Much of the early news surrounding the best actress race centered on where Oscar voters would place Rooney Mara ("Carol") and Alicia Vikander ("The Danish Girl") on their ballots. The pair were both nominated for supporting actress at the SAGs and Critics Choice, and both as lead at the Golden Globes. Now that nominations have been announced, we know that both have been regulated to the category for which they campaigned, which left the door open for Charlotte Rampling ("45 Years") and Jennifer Lawrence ("Joy") to make the cut.
Regardless, the best actress race seems pretty much like a head-to-head battle between Brie Larson ("Room") and Saoirse Ronan ("Brooklyn"). Both actresses are rising stars that give two of the year’s most resonant performances. Larson won the Globes, though she’s certainly not as big of a frontrunner as Julianne Moore and Blanchett have been in the past.
Below is Anne Thompson’s take on how things might shake down in the race for best actress. Check out Thompson on Hollywood’s Oscar predictions page for more awards season analysis. Click here for more category breakdowns on Indiewire.
Predicted Winner: Brie Larson
Potential Spoilers: Saorise Ronan
WINNER: Brie Larson