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2018 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actor

Anne Thompson’s early look at the Oscar race includes Ray Romano, Willem Dafoe, Sterling K. Brown, Woody Harrelson and more. Updated 6/19/17.

Michael Stuhlbarg

Michael Stuhlbarg

Daniel Bergeron

Biopics, comedies, period pieces and intimate dramas: films that yield Best Supporting Actor nods come in all shapes and sizes. Recent years have shown that they come at all times of the calendar year, too.

READ MORE: 2018 Oscar Predictions

This year, Sundance yielded a good crop of contenders. Ray Romano impressed among the crowd-pleasing charms of “The Big Sick.” The biggest challenges facing nominations for anyone from “Mudbound” and “Call Me By Your Name” might very well be their fellow cast members. Time (and wider audience reactions) will tell how Netflix and Sony Pictures Classics position the candidates from their respective ensembles.

L1005610 - Charles (Patrick Stewart) and Logan (Hugh Jackman) in LOGAN. Photo Credit: James Mangold.

“Logan”

Photo Credit: James Mangold

For a beloved actor in his farewell outing in a role he made iconic, don’t count out Patrick Stewart’s grizzled work in “Logan.” And Kevin Kline could sneak in for his touching singing role as Belle’s father in Disney blockbuster musical “Beauty and the Beast.”

“Maudie”

At Cannes, A24 snapped up hot title “The Florida Project,” starring Willem Dafoe as a budget motel manager trying to look out for poor kids running wild near Orlando’s Disney World. And Ethan Hawke impressed in fall festival breakout “Maudie” (Sony Pictures Classics) as a grumpy recluse who falls for real-life painter Maud Lewis (Sally Hawkins).

Mark your calendar for Thanksgiving and Joe Wright’s “Darkest Hour.” In addition to what could be the final role for the legendary John Hurt, Ben Mendelsohn’s turn as King George VI could be just the thing to crack this actor’s actor into the Oscar nominee ranks.

Willem Dafoe and Brooklynn Prince in “The Florida Project”

A list of early possibilities is below. No one will be deemed a frontrunner until I have seen the film.

Frontrunners

Ethan Hawke (“Maudie”)
Garrett Hedlund (“Mudbound”)
Jason Mitchell (“Mudbound”)
Ray Romano (“The Big Sick”)
Michael Stuhlbarg (“Call Me By Your Name”)

Contenders

Sterling K. Brown (“Marshall”)
Steve Carrell (“Battle of the Sexes”)
Idris Elba (“Molly’s Game”)
Chiwetel Ejiofor (“Mary Magdalene”)
Tom Hardy (“Dunkirk”)
Woody Harrelson (“The Glass Castle”)
Ed Harris (“Mother!”)
John Hurt (“Darkest Hour”)
Oscar Isaac (“Suburbicon”)
Kevin Kline (“Beauty and the Beast”)
Ben Mendelsohn (“Darkest Hour”)
Joaquin Phoenix (“Mary Magdalene”)
Willem Dafoe (“The Florida Project”)
Michael Shannon (“The Current War”)
Patrick Stewart (“Logan”)
Christoph Waltz (“Downsizing”)

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