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2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor

2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor

Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the
86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are
announced.

First time Oscar nominee Jared Leto has essentially won every single precursor, making him perhaps the surest bet on Oscar night as far as the acting categories go. Adbi won the BAFTA, but Leto (or Hill for that matter) wasn’t even nominated. So anyone beating him would be a pretty big shocker.

Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

The nominees:
Barkhad Abdi in “Captain Phillips”
Bradley Cooper in “American Hustle”
Michael Fassbender in “12 Years a Slave”
Jonah Hill in “The Wolf of Wall Street”
Jared Leto in “Dallas Buyers Club”

Will win: Jared Leto in “Dallas Buyers Club”
Could win: Barkhad Abdi in “Captain Phillips”
Should win: Michael Fassbender in “12 Years a Slave”
Shoulda been here: James Franco, “Spring Breakers”

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

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This Article is related to: Awards


Comments

asashii

james franco playing a wigger, yeah I don't think so piss poor Harmony Korine movie, Boring!!!!

fernando meibak

Jeremy Renner should be here…

Schoff

Jonah Hill is going to win.

Riga

Fassbender should definitely win. A brilliant performance. That's not meant to be a knock on the others, but they simply aren't in the same league.

Scott

James Franco should have been nominated. Hands down.

Joe H.

Hell yeah Fassbender deserves it!

Hkaz

Jared Leto got snubbed by BAFTA but trust he won more great awards so stop the fussing.

Hkaz

This was a hardest category, all great actors that has done well. Bradley and Jonah, COMEDY actors now nominated shows how crazy cool the Academy is. You don't see this in a lifetime, and they did really good. Jared Leto have a chance of winning, I mean look at him stealing the awards this year. Proud over here, and Michael I see a chance…. Barkhad, as everyone says ''I'm the Caption, Now'' you sure are because I have a tiny spark of hope there

Jay

Michael Fassbender was brilliant. He made me hate his guts. Leto was also spectacular so either one of them would suit me fine. But I would definitely prefer if Fassbender won.

Korana

Jared Leto. Great acting!

Nate

Hahah James Franco would've been unreal!! "Look at all my shit!" Pretty bad movie though but Franco is my boy!

Green

I'm really excited about this category this year (since it's usually the most predictable of the acting prizes)! I agree with most people here that Jared Leto will probably be the lucky winner on Oscar night, but in my opinion it should go to Michael Fassbender. Both of these actors are great, but Fassbender definitely gave the better performance this time around in "12 Years a Slave."

Pato

Jared Leto, Jared Leto, Jared Leto

Ricrdo

Jared Letto by a mile. His acting was superb and incredible.

Klamentyne

what exactly are Jonah Hill & Bradley Cooper doing here!
Letos' performance was very strong & i understand he probably will/should win. but i'm all for Michael Fassbender. i can't even begin to describe how impressive his performance was!

Michael A

I really don't see why people wanted James Franco to be here. His performance in "Spring Breakers" was absolutely awful, as was the entire film! He definitely did not deserve to even be considered in this race.

The actor who should have been here was definitely Daniel Bruhl. As much as I like Jonah Hill, he should not have got the nomination.

On another note, the BAFTA's gave a best supporting actor nomination to Matt Damon instead of Jared Leto. Really? Damon's role isn't even a supporting one, it's a leading role. That and Leto's performance was better.

Gain

I hope Fassy would pull off a Juliette Binoche win this year.Lauren Bacall won basically every precursor that year while Binoche only won a BAFTA(which is most likely to go to Fass at this state,since Leto wasn't even nominated for a BAFTA),then Binoche surprised everybody,including herself,at Oscar night.I'd like to see that happen AGAIN this year!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Oh and the situation is kinda the same this year,12 Years a Slave is the top contender currently,just like The English Patient in 1996!

Ivan

Although I really like Dallas Buyers Club, I think it is a bit overrated. It is not a 2013 movie which I will remember most in 10 years, also roles of McConaughey and Leto are not so epic (but they are still very good) as it seems when you see their awards and nominations. Fassbender on the other hand was really really impressive and should win. Abdi is a nice suprise and deserves to be here, and I'm also glad that two funny roles where awarded with noms.

Jay

Rayon is definitely an oscar-bait kind of character but Leto was very impressive. I wanted the award to go to Fassbender but that's not going to happen. Still hoping though!

Lionel Anderson

Jared Leto = Overrated

Should win : Fassbender or Cooper
Should be here : Daniel Bruhl

Janice Davis

Bradley is the best as winner, and so thereon and therefore, I would pick Bradley. Last year, he lost to Daniel (Day-Lewis) in best actor, so this time, he would pull through on best supporting actor. That's my pick for 2014 winner.

EPJ234

Jared Leto. Period.

Jay

I still hope Fassbender wins. He's an incredible actor. But I'm pretty sure Leto is going to win. He's practically won all of the precursors. But I do hope Fassbender wins. If anyone beats him, it better be Leto. His performance was amazing as well, I'm not gonna lie.

JD

While I thought Fassbender did an amazing job in 12 Years a Slave, I don't really feel that he really deserves the Oscar. His role was very one dimensional. He is cruel and sadistic, but that is really it. Yeah, he did a great job of making the audience hate him, but really, how hard is that when you're playing a slave owner?

LORI

Well unfortunately Daniel Bruhl didnt get a nomination and surprisingly Jonah Hill did. After all it seems that the people of the academy are blind, idiots or Peter from Indiewire. Anyway, i hope Fassbender wins.

Janie

I agree, Fassbender deserves the win. Leto was good, but nothing compared to Fassbender.
I think 12 Years a Slave won't get as many wins as ppl thought it would be. Its a very good movie but I think Dallas Buyers Club will win most of these categories.

Jack

I'm just flat out disgusted Leto is going to win for this, I think he was okay but Michael Fassbender just completely got my attention, it's a very despicable character but they show he has another side to him and you wonder if he's only doing this because he's weak.

Will

Ah Jesus, Jonah Hill and Bradley Cooper over Daniel Bruhl? Idiot

Andre

Having Harrison Ford not nominated for best supporting actor in the Golden Globes has made have to alter my blood pressure medication.

CJ

Really hoping that one of those lower ones can sneak up, would make it so much more interesting!

2036

I have seen a majority of these films so I think that I can hang in there with you guys when it comes to guessing the winner. In my opinion though its a horse race between Jared Leto and Michael Fassbender

1) Leto/ Fassbender: To me this was Fassbenders role to lose as he played the role of Master Epps to a tee. He was spiteful, ignorant, and evil all rapped in one. That was until I saw the Dallas Buyers Club and had to remember that it was actually Jared Leto playing a woman and not an actual woman. He did the role justice in my opinion and had to go to some pretty dark places I would imagine to pull that performance out. I find it hard to believe that one of these two men won't be going home with the Oscar.

