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Emmy Predictions 2017: Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series or Movie

Final Predictions: It's all HBO and FX in the supporting actor field, as "Big Little Lies" and "The Night Of" face off against "Feud" and "Fargo."

"Big Little Lies" Episode 1 Alexander Skarsgard Nicole Kidman

Hilary Bronwyn Gayle/courtesy of HBO

Last Year’s Winner: Sterling K. Brown, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
Still Eligible:
No.
Hot Streak: While HBO and FX have the most nominations in this category over the past six years, they each have won twice and both have lost twice (to PBS in 2014 and History in 2012).
Fun Fact: Beau Bridges is the only actor to win this category twice. He won for “The Positively True Adventures of the Alleged Texas Cheerleader-Murdering Mom” (1993) and “The Second Civil War” (1997).

“The Leftovers” may not have snagged a drama series nod, but with Ann Dowd as a double nominee and Bill Camp — a.k.a. God himself — as a surprise nominee for “The Night Of,” it sure feels like the HBO drama had an impact on the race. That being said, Camp’s work as Detective Box in Steven Zaillian and Richard Price’s process-focused crime story speaks for itself. It’s a lot harder than it looks, conveying a multitude of emotions in a few grunts and focused stares.

But he’s not alone: Michael Kenneth Williams, who earned his first Emmy nod in 2015 for “Bessie,” joins his “Night Of” co-star in the category. Neither were sure things going in, and their presence adds credibility to their chances: These two have a lot of support and could be a threat in the race.

But the HBO big shot looks like Alexander Skarsgard. The only thing working against the former “True Blood” star is his character on “Big Little Lies.” Skarsgard played Perry Wright, a physically abusive and emotionally manipulative husband: Might voters find it hard to get behind the man behind a monster? Logic says no, but gut instinct indicates otherwise.

That could benefit the two gentlemen from “Feud,” Stanley Tucci and Alfred Molina, as well as “Fargo’s” lone representative in the category, David Thewlis. Tucci is a three-time Emmy winner, Molina a two-time nominee, and Thewlis a first-timer at the TV Academy’s annual awards show. History favors Tucci, and he could certainly charm a few extra votes while out on the circuit. The man’s a treasure.

Below are IndieWire TV Critic Ben Travers’ predictions for Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series, which will be updated throughout the awards season. Make sure to keep checking IndieWire for all the latest buzz and best highlights from the 2017 race, and read the rest of the predictions in all categories, as well.

The Nominees:

  1. Bill Camp, “The Night Of”
  2. Alfred Molina, “Feud: Bette & Joan”
  3. Alexander Skarsgard, “Big Little Lies”
  4. David Thewlis, “Fargo”
  5. Stanley Tucci, “Feud: Bette & Joan”
  6. Michael Kenneth Williams, “The Night Of”

Will Win: Alexander Skarsgard, “Big Little Lies”
Could Win: Stanley Tucci, “Feud: Bette & Joan”
Should Win: David Thewlis, “Fargo”

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