You will be redirected back to your article in seconds
Back to IndieWire

For Your Consideration: Final 2015 Oscar Nomination Predictions

For Your Consideration: Final 2015 Oscar Nomination Predictions

In just under 48 hours, months and months of speculation will finally come to a close when the 87th Academy Award nominations are announced. Though various precursors (BAFTA, the Globes, the guild awards, the critics groups, etc) have narrowed things down considerably, the Academy’s recent tendencies to go their own way here and there hopefully will offer us a few welcome surprises come Thursday morning.

One thing that is fairly certain is the three films that are set to  be major  They have rarely failed to manage impressive support from pretty much all of the precursors, and if any of them miss out on best picture (or have overall nomination counts under 6), it would be a big shock. Which films join them in the best picture race will be a lot more interesting. Alexander Payne’s “Nebraska,” Martin Scorsese’s “The
Wolf of Wall Street” and Paul Greengrass’s “Captain Phillips” are
looking pretty solid in that regard, but then it gets a
lot more hazy. We don’t know how many nominations there will be,
after all, though the remaining 0-4 slots seem to be a battle among 6
films: Woody Allen’s “Blue Jasmine,” Joel & Ethan Coen’s “Inside
Llewyn Davis,” Spike Jonze’s “Her,” John Lee Hancock’s “Saving Mr.
Banks,” Jean-Marc Vallee’s “Dallas Buyers Club” and Stephen Frears’
“Philomena.”  For the sake of mixing things up, we’re betting there will
only be 8 nominees this year (there were 9 the previous two years), with “Her” and “Philomena” joining the aforementioned six
nearly sure things.

The acting races should be equally interesting.  Best actor, in particular, is probably more stacked than its been in a decade, with Robert Redford, Chiwetel Ejiofer, Matthew McConaughey, Tom Hanks,
Leonardo DiCaprio, Bruce Dern, Oscar Isaac, Forest Whitaker, Christian
Bale and Joaquin Phoenix all offering performances that in any
other year would arguably be certainties for nominations. But this year, it’s
gonna be tough.  As for best actress, it’s considerably less competitive with six women aiming for five slots. But that still makes things interesting. Cate Blanchett, Sandra Bullock, Judi Dench and Emma Thompson certainly seem like sure things, though who joins them — Amy Adams or Meryl Streep — will be a mystery to the last minute.

The past month of non-stop precursors have certainly made their stamps on the race and have given us some clear suggestions in all of the acting races. If an actor doesn’t end up with at least one nomination from the Globes, BAFTA, SAG or the Critics Choice, there’s a very slim chance they’ll end up with an Oscar nomination. Though ask Jacki Weaver how she feels about that slim chance. She’s the only one that beat it last year when she ended up with an Oscar nomination for “Silver Linings Playbook.” Or, Marion Cotillard, for that matter, who was nominated for all four and then didn’t end up making it to Oscar’s shortlist. The year before, there was also one actor (Max von Sydow) made the cut without a SAG, Globe, BAFTA or Critics Choice nod, while Tilda Swinton did not despite getting all of them. If that trend continues this year, I’d bet — for what it’s worth — that Jonah Hill (“The Wolf of Wall Street”) is the one who makes it in without any of those precursors. His film broke very late in the game, and he’s been campaigning aggressively ever since. He’s also pretty fantastic in “Wolf.”

So then who falls out? The following folks managed nods from all 4 organizations: Bruce Dern, Chiwetel Ejiofor, Tom Hanks, Cate Blanchett, Sandra Bullock, Judi Dench, Emma Thompson, Barkhad Abdi, Daniel Bruhl, Michael Fassbender, Jennifer Lawrence and Lupita Nyong’o. The predictions below suggest Daniel Bruhl as the sole Oscar exclusion from that group. More over, they also suggest “12 Years a Slave” would lead the nomination count with 12, while “American Hustle” takes 10 and “Captain Phillips” and “Gravity” each take 9.  Take a read through and feel free to add your own predictions in the comments section.  You can also find more extensive commentary on each individual category, click
here.