Dylan

My Nominations (Best Supporting Actor):

Barkhad Abdi – CAPTAIN PHILLIPS
Bradley Cooper – AMERICAN HUSTLE and/or PLACE BEYOND THE PINES
Dane DeHaan – THE PLACE BEYOND THE PINES
James Franco – SPRING BREAKERS (I've only seen the first 30 minutes of it twice, but from what I've seen of him from the trailer, he looked unbelievably amazing.)
Michael Fassbender – 12 YEARS A SLAVE (Again, I haven't seen the movie yet, but from what I've seen from the trailers, and how much I love Michael Fassbender, I want to finally see him get an Oscar nomination because he's a fantastic actor and he looks incredible in that movie.)

Joey O

I'm offended that James Franco is on this list. OFFENDED.

Kat

I dont think theres something sure yet about the winner, I mean they all had great performances thats why this actors are being considered, but my favorite is by far Daniel Bruhl, he was great as Lauda. I cant wait till the nominations.

Anthony D.

Michael Fassbender
Barkhad Abdi
Jared Leto
Jonah Hill/Daniel Bruhl/Bradley Cooper

The field here is unclear but Leto has already won. Everyone else (except maybe Fassbender, maybe) can stay home.

3

Best supporting Actor:
Jared Leto
Micahel Fassbender
Bradley Cooper
Keith Stanfield
James Franco

Rachel

With the Bafta nominations I guess we can confirm that Daniel Bruhl is a very strong contender and a lock too, and there is nothing sure yet, not even Leto as the winner. I would be very happy if Bruhl wins the Bafta, he is the one who deserves it the most, but I support Fassbender too, theyre both are amazing. But yeah, dont underestimate Bruhl.

Mexicano

Jared Leto snubbed for the Bafta!!! Wooooowwwww…
That leaves only 3 Actors who have been nominated for the Whole Grand Slam (Golden Globes, SAG, Bafta & Oscar-tba): Bruhl, Abdi and Fassbender.
Being realistic, Abdi is not taking the Oscar home, then it will be for Bruhl or Fassbender.
Bafta also confirmes that the Fifth spot will be for Bradley Cooper.
And the Oscar goes to… Daniel Bruhl.

Mexicano

Daniel Bruhl for the Bafta!
Bafta practically belongs him because the British Academy will not recuse to Award a Best European Actor Winner. His only real competence for Bafta is Fassbender.

Jay

FASSBENDER! FASSBENDER! FASSBENDER! He should be the only one taking that Oscar home. Seriously underrated actor.

Mike

LOUIS CK IN AMERICAN HUSTLE

Hirdesh

Colin Farrell deserves a Supporting Actor Nomination for Saving Mr Banks. He was better than Tom Hanks.

niall

i think that fassbender deserves it his character is the most hated character ive ever hated in a film but i also think Colin Farrell deserves a nomination he was really good and i cried at it one of his best performances to date

ALEX

I've seen most of the films deemed to be Oscar-worthy this year. So I think I'd be able to pass fair judgement on who deserves an Oscar nod in this category and why. (List ranked in order of my favorite performances.)

1) Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave) – One of the best actors this generation, Fassbender was criminally overlooked by the Academy for his performance in Shame. This year, he gives a totally unhinged role in 12 Years, playing a cruel, sadistic slave owner with such anger and yet, underlying humanity.

2) Bradley Cooper (American Hustle) – Bradley Cooper has been undergoing a career renaissance of late, and that streak continues in Hustle. Cooper was absolutely fantastic in his role as a power-hungry and unyielding FBI agent and with undoubtedly one of the best performances of the year, Cooper deserves a lock at his 2nd nomination.

3) Daniel Bruhl (Rush) – Bruhl probably had the most complex and unlikeable character to work with, so it serves as a testament as to how he managed to get viewers to root for him instead. His acting was top notch, and his personality switch halfway through the film makes it even better.

4) Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club) – Although Leto remains the favorite, I just can't see his performance beating that of those by Fassbender and Cooper. Despite that, he still manages an award-worthy performance by completely disappearing into his role.

5) James Gandolfini (Enough Said) – A performance that deserves to be rewarded, if not for the terrific and haunting acting, then as a tribute to one of the finest actors ever lived.

Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips) never really managed to impress me with his performance as it was pretty much average at best, and quite frankly there was nothing memorable about it.

Jonah Hill was good in Wolf of Wall Street, but at times it just felt like he was playing off his usual, party-loving self.

Jay-r

People, let's just wait for the list of Academy nominations 2013 it's not far from now. There are people who keeps on criticizing a certain actor without watching the movie first. It's just that, it's hard to criticize without even knowing what we're talking about.

Ryan

I'm going to do something rare, I'm going to give my predictions after actually seeing all of the films and watching all of the performances that are competitors to be nominated, with the exception of Nebraska and I've yet to see Inside Llewyn… And some extra thoughts

-1)Leto: Deep performance, very emotional. The obvious front runner

-2)Bruhl: Also very deep and emotional. He played a very complex character, his narration was fantastic and the mid film transformation was great. He is almost a lead, but I doubt that will hurt him. (Rush did not get enough love as a film, however, so..)

-3)Hill (Yes, the pick everyone loves to hate). I realize most people who doubt this pick have yet to even see the Wolf, but he killed it. Sure, it wasn't the most likeable or deep character, but it was a tough role. His love for Jordan (Leo) came out, and his problems inside his party exterior showed, some great freakout scenes (when his character loses it, anger). I think the nomination lock for this came from the scene that will be known as the "Lemon scene" with him and Leo. If you've seen the Wolf, you will agree.

^To me, these 3 are the only favorites, who I think should be locks

Possibilities and why I don't think they SHOULD be favorites

-Fassbender: He was terrifically evil. However, I don't think that a cruel, slave owner is that difficult to play. I know it was Django, but I thought Leo did fantastic as Candie in it and nothing. No nomination (I realize there wasn't that much screen time, but he did enough). I think it's kind of a double standard is Fassbender wins. So for the record, I REALLY don't want him to win, but there's ALOT of buzz around him

-Cooper (And Renner): And the parentheses is exactly why I think he/they shouldn't win or be nominated. Cooper showed some great emotion and anger with his character, I almost found him to be like a mild sociopath. Renner was great as well, his character was really likeable and you felt for him and the position he is in. I think when there are two great supporting actors in one film, 2 great performances like in American Hustle, neither will or should win.

-Hanks (And Farrel). I know, same as the above. Hanks was good, as always, but his performance is being extremely overrated. He really didn't have that much screen time, probably less than Farrel. I thought Farrel almost stole the show. The versatility he showed, between being a great imaginative father and a terrible, sick alcoholic. Just like in Hustle, these two hurt each others chances greatly.

-Harrelson/Affleck: Both great, Affleck edged him out (I don't think villains, Harrelson, should be win, much less be nominated, for the Oscars). My opinion, sorry.

-Abdi: Great, like everyone else. I really can't see this guy playing another role, so I don't know if that is a good or bad thing..maybe both?

-Ford: I feel like he or 42 are hardly being talked about. You really liked his character. I found him an hero, he had this strange courage, I can't really explain. His role definitely had the importance and the emotional impact I can see the Academy recognizing.

