserve could easily make it)

Lee Daniel's The Butler
August: Osage County

Absolute Long Shots

Fruitvale Station
Rush
Before Midnight
Enough Said

And the winner is……….

Either 12 Years a Slave or The Wolf of Wall Street.

Juha Tapani

"Gravity" should win best picture, but it seems "12 Years A Slave" will take the Oscar.
What a pity. Least I do hope "Gravity" will win best director, cinemaphotography, editing, music, actress.

kami

My predictions are

For Win

1. 12 Years a Slave
2. Gravity
3. The Wolf of Wall Street
4. Inside Llewyn Davis
5. American Hustle

Lock for nominees

6. Nebraska
7. Her
8. Captain Phillips
9. Blue Jasmine
10. All Is Lost

Still hopes for

11. Fruitvale Station
12. Blue Is The Warmest Color
13. Saving Mr. Banks

Jeffrey

The way I see it, this is one of those years where its simply luck of the draw. So many contenders, so few slots for each award. Even having a maximum of ten Best Picture nominees doesn't cover a movie season like this one. Not all of us saw this coming.

BOO

American Hustle is hardly a maybe. Nebraska is maybe not that much of a lock. It will most likely be nominated in these categories but the Satellite awards for example didn't give it a Picture or Director or Screenplay nomination, which shows that people like it but might not want to vote for it.

Brett

While I see Gravity worthy of being a nomination, I personally don't think it should win, I think movies like Inside Llewyn Davis, Captain Phillips, 12 Years a Slave, etc. deserves it, also I still want to know why Book Thief is there and not Rush?

Riffmaster

I'm surprised no one has given any love to Mud. It's the best film that I've seen so far this year, and I've seen nearly every film mentioned here (with the exception of those that haven't been widely released yet). I'm not saying it should win, but I think it's worthy of a nomination in a category that can have up to 10.

Al

If Gravity wins, then the Oscars are officially done. Gravity is not art. It can win Best Special Effects, but that's it. It's empty, it has no storyline, a failure of narrative, the came cheesy jokes, bad bad acting, and very overrated. Piece of shit just like Argo , that movie has already been forgotten.

lol

According to me
nominees are
1) Rush
2) Nebraska
3)Saving Mr. Banks
4)Inside Elwyn Davis
5)Philomena
6)Blue Jasmine
7)Her
8)Captain Philips
9)12 Years a Slave
10)Gravity
11) The Wolf of Wall Street
12) American Hustle

John

Last year was Argo vs Lincoln. Life of Pi never had a chance.

Pj

Revisionist history. There never was a Argo vs Life of Pi showdown.

Kami

My new predictions are

For Win

1. 12 Years a Slave
2. Gravity

Locked for Nominees

3. Captain Phillips
4. Nebraska
5. Inside Llewyn Davis
6. Saving Mr. Banks

Campaign vs Critical acclaim

For critical acclaim

7. Blue Jasmine (Oscar loves Woody. Consider woody best)
8. All Is Lost (Actor plus Director nod can make this contender)
9. Fruitvale Station and (Praised in the festivals all this year)
9. OR Dallas Buyers Club (Critically acclaim)

For Campaign

7. The Wolf of Wall Street (Scorsese power)
8. American Hustle (Mixed reaction on 1st screening but Russell plus Lawrence plus Cooper scream OSCAR)
9. Lee Daniels' The Butler and August: Osage County (Mixed Reaction but Weinstien production)

If they want a 10

10. Her

David

Don't forget about Philomena

Tommy Crown

I would like to see Gravity win for best picture.

Robert

I may be a lone outsider: I did not at all like 12 Years a Slave. The story is meant to invoke deep emotions, and I guess it did. As a movie, holistically, and concerning the acting, it really sucks. Sorry! Very amateurish acting and long pauses of nothingness. Nothing as profound as last year's Amour. Also filled with slow moves. Slave is not a movie I will recommend to anyone. If you want to see acting, go see Blue Jasmine, or Nebraska, or Dallas Buyers Club. Those are movies.

Jeff

This is the first year this decade where I can declare two masterpieces! Between 12 years a slave and Before Midnight this has been a very satisfying movie year! To me these are great films that both did something new to cinema! They are uncomparable in almost every regard except that both left me thinking, haunted and mesmerized for days! I have not seen many of the other movies listed but will say Gravity aside from impressive visual effects to me was very disappointing and over hyped…this is coming from a fan of Alfonso Cuaron. I do hope Blue Jasmine gets nominated also and feel Cate Blanchette easily deserves best actress! Lets hope the oscars get it right next year because they usually don't and especially when it comes to the best picture winner!

kami

Can anybody explain what happen to american hustle. every prediction now i m watching they feel unsure about this film. the film mostly consider into top 5 and probably the winner are now consider at no 6 or 7 or 8. I mean what is it what happened?

Brett

Do you honestly think The Book Thief is better than oh I don't know, Rush…directed by Opie?

jm

wish it was back to just 5 – 12 Years no doubt

Iago

This just proves why no one should give a shit about the Oscars- they are too predictable. Last year everyone predicted about 90% of the awards accurately and it will be the same this year. The people who make these silly little "predictions", and anyone who gives a shit about the Oscars at all, should really get a life.

Laut

I think The Hunger Games: Catching Fire should to stay there because it's a wonderful movie about an unfair distopia, a woman's daring adventure, a romance, a bloody and incredible battle and a great adaptation.

Kollin

How come Inside Llewyn Davis isn't an absolute lock, if not, could easily be major contenders?
It has the directors, a great story, some fine actors, and rave early reviews to boot.
Nebraska and Her should also be in the 'could easily be major contenders' based on the above reasoning.

WS

Only god forgives deserves a nomination, but alas the critics gutted the feature and completely dismissed the formal mastery of this incendiary masterpiece.

HAHA

JOBS BEAT ALL THE NOMINEESSSSSSSSSSSSSSSS!!!!!!!!!!!

tommy

You guys are forgetting about the politics and so-called "white guilt" that are such important factors in an award like this. 12 years has the award locked without a doubt.

Rob

Is "Rush" really out of the top 20? Okay, perhaps not Best Picture-material, but one of the most thrilling films of the year. If it nails the other 5-7 nominations predicted in other categories, it's weird that the film isn't even included on this list.

Oscarfan

The Book Thief really shouldn't be on this list we don't want another Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close

Brett

1. Wolf of Wall Street (Martin Scorsese, Leonardo Dicaprio, Emma Tillinger, Joey Mcfarland, and Riza Aziz, producers)

2. 12 Years a Slave (Steve McQueen, Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Bill Pohland, Arnon Milchan, Jeremy Kleiner, and Anthony Katagas, producers)

3. American Hustle (Megan Ellison, Charles Roven, and Richard Suckle, producers)

4. Blue Jasmine (Letty Aronson, Steven Tenenbaum, and Edward Walson, producers)

5. Rush (Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, Eric Fellner, Andrew Eaton, Brian Oliver, and Peter Morgan, producers)

6. Nebraska (Ron Yerxa and Albert Berger, producers)

7. The Butler (Lee Daniels, Cassian Elwes, Buddy Patrick, and Lara Ziskin, producers)

8. Saving Mr. Banks (Ian Collie, Allison Owen, and Phillip Steur, producers)

9. Captain Phillips (Michael De Luca, Scott Rudin, and Dana Brunetti, producers)

10. Inside Llewyn Davis (Joel and Ethan Coen, and Scott Rudin, producers)

11. Gravity (Alfonso Cuaron, and David Heyman, producers)

12. Lone Survivor (Sarah Aubrey, Randall Emmet, Akiva Goldsmen, Norton Herrick, and Barry Spikings, producers)

Sam

I've seen "Gravity", "The Butler", "Captain Phillips" and "Dallas Buyer's Club".

Gravity was technically amazing and deserves plenty of awards for its camerawork and visual effects.

Dallas Buyer's Club was emotionally compelling and had an incredible performance by McCoughnahey. I'd probably put it a step above the Butler but both were really well made and well acted films about extraordinary people.