Best Picture:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
American Hustle
Captain Phillips
Gravity
Her
Nebraska
Philomena
12 Years a Slave
The Wolf of Wall Street

If There’s a 9th Nominee: Dallas Buyers Club
If There’s a 10th Nominee: Saving Mr. Banks
The Spoiler Nominee: Inside Llewyn Davis
Pretty Please: Before Midnight
Winner Prediction: 12 Years a Slave

Best Director:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
Paul Greengrass, Captain Phillips
Spike Jonze, Her
Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
David O. Russell, American Hustle

The Spoiler Nominee: Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
Pretty Please: Joel & Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
Winner Prediction: Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity


Best Actress:

Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Amy Adams, American Hustle
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Sandra Bullock, Gravity
Judi Dench
, Philomena
Emma Thompson, Saving Mr. Banks

The Spoiler Nominee: Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Pretty Please: Adèle Exarchopoulos, Blue is the Warmest Color
Winner Prediction: Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine

Best Actor:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Leonardo DiCaprio, The Wolf of Wall Street
Chiwetel Ejiofor, 12 Years a Slave
Tom Hanks, Captain Phillips
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

The Spoiler Nominee: Robert Redford, All Is Lost (or Christian Bale, American Hustle — this is gonna be tight)
Pretty Please: Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
Winner Prediction: Bruce Dern, Nebraska


Best Supporting Actress:

Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Jennifer Lawrence, American Hustle
Julia Roberts, August: Osage County
Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave
June Squibb, Nebraska
Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels’ The Butler

The Spoiler Nominee: Sally Hawkins, Blue Jasmine
Pretty Please: Scarlett Johannson, Her
Winner Prediction: Lupita Nyong’o, 12 Years a Slave

Best Supporting Actor:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Barkhad Adbi, Captain Phillips
Bradley Cooper, American Hustle
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave

Jonah Hill, The Wolf of Wall Street
Jared Leto, Dallas Buyers Club

The Spoiler Nominee: Daniel Bruhl, Rush
Pretty Please: James Franco, Spring Breakers
Winner Prediction: Bradley Cooper, American Hustle

Best Original Screenplay:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Woody Allen, Blue Jasmine
Joel & Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis
Spike Jonze, Her
Bob Nelson, Nebraska
David O. Russell & Eric Singer, American Hustle

The Spoiler Nominee: Nicole Holofcener, Enough Said
Pretty Please: Noah Baumbach & Greta Gerwig, Frances Ha
Winner Prediction: David O. Russell & Eric Singer, American Hustle

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Steve Coogan and Jeff Pope, Philomena
Julie Delpy, Ethan Hawke & Richard Linklater, Before Midnight
Bill Ray, Captain Phillips
John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave
Terence Winter, The Wolf of Wall Street

The Spoiler Nominee: Tracy Letts, August: Osage County
Pretty Please: Abdellatif Kechiche & Ghalia Lacroix, Blue is the Warmest Color
Winner Prediction: John Ridley, 12 Years a Slave


Best Foreign Language Film:

Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
“Force Majeure” (Sweden)
“Ida” (Poland)
“Leviathan” (Russia)
“Tangerines” (Estonia)
“Wild Tales” (Argentina)

The Spoiler Nominee: “Timbuktu” (Mauritania)
Pretty Please: That “Mommy” and “Winter Sleep” had made the shortlist, but that’s a moot point now.
Winner Prediction: “Ida” (Poland)

Best Documentary Feature:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
“The Case Against 8”
“CITIZENFOUR”
“Last Days In Vietnam”
“Life Itself”
“The Overnighters”

The Spoiler Nominee: “Keep On Keepin’ On”
Pretty Please: “Tales of the Grim Sleeper”
Winner Prediction: “CITIZENFOUR”


Best Animated Feature

Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
“Big Hero 6”
“The Boxtrolls”
“How To Train Your Dragon 2”
“The LEGO Movie”
“Song of the Sea”

The Spoiler Nominee: “The Tale of Princess Kaguya”
Pretty Please: “Cheatin'”
Winner Prediction: “The LEGO Movie”

Best Cinematography:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Emmanuel Lubezki, “Birdman”
Robert D. Yeoman, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”

Oscar Faura,
“The Imitation Game”