-Gyllenhaal: Someone who is also not getting any love. I felt he did all the little things just right. I think Jackman's shouting just stole his thunder.

-McConaughey: For Mud. I saw some comments below for the Wolf. He has like 5 minutes screen time in that. He was great in Mud, however. The ending he showed great emotion, just some really nice scenes.

-Franco or anyone from the Butler..no, just no.

Sherrie

It's Jared Leto for me all the way; his performance was heartbreaking. I love Fassbender and he did an admirable job playing evil, but as far as the performance that sticks with me and astounds me today just as it did three months ago, Leto deserves this one.

Mel

I really think Daniel Bruhl is a lock too, I hope he has chances to win an Oscar, his performance was amazing.

Ben

Come on Fassbender! His performance was absolutely haunting the academy cant just ignore him like what they did with Shame and Hunger. He is seriously an underrated actor.

kia

man Daniel Bruhl really nailed it….the way he performed i guess he should win it…

Mexicano

Daniel Bruhl is taking home the Oscar. I have been telling that since long time ago.
Indie Wire didn't believe it but now Bruhl is in the race for the Golden Globe and SAG.
Bafta will certainly award him because Bruhl is very well known and respected in Europe. Impossible that British Academy does not vote for a former Best European Actor Winner.

MARIU

I want JAMES FRANCO to be in the race!!!!!!

Michele

I like your locks, and I think the other three are probably Abdi, Gandolfini, and Hanks. I think Fassbender should win on the basis of performance. Bruhl has a lot of love here but he was the lead, not supporting. If he is not competitive in lead, then he shouldn't be considered for supporting. B. Cooper is a good actor, but AH is not his best work. As for Jonah Hill, no.

FilmFan

put hanks here instead but like the locks in this to.

Jasper

Bradley Cooper deserves an Oscar for his performance, there's no doubt at all that he will get nominated. At this point, people are starting to realize that Cooper might be one of the best actors to come.
My Top 5

Bradley Cooper
Jonah Hill
Jared Leto
James Gandolfini
Michael Fassbender

Claudio

Woddy Harrelson??? for out od the furnace??..

defraz1972

No mention of idris elba?thought his performance was incredible as mandela.will pass judgement on the 2nd of january for american hustle(really looking forward to it)

Azrin

Bradley Cooper stole the show in American Hustle amongst some of the finest actors of this generation. I would say he's pretty much a lock for his second Oscar nomination.
My predictions :
1) Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
2) Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
3) Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
4) Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips
5) Daniel Bruhl – Rush

Bob

Once again, our top 8 is the same, nice picks. Yes…top 8 not even top 5 lol.

Updated List

Predicted Top 10

1) 12 Years a Slave
2) Gravity
3) American Hustle
4) The Wolf of Wall Street
5) Her
6) Nebraska
7) Saving Mr.Banks
8. Captain Phillips
9) Inside Llewyn Davis
10) Dallas Buyers Club

Real Threats that Could Enter the Top 10

11) Blue Jasmine
12) Philomena
13) Fruitvale Station

Possibles

14) Lee Daniel's The Butler
15) August: Osage County
16) All is Lost

Long Shots

17) Rush
18. Mud
19) Before Midnight
20) Enough Said

Best Director

1) Steve McQueen – 12 Years a Slave
2) Alfonso Cuaron – Gravity
3) David O. Russel – American Hustle
4) Martin Scorsese – The Wolf of Wall Street
5) Alexander Payne – Nebraska

Runner ups

6) Spike Jonze – Her
7) Paul Greengrass – Captain Phillips
8. John Lee Hancock – Saving Mr.Banks

Best Actor (Pretty damn strong year; only surefire nominees are Ejiofor and McConaughey honestly)

Chiwetel Ejiofor – 12 Years a Slave
Matthew McConaughey – Dallas Buyers Club
Leonardo DiCaprio – The Wolf of Wall Street
Bruce Dern – Nebraska
Christian Bale – American Hustle

Real Threats/Runner ups

Robert Redford – All is Lost
Tom Hanks – Captain Phillips

Possibles

Joaquin Phoenix – Her
Oscar Isaac – Inside Llewyn Davis
Michael B. Jordan – Fruitvale Station

Best Actress

Cate Blanchett – Blue Jasmine
Emma Thomphson – Saving Mr.Banks
Judi Dench – Philomena
Meryl Streep – August: Osage County
Sandra Bullock – Gravity

Runner ups

Amy Adams – American Hustle
Brie Larson – Short Term 12

Best Supporting Actor

Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street
Daniel Bruhl – Rush
Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips

Runner ups

Tom Hanks – Saving Mr.Banks
James Gandolfini – Enough Said
Bradley Cooper – American Hustle

Best Supporting Actress

Lupita Nyong'o – 12 Years a Slave
Jenifer Lawrence – American Hustle
June Squibb – Nebraska
Julia Roberts – August: Osage County
Oprah Winfrey – Lee Daniel's The Butler

Pete

Why Daniel Bruhl isn't a lock? He obviously will get a nomination. Fassbender, Leto and him have pretty much the same chances to win the Oscar.

JD

Tom Hanks is not a long shot. I think he has a much better shot than Hill. And why is Steve Coogan not anywhere on this list?

Bard

I think Jared Leto, Daniel Bruhl and Tom Hanks will get nominations. I'm kinda hoping James Franco will be nominated too. The winner here is Michael Fassbender, although Jared Leto should win this.

Ariel

Will Win: Michael Fassbender
Could Win: Daniel Bruhl
Should Win: Jared Leto

Mexicano

For me, (and for the major awards) there are 4 locks
Bruhl
Leto
Fassbender
Abdi

In my opinion, the last spot should be for Tahar Rahim in The Past. But as far as that doesn't look probable, that place will be for Gandolfini, Cooper or Hanks.

Jonah Hill is totally out of this competence.

Mirko

I am sorry for Tom Hanks in Saving Mr Banks. I want he in nomination.

kami

My prediction are (It depend on performances only)

1. Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
2. Daniel Bruhl (Rush)
3. Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
4. Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
5. Will Forte (Nebraska)
6. James Gandolfini (Enough Said)
7. Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
8. Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)

Lyn

Jonah Hill over Daniel Brühl after his TWO recent nominations? lmao

Brett

1. Michael Fassbender in 12 Years a Slave
2. Jared Leto in Dallas Buyers Club
3. Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Banks
4. Daniel Bruhl in Rush
5. Bradley Cooper in American Hustle
6. Harrison Ford in 42
7. John Goodman in Inside Llewyn Davis
8. Jake Gyllenhaal in Prisoners
9. Jonah Hill in Wolf of Wall Street
10. Woody Harrelson in Out of the Furnace
11. Matthew McConaughey in Mud
12. Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips

Eric S.

You still think Jonah Hill will get a nomination over Daniel Bruhl? Jeez….

Will

Yes! Daniel Bruhl and Barkhad Abdi have been nominated for the SAG Award, which is one step closer to a potential Oscar. Michael Fassbender and Jared Leto were locked, and it's great to see them there also.