Looking forward to seeing 12 Years a Slave, Inside Llewyn Davis (which looks as good as any of them), and Wolf of Wall Street.

Jarred

-12 Years a Slave
-Gravity
-Lee Daniels' "The Butler"
-Saving Mr. Banks
-Inside Llewyn Davis
-Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
-American Hustle
-The Wolf of Wall Street
-Nebraska
-August Osage County

laut

1. Twelve Years a Slave
2. Gravity
3. Captain Phillips
4. Saving Mr Banks
5. American Hustle
6. The Wolf of Wall Street
7.Her
8.Inside Llewin Davis
9.Blue Jasmine
10. The Hunger Games: Catching Fire/Buller Dallas Club

Brett

I know it's too early to talk about the year after, but that new X-Men movie looks like the Dark Knight of Marvel movies, that looks like a Marvel movie that could get a lot of Oscar love like Dark Knight

BOO

At this point I think I have a pretty solid 10 that I would bet at least 7-8 films show up on.
1) 12 Years a Slave
2) Gravity
3) American Hustle
4) Captain Phillips
5) Wolf of Wall Street
6) Inside Llewyn Davis
7) Saving Mr. Banks (Sadly, I didn't want this bait piece to get on but I give in.)
8) Nebraska
9) Fruitvale Station
10) The Butler (More bait I hope doesn't make it)

Possibilities: Her, Blue Jasmine, Dallas Buyers Club, Rush, Before Midnight, All is Lost, August Osage County

Brett

I could see August Osage County going for Best Actress (Meryl Streep), Supporting Actress (Julia Roberts and Abigail Breslin if the movie is nominating two in that category), and Adapted Screenplay, but Best Picture? I don't know it looks like a typical movie that deals with family matters, it looks good, but it doesn't look great

kami

And My predicted nominees are

1. 12 Years a Slave
2. The Wolf of Wall Street
3. American Hustle (I wasnt huge fan from beginning but now i feel it is the best of O. Russell films. it remind me a lot of his early films. i lost hope of O. Russell watching silver linning which is the weakest film of him)
4. Gravity
5. Nebraska
6. Her
7. Captain Phillips
8. Inside Llewyn Davis
9. August: Osage County
10. ????????? or May be Lone Survivor

The movie i wish never make it and get rid of

Lee Daniels' The Butler (BOOORINGGGG)
Saving Mr. Banks (For god sake have some mercy and get rid of it plzzzzzzzzzz)

Brett

I wouldn't be surprised (though I would be disappointed) if Blue is the Warmest Color is nominated because…Ellen is hosting

Brett

Book Thief…really? You think that pretentious Oscar bait film that has a rotten rating on rotten tomatoes has a much better chance than a serious well thought out racing film directed by Opie?

Sam

Lone Survivor is going to sneak up on everyone. I have seen it, and I feel that it is stronger then Hurt Locker. It is the best film made about the current conflicts that has been made. 12 Years a Salve is good, but not that good. Too much hype on it's way to the awards, people will be tired of it. Also it has not registered that high with the academy members I know who have seen it. I don't think Lone Survivor will win, but it will be a nominee for sure.

Harry

Just got back from seeing 12 Years a Slave. Best movie of the year so far. It was way better than Gravity which was, in my opinion, overrated. I thought that Disconnect w/ Jason Bateman was amazing but i know it won't get nominated. Still anxious to see: Inside Llewyn Davis, The Wolf of Wall Street, Her.

American Hustle, Captain Phillips, and Saving Mr. Banks can wait for DVD.

Daniel Delago

I like David O. Russell films immensely, believe me I do but how in the world is everyone predicting a Best Picture nod for it when he just completed editing of the film and unveiled only six minutes of footage of it at the AFI Fest? I'm sure it's good with such a stellar cast and 70s plotline but aren't the critics being a bit premature in their Oscar predictions?

Giamboni

I say Saving Mr Banks.

memyselfandi

I HOPE THE NOMINEES FOR THE BEST PICTURE WILL BE:

top 6
1. Gravity ( Best Sci-Fi Film Of The Year )
2. The Wind Rises ( Best Animated Film of The Year and the Story Is wAS GREAT.. i hope it will be nominated for best picture )
3. August: Osage County ( Best drama Film Of the Year )
4. Captain Philips ( Best Action/ Suspense Movie Of The Year)
5. The Conjuring ( Best Horror Movie Of The Year )
6. Saving Mr. Banks ( Best Comedy Film Of the Year )

other contenders:
7. Philomena
8. American Hustle
9. 12 Years A Slave
10. Lee Daniel's The Butler

Mirko

I think good chances for Saving Mr Banks.

Jeffrey

If "Lee Daniels' The Butler" is nominated for Best Picture, I'll be howling in protest from the rooftops. You'd think that in a year like this where there's plenty of great films to go around, this one would have fallen out of the race long ago. The Academy has irked me in the past and it could do so again.

Brett

1. 12 Years a Slave (Dede Gardner, Brad Pitt, Steve McQueen, Bill Pohland, Arnon Milchan, Jeremy Kleiner, and Anthony Katagas)

2. Wolf of Wall Street (Leonardo Dicaprio, Martin Scorsese, Emma Tillinger, Joey McFarland, and Riza Aziz)

3. American Hustle (Megan Ellison, Charles Roven, and Richard Suckle)

4. Gravity (Alfonso Cuaron, and David Heymen

5. Inside Llewyn Davis (Joel and Ethan Coen, and Scott Rudin)

6. Nebraska (Ron Yerxa, and Albert Berger)

7. Blue Jasmine (Letty Aronson, Steven Tenenbaum, and Edward Walson)

8. Rush (Brian Grazer, Ron Howard, Andrew Eaton, Eric Fellner, Peter Morgan, and Brian Oliver)

9. The Butler (Lee Daniels, Cassian Elwes, Buddy Patrick, and Lara Ziskin)

10. Captain Phillips (Dana Brunetti, Michael De Luca, and Scott Rudin)

11. Saving Mr. Banks (Ian Collie, Alison Owen, Phillip Steur)

12. All is Lost (Neal Dodson, Anna Gerb, Justin Nappi, and Teddy Schwarzman)

Brett

I think The Wind Rises should be a Best Picture contender, it's the first animated feature film that's based on a true story (unless something else came first)

Beecher1843

I'm sad to see the The Place Beyond the Pines isn't even in the conversation. Its a great film that so far for me is in about a tie for best so far this year. (I have yet to se Gravity, Slave,Phippips or Prisioners though…)

Ronnie D.

'Moon' is better.

Bob

Updated List

1) 12 Years a Slave – Winner
2) Gravity
3) American Hustle
4) Captain Phillips
5) The Wolf of Wall Street
6) Inside Llewyn Davis
7) Her
8) Blue Jasmine
9) Dallas Buyers Club

Threats/Possibles

10) Saving Mr. Banks
11) Nebraska
12) All is Lost
13) Lee Daniel's The Butler
14) August: Osage County
15) Rush

Britt

I'm sad to see "Prisoners" loose steam so quickly. It's been the best film I've seen so far this year (including Captain Phillips and Gravity).

Surprised to see "Nebraska" tracking for BP as it seemed the discussion was just around Bruce Dern. Also a bit surprised to see "Blue Jasmine" as a contender since it hasn't made nearly the same kind of money as "Midnight in Paris" did.

The rest of the list makes a lot of sense. Glad to see "Her" is still tracking with strength. Meanwhile, if a family film has to get in I'd rather it be "Saving Mr. Banks" than the nothing of a film that was "The Butler."

Laurence Brown

How could you leave out 'Cloudy with a Chance of Meatballs 2'? Typical elitism.

jr

lone survivor

VM

damn HER was that good?

