Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the
86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are
"Gravity" vs. "12 Years a Slave"? That certainly seemed like the
narrative we were heading into for quite some time, which would have shared commonalities
with the "Avatar" vs. "The Hurt Locker," "Hugo" vs. "The Artist" and
"Life of Pi" vs. "Argo" showdowns that met the last three years (an
expensive, 3D critical and commercial hit versus a smaller film tackling
history in one way or another)… History won all three times, but this
year is clearly closer than ever. The two films historically tied
for the PGA top honors, which just goes to show how tight this is. Add
in "American Hustle," which has received a ton of love from the
precursors too, and we got ourselves a bonafide three-way race. Unless
something truly shocking happens, one of these three films is winning
best picture, and we’ve been going back and forth between "12 Years" and
"Gravity" as my pick… I’ve finally landed on the former, but frankly
am just excited to be this uncertain so late in the race.
Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.
“American Hustle” Charles Roven, Richard Suckle, Megan Ellison and Jonathan Gordon, Producers
“Captain Phillips” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti and Michael De Luca, Producers
“Dallas Buyers Club” Robbie Brenner and Rachel Winter, Producers
“Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón and David Heyman, Producers
“Her” Megan Ellison, Spike Jonze and Vincent Landay, Producers
“Nebraska” Albert Berger and Ron Yerxa, Producers
“Philomena” Gabrielle Tana, Steve Coogan and Tracey Seaward, Producers
“12 Years a Slave” Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Steve McQueen and Anthony Katagas, Producers
“The Wolf of Wall Street” Nominees to be determined
Will win: "12 Years a Slave"
Could win: "Gravity"
Should win: "Her" (though "12 Years" or "Gravity" would suit me just fine).
Shoulda been here: "Inside Llewyn Davis"
Check out all predictions in all the categories here.
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