Nate

Jared Leto did (in my opinion) the BEST ACTING job this year. This was method acting at its best!

kami

My prediction are

For Win

1. Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave (He will nominate in future but this is his finest performance)
2. Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club (Not oscar material but i hope he win)
3. Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street (Could be the next joe pesci)

For nominee

4. Will Forte – Nebraska (He could be the dark horse)
5. Jake Gyllenhaal – Prisoners (I loved his performance. he is the standout. need sag and globe attention)

Hopefuls

6. Daniel Bruhl – Rush
7. Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks
8. James Gandolfini – Enough Said

Charles

If somehow Jonah Hill slips in and someone like Michael Fassbender gets edged out… That will mean Jonah Hill is a 2-time Oscar nominee and Fassbender, Daniel Bruhl have zero. Ummm….

Mexicano

I don't understand why Indie Wire is taking Daniel Bruhl out of the competence. That does not make sense.
-Bruhl's strenghts:
He gave the best male performance of the year.
Oscar owes him a nomination since 10 years ago.
-Bruhl's weakness:
He is not American.

Jonah

My Predictions

1: Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
2: Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
3: Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks
4: Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
5: Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street
6: Jake Gyllenhaal – Prisoners
7: Daniel Bruhl – Rush
8: Matthew McConaughey – Mud
9: Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips
10: Harrison Ford – 42

Jonah

I'd put Jake Gyllenhaal in prisoners on there somewhere but other than that looks like this is how it will turn out

Brett

1. Michael Fassbender in 12 Years a Slave
2. Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Banks
3. Jonah Hill in Wolf of Wall Street
4. Daniel Bruhl in Rush
5. Bradley Cooper in American Hustle
6. Jake Gyllenhaal in Prisoners
7. Woody Harrelson in Out of the Furnace
8. Harrison Ford in 42
9. Matthew McConaughey in Mud
10. John Goodman in Inside Llewyn Davis
11. David Oyelowo in The Butler
12. Jared Leto in Dallas Buyers Club

Brett

Where's Woody Harrelson for Out of the Furnace and Jake Gyllenhaal for Prisoners? Sure they're probably not gonna get nominated but they're possible

sean

I gotta say that Leto gave one of the best performances I've seen on screen in years. Beyond the physical transformation, Leto gives his character a heart, depth and a real vibrancy that screams award-worthy. It'll be fun to see how this shapes up.

Keegan

My opinion anyway:

1. Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
2. Michael Fassbender – 12 Years A Slave
3. Matthew McConaughey – Mud
4. Daniel Bruhl – Rush
5. James Franco – Spring Breakers
6. James Gandolofini – Enough Said
7. Jake Gyllenhaal – Prisoners
8. Keith Stanfield – Short Term 12
9. Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips
10. Ben Foster – Ain't Them Bodies Saints

I haven't seen them yet but I look forward to seeing Bradley Cooper in American Hustle, Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Banks, Jonah Hill in The Wolf of Wall Past, Tahar Rahim in The Past and Josh Brolin in Labor Day

John

@Charles

Rumor has it that Hill was ridiculously good in Wolf and McConaughey has only an extended cameo. That probably explains it.

MLH

The True Contenders:
Daniel Bruhl in Rush
Michael Fassbender in 12 Years a Slave
Jared Leto in Dallas Buyer's Club
It's really based on preference. My opinion: I see traces of a disturbingly dominant personality in a lot of Fassbender's movies, which for me makes me see Fassbender not who he's portraying. Nevertheless, he should've at least been nominated for any of his critically acclaimed performances. Leto should win because he shedded his ego more than anybody else. It's so good, you wonder if he's even acting or just reliving something he once considered doing.

What's going to happen? Bruhl will win. For all the reasons stated below.

The Other Nominees:
Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Banks
Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips

I have to agree with those against Jonah Hill. His Moneyball was undeserving. Maybe he's better in Wall St but I think it's just a bunch of smoking mirrors. Cooper can put on a wig but it's still him. You only get one nomination for playing yourself boss.

Sam

Really hope that Daniel Bruhl gets nominated. He was downright phenomenal. As was Fassbender.

Charles

So McConaughey now has no shot for "Wolf of Wall St" but Jonah Hill is a definite possibility? For a film no one has seen yet?

jacob

Mike Fassbender deserves the award the most, but if Sharlto Copley in "Elysium" or Sam Rockwell from "The Way, Way Back" get ignored I will be seriously upset.

T

Didn't see the Daniel Bruhl performance. Interested in seeing it from reading these comments. Aside from that, I think Fassbender and Leto are very well deserved locks. Would be nice to see Sam Rockwell mix it up with a lighter nod. He was really good in The Way Way Back. Looking forward to seeing John Goodman in Inside Llewyn Davis.

Evan

1. Michael Fassbender- 12 Years a Slave (Truly amazing, definitely deserves to win)
2. Jared Leto- Dallas Buyers Club
3. Tom Hanks- Saving Mr. Banks
4. Jake Gyllenhaal- Prisoners (Won't get nominated, but an excellent performance that deserves praise)
5. Jonah Hill- The Wolf of Wall Street (Didn't deserve a nomination for Moneyball, though he looks very good in the new trailers.

jm

Michael Fassbender will win! Although, he should have won for Hunger.

Kari

Daniel Bruhl and Michael Fassbender defintely are locks. As much as Fassbender is great, w/o a dount it will go to Bruhl.

Mexicano

Why are you sending Daniel Bruhl to number 8?
Every update you send him lower.
He is going to win every single major Award (GG, Bafta, Oscar) I did not mention SAG because it is sometimes so minor Award.

Kevin

Any chance Sam Rockwell at least gets some 5th and 6th place votes for The Way Way Back? Maybe an Original Screenplay Nom? That was so well done and these were the 2 best aspects of the film.

Brittany

Definitely Daniel Bruhl and Michael Fassbender deserve nominations. Harrison Ford was great (and barely even recognizable) in 42 as well.

Brett

1. Daniel Bruhl in Rush
2. Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Banks
3. Michael Fassbender in 12 Years a Slave
4. Jonah Hill in Wolf of Wall Street
5. Bradley Cooper in American Hustle
6. John Goodman in Inside Llewyn Davis
7. Woody Harrelson in Out of the Furnace
8. Jared Leto in Dallas Buyers Club
9. Geoffrey Rush in The Book Thief (probably the only thing in that film that's worth a nod)
10. Harrison Ford in 42
11. David Oyelowo in The Butler
12. Jake Gyllenhaal in Prisoners

Ben

I'm glad a bunch of people are predicting Daniel Bruhl in the comments. He definitely deserves a nomination, especially over the vastly overrated Tom Hanks, AKA Oscar Darling, who's performance in Saving Mr. Bank is being called a cameo with a, surprise surprise, a big emotional speech at the ending… I haven't heard of that one before

Mexicano

The locks:
1. Daniel Bruhl in Rush
2. Jared Letto in Dallas Buyers Club
3. Michael Fassbender in 12 Years a Slave

Should be considered, but Oscar is too shallow for voting him:
4. Tahar Rahim in Le Passe

On the other hand, will be considered:
5. Tom Hanks in Saving Mr. Banks

The last spot will be for one of them:
6. Barhad Abdi in Captain Phillips
7. Casey Afflect in Out of the Furnace
8. Jake Gyllenhall in Prisioners
9. Jeremy Renner in American Hustle
10. John Goodman in Inside Lewyn Davis

Mirko

I hope Tom Hanks.