ErikaJGarney

the story of Bradley is`cool, two weeks ago, my father's sister also received a 8465 dollar check, working 40 hours per month from home Learn more about this site —–>>WWW.Works23.COm

AKA

Philomena is one of those films that end out sneaking up on the Oscar race. Twelve Years a Slave has gotten considerable backlash since its release. Gravity probably won't win because of it's Sci-Fi vibe, which the Academy has never embraced. Same thing goes with Her. Inside Llewyn Davis will probably have too many dark comedic elements, so it probably wont win. Nebraska is too small scale to win. Dallas Buyers Club might get nominated, but surely wont win. Saving Mr. Banks is almost a sure bet to get nominated, but it isn't good enough to win. August simply isn't good enough. That leaves 3 contenders, American Hustle, The Wolf of Wall Street and Philomena.

Kami

And My predicted nominees are

1. 12 Years a Slave (If stupid film django is nominated than this cruel race film should won)
2. The Wolf of Wall Street (Martin is back. His films are always a legend)
3. Gravity (Outstanding. The best space film for long time)
4. Captain Phillips (Great Film not memorable but good for nominee)
5. Nebraska (I love Alexander Payne Light drama. It always good to watch and appreciate)
6. Her (Unusual love story work for me. But academy hmmmmm)
7. Inside Llewyn Davis (Joel & Ethan Coen will get nominated no matter what)
8. American Hustle (O. Russell is a problem here. Can Rom. Comedy director make good fellas type film well. Maybe this film get slam like the counselor or maybe appreciated)
9. August: Osage County (Interesting family drama and also oscar love great plays into movie)
10. ?????????????????????????

The movie i wish never make it and get rid of

Lee Daniels' The Butler (BOOORINGGGG but oscar love boring)
Saving Mr. Banks (For god sake have some mercy and get rid of it plzzzzzzzzzz)

Xavier Francis Timothy Melantois

the spooktacular now is a perfect movie for people with perfect butts, wheres the talk for that. oscar nomination? more like oscar DOMINATION

-jim

DEFINITIVE LIST

12 Years a Slave
Gravity
The Wolf Of Wall Street
American Hustle
Inside Llewyn Davies
Nebraska
Her
Captain Philips
Blue Jasmine
All Is Lost

And that's final! Jeez, them kids…

Carlo

I know these are long shots, but what about Oldboy or Enough Said?

Flame away good people of the Internet

Harlam Brown

Do you really think that THE BUTLER is a better film than THE HUNT?

Unknown

I dont know why is gravity being put in every competition. Can someone tell me what is so special in that film? And I must say I strongly disagree with most of the sugestions vecoise I am sure that there are better movies then these. For instance where is Hobbit? The movie is a masterpiece. Where is "The Great Gatsby"? Come on people. Oscars today are nowhere near the standards they should have.

Freddy

Am I the only one that feels " The Spectacular now at least deserves mention for best picture?

Camilla Granasen

Short Term 12!!!!

r.

12 Years a Slave
Before Midnight
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davies
Lee Daniels' The Butler
Nebraska
Philomena
The Wolf of Wall Street

Brett

Walter Mitty's early reviews may not be strong, but…neither was The Blind Side, so there's still hope for this movie

Brad

Having caught a preview of The Secret Life of Walter Mitty it's almost definitely out of the race. Not to dash anybody's hopes, because it's still completely worth seeing, but it's a lot more lightweight than the trailer appears.

We might need the full 10 nominees this year. I'll be interested to see if Blue is the Warmest Color gets any nominations in spite of losing out on Best Foreign Film due to release date technicalities. Also in the Snowball's Chance in Hell category is Spring Breakers, which (considering I still haven't seen 12 Years a Slave) is my choice for film of the year and has been since I first saw it (and saw it again the same weekend) back in March. I'm trying not to get my hopes up for a James Franco nod but it's happening despite knowing it won't happen.

ANTOINE FROM FRANCE

I agree for 12years and Gravity. Those movies are locks.
Captain Philips won't win, for sure. Saving Mr Banks is probably going to be awful. It is Oscar bait, just like Osage County and both of these movies are, in my opinion, way overrated. Honestly, I think the other real competition to 12years and Gravity are Inside Llewyn Davis, The Wolf of Wall Street, and maybe Her. Fruitvale could be this year's Beasts of the Southern Wild, and could get a Best Picture nom.
After Argo, the Academy could be tired of 70's set movies, therefore American Hustle is not a sure thing. But let's see before the critics.
I personnally hope for a 12 years a slave / wolf of Wall Street showdown !

Brian Finamore

Let me tell you something I think there's something phony about "Saving Mr. Banks". Do we really trust a Disney made film to give us an honest portrayal of Disney? I think it's Oscar bait that won't be as well received as you think and it might have an outside chance at getting nominated for Best Picture but I think everyone is really overvaluing this film and it won't be as well received as you think.

Evan

12 Years a Slave
Gravity
American Hustle
The Wolf of Wall Street
Captain Philips
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska
Prisoners- Underrated masterpiece
The Hunt- Amour will start a foreign language film trend
Blue Jasmine/ Her

Jeffrey

Also, I'd like to know why Out of the Furnace isn't even in the running anymore. Last I checked, its not even in theaters yet.

Phil

What the hell is the Oscars

James Poo Pants

Gravity wins my ass. The Counselor will win Best Picture, no questions about tit. Great movie and awesome performance from Humphrey Bogart. Glad to see he's finally decided to come out of retirement after all these years. It paid off, Bogey, you crooked-toothed son of a Jon-Travolta-television-movie-with-some-kid-that-lives-in-a-bubble bitch!

Jeffrey

LOL, earlier this month someone said The Counselor was going to be a long shot. Yep, I agree with that at least.

Jeffrey

I would not put Lee Daniels' The Butler among the strongest Best Picture contenders. It was tendentious and tiresome. It reminded me too much of the politically correct films of the 90's. A dated film like that is definitely not among the cream of the crop.

Brett

Great that you re-added Walter Mitty but I still want to know why you removed Rush?

Viola Davis
ASSANGE ASSANGE ASSANGE BILL CONDON BENEDICT CUMBERBATCH DANIEL BRUHL

THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE THE FIFTH ESTATE

Fred Willard

I don't understand all of you. 'Gravity' was lame. Even to you, Peter Knegt, you are out of your mind. At the rate of your predictions, 'Gravity' will win like 10 awards. That will never, ever happen. I feel like all of the critics got together and decided to blow this movie up. I will never deny the fact that it was well made, but it was not Oscar material. 'Pi' 'Avatar' and 'Hugo' all had better effects than this. It's just stupid to guarantee the victory for 'Gravity.'

1. 12 Years a Slave (Likely Winner)
2. Inside Llewyn Davis (Next Best Chance)
3. All is Lost (Underdog)

And then the rest are there just because…
4. Gravity
5. Captain Phillips
6. The Wolf of Wall Street
7. Rush
8. Blue is the Warmest Color

Cheryl Dixon

My views on two movies….Gravity is way over rated….did not like it….maybe sound effects….no story…just 2 people floating around in outer space….yuk!!….On the other hand, I did think Captain Phillips ….it shows American honor (the Seals), the dangers of waters around the world and humility….and it's a true story….just beefed up Hollywood style….without a doubt, Captain Phillips should get this award….Tom Hanks and the no name Somalis did a fabulous job portraying this world tragedy……thank you for being able to submit my views…..Cheryl Dixon

Brett

Labor Day?

Brett

What happened to Rush?

Laut

12 Years a Slave
Gravity
American Hustle
The Wolf of Wall Street
Blue Jasmine
Inside Llewyn Davis
Captain Phillips
The Monuments Men
Saving Mr. Banks
Fruitvale Station

MAM

AFTERNOON DELIGHT has to be in there somewhere– fantastic film and director!! How about just a couple more stories that aren't about dudes…?

dan

Okay say there's 10 which who knows there might be, I think
1. 12 Years A Slave
2. Gravity
3. Inside Llewyn Davis
4. American Hustle
5. The Monuments Men
6. The Wolf of Wall Street
7. The Butler
8. Nebraska
9. August: Osage County
10. Her

But who knows. 12 YEARS will win I hope.