Dick Pope,
“Mr. Turner”
Bradford Young, “Selma”

The Spoiler Nominee: Roger Deakins, “Unbroken”
Pretty Please: Ryszard Lenczewski and Łukasz Żal, “Ida”
Winner Prediction: Emmanuel Lubezki, “Birdman”

Best Film Editing:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Joel Cox & Gary Roach, “American Sniper”
Douglas Crise, “Birdman”
Sandra Adair, “Boyhood”
William Goldenberg, “The Imitation Game”
John Gilroy, “Nightcrawler”

The Spoiler Nominee: Tom Cross, “Whiplash”
Pretty Please: Kate Amend, “The Case Against 8”
Winner Prediction: Sandra Adair, “Boyhood”

Best Production Design:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Kevin Thompson & George DeTitta Jr., “Birdman”
Adam Stockhausen & Anna Pinnock, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Maria Djurkovic, “The Imitation Game”
Dennis Gassner & Anna Pinnock, “Into The Woods”
Suzie Davies & Charlotte Watts, “Mr. Turner”

The Spoiler Nominee: John Paul Kelly & Claire Nia Richards, “The Theory of Everything”
Pretty Please: Ondrej Nekvasil & Beata Brendtnerova, “Snowpiercer”
Winner Prediction: Adam Stockhausen & Anna Pinnock, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”

Best Costume Design:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Milena Canonero, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Sammy Sheldon Differ,, “The Imitation Game”
Colleen Atwood, “Into The Woods”
Anna B. Sheppard, “Maleficent”
Jacqueline Durran, “Mr. Turner”

The Spoiler Nominee: Ruth E. Carter,, “Selma”
Pretty Please: Mark Bridges, “Inherent Vice”
Winner Prediction: Colleen Atwood, “Into The Woods”

Best Original Score:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
Trent Reznor & Atticus Ross, “Gone Girl”

Alexandre Desplat, “The Grand Budapest Hotel”
Hans Zimmer, “Interstellar”
Alexandre Desplat, “The Imitation Game”
Johann Johannsson, “The Theory of Everything”

The Spoiler Nominee: Marco Beltrami, “The Homesman”
Pretty Please: Mica Levi, “Under The Skin”
Winner Prediction: Alexandre Desplat, “The Imitation Game”

Best Original Song:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
“Everything is Awesome” (“The LEGO Movie”)
“Glory” (“Selma”)
“I’m Not Gonna Miss You” (“Glen Campbell… I’ll Be Me”)
“Lost Stars” (“Begin Again”)
“Mercy Is” (“Noah”)

The Spoiler Nominee: “Yellow Flicker Beat” (“The Hunger Games: Mockingjay, Part I)
Pretty Please: “Split The Difference” (“Boyhood”)
Winner Prediction: “Glory” (“Selma”)

Best Sound Mixing:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
“American Sniper”
“Birdman”
“The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies”
“Into The Woods”
“Transformers: Age of Extinction”

The Spoiler Nominee: “Get On Up”
Winner Prediction: “Into The Woods”

Best Sound Editing:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
“American Sniper”
“Godzilla”
“Fury”
“Interstellar””
“Unbroken”


The Spoiler Nominee: “The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies”
Winner Prediction: “American Sniper”

Best Visual Effects:
Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
“Dawn of the Planet of the Apes”
“Godzilla”
“Guardians of the Galaxy”
“The Hobbit: The Battle of the Five Armies”
“Interstellar”


The Spoiler Nominee: “Maleficent”
Winner Prediction: “Interstellar”


Best Makeup & Hairstyling:

Predicted Nominees (in alphabetical order):
“Foxcatcher”
“Guardians of the Galaxy”
“Maleficent”


The Spoiler Nominee: “The Theory of Everyhing”
Winner Prediction: “Guardians of the Galaxy”

Peter Knegt is Indiewire’s Contributing Editor and awards columnist. Follow him on Twitter.

Sign up HERE for
Indiewire’s Awards Season newsletter and receive a twice-weekly email
roundup of our awards stories, hand-picked by our editors from across
the Indiewire Network, plus additional coverage in the final run up to
the Oscars.

This Article is related to: Awards and tagged , , ,