Val

You guys, I think Bruhl will win. The Academy loves actors like him! They love Christoph Waltz, they have given him two! They are going to give it to him, they have to!

claudia

barkhad abdi.absolutely.I don t expect him to win but his performance is way more powerful than hill or bruhl's
this year is very tough,thoug.
a good year.

kami

My predicted nominees are

1. Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
2. Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
3. Daniel Bruhl (Rush)

Any one of them for 4th and 5th

4. Bradley Cooper or Jeremy Renner (American Hustle)
5. Jonah Hill or Matthew McConaughey (The Wolf of Wall Street)

Or they pick a surprise nominee that we never thought about because in supporting , oscar always pick someone that never on predictions

6. Barkhad Abdi (Captain Phillips)
7. ?????????????????
8. ?????????????????

BOO

Jared Leto is the dark horse to win so he's definitely 2. I will be upset if Daniel Bruhl doesn't get nominated. I think he will though.

Mirko

Tom Hanks for Saving Mr Banks is strong contender.

Riley

Barkhad Abdi seems like exactly the guy the academy would love to nominate. I would be surprised if he didn't sneak in here. Great performance

Chris CJ

I’m surprised there isn’t more hype for Casey Affleck. He looks like he does a really good job in Out of the Furnace. Has anyone heard anything?
And as BRETT here says, Woody too.

Brett

Where's Woody Harrelson for Out of the Furnace? He looks like one of the most intimidating villains ever! Have you ever been intimidated by someone sucking on a sucker?

Mexicano

Daniel Bruhl has built a role model career in Europe… very out of Hollywood.

It is not that Bruhl needs the Oscar; it is that Oscar needs to honor ACTORS like him in order to recover a little of credibility.

Bob

Bruhl should be a auto nominee…this is nuts…a possible winner honestly…

1) Michael Fassbender – Winner
2) Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
3) Daniel Bruhl – Rush
4) Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips

Threats/Possibles

5) Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks
6) James Gandolfini – Enough Said
7) Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street
8) Bradley Cooper – American Hustle

Sob

no Jeffrey Wright from A Single Shot?? ok…

Mexicano

Why did you send Daniel Bruhl to number 9??

Are you drunk?

Only the members of the Academy would do something such stupid….Ooops, this is an Academy competition… =´(

Will

Jonah Hill? Wow…. over Daniel Bruhl and Barkhad Abdi?

kami

Jonah Hill for The Wolf of Wall Street? I mean seriously. you dont pick matthew and jean and the rest of supporting cast and you pick him. thats awful and by the way daniel bruhl in possible contender over tom hank and barkhad abdi boring one note performances and michael fassbender at no 1 is fine but jared leto at no 4 Really. and why american hustle guys are doughty for put in highest in predictions. a complete ? category for me

Shane

There seems to be a lot of double-dipping of actors from multiple films. In McConaughey's case, it's TRIPLE-DIPPING! Would the Academy really be keen on handing nominations to Hanks and McConaughey? How many things can McConaughey be nominated for? He's already a lock for Dallas Buyers Club. Mud was a good movie, but I wouldn't say his performance was strong enough to push out more worhty candidates.
We'll see how good Bradley Cooper's performance is in American Hustle, but I'd say he's more worthy for the fantastic Place Beyond the Pines.
Sorry, but an actor getting 2 nominations for 2 different movies seems insane to me.

greg mitchell

Chris Cooper, August: OC

sergi

Ben Mendelsohn in The Place Beyond the Pines

M

Best Supporting Actor:

1. Michael Fassbender
2. James Gandolfini
3. Jared Leto
4. Daniel Bruhl
5. Tom Hanks

Runner ups: Jonah Hill, Bradley Cooper, Barkhad Abdi

Joe H

If Barkhad Abdi gets a nomination and Bruhl doesn't, I will be exceptionally pissed.

Tom Smith

I have not seen any of the other contenders.
But Daniel Bruhl's uncanny portrayl of Nikki Lauda has got to be the odds on favorite.
He gave a stiff, rigid Austrian so much depth and understanding,
it's an all-time great performance in an epic film.

KIM

Sam Rockwell (Way, Way Back)

Spencer

Willem Dafoe, Woody Harrelson, Casey Affleck, Sam Rockwell anybody? This list needs to be updated.

DAWLISH

I really hope that Hanks wins. I was really upset with his movies this decade, knowing what he is truly capable off. Philadelphia and Forrest Gump was Hanks at his pinnacle. it looks like he has a very strong chance this year but I wouldn't mind if Fassbender takes it. ever since I saw him in Basterds, I have been a huge fan, he definitely deserves one too.

Laut

Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks)
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
Daniel Bruhl (Rush)
Bradley Cooper (American Hustle) /Jeremy Renner (American Hustle)/Matthew McConaughey (The Wolf of Wall Street)

George

Jake Gyllenhal was the lead wtf is he on this list

George

George Clooneys performance in Gravity was absolutely heartbreaking.

Joseph

Daniel Brühl (who DOES deserve a nomination for "Rush") and Jake Gyllenhaal (who does NOT deserve a nomination for the unintentionally hilarious "Prisoners") are leads, not supporting.

Anders

I'm surprises no one has mentioned Sam Rockwell and his performance in The Way Way Back yet.

Josh

Fassbender just said he won't be doing an Oscar campaign, saying he's too busy. Really hope this doesn't stop him getting nominated anyway, like Phoenix last year after he called the whole thing BS.

Brett

Why is Mud in the SUPPORTING category? That's a lead role it should be in the leading category

Bob

Update

Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Daniel Bruhl – Rush
Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips
Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
James Gandolfini – Enough Said

Runner ups

Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks
Matthew McConaughey – Mud/The Wolf of Wall Street
Jeremy Renner – American Hustle

Will

Daniel Bruhl – Rush
Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Jake Gyllenhaal – Prisoners
Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks
Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club

Brett

I know it's early to predict but I think Tom Hanks will win, the man is Walt Disney for God's Sake, how can you compete with that?

Brett

If there's going to be 12 (Because 12 Years a Slave) my picks are:

Tom Hanks
John Goodman
Jared Leto
Jake Gyllenhaal
Michael Fassbender
Harrison Ford
Daniel Bruhl
Jonah Hill
Benedict Cumberbatch
Stacy Keach
Jeremy Renner
David Oyelowo

Mexicano

If I was a member of The Academy, I would vote:
1. Daniel Bruhl in Rush (by far the 1st Choice)
2. Tahar Rahim in Le Passe
3. Jared Letto in The Dallas Buyers Club
4. Michael Fassbender in 12 years a slave
5. Barkhad Abdi in Captain Phillips

However I am not a member of The Academy and I think Tom Hanks will get Rahim's spot to complete the final 5. What an incredible Supporting Performance competition… Even more interesting than the Leading Actor race.