Mexicano

If I was a member of The Academy, my votes TODAY would be as follows:
1. Before Midnight
2. Rush
3. The Hunt
4. Blue is the Warmest Color.
5. Le passe
6. Gravity
7. Blue Jasmine
8. The Fifth Estate
9. Out of the furnace
10. August: Osage County

Diggle Thompson

My predictions:

1. American Hustle
2. The Monuments Men
3. Delmar
4. Huh
5. American Gangster
6. Gravity looks like doo doo
7. American Prankster
8. Me
9. X-Men Origins: Wolverine of Wall Street
10. Jon Stewartsby
11. Gravity?
12. Yeah, Gravity
13. Black Swan 2
14. 12 Years a Slave
15. What the hell, I guess Gravity again
16. Asses in Outer Space: Poo
17. Big Money Hustlas
18. Big Money Rustlas
19. The Whole ICP Gang
20. Jim

Did I do it right

Garry

No

Harry

Agree about what Gabriel said about Disconnect, I thought the direction was amazing. The slo-motion sequence at the end…awesome!

Dan

I watched gravity last week and finally understood the hype. The visuals were amazing – we have all heard that from anyone who has spoken about it. What I found really impressive was the story. It was short, simple and beautifully toldillustrated. Backed up by the most icredible Bullock who basically carried the movie and powerful symbolism and you have the movie of the year. The world wouldn't be what it is, if gravity didn't have its critics and haters – but the academy can not ignore this movie and just nominate it. This movie need to follow in the lotr and titanic's footsteps to bcome another high budget movie to win best picture. Otherwise it will be in the company of pulp fiction and brokeback mountain and have critics in 5 years bitch about it losing to another movie. Wake up haters, the best movies are not always the stodgy serious movies!!!

Brett

Prisoners was great, I wish it gets a Best Picture nomination but I doubt that since we also have those other movies

Mongolian Trek: Wrath of Genghis Khan

Snow Dogs should get a Best Cutie Pie nod.

Jay

I would really like it if 12 Years a Slave won. It looks amazing.

Gabriel

I'm gonna say this again. Where the hell is Disconnect starring Jason Bateman, Paula Patton, Alexander Skarsgard, and Hope Davis. That movie should be nominated for best picture award along with its director Henry Alex Rubin. Get rid of gravity from the top top awards and give it special effects cause the story and screenplay were atrocious!

DJ Spanky McRib

(In order of probability)
1. 12 Years a slave
2. All is Lost
3. Captain Phillips
4. Inside Llewyn Davis
5. Gravity
6. The Wolf of Wall Street
7. Rush
8. Blue is the Warmest Color

I don't know what everyone likes so much about Gravity. It was good, but not amazing. And it's stupid to think that American Hustle, Saving Mr. Banks, or The Monuments Men are locks, or even close to locks. None of them really look that good. Look to the history of the academy awards.

Brett

Does anyone think The Wind Rises could possibly be a Best Picture contender?

Jerry

You have to be kidding me with Gravity. It could have been animated and would have been the same. I give up on the Academy Awards if this film is even nominated for best picture.

Bob

Updates

Best Picture

12 Years a Slave
Gravity
Captain Phillips
Her
Inside Llewyn Davis
Blue Jasmine
American Hustle
The Wolf of Wall Street

Rounding out the Top 10 Possibly

Rush
The Monuments Men

Possible Nominess

Dallas Buyers Club
Saving Mr. Banks
Nebraska
Lee Daniel's The Butler
Fruitvale Station

Long Shots

All is Lost
August: Osage County
Before Midnight
The Counselor
Philomena

Gabriel

The butler for sure and Prisoners, but excuse me gentleman, where is Disconnect??? That movie definitely deserves top mention including best picture and best director nominees!!!

Ben

What about The Wolf of Wall Street??

Alex

Before Midnight deserves awards, after three amazing films. The Wolf Of Wall Street seems like a great contender, and I guess Kill Your Darlings is too dark for the Academy.

Brett

The Nazis did NOT burn down the art, they stole them to make a fortune!! And here's a minor flaw to that plot point Mr. Clooney if the Nazis did want to burn down the art, why would they waste their time hiding it in a cave?! I hope that movie doesn't do well and doesn't compete at the Oscars

The Brady Critic

Who will win: Gravity/12 years a salve

might win: Gravity

should win: Gravity

Brett

Out of the Furnace?

Brett

If there's going to be 12 nominees next year (Because 12 Years a Slave) my picks are:
12 Years a Slave
Gravity
Wolf of Wall Street
Rush
Nebraska
Captain Phillips
Saving Mr Banks
Blue Jasmine
The Butler
American Hustle
The Monuments Men
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty

Nicholas

The critics who don't include Rush as a serious contender haven't seen it yet. It is how movies should be made. It is how movies used to be made. Ron Howard knows how to tell history with a flare of cinematic mastery. The acting was brilliant and Daniel Brühl and Chris Hemsworth should be nominated for best actor and supporting actor but which for which is the question. Just because this is about racing cars and playboys does not mean it is not profound. In fact Ron Howard has captured the allegory of the 'ant and the grasshopper' to perfection in this true story rivalry.

Ass

Where's Elysium and Fred Claus?

Bob

How are movies like August: Osage County above Blue Jasmine and Fruitvale Station? I mean Blue Jasmine is Woody Allen, I would say that almost an auto lock.

Bob

1) 12 Years a Slave
2) Gravity
3) American Hustle
4) The Wolf of Wall Street
5) Inside Llewyn Davis
6) The Monuments Men
7) Captain Phillips
8) Rush
9) Blue Jasmine

Runner ups

10) Fruitvale Station
11) Dallas Buyers Club
12) Saving Mr. Banks
13) Her
14) Lee Daniel's The Butler
15) Before Midnight

Long shots

16) Nebraska
17) August: Osage County
18) The Counselor
19) All is Lost
20) Prisoners

MARKY

1. 12 Years a Slave
2. Gravity
3. American Hustle
4. The Wolf of Wall Street
5. Inside Llewyn Davis
6. The Monunents Men
7. Captain Phillips
8. Rush
9. Saving Mr. Banks
10. Prisoners

Mud and The Place Beyond the Pines deserve to be mentioned here, but unfortunately they don't have a chance whatsoever

Corvo

1. Gravity
2. 12 years a slave
3. Captain Phillips
4. Rush
5. Inside Llewyn Davies
6. Short Term 12
7. Before Midnight
8. Nebraska
9. All is lost

Duane

Did something happen to make the Counselor drop off the boards? It used to be on top.

Brett

I want Monuments Men to stay away from the Academy, first Clooney ruined Batman, now he's ruining WW2, seriously Nazis burning down art…that they collected to make a fortune?

Mexicano

If I was a member of The Academy I would vote:
1. Rush
2. Before Midnight
3. Blue is the warmest color
4. Le passe
5. Blue Jasmine
6. Gravity
7. The Fifth Estate
8. Out of the furnace
9. The hunt
10. Saving Mr Banks

But I am not member of The Academy =( and some of them will probably be replaced boy 12 years a slave, American Hustle and maybeothers…

jakeonthespot

Monuments Men is going to tank. Big time. Haven't you seen the trailer? It's Ocean's 11 takes on the Nazis. Not going to happen for George this time around.

virginiagbecnel

my co-worker's step-sister makes $65/hr on the internet. She has been out of work for eight months but last month her pay check was $12995 just working on the internet for a few hours. my latest blog post>>>>>> jobs25.com

E

I'm skeptical about Gravity. It's been getting rave reviews, sure, but the Academy hasn't exactly nominated much science fiction in the past (if you except District 9, but that had Peter Jackson behind it), and Children of Men was only nominated for technical awards and screenplay. Things may change, but at the moment, I think it has a better chance of cleaning up in the technical categories instead.

Also, I wouldn't count Before Midnight out. It's basically the best reviewed film of the year, and now SPC doesn't have Foxcatcher this year, they will probably really push it as their big Best Picture contender.

Jim 'Poison Ivy' Rash MaGinski

'Wassup, Man' deserves to be at least nominated. Hopefully, they'll re-nominate 'Goodfellas' as well so that it as a chance at winning a second time.

