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Oscar Predictions 2015 Final

Oscar Predictions 2015 Final

After one of the more contested Oscar races in my lifetime, I list my final predictions below. Follow my picks at your peril. I am going on instinct, after talking to many voters and reading the usual tea leaves, but several categories are still tough to call, including three-way races for Best Picture, Actor and Score. By my count, "The Grand Budapest Hotel" will win the most Oscars, from four to five, and there will be a split between frontrunners "Birdman" and "Boyhood." It’s just a question of which way they go!

Stay tuned for our live red carpet, backstage, show and party coverage (for tweets, follow @akstanwyck and @ryanlattanzio) including the Governor’s Ball and after parties. My final wrap and analysis will follow Monday morning. 

May you win your Oscar pool. My final predictions in 24 categories are below. 

Performance by an actor in a leading role
Michael Keaton in “Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)”
Performance by an actor in a supporting role
J.K. Simmons in “Whiplash”
Performance by an actress in a leading role
Julianne Moore in “Still Alice”
Performance by an actress in a supporting role
Patricia Arquette in “Boyhood”
Best animated feature film of the year
“How to Train Your Dragon 2” Dean DeBlois and Bonnie Arnold
Achievement in cinematography
“Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)” Emmanuel Lubezki
Achievement in costume design
“The Grand Budapest Hotel” Milena Canonero
Achievement in directing
“Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)” Alejandro G. Iñárritu
Best documentary feature
“CitizenFour” Laura Poitras, Mathilde Bonnefoy and Dirk Wilutzky
Best documentary short subject
“Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1” Ellen Goosenberg Kent and Dana Perry
Achievement in film editing
“Boyhood” Sandra Adair
Best foreign language film of the year
“Ida” Poland
Achievement in makeup and hairstyling
“The Grand Budapest Hotel” Frances Hannon and Mark Coulier
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original score)
“The Grand Budapest Hotel” Alexandre Desplat
Achievement in music written for motion pictures (Original song)
“Glory” from “Selma”
Best motion picture of the year
“Boyhood” Richard Linklater and Cathleen Sutherland, Producers
Achievement in production design
“The Grand Budapest Hotel” Production Design: Adam Stockhausen; Set Decoration: Anna Pinnock
Best animated short film
“The Bigger Picture” Daisy Jacobs and Christopher Hees
Best live action short film

“Boogaloo and Graham” Michael Lennox and Ronan Blaney
Achievement in sound editing
“American Sniper” Alan Robert Murray and Bub Asman
Achievement in sound mixing
“Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)” Jon Taylor, Frank A. Montaño and Thomas Varga
Achievement in visual effects
“Dawn of the Planet of the Apes” Joe Letteri, Dan Lemmon, Daniel Barrett and Erik Winquist
Adapted screenplay
“The Imitation Game” Written by Graham Moore
Original screenplay
“The Grand Budapest Hotel” Screenplay by Wes Anderson; Story by Wes Anderson & Hugo Guinness

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Hey Cuz!

Just wanted to echo Tiare’s comment above. Tough year, but I value your insight and thoughtful consideration more than anyone else’s. It’s been a pleasure reading (and especially listening to) you throughout the run-up to the Oscars. Thanks for everything this season.


You are my Oscar guru, but it was a tough year. (I did better than you!) Still, you’re the best.



Lon A

J. Moore for best actress – not a chance. Rosamund Pike so much better performance in every level.


Chinchillas are neat!


Jack, if you knew Keaton you would know that is not him. If anything he put the artist soul on display. Very vulnerable performance. If the academy had any guts it would be Birdman across the board.


I didnt know why michael keaton,I think benedict and redmyne is better ,
I dont really like grand budhapest hotel its not clear film




Way off. Guardians of the Galaxy deserves Makeup.


"Birdman" is beautiful. I haven’t seen such an excellent blend of style and substance before. Even though the year itself has been filled with fantastic movies, hopefully The Oscars will choose Alejandro G. Iñárritu’s masterpiece.

Jon Hydro

I believe you’re right on. The most difficult acting is making it look lie you’re not acting and playing yourself.

Blue Straggler

Iñárritu as Best Director has one thing against him – Alfonso Cuaron’s win last year. Will Academy voters award Mexican directors back-to-back Oscars without making the subtle prediction of Bowfinger come true?! :-)

(if nothing else, at least someone might go and watch Bowfinger again to see what I am getting at :-) )


Bradley Cooper should get the Oscar. He did an amazing job in American Sniper and deserves it.

Matthew Merkel

really, what’s wrong with you people. I want interstellar to win 3 oscar.
Visual effects
sound mixing
sound editing


Jack. Redmayne? Seriously? Imitating isn’t acting and Keaton isn’t playing himself. It’s far from what the guy is, he played a satire version of the ego of Hollywood. Out of all the nominees, he is the one that deserves for playing a character and making everything from his own talent. Plus, the single takes scen where he ranges from emotions (no cuts) Redmayne could just take a break in his scenes (he ain’t Daniel Day-Lewis). Go watch Dayds of Our Lives, apparently that’s the kinda acting you like.

Matthew Merkel



I agree with you on everything except on a few details: Moore should be replaced by Rosamund Pike for Gone Girl, in Makeup Guardians of the Galaxy should take the Oscar home and for sound editing, The Hobbit should win. but other than that, it’s a passable list of predictions.


Wrong on Keaton, why should he get an oscar for playing himself? Redmayne should and will win. But everything else seems right



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