Blake

Really hoping that Barkhad Abdi gets a nom. I mean the guy is a first time actor and in any many ways DOMINATED his scenes with Tom Hanks in Captain Phillips.

Josh

If James Gandolfini gets nominated, there might just be enough sentimentality to ensure a win as well.
People are talking so much about Daniel Bruhl too I feel I have to go and watch Rush now.

peachmahoney

It'll be a showdown between Fassbender and Leto. Calling it now. Bruhl's win is just getting nominated. His real trophy will come for something else. There could be a possible upset with Gandolfini given how much money (for a little indie at least) Enough Said has made and the press it generated.

Bob

Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Daniel Bruhl – Rush
Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
James Gandolfini – Enough Said
Barkhad Abdi – Captain Phillips

Runner ups

Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street
Matthew McConaughey – Mud/The Wolf of Wall Street
Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks

vincent

my list

Michael Fassbender – Twelve Years a Slave
Daniel Bruhl – Rush
Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Bradley Cooper – American Hustle
John Goodman – Inside Llewyn Davis

LYNN

I think Daniel Brühl should be in the list for sure, he should be nominated and I can almost predict that is going to be that way. To me, Bradley Cooper doesn't belong to this category neither James Gandolfini. I think Daniel Brühl has the biggest chance to be in the competition, just see how the people love his performance in Rush.

Joe H

I'd love to see Leto nominated. It's an edgy role and he's a brilliant actor. He very easily could have been nominated for Requiem for a Dream or Lord of War as well.
And Daniel Bruhl is a lock, just saying. He is definitely going to be nominated. Been calling it for months.

Ruairi

Daniel Bruhl deserves this more than anybody else. Michael Fassbender? No. He can't compare to the excellence that is Niki Lauda in Rush. If Bruhl doesn't win this Oscar it'll just prove my theory that this is the most ridiculous and corrupt competition known to man.

Lina

Seriously guys, Daniel Brühl DESRVES this the most. I mean think about it he was snubbed 10 years ago and he's been trying to break through ever since (bare in mind that that is much harder for non-american/non-british actors to do) and his perfomance in Rush absolutely does that for him. Plus Fassbender, McConaughey, Cooper, Franco, Gyllenhaul and most of all Hanks are all well-estableshed veterans in the group, each with at least one prev nom and I'm sure they'll have plenty of opportunaties for an oscar win in the future. This is Daniel's moment! Fingers crossed for him;)

Olive

Well, I haven't seen many films this year and a few of my predictions are just wishful thinking until I see the films, but here's my dream list and what I think will actually happen:

Dream List:
1. Bradley Cooper-The Place Beyond the Pines
2. James Franco-Spring Breakers
3. Jared Leto-Dallas Buyers Club
4. Matthew McConaughey-Mud
5. Michael Fassbender-12 Years a Slave

What Is Probably Going To Happen
1. Daniel Bruhl-Rush
2. Jake Gyllenhaul-Prisoners
3. Jared Leto-Dallas Buyers Club
4. Michael Fassbender-12 Years a Slave
5. Tom Hanks-Saving Mr Banks

BOO

Wow, wow, wow. Daniel Bruhl is totally getting nominated and he really really deserves it. I don't know about Bradley Cooper, I feel like that's unlikely. Christain Bale and Amy Adams seem to have better chances. Since when is Gandolfini supporting and a contender? I think he's going for best comedy/musical lead actor at the globes so they can't really put him here.

Ans

Woody Harrelson for "Out of the Furnace" should be up there on the 'sight unseen' part of the list. The film itself could make it to the Oscars too.

Verita

Jake Gyllenhaal (Prisoners)- I just saw the movie. He was amazing!

laptop09

Why are people puting down Jonah Hills name? He's not oscar worthy…. he should have never gotten nominated for Moneyball. Anyone could have played that part. I'd put Channing Tatum (Foxcatcher – from what I've seen from the teaser trailer) and Jake Gyllenhaal (Prisoners) before anything Jonah Hill does. It'll be….
Matthew McConaughey
Michael Fassbender (for the win)
Jared Leto
Jake Gyllenhaal
and Matthew McConaughey for a double whammy.

Mexicano.

Why is Daniel Bruhl been downgraded to lane #7??
He will be the obe to beat.
Daniel Bruhl is an excellent actor with an amazing career out of Hollywood. At the age of 25, he has been one of the youngest actors to win as Best Actor by the European Academy 10 years ago. But a beautiful German Film was not enough for Oscar Contention. Bruhl and Moritz Bleibtreu are my favorite german actors, both now working in Hollywood.
I cross my fingers for Bruhl's nomination, I'm sure he will get that Oscar, same way when Juliette Binoche won -Binoche been snubbed by the Oscar for "Trois Couleurs: Bleu" and Bruhl snubbed for "Good Bye Lenin" and then awarded as Supporting-.
I vote talent, no matter if it is made in Hollywood, Europe, Latin America, Africa, Asia, etc.
Bruhl all the way!

Brett

I don't think Clooney's performance in Gravity screams Oscar, his performance was good but not great, so I'm replacing him in my 12 nominations list with Stacy Keach for Nebraska

Brett

It might not be as weird as Eminem winning, but I'd be surprised to see Jared Leto the lead vocalist of the hard rock band 30 Seconds to Mars get an Oscar nomination

Brett

Stacy Keach for Nebraska?

Bob

I have not even seen Enough Said but can tell you James Gandolfini is almost a lock because…well you know….RIP. That's not taking away anything from his performance which I'm sure is fantastic, just with what happened it's pretty much a lock, almost.

Michael Fassbender – 12 Years a Slave
Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher
James Gandolfini – Enough Said
Jared Leto – Dallas Buyers Club
Daniel Bruhl – Rush

Possibles

Jonah Hill – The Wolf of Wall Street
Tom Hanks – Saving Mr. Banks
Matthew McConaughey – Mud/The Wolf of Wall Street
John Goodman – Inside Llewyn Davis

Julia

What about Benedict Cumberbatch in Osage County?

Brett

What about Alec Baldwin for Blue Jasmine? He's one of the greatest actors of all time and he only got 1 nomination?!

ETHAN

James Franco is way too far down that list!

VM

How is David Oyelowo not on the list AT ALL?! Have you seen The Butler. I'm almost sure his acting is better and character is more interesting than Jonah Hill's in Wolf on Wall Street. I don't see how he got a nonination for Moneyball over Ezra Miller in We Need To Talk About Kevin.

M

Best Supporting Actor:
1. Michael Fassbender
2. James Gandolfini
3. Mark Ruffalo
4. Daniel Bruhl
5. Tom Hanks

Runner ups:
Jonah Hill or Jared Leto

BOO

Mark Ruffalo dies so a lack of screen time could be working against him. Also Jared Leto has great praise for his performance but you are also probably wrong about McConaughey so I can't trust your opinion on actors from that movie.