Ana

For sure 12 years a slave and the butler ('cause i've alredy watched them)

Morrison

what about Ridley Scott's "The Counselor"?? Written by Cormac McCarthy, starring Brad Pitt, Javier Bardem, and Michael Fassbender? Has to at least make the list of considerations…

BOO

They're not going to nominate Nebraska, the reviews are all saying it's good, not great, and nothing compared to Descendants and Sideways. The Butler would suck if it was nominated because no one even thought it was that good, it's just bait. I think Fruitvale Station and Rush have better chances. How is Saving Mr. Banks #3? I don't even have it on my list, and I hope I never have to put it on. I think it's going to be like The Butler, where no one thinks it's really good, just pretty good, but it's bait.

Brett

Margin Call (another film by Chandor) wasn't nominated for Best Picture so I don't see All is Lost being nominated

Shannon

Rush is incredible, it totally deserves to win and at least be nominated. I'm a really fussy person when it comes to films and prefer the oldies, but Rush was literally the most amazing cinema experience I've ever had.

Giamboni

Saving Mr Banks goes in nomination. It can to win in category original screenplay and original score.

Brett

Don Jon should be on the list

M

Twelve years and American Hustle are lock's imo.

Brett

My friend criticized the trailers to All is Lost and Nebraska for…odd reasons
Nebraska: Because it's black and white. Well because a plot like this is fitting for a black and white picture!

All is Lost: Robert Redford is the only actor. Well a movie like this makes sense with just one actor! It's so you can actually feel for all the shit he's going through!!

Jim 'Poison Ivy' Rash

My predictions:

1. 12 Years a Dog
2. Gravity
3. The Wolf of Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps
4. Her
5. Captain Phillips
6. Jim Caviezel will be personally nominated
7. August: Osage County Choppers
8. The Bridge on the River Kwai (the 1816 version, not the 1957 version)
9. A Haunted House
10. Maybe The Monuments Men?

Alisa

Where is Short Term 12?

Brett

I have a feeling The Great Gatsby will be another Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close choice for the Academy

Jamie

Gravity looks promising, but the dialogue seems kinda cheesy to me (Haven't seen it yet).
Wolf on Wall Street looks excellent, as always it's a Martin film. There should be no problem.
I have a feeling Saving Mr. Banks isn't gonna do to hot from the critics.
12 Years of A Slave does look interesting, but still "iffy" about it.
I think Captain Philips will do pretty well. Can never go wrong with Paul D.

But I think one film that has really stood out to me this year is Elysium. It's a beautiful masterpiece. Each frame is colorful and gorgeous. It's a very underrated film this year. I mean, if it doesn't get nominated for anything, that will be a major disappointment.

But in my opinion. 2013 hasn't been a great year for movies.

Dissin' Terry

Anyone who doesn't think Gravity is not a sure fire contender is ridiculous.

joe

My predictions
12 years of a slave
American hustle
Gravity
Fruit vale station
Hobbit desolation of smaug
Inside dwellyn Davis
The monuments men
Nebraska
The butler
Foxcatchet

Joanne

I would hope Daniel Bruhl is a strong Oscar contender for his performance as Niki Lauda in Rush. It was spot on.

Abdelatiffe Kechiche

if blue is the warmest color get theatrical release in the united states this year. is it possible for the film to get nominated in best picture category and some other categories. even if its not qualified for foreign language film ????

Evan

American Hustle
August: Osage County
Captain Phillips
Dallas Buyers Club
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Monuments Men
Prisoners (Just saw it, absolutely amazing)
Twelve Years a Slave
Wolf of Wall Street
*hopefully not The Butler

Brett

Prisoners looks good but I don't see it going for Best Picture, maybe Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor, and Best Original Screenplay, but I don't see Best Picture

sean

I think we're underestimating Blue Jasmine. It's been a huge hit and Hollywood is still riding high on Woody Allen after Midnight in Paris. And I think we might be overestimating American Hustle. Despite O'Russell and that smoking cast, it looks really bland.

Brett

Why does the Academy always have to say "producers" when announcing Best Picture? We're not stupid, we know what kind of people that category goes too, might as well say: Martin Scorsese, Director when announcing Best Director

Brett

For Christ's sake why is everyone predicting Before Midnight?! Their predecessors didn't get nominated so why should this one?!

Ashlee Jones

Seriously what about short term 12. Brie Latson was f**king phenomenal!!!!!

ETHAN

SHORT TERM 12!!!!!!!!!!

Brett

Her has now been given a wide release NEXT YEAR so I would probably remove that film

MOBO

I think Fruitvale Station has a much better chance than is listed. Before Midnight has a chance I think, maybe not too likely, but not the bottom of the list. And Saving Mr. Banks looks OK but certainly not great or frontrunner material. I don't even think it will even be nominated. I think the rest is perfect, though.

JERRY

The Place Beyond the Pines should win best picture. It's the greatest film I've ever seen.

mayank diwan

rush can beat the Oscar awards 2014. it designed , contrast , draft in signi9ficant manner .

Giamboni

Saving Mr Banks is strong contender. It as beautiful original score. Hanks and Thompson are perfect.

Brett

If the Academy decided to nominate 12 (Because 12 Years a Slave) my best picks would be:
1.12 Years a Slave
2.Wolf of Wall Street
3.August Osage County
4.Blue Jasmine
5.Rush
6.Inside Llewyn Davis
7.Saving Mr.Banks
8.Captain Phillips
9.The Butler
10.American Hustle
11.All is Lost
12.Foxcatcher

Brett

George Clooney must have gotten a D in History, because I don't remember the Nazis wanting to burn down the art they collected to make a fortune, and if they did, why would they waste their time hiding them in a cave? Couldn't they just burn them now?

Brett

I don't see Before Midnight going for the Oscars, Before Sunrise and Before Sunset were great films but they didn't get nominated so why should this one?

EPJ234

Blue Jasmine should be in the top ten. I predict it will get a nomination, especially since it is much better than Midnight in Paris (which did get a Best Picture nomination). However, I don't dislike Midnight in Paris or disagree with it being nominated and winning the Adapted Screenplay category. But Blue Jasmine really is the better picture.

BOO

August Osage County reviews aren't that good. Why would you move it up?

benutty

I feel like the more films editors from The Playlist see the more embarrassing their Oscar predictions get. Rush? lmaoooooooooooooooooo

Bob

Dont know if the person who runs this list realizes August:Osage County early reviews are negative…only pretty much praising Streep so she will most likely receive another nom but thats it.

And Dallas Buyers Club needs to be added to the list again…for either Best Bet from what We have seen or could easily be major contender. Early reviews are great for the film.

Joe H

12 Years a Slave and American Hustle are probably locks. Rush looks like an incredibly strong contender at this point (a few early reviews are placing it among Howard's best films, many of which have been nominated). Gravity will be working against the anti-sci fi stigma in the Academy, but its early reviews are positively glowing.

My 10 Early Predictions:
12 Years A Slave
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Gravity
Inside Llewyn Davis
Lee Daniels' The Butler
Monuments Men
Rush
Saving Mr. Banks
Wolf of Wall Street

Bob

I dont know why Before Midnight is so low…as of now its a surfire nominee imo. Could change later though. Its the third one of the trilogy and its gotteb absolutley rave reviews. Academy likes recognizing the last film in a trilogy if its great to I think it will be nominated.

Ignatius

I guess the best bets for Best Picture nominations are American Hustle, Monuments' Men & Wolf of Wall Street – for the simple reason that each of the 3 is helmed by perennial Oscar-nominated directors: David O Russell, George Clooney & Martin Scorsese. I will be surprised if any of these 3 don't get nominated.
And all 3 are also helmed by star-studded casts with names like Christian Bale, Matt Damon, Cate Blanchett, Matthew McConaughey Amy Adams, Jennifer Lawrence, Bill Murray and all.
Other movies I fancy on getting a nod is Gravity (as the article says, probably this year's Life of Pi in terms of being the breakthrough 3D film of the year) and to lesser extent Blue Jasmine & August: Osage County as they have Cate & Meryl Streep as the pulling factors.
As for the rest too many to mention, everything from 12 Years a Slave, Fruitvale Station, Inside Llewyn David, Saving Mr Banks – this year is shaping up to be perhaps as competitive as last year's. Which is ironic given the rather poor box office statistics in the first half of 2013.

BOO

My 10:
12 Years A Slave
Gravity
Wolf of Wall Street
Monuments Men
American Hustle
Inside Llewyn Davis
August: Osage County
Fruitvale Station
Rush
Before Midnight

Fruitvale Station has a really good chance. The only thing that's pushing it back is a lot of competition. I still think it will be nominated. I mean they nominated Beasts of the Southern Wild for Picture (not surprisingly) but also director. 94% tomato meter, 85 Metascore, even socially it's been made into articles. It's being discussed.

Before Midnight I know I'm becoming alone on this. I think it should be moved up because 24 is ridiculous. But the reviews are just too good. I can't see people not nominating it. If Before Sunset can get a screenplay nomination with worse reviews this can.

oscarpredictor

My Pics:

Gravity
Philomena
Lee Daniels' The Butler
The Wolf Of Wall Street
Inside Llewyn Davis
Her
American Hustle
Saving Mr. Banks
Foxcatcher

oscarpredictor

Watch out for Philomena. It got great reception out of Venice. And by the early reviews, Gravity seems like a serious Oscar contender. The Butler looks like a lock for Best Picture.

MEMYSELFANDI

MY TOP 5 PREDICTION

1. Gravity ( Amazing Effects and Interesting Story! Best SciFi Film this year!)
2. August: Osage County (Great Casts and Acting And Nice Story! Best Family film This year! )
3. The Wolf Of Wall Street ( Great Screenplay and it was the Best dark Comedy film This year!)
4. The Conjuring ( Great Acting! Great Movie! Beautifully Designed! Great Story! Best Horror Film This Year!
5. Mama ( Amazing Cinematography! Great Acting! Very Interesting Story! and it was The Best Suspense-Horror Movie This Year!!

BOO

I underestimated 12 Years a Slave but am glad to say that because I really want it to be good. Reviews are amazing.

Bob

Fruitvale and Blue Jasmine should be higher than The Butler haha. I'm almost positive both will be nominted. Updated list.

The Wolf of Wall Street
Twelve Years a Slave
Inside Llewyn Davis
August: Osage County
American Hustle
Fruitvale Station
Her
Before Midnight
Gravity
Blue Jasmine

I have Gravity there now cause of early reviews. I am very interested in it now cause I honestly didnt think it would hold up to the level people were expecting. I love when movies eat my words though so I cant wait to see it now.

M.

This will go to 'Twelve years a Slave', 'The Monuments Men', 'Gravity' or lastly 'American Hustle'. Bet on it(:

BOO

Put Gravity pack up there

Stephen Earnest

Any nominations that 'Lee Daniels' The Butler' receives will be based purely on politics because that it is one underwhelming, dull, sanctimonious, self-important film. However, I would like to see films like 'The Place Beyond the Pines,' 'Nebraska,' 'Blue Jasmine' and even 'Prisoners' be nominated and perhaps win in a category or two. What seems to be the most promising contender in this year's Oscar race (even though it more than likely will take home nothing) is 'Inside Llewyn Davis.' The Coens can do no wrong.

I must say that if 'The Butler' is nominated for Best Picture, I will be forced to join that unlikable crowd of people that curse the Academy Awards and avoid watching it. I have been skeptical for a while now, but if that film is nominated for that award, I will officially lose faith in that awards ceremony.

TheLeftWing

42

Rob

Have any of you seen the trailer for Prisoners? I think it has serious potential but isn't getting much mention. Hugh Jackman, Viola Davis and Paul Dano are three incredibly talented actors, and combined with the intriguing story the movie could be really good.

Joe H.

American Hustle is a lock. The characters are colorful, the cast is brilliant, the setting is provocative and exciting, and the story looks both emotionally riveting and explosively entertaining. And it's David O. Russell we're talking about. His last two movies were critical favorites and received major Oscar nominations. This movie is not going to be an exception to his recent track record of awesomeness. American Hustle is a lock.

Michael

Wish they'd drop it back to 5 movies. This anything-up-to-10 crap is a joke now. More room for political maneuvering.
PS After watching that trailer for SAVING MR. BANKS, I doubt it. Looks too precious for words. Lock Cate Blanchett in for a nod, and Allen for yet another screenplay nod.

Michael

Wish they'd drop it back to 5 movies. This anything-up-to-10 crap is a joke now. More room for political maneuvering.
PS After watching that trailer for SAVING MR. BANKS, I doubt it. Looks too precious for words. Lock Cate Blanchett in for a nod, and Allen for yet another screenplay nod.

Michael

Wish they'd drop it back to 5 movies. This anything-up-to-10 crap is a joke now. More room for political maneuvering.
PS After watching that trailer for SAVING MR. BANKS, I doubt it. Looks too precious for words. Lock Cate Blanchett in for a nod, and Allen for yet another screenplay nod.

Michael

Wish they'd drop it back to 5 movies. This anything-up-to-10 crap is a joke now. More room for political maneuvering.
PS After watching that trailer for SAVING MR. BANKS, I doubt it. Looks too precious for words. Lock Cate Blanchett in for a nod, and Allen for yet another screenplay nod.

Michael

Wish they'd drop it back to 5 movies. This anything-up-to-10 crap is a joke now. More room for political maneuvering.
PS After watching that trailer for SAVING MR. BANKS, I doubt it. Looks too precious for words. Lock Cate Blanchett in for a nod, and Allen for yet another screenplay nod.

ANTM

Yaya Dacosta will win Best Supporting Actress in Lee Daniels's The Butlar

BOO

Mud and Blue Jasmine don't need to be on here. You seriously are wrong about Fruitvale Station and you'll know it eventually. And once again, Saving Mr. Banks is not an oscar contender.

joshua

I think way too many people are underestimating Dallas Buyers Club. McConaughey is going to be very hard to beat. He is playing the most interesting and entertaining real life figure that no one has ever heard of. Jared Leto is supposedly great too. I think most have no idea what they are in for with this one. This is not your usual aids film. Its as funny as it is heartbreaking.

Bob

Last update for awhile now I think.

Early Prediction of 9 films nominated.

The Wolf of Wall Street
Twelve Years a Slave
Inside Llewyn Davis
American Hustle
Fruitvale Station
August: Osage County
Before Midnight
Her
Captian Philips

Possibles

The Monuments Men
Foxcatcher
The Fifth Estate
Dallas Buyers Club
The Counselor
Saving Mr. Banks
Labor Day
Gravity
Mud
Rush

Brett Greer

If there's going to be 15 nominations (which I doubt) My choices would be:
Lee Daniels' The Butler
Wolf of Wall Street
Foxcatcher
American Hustle
The Monuments Men
Out of the Furnace
The Secret Life of Walter Mitty
The Lone Survivor
Saving Mr. Banks
August Osage County
12 Years a Slave
All is Lost
Captain Phillips
Inside Llewyn Davis
Nebraska

#blessed

You guys, I saw Blackfish today and I honestly think it's going to be the first documentary ever nominated for Best Picture. It's amazing.

Teach

I see nobody thinking about "The Book Thief".

I think it's gonna be great. A great adaptation from a great novel. Starring Geoffrey Rush and Emily Watson. And a young newcomer Sophie Nelisse.

Brent Grimes

"12 Years a Slave" will catch many people off guard. But we all know movies on the subject of slavery always get the most critism and scrutiny from old white film critics. I think it's because they don't like how uncomfortable it makes them feel. ANYWAYS if this movie is done as good as the book was illustrated, this will be the MOST authentic movie about slavery ever to be made. The rest of the movies are cool, just more movies about white people. White people aren't the only ones with good stories worth telling.

smartest

All locks, beyond argument: American Hustle, August: Osage County, Gravity, 12 Years a Slave
Most likely: The Monuments Men, The Wolf of Wall Street, Inside Llewyn Davis
Likely: Nebraska, Captain Phillips, Blue Jasmine

Absolutely no chance in Hell: Fruitvale Station, Lee Daniels' The Butler, Her, Ain't Them Bodies Saints, Dallas Buyers' Club

Smartest

I can't decide which commenter below is the biggest idiot.