Giamboni

Tom Hanks in Saving Mr Banks is strong contender.

Brett

If the Academy decided to nominate 12 (Because 12 Years a Slave) my picks would be:
1.Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave)
2.Daniel Bruhl (Rush)
3.George Clooney (Gravity)
4.Jonah Hill/Matthew Mcconaughey (Wolf of Wall Street
5.Tom Hanks (Saving Mr.Banks
6.Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)
7.Woody Harrelson/Casey Affleck (Out of the Furnace)
8.Bradely Cooper/Jeremy Renner/Robert De Niro (American Hustle)
9.Robin Williams/Terrance Howard/James Marsden/John Cusak (The Butler)
10.Harrison Ford (42)
11.Jake Gyllanhaal (Prisoners)
12.John Goodman (Inside Llewyn Davis) (Why the hell hasn't he been nominated yet)

Brett

I have a strange feeling someone in Last Vegas will get a nomination, I also have a feeling that Arnold is possible for Escape Plan

Can1010

Sorry, think you got to start dropping a few:
Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks)
George Clooney (Gravity)
Harrison Ford (42)
Jake Gyllenhaall (Prisoners)

Add to your lock list:
Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club)

Bob

I'm almost positive Jared Leto is a lock…

Michael Fassbender(12 Years a Slave)
Jared Leto(Dallas Buyers Club)
Daniel Bruhl(Rush)
Tom Hanks(Saving Mr. Banks)
Matthew McConaughey(Mud)(and yes I think McConaughey has a great chance of getting double nominated this year)

Runner ups

John Goodman(Inside Llewyn Davis)
Jonah Hill(The Wolf of Wall Street)
Mark Ruffalo(Foxcatcher)

EPJ234

No Bobby Cannavale for Blue Jasmine anywhere on this list?

Daz

I'm hoping for Bill Murray to get some sort of recognition in Monuments Men if he's performance is good, he deserved it for Lost in Translation.
if not then i reckon it'll either go to Bruhl or Fassbender.
Jared Leto deserves at least a Nod, he always put's so much devotion into his roles.

Joe H

This race is up in the air at this point, it's always so incredibly competitive.
Strongest contenders will be:
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr. Banks
Daniel Bruhl, Rush

The rest is up in the air. Jared Leto might be too edgy for some, and little is known about Ruffalo in Foxcatcher. Don't count out anyone from American Hustle. The Fighter received three acting nominations and Silver Linings received four. Suffice to say Russell typically gets amazing performances from his actors, and a lot of them get Academy recognition.

Jay

Honestly, I would love if Fassbender won. His role looks like Oscar bait anyway.

Luke Hayes

Fassbender will prevail

Prince

Where's the name of 3 Times OSCAR Nominated BRAD PITT?????

Hello

No David Oyelowo anywhere? I haven't seen the film, but I thought he got better reviews than Oprah who is considered the frontrunner in her category. (No prizes for guessing why, though.)

Mexicano

My latest update:
1. Daniel Bruhl
2. Jared Letto
3. Michael Fassbender
4. Tom Hanks
5. John Goodman
6. Tahar Rahim

Susie

Interesting top five list. My strongest support is for Fassbender, who should have a couple of nominations (at least) already.

Paul

I really liked Matthew McConaughey in mud, plus it was a pretty good movie, than again I haven't seen much movies this year. I also hope that they don't snub Michael Fassbender.

kami

The nominees are

Daniel Bruhl (Rush)
Josh Brolin (Labor Day)
Michael Fassbender (Twelve Years a Slave)
Jared Leto (The Dallas Buyers Club)
Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher)

And the oscar goes to Michael Fassbender (Twelve Years a Slave)

Joe H

See I love Fassbender but I'm still not convinced his 12 Years a Slave performance is going to get a lot of love from the Academy, just based on the trailer. Remember DiCaprio was unjustly spurned last year for playing just this kind of despicable character, and I remember everyone also considering him an early strong contender. But it's cool to see Daniel Bruhl moved up to the top 5 contenders. Called it months ago as soon as I saw the trailer : )

Mirko

My predictions nominations:

Josh Brolin, Labor Day.
Benedict Cumberbatch, August: Osage County.
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave.
John Goodman, Inside Llewis Davis.
Tom Hanks, Saving Mr Banks.

Jim

Did you just forget that the Place Beyond the Pines exists?

Bob

Michael Fassbender
Tom Hanks
Daniel Bruhl
Jonah Hill
Saw the new trailer for Captain Philips and I could actually see the guy that plays the main pirate getting a Supporting Actor Nomination.
Could also see McConaughey getting a double nomination this year. Best Supporting for either Mud or The Wolf of Wall Street. Then Best Actor for Dallas Buyers Club.

M

Best Supporting Actor:

1. Michael Fassbender
2. Tom Hanks
3. Jared Leto
4. Jonah Hill
5. Mark Ruffalo

Runner ups:
Daniel Bruhl
John Goodman
Javier Bardem

BOO

I think these are very good (except for Tom Hanks being in this category, which I am pretty sure is wrong). But WHAT IF that Somalian guy from Captain Phillips gets nominated? I think he could be a surprise.

Bren

Daniel Bruhl should be considered for Best Actor, I know that most of the attention goes for Chris Hemsworth because, as some people here already said it, he's gonna sells the tickets but I think Bruhl is going to be the main character here. Hopefully we could see him nominated, he deserves it only by watching the amazing work he does in the trailers, wich i'm sure reflects his amazing acting skills in Rush.

Mexicano

1. Daniel Bruhl (Rush).
2. Jared Leto (Dallas Buyers Club).
3. Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks).
4. Michael Fassbender (12 Years a Slave).
The 5th space depends on Bruce Dern (if he competes as Leading or as Supporting). It could correspond to Tahar Rahim for Le passe, Javier Bardem, John Goodman or Alec Baldwin.

Mexicano

I am very happy to see Daniel Bruhl has real chances to be considered for Oscar Race. He is one of my favorite actors since "Good Bye Lenin" and he is definitively a role model. He had had small roles in Hollywood with Inlgorious Basterds and The Bourne Supremacy but this year he has two major roles in the Fifth State and Rush. Don't underestimate his chances, just remember Juliette Binoche (another great european actress with a career out of Hollywood, with a leading role besides anglo-stars, nominated as supporting and finally, a win).

Matt

I'm sorry, I don't want to sound like a fanboy, but Ryan Gosling deserves a Supporting Actor nomination for The Place Beyond the Pines. His character is easily the best in the film, and his presence is felt onscreen even when he's not there. Gosling is taking a break from acting, maybe even retiring altogether, so he deserves recognition for a really intense role that seems to be overlooked.

RACHEL

Not sure how many people have read the Foxcatcher script…based on what I have read, it seems like Steve Carell is the supporting role and Channing Tatum is the lead. Things could have changed a lot so Mark Ruffalo could still get the nomination though.

Megan

Lou Taylor Pucci for the best actor category should be a possibility. I don't know how he hasn't been nominated yet, but he was amazing in The Story of Luke.

Mercedes S.

Matthew McConaughey has the lead role in "Mud".

CRCC

Jared Leto deserves to be nominated and win, because e lost 30lb for this role and he plays a transsexual who was dying with AIDS. So this role took a lot of effort from him and he did an amazing job!

Ivana

And as an addition to my previous comment, I would also like to take this chance to express how much I hate it when lead actors are nominated as "supporting" (e.g. Kevin Spacey in Usual Suspects), just because they're not considered famous enough to get the Lead Actor/Actress nomination, so the producers decide to campaign for Supporting Actor/Actress even though it makes no sense at all. As if the Supporting Actor/Actress category is some sort of a consolation prize for not getting Lead nomination, rather than a category of its own, intended for people who actually played supporting roles and excelled in them.

Ivana

Bruhl a "supporting role" in Rush? Seriously?! He's one of the two leads. And if anything, it should be his story a lot more than Hemsworth's, considering what the story is about. At least I hope so, because if Niki Lauda is a just a "supporting" character in a story about Hunter, even though the major event of the story is *SPOILER (in the way that Titanic sinking was a spoiler, I guess)*
Lauda's horrific car crash, near that and disfigurement, all just to make Chris Hemsworth fans happy, then the film is going to majorly suck.

Teddy

This is just me guessing, I don't know much about the supporting roles yet.
1. Matthew McConaughey, The Wolf of Wall Street
2. Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
3. Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
4. Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
5. Jared Leto, The Dallas Buyer's Club

M.

I'd bet money on this:

1. Bruce Dern (Nebraska)
2. Michael Fassbender (Twelve Years a Slave)
3. Tom Hanks (Saving Mr. Banks)
4. Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher)
5. Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)

BOO

"All of that said, it’s obvious from the trailer alone that Disney isn’t merely a supporting character in Saving Mr. Banks. Thompson may be the film’s protagonist, but based on the teaser, the central focus will be on the dynamic between her and Hanks." quote. He's freaking lead.

VANESSA

I hear that Dallas Buyers Club is amazing from the early screening and Jared Leto is GREAT!! I loved him in Requiem for a Dream

Bob

Best Supporting Actor

1) Michael Fasssbender (Twelve Years a Slave)
2) Matthew McConaughey (The Wolf of Wall Street)
3) Jonah Hill (The Wolf of Wall Street)
4) Javier Bardem (The Counselor)
5) John Goodman (Inside Llewyn Davis)

I predicting many nominations for The Wold of Wall Street and possibly a double Oscar nomination for McConaughey, with him being nominated for Best Actor for Dallas Buyers Club, and nominated for Supporting Actor in The Wolf of Wall Street. I also have a sneaky feeling that Fassbender might/possibly could get a double nomination off as well. He's almost a lock for Best Supporting for Twelve Years a Slave, but he might also, and has a good chance of, getting nominated for Best Actor for The Counselor.

pavan

Best Supporting Actor: 16. Christian Bale (Out of the Furnace)?? you kidding me?. He is the lead actor in Out of the Furnace

THEGRAVE

Bruce Dern is being considered for Supporting now, so I'm guessing that he will be considered the favorite after all the Cannes love he got.

JMA

My Best Supporting performances thus far from released films.

1. Benedict Cumberbatch: Star Trek Into darkness.
2. Bradley Cooper: The Place Beyond the Pines.
3. Matthew McConaughey: Mud
4. James Franco: Spring Breakers
5. Leonardo DiCaprio: The Great Gatsby

BOO

I have a feeling Tom Hanks will be lead even though he will probably have the second most amount of screen time because his character is iconic and people will see it for him. Anthony Hopkins won his Oscar for like 20 minutes of screen.

ay wey

Great you finally included Daniel Bruhl, I wish he will be int he final 5. Thanks!

Ay wey

And what the fucking happened with Daniel Brühl? An excellent young german actor who will be strong this year in Hollywood with 2 supporting roles: "Rush" and "The Fifth State".

Joseph H

Daniel Bruhl should be considered a shoe-in for Rush. Watch the trailer and you'll understand

Kate

I agree with CK actually, I think Joel Edgerton deserves a nomination for playing Tom Buchanan in Gatsby. I thought he outshone Leonardo DiCaprio but I doubt he'll get a nomination because the movie wasn't weird or arty enough and he wasn't playing a paraplegic AIDS victim with a drug problem or whatever it takes to get nominated usually.

Norman Stansfield

What about Gary Oldman in Paranoia?

Movie Fan

What about Casey Affleck for Out of the Furnace

Niccole

Mr. Jared Leto is a strong talent.He should absolutely win!thankyou.

Niccole

Mr. Jared Leto is a strong talent.He should absolutely win!thankyou.

Niccole

Mr. Jared Leto is a strong talent.He should absolutely win!thankyou.

ck

I understand The Great Gatsby hasn't been the 'favorite' from the critics and even the fans , but i did think that Joel Edgerton as Tom Buchanan was a surprisingly brilliant performance and i wouldn't mind seeing him nominated.

Mirko

In Saving mr Banks Colin Farrel and Paul Giamatti are good actor in supporting role, I think.

TheGrave

Wow Adam, you're so hip aren't you? I bet you're probably one of the 4% of the world who thought Movie 43 was a good film too, weren't you? Ha, what a tool.

Question, how is Ryan Gosling getting listed as a 'Supporting Actor' for TPBTP? I thought he was the lead actor for that film?

Chicago Cinema Circuit

Not too shabby. Here's my predictions for the above-the-line categories:
chicagocinemacircuit.com/oscar-predictions

Adam M. Wroblewski

I LOVED ALL THESE FILMS. SO MANY GREAT PERFORMANCES. What was your favorite part of Wolf of Wall Street? I liked when Jean Dujardin says to Matthew McConaughey that really powerful thing and the music kind of swells and then scorsese does a whip pan and WOW O WOW, OSCARR!!!! is what I thought.

And in Only God Forgives when they do the Oscar winning things. Really powerful.

This makes me puke.

dylan196262

Harrison Ford has been nominated before – for Witness.

Steve G

Harrison Ford was Oscar nominated as Best Actor for Witness (1985). Just in case your 'many of whom have yet to receive an Oscar nomination' was assumed to include him.

Michael M.

Considering the difficulty of Supporting nominations, my list comprises of:

1. Mark Ruffalo (Foxcatcher)
2. John Goodman (The Monument's Men or Inside Llewellyn Davis)
3. Michael Fassbender (Twelve Years a Slave)
4. Vithaya Pansringarm (Only God Forgives)
5. Jean Dujardin (The Monuments Men or The Wolf of Wall Street)

Long shots:
6.Chris Cooper (August: Osage County)
7. Jared Leto (The Dallas Buyers Club)
8.Bradley Cooper (American Hustle)
9. Anything Benedict Cumberbatch.

Michael M.

Considering the difficulty of Supporting nominations, my list comprises of:

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