Bob

The Wolf of Wall Street
Twelve Years a Slave
Fruitvale Station
Inside Llewyn Davis
American Hustle
August: Osage County
Dallas Buyers Club
Her
Foxcatcher
Before Midnight

Lula

My predictions

1. The Monuments Men
2. August: Osage County
3. American Hustle
4. 12 Years a Slave
5. Her
6. Ain't Them Bodies Saints
7. Captain Phillips
8. Fruitvale Station
9. The Counselor
10. Untitled Terrence Malik film

I feel like that's a good mix– 'Her' looks beyond brilliant from its trailer and cast; 'Ain't Them Bodies Saints' has a superb cast, a fresh voice, and is the 'indie' pick of the year; 'American Hustle' seems like a given with O'Russell, not to mention that ensemble group; 'Gravity' for sheer effects, etc; 'August' and 'Monuments Men' are also givens, between Harvey Weinstein, George Clooney, both casts, etc etc; '12 Years a Slave' is like… the definition of Oscar-bait; 'Captain Phillips' seems like this year's Argo, tight, tension-filled story with a great leading performance; and then you have 'The Counselor' and Terrence Malik's films, both from such great director/writers, with, again, fantastic casts.

Sami

I really doubt The Wolf Of Wall Street or American Hustle will get a nomination for best picture. Although they are both at the top of my list for most anticipated.

LALA

Here's my thinking: every year, the nominees for Best Picture all fall under the same categories. There's special effects, the one that has the best reviews but rarely actually wins, the film about poverty, the film that's probably one of the best but the screenplay is too original for the Academy, etc. Here are my predictions if the nominees end up exactly like last year:

Argo – The Monuments Men – a film about a scheme, where George Clooney produces
Life of Pi – Gravity – stunning, just by watching the special effects
Beasts of the Southern Wild – Fruitvale Station – well, you know
Amour – The Past – French-language film (this isn't common, but it did happen last year)
Lincoln – 12 Years a Slave – an epic about slavery
Les Miserables – August: Osage County – Appeared on stage before on film
Silver Linings Playbook – American Hustle – Similar cast, same director
Django Unchained – Inside Llewyn Davis – Comedic, dramatic, and very original
Zero Dark Thirty – Captain Phillips – Tense and dramatic, but more action

Chad

The Place Beyond the Pines didn't disappoint me at all. Right now I'm rooting for that. Bold and unique storytelling.

Jean

My two cents:

1. The Wolf of Wall Street – Martin Scorsese
2. The Monuments Men – George Clooney
3. American Hustle – David – O. Russell
4. Gravity – Alfonso Cuaron
5. Twelve Years a Slave – Steve Mcqueen
6. August: Osage County – John Wells
7. Inside Llewyn Davis – Joel & Ethan Coen
8. All is Lost – J.C Chandor
9. Saving Mr. Banks – John Lee Hancock
10. Fruitvale Station – Ryan Coogler

Teddy

My top 10 predictions are:
1. American Hustle
2. The Wolf of Wall Street
3. Monuments Men
4. The Counselor
5. Inside Llewyn Davis
6. Before Midnight
7. Fruitvale Station
8. August: Osage County
9. Labor Day
10. Foxcatcher

I wouldn't be surprised if Elysium, Fifth Estate, Captain Phillips, Gravity, Saving Mr. Banks, Place Beyond the Pines, 12 Years a Slave, The Butler, Dallas Buyers Club, or Nebraska were nominated though. This year is packed with contenders.

M.

And the Academy award for best picture goes to 'American Hustle'.

Cameron

Sad to see nothing for The Place Beyond the Pines or Disconnect. Great films. I also hope The Hunt gets recognized in the foreign language category.

Cameron

Sad to see nothing for The Place Beyond the Pines or Disconnect. Great films. I also hope The Hunt gets recognized in the foreign language category.

Jean

Take Captain Phillips out, the film will be scathed

BOO

Ill bet you 100 dollars Fruitvale Station gets nominated. Saving Mr Banks will not. Before midnight probably will. Move Labor Day up.

Dan

MUD and Jeff Nichols really deserve more credit. In my opinion, it's the best film thus far of this year…12 Years a Slave will def be in the list, had the privilege of seeing a test screening and was mesmerized! :-)

aka

You should probably also put Her on there

aka

How couldn't you put either The Lone Survivor or The Secret Life of Walter Mitty on there? Or Philomena? Or The Book Thief?

Andrew

I'd throw Prisoners in there as a wild card.

Danny

How could you not count Diana and Grace of Monaco in your top twenties?

Bob

Here's my updated list after some even more thought.

Heavyweights/The movies that will be competing for Best Picture Really

The Wolf of Wall Street
American Hustle
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Monuments Men
Twelve Years a Slave

Have a Shot at a Nomination

The Counselor
August: Osage County
Before Midnight
The Fifth Estate
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Foxcatcher
The Butler
Captain Phillips
Fruitvale Station
Dallas Buyers Club

Honorable Mentions

Saving Mr. Banks
Labor Day
Gravity

Here's my prediction list if 9 movies are nominated.

1) The Wolf of Wall Street
2)Inside Llewyn Davis
3)American Hustle
4)The Monuments Men
5)Twelve Years a Slave
6)August: Osage County
7)Fruitvale Station
8)Dallas Buyers Club
9)The Fifth Estate

If 10 movies are nominated the last nomination will go to either Before Midnight, The Counselor, or Foxcatcher.

Josh Panos

Based on recent Oscar history, I'd say there are four or five no-brainers here. They are…

1. The Wolf of Wall Street (Scorsese obviously)
2. August: Osage County (Family melodrama)
3. Fruitvale Station (Racial indie pick)
4. Inside Llewyn Davis (The Coens always get nominated)

There's no reason to think that those are not the first four films that cross the minds of the academy. As far as films that simply look good because of their trailers, I'd say…

1. The Fifth Estate
2. Ain't Them Bodies Saints
3. Saving Mr. Banks (Probably will be nominated, but like 'The Blind Side,' it's not a real contender.)

Another thing to keep in mind… The academy loves stories of redemption (Shawshank, Forrest Gump, Braveheart) and/or dramatic stories of minorities (Slumdog, Life of Pi, Precious, The Color Purple), that's why 'Fruitvale' is a no-brainer. I'm not saying that any of these films really look particularly good; but…

1. Twelve Years a Slave (Most obvious of the three)
2. Mandela
3. The Butler (Honest long-shot, but you can't forget about it)

Honestly, I totally believe that the following films will be magnificent, but I don't see them as likely contenders for the major awards. The history of the academy does not provide evidence that they will compete much, even though their trailers and director's résumés tell us otherwise.

1. Gravity
2. Captain Phillips
3. The Monument's Men

Also, you have to take into account three of the Academy's writer/director combos who are no strangers to nominations…

1. Blue Jasmine (Woody Allen)
2. Labor Day (Jason Reitman)
3. Nebraska (Alexander Payne)

There are also a few movies that I really know nothing about, and could easily put up a fight.
1. Foxcatcher (Very possible heavyweight)
2. The Dallas Buyer's Club (probably actor only)

Films that actually don't look great…

1. The Counselor (I can picture this one turning out like 'Savages,' call me a heretic)
2. Out of the Furnace
3. Rush (Over-rated from the start)
4. Oldboy

I've seen some of these indie movies, but I find it to be severe wishful thinking to think that they have a real chance at Best Picture. The first three could have a crack at screenplay though.

1. The Place Beyond the Pines (Incredible!
2. Mud
3. Before Midnight
4. All is Lost (Still have yet to see it)

All in all, with all the analysis aside, I find it incredibly illogical to make a complete and firm list of 8 to 10 titles, seeing as though most of these films have yet to be released. I can say that it's going to be an amazing year, and I'm really excited to see pretty much all of these movies.

M.

Assuming there will likely be ten nominations:
1. The Wolf of Wall Street – Martin Scorsese
2. The Monuments Men – George Clooney
3. American Hustle David – O. Russell
4. Gravity – Alfonso Cuaron
5. Foxcatcher – Bennett Miller
6. August: Osage County John Wells
7. Inside Llewyn Davis – Joel & Ethan Coen
8. Captain Phillips – Paul Greengrass
9. Aint Them Bodies Saints – David Lowery
10. Twelve Years a Slave – Steve McQueen

Runner ups:
Saving Mr. Banks (John Lee Hancock, December 20)
Mandela: Long Walk To Freedom (Justin Chadwick, November 29)
The Dallas Buyers Club (Jean-Marc Vallee, December 6)
Before Midnight (Richard Linklater, In Theaters)
Nebraska (Alexander Payne, November 22)
Fruitvale (Ryan Coogler, In Theaters)

Bob

And here's my prediction for 10 movies nominated staright up.

Nominated for Best Picture

1) The Wolf of Wall Street
2) American Hustle
3) Inside Llewyn Davis
4) The Monuments Men
5) Twelve Years a Slave
6) August: Osage County
7) Fruitvale Station
8) The Councelor
9) Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
10) The Fifth Estate

Runner ups are Foxcatcher, Before Midnight, and The Butler.

Bob

Here's my updated list after some thought.

Heavyweights

The Wolf of Wall Street
American Hustle
Inside Llewyn Davis
The Monuments Men
Twelve Years a Slave

Have a Shot at a Nomination

The Counselor
August: Osage County
Gravity
Before Midnight
Labor Day
The Fifth Estate
Mandela: Long Walk to Freedom
Foxcatcher
The Butler
Captain Phillips

Honorable Mentions

Saving Mr.Banks
Dallas Buyers Club
Fruitvale Station

Jeff

Saving Mr. Banks is a joke.
My top ten:
1. The Wolf of Wall Street
2. Inside Llewyn Davis
3. The Counselor
4. The Monuments Men
5. American Hustle
6. Gravity
7. Blue Jasmine
8. Before Midnight
9. Captain Phillips
10. Before Midnight

Bob

Saving Mr.Banks a heavyweight? Really?

Predictions

Heavyweights

The Wolf of Wall Street
The Monuments Men
Twelve Years a Slave
American Hustle
Insise Llewyn Davis

Most Likely will get a Nomination

The Counselor
Before Midnight

Have a shot at a Nomination

The Butler
Gravity
Labor Day
Mud
The Fifth Estate
August: Osage County
Mandela Long Walk to Freedom
The lack of this movie on any part of this list is disturbing…Prisoners

STEFAN

no Jobs?

Kristian

So glad Mud made it higher on the list.

Clint

Here's one prediction: this column next year will state that 2014 looks to be a diverse and potentially quite fulfilling year for cinema. #cutandpaste

BOO

Saving Mr. Banks looks good not great. I think Fruitvale Station and Before Midnight will be nominated. From the early screening of 12 Years A Slave, the reactions suggest that it's not very accessible and may be polarizing which sounds good to me but not for Oscars. But overall the list is very agreeable. 7 of these are on my top 10.

Caleb

My boy Leo better get his Oscar this year, I don't care if the critics hated the movie. His performance was impeccable, and that's what the award is about right? "Best Actor in a Leading Role." Not about how good the movie was, but rather how good the performance was.

Dancing

Is DiCaprio acting with his eyebrows again? The guy is a HORRIBLE actor.

Oliver

The Fifth Estate was moved forward to October

Jane

Daniel Craig is not in Monuments Men. The film just finished shooting in Berlin.

Jean

'Twelve year's a slave' should get some SERIOUS consideration this year. Featuring an alarmingly phenomenal ensemble cast that includes Ejiofor, Fassbender, Pitt, Giamatti, Cumberbatch, and Dano, while dealing with an awards favorable issue such as Slavery, helmed by an incredibly gifted director. Tsk I can already smell the Oscar gold.

Batool

Now I know that it would be unfair for the readers to call out every fim not included in this article as these are very early prediction but only a fol would not mention 'THE BUTLER". here are five words- HARVEY, OPRAH, EIGHT PRESIDENTIAL TERMS.

BOO

I wouldn't be so sure about Saving Mr. Banks. Because it has Oscar qualities but it might be just good, not anything great. We'll see.

Yowzers

1. The Wolf Of Wall Street
2. American Hustle
3. Fruitvale
4. Inside Llewyn Davis
5. The Monuments Men
6. Twelve Years A Slave
7. Blue Is The Warmest Color
8. August: Ostage County
9. Before Midnight
10. The Counselor

Maybe

Blue Jasmine, Gravity, Captain Phillips, Rush and Grace Of Monaco.

I would like to be able to say Only God Forgives, but it flopped maybe it's just the first batch of reviewers, but that's hopeful thinking. When it comes to Mud and The place Beyond The Pines I would give them a chance, but the academy wouldn't the earliest they've given a best pic award to is in May actually a couple have won that were released in May.

Akira

Assuming there will likely be ten nominations:
1. The Wolf of Wall Street (Martin Scorsese, November 15)
2. The Monuments Men (George Clooney, December 18)
3. American Hustle (David O. Russell, December 13th)
4. Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón, October 4th)
5. Foxcatcher (Bennett Miller, Fall TBA)
6. Saving Mr. Banks (John Lee Hancock, December 20th)
7. Inside Llewyn Davis (Joel & Ethan Coen, December 6th)
8. Fruitvale (Ryan Coogler, July 12)
9. Dallas Buyer's Club (Jean-Marc Vallee, Fall TBA)
10. Twelve Years a Slave (Steve McQueen, December 27)

ralch

I'm pretty sure 'Before Midnight' will be there.

TheGrave

Surprised you have The Butler so low. I'm definitely thinking that will be a favorite. Otherwise I agree.

serpico

I'm surprised "Mud" isn't mentioned. It's the only true unanimous crowd pleaser so far this year. Except "The Playlist", who seemed to be the only one who missed the boat on that one.

kamran

I have high hopes for The Wolf of Wall Street and August: Osage County but The Monuments Men and American Hustle i mean come on guys. there is not always George Clooney and David O. Russell. Both of them are ok directors and there films are so boring. specially divid. the fighter is ok and silver linning the most stupid lame love story ever written in novel and then made as a movie. while Saving Mr. Bank will be ok film. I also have high hopes for Gravity, Foxcatcher, Twelve Years a Slave and The Counselor

Mirko

Nomitanion for "Saving Mr Banks": Best Picture, director, actor (Tom Hanks), actress (Emma Thompson), actor in a supporting role (Colin Farrel and Paul Giamatti), screenplay, art direction, costume design, editor and original score.

Zain

what about "Mud" or "Elysuim". These two shoukd surely be some contenders.

Kevin

I'm almost positive that pic is from "Solaris," not "Gravity."

Michael M.

Assuming there will likely be ten nominations:
1. The Wolf of Wall Street (Martin Scorsese, November 15)
2. The Monuments Men (George Clooney, December 18)
3. American Hustle (David O. Russell, December 13)
4. Gravity (Alfonso Cuarón, October 4)
5. Foxcatcher (Bennett Miller, Fall TBA)
6. Saving Mr. Banks (John Lee Hancock, December 20th)
7. Inside Llewyn Davis (Joel & Ethan Coen, December 6)
8. Fruitvale (Ryan Coogler, July 12)
9. Nebraska (Alexander Payne, November 22)
10. Twelve Years a Slave (Steve McQueen, December 27)

Longer Shots:
11. The Dallas Buyers Club (Jean-Marc Vallee, Fall TBA)
12. August: Osage County (John Wells, November 8)
13. The Fifth Estate (Bill Condon)
14. Rush (Ron Howard, September 20)
15. Captain Phillips (Paul Greengrass, October 11)
16. The Counselor (Ridley Scott, November 15)

Let the awards season commence.

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *