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by Peter Knegt
February 17, 2012 4:35 PM
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2012 Oscar Predictions: Best Supporting Actress

Berenice Bejo in "The Artist"
Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 84th Academy Award winners through February 26th, when the winners are announced.

Octavia Spencer is seems pretty darn locked in as the winner here, after taking the Golden Globe, the SAG, the Critics Choice and the BAFTA and continously offering up humble, affecting speeches. Her closest rival is "The Artist" actress Berenice Bejo, but if Bejo pulled it off it would be quite the Oscar night shocker.

Best supporting actress predictions below. Watch clips of who Press Play thinks should win in this category, and check out all predictions in all the categories here.

The Nominees:
Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Jessica Chastain, The Help
Melissa McCarthy, Bridesmaids
Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs
Octavia Spencer, The Help

The Predicted Winner: Octavia Spencer, The Help
The Potential Spoiler: Bérénice Bejo, The Artist
Shoulda Been Here: Carey Mulligan, Shame

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82 Comments

  • Amanda | February 24, 2012 1:57 PMReply

    I haven't seen many of these movies yet, but I don't understand why The Help is getting as much attention as it is. In my opinion it focused too much on "getting revenge against the snobby white people" and too little on the lives of the help. I wanted to see more of their home life, I wanted Skeeter and Bryce's character (don't remember her name) to grow more. There was potential but it was not nearly as good as everyone seems to think it is. I also don't think either actress from The Help should be nominated. I didn't find their performances strong enough. Also I've seen Bridesmaids and all I can say is why was Melissa McCarthy nominated? That's like nominating Zach Galifianakis from The Hangover. (Bridesmaids was basically The Hangover for women)

  • Mariusz | February 22, 2012 9:18 AMReply

    For me only Janet McTeer It was the best performance of the year.

  • Pedro | February 21, 2012 12:13 PMReply

    Although Octavia has won every major award until now, I actually think that this is the most tied acting category. I loved Jessica Chastain's performance in The Help and Bérénice Bejo's performance was very good, too.

  • Lee | February 20, 2012 5:01 PMReply

    Bryce Dallas Howard's performance in "The Help" was brilliant. I hated her. She did a phenomenal job.

  • hawaiian style | February 19, 2012 4:17 PMReply

    OCTAVIA WILL WIN. VERY DESERVING

  • rey | February 15, 2012 11:27 PMReply

    Octavia Spencer good acting but little less than Chastine and Viola Davis shoulda be here to not on the best actress categorie

  • cameron | February 13, 2012 1:39 PMReply

    I love Octavia Spencer and believe she is going to win but no one deserves this more this year then Jessica Chastine. Mabey she would have a better if she was nominated for Take Shelter or Tree of Life (which i believe to be her best preformance). But after the year she has had she deserves the oscar

  • bob hawk | February 8, 2012 1:40 AMReply

    Jessica Chastain's best performance this year (she's always good) was in TAKE SHELTER -- but, comparatively, very few saw it. My first choice in this category wasn't even nominated: Carey Mulligan. Janet McTeer ALWAYS rocks (on stage or screen)!

  • Daniel | February 6, 2012 6:09 PMReply

    Berenice Bejo should win this year, please someone stop the fever with the Help, it wasn't as good as everyone think, Octavia is miles away for the "best supporting actress" of the year, just compare this lady with Carey Mulligan in Shame, Charlotte Gainsbourg in Melancholia (my favorite), Vanessa Redgrave, Chastain, Bejo, McTeer, Woodley, Knightley!! every other actress gave a best performance that this actress that is best known for cameos in movies, I really like her character as a Pet Psychic in dinner for smucks (lol lol), Octavia has no future in movies, this Oscar will be wasted. Everything start with the list of the nominees, who are wrong, this should be the REAL BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS:
    Carey Mulligan - Shame
    Jessica Chastain - The Three of Life
    Berenice Bejo - The Artist
    Janet McTeer - Albert Nobbs (the movie was bad, that's why she's not frontrunner, in any other way, she could be the winner)
    Vanessa Redgrave - Coriolanus (all her dialogues are a class of literature, and Octavia talk about Crisco and her shit, don't make me laugh!!!)
    If Octavia win will be the most undeserved Oscar in history (over Crash)

  • Lee | February 1, 2012 10:40 PMReply

    I hope Octavia wins. She was a refreshing surprise. In fact, it seems like that's a pattern for African American supporting actresses at the Oscars. Mo'Nique was a refreshing surprise, because she was known for her comedy. Jennifer Hudson was a refreshing surprise, because she had been on American Idol. Octavia was a refreshing surprise, because she's always overlooked in her films. I'm so happy she was finally recognized this year. Her performance was quite impressive. Jessica Chastain was also amazing, but I wanted her to get recognition for "Tree of Life". Nevertheless, she was still outstanding. Melissa McCarthy shocked the heck out of me, because I never expected an Oscar nomination for her from "Bridesmaids". She was great, but other performances this year deserved it more.

  • Gaspar Marino | January 31, 2012 4:45 PMReply

    I agree again, Carey Mulligan in my opinion gave the best supporting actress performance of 2011.
    I like Jessica Chastain also for her combined work...Take Shelter, Tree of Life and The Help.

  • Bogdan | January 31, 2012 1:36 PMReply

    Carey Mulligan's performance in "Shame" is perfect! It really is a shame that she's being overlooked for both "Shame" and "Drive".

  • T | January 27, 2012 2:34 PMReply

    Carey Mulligan in Shame and Keira Knightley in A Dangerous Method should be looked at too. Both of them totally embodied their characters and made the films.

  • Martin | January 24, 2012 5:41 AMReply

    I posted my own predictions hours before the announce...some similarities, and also some differences with IW. Check and comment: http://www.mondoglam.com/2012/01/predicciones-al-oscar-2012-ultima.html

  • Patick | January 23, 2012 12:43 PMReply

    I've seen all 5 of the predicted nominees plus McTeer's performance in Albert Nobbs, which failed as a movie, her terrific performance not withstanding, my two picks are Spencer and Woodley.

    Spencer provided some organic comic relief while retaining a meaningful place advancing the dramatic storyline. Her's was not a tacked on role played solely for laughs. And had it been the picture would have failed. (Greer does much the same thing,but in much less screen time BTW.)

    And Woodley's performance was one of those times you file away as "the first time I saw..." performances. She was brilliant in a role that, with the sightest misstep in tone, could have undermined the film but she was spot on from beginning to end. No doubt some of that is a credit to Alexander Payne, but Shailene Woodley delivered the goods.

    One last thing. Glad to see mention of Bryce Dallas Howard's performance in "The Help". She was pretty great at being pretty awful.

  • Flawed | January 23, 2012 12:11 AMReply

    I liked The Artist and feel the predicted nominations are worthwhile except:
    How is it possible that you can have a movie where the plot is essentially a love story between a man and a woman, yet the man is nominated for lead and the woman is nominated for supporting. It doesn't make sense. If I were a woman, I would take that as an insult.
    Is this a reflection of the sexism that exists in Hollywood?

  • Anthony | January 22, 2012 10:37 AMReply

    1. Jessica Chastain (for "the Help") - 2. Berenice Bejo - 3. Shailene Woodley - 4. Carey Mulligan - 5. Octavia Spencer // In that order. (Octavia won the golden globe. I think Jessica should win the oscar - she was excellent!)

  • One Love | January 21, 2012 3:26 PMReply

    I think that Octavia Spencer is the most deserving of all the nominees. However, Shailene Woodley(The Descendants) should be replace by Janet McTeer (Albert Nobbs) in the top 5 pick.

  • Willy Wonka | January 21, 2012 2:49 PMReply

    And By the way........Howard is really good at crying. I've noticed she's really good at that.

  • Willy Wonka | January 21, 2012 2:47 PMReply

    In some ways I do agree with BREN but honestly, Bryce Dallas Howard deserves a nomination for her performance more than Chastain. I think she proved herself she can play any role. But I do understand that is an opinion.

  • imwatchinu | January 21, 2012 8:54 AMReply

    Bryce, Shailene, Octavia

  • joe | January 20, 2012 11:05 AMReply

    I think Janet McTeer, Albert Nobbs should be in list

  • LUCY | January 20, 2012 11:50 AM

    Janet McTeer's performance in Albert Nobbs is outstanding and it is only to be hoped that common sense prevails.

  • Rick in MI | January 18, 2012 10:32 AMReply

    BTW, I agree with Emma Stone for a Best Actress nod... not Supporting!

  • Rick in MI | January 18, 2012 10:31 AMReply

    ANYONE/SOMEONE from "The Help" should win because this was a terrrific ensemble cast... or Shailene Woodley from "The Decdendants"... as she will one day be a star!

  • Willy Wonka | January 17, 2012 9:07 PMReply

    I totally agree with BMS. Bryce Dallas Howard needs to have some recognition for her performance.

  • BMS | January 17, 2012 7:24 AMReply

    Bryce Dallas Howard was wonderful in THE HELP. I don't understand why she has been left out of all the award nominations. Hopefully the Academy will recognize her fine work with a Best Supporting Actress nomination.

  • Willy Wonka | January 16, 2012 8:34 PMReply

    May I also add to my last statement, look at the movie cover of "The Help", look at it. Who are the FOUR actresses I said who was in the movie the most????? That's right, Viola Davis, Octavia Spencer, Emma Stone, and Bryce Dallas Howard. NOT Jessica Chastain. I still dont understand why they are even considering her for an oscar she's NOT EVEN on the movie cover. Think about that!!!!

  • Roger Sanchez | January 29, 2012 12:39 AM

    Jessica Chastain was awesome: depressed white female with complex issues making a real friend...I looked her up after watching the movie, hoping she had received a nomination,and sure enough, she did...She definitely deserves her nomination (and she - in my opinion - was the most memorable/worth cast member in 'The Help' alongside Viola Davis)...Also, remember, Viola Davis got an Oscar nomination for an eight-minute part in the movie 'Doubt' - That movie didn't have anyone on the cover (you don't need to be on a cover/poster to be nominated :)

  • Willy Wonka | January 16, 2012 8:23 PMReply

    Um......I'm sorry what ever happened to Bryce Dallas Howard getting nominated for best supporting-actress???? I think she did an amazing performance and she doesn't even get any credit for it???? I like Jessica Chastain and all but......OMG she was in the movie "The Help" for what, like...40 mins. and only shown like 7 times throughout the whole film. Now Bryce, she was in it a lot. She was like in every scene pretty much. I was excited everytime she came on the screen. I havn't seen not 1 person compliment her on her performance on tv or at the awards. She deserves an oscar for her performance in "The Help". I'm just saying it's not too late for the academy award board of whatever to change there minds and take Jessica Chastain out of the category and just plop Bryce's name on there. Just because Jessica Chastain has been in 2 other movies that are good, the reason why your choosing her is just for that??? Bryce is really good at playing anything!!!! Trust me, I "DID NOT LIKE" her in "The Help"!!! She was soooo mean. So you see, I could have seen her playing the role as Celia Foote. That's because she's such a good actress, she could play the nice guy and she's good at it, and she also can play the evil villian. That is why she should be nominated. I think Viola Davis and Octavia Spencer should both be in the Best Actress Category, Emma Stone and Bryce Dallas Howard should both be in the Best-Supporting Actress Category. Because if you notice, Those for actresses are all in the movie most of the time NOT Jessica Chastain. But DO NOT get me wrong, Jessica Chastain is a really good actress but, I think she needs to be in a few more movies and work her career up. That is why Bryce Dallas Howard should be nominated. Think about it.

  • Bren | January 20, 2012 4:04 AM

    This is all just a bunch of blathering really. It doesn't matter if an actress gets minimal screen time for her to be considered for a nomination. See Ruby Dee (10 mins) , Viola Davis in Doubt (10 mins), Judi Dench and her 6 minutes of screen time actually won an Oscar. It really is about if the voters think a performance is exceptional or powerful enough to be considered. And it definitely doesn't matter if an actress has a little or a lot of movies under her belt, since there's no prerequisite number for being nominated. With that logic neither Hailie Steinfeld or Jennifer Lawrence should not have been nominated last year. There is no doubt that both Chastain and Howard give good to great performances. The critics and lots of movie goers seem to think Chastain is a little better than Howard but that's merely all opinion. The whole cast did a great job and the Academy aren't realistically going to nominate them all. Think about it.

  • Evan | January 16, 2012 4:57 PMReply

    Who is Judy Greer? What part did she play. Person who made this list must know her.

  • Terri | January 17, 2012 1:24 AM

    Judy Greer played Bryan Speer's (Elisabeth's lover) wife in "The Descendants". Her role is to insubstantial to be worthy of an Oscar.

  • Jay Port | January 16, 2012 5:24 AMReply

    Don't rule out Gena Rowlands in the made-on-a-smartphone movie "Olive".

  • Spark | January 14, 2012 7:35 AMReply

    Melissa McCarthy's performance over Janet McTeers's???? uggg... I hope the prediction is wrong.

  • Ham | January 13, 2012 9:18 PMReply

    I'd like to see:
    Berenice Bejo - The Artist
    Bryce Dallas Howard - The Help
    Angelica Huston - 50/50
    Janet McTeer - Albert Nobbs
    Octavia Spencer - The Help

  • Elling | January 12, 2012 9:46 PMReply

    Where the heck is Elizabeth Olsen? She was nominated for best actress at the Critics Choice Awards tonight, and you don't even have her in your long shots list? Shape up.

  • Finagle | January 14, 2012 10:37 PM

    She's in the list for Best Actress, not Supporting Actress. Shape up.

  • Martin | January 12, 2012 6:01 AMReply

    Octavia Spencer, "The Help", 100%
    Berenice Bejo, "The Artist", 100%
    Shailene Woodley, "The Descendants", 80%
    Jessica Chastain, "The Help", 70%
    Vanessa Redgrave, "Coriolanus", 60%

    http://www.mondoglam.com/search/label/Oscars

  • Hugh | January 11, 2012 1:57 AMReply

    Shailene Woodly is really hot! I know she was in that crappy ABC Family show, but she's really a much better actress than I thought! That being said, Maggie Smith, get your ass on the Top 5 list!

  • GREG | January 11, 2012 1:54 AMReply

    Okay, okay. This might be a little ridiculous to comment on, but Judy Greer? Really? I just saw The Descendants tonight and she's in the movie for MAX 10 minutes. She did an ok job, but I really don't even think it should be considered for a long shot nomination. hahah

  • The one guy | January 9, 2012 12:49 AMReply

    Remember people. These are Oscar PREDICTIONS. It's not their opinion. These are admittedly great predictions, thought some others I wish could be nominated.

  • 50/50 | January 8, 2012 1:34 PMReply

    Angelica Huston, 50/50

  • Trentonandrew | January 7, 2012 2:12 PMReply

    Why is Emma Stone not getting any kind of recognition for her roll in The Help. She played her part flawlessly. Id say best actress nod if not Supporting actress!!!

  • Maria Tereza | January 7, 2012 11:35 AMReply

    To my condition would be:

    Anne Hathaway - One day
    Charlize Theron - Youth and adults
    Glenn Close - Albert Nobbs
    Meryl Streep - The Iron Lady
    Viola Davis - cross Stories

    My Week with Marilyn Michelle Williams ...kkkkkkkkkkkkk

  • Phanny | January 7, 2012 7:54 AMReply

    Octavia Spencer obviously!

  • snake | January 5, 2012 11:37 AMReply

    i never can figure out what constitutes " supporting ". bejo was as important to
    " the artist " as dujardin.

  • Patrick | January 23, 2012 12:48 PM

    Agree, but the studio and agents have done the calculus on where to push for her nomination and this is the spot they think she stands the best chance.

  • BOO | January 4, 2012 9:11 PMReply

    FUCK the girl in Bridesmaids, thats like nominating Zach Galifianakis for The Hangover, although he was fine. Shaileene Woodley deserves a nom more. It's kind of weird that Octavia Spencer might win an oscar, but no one else was much better. It's not much of an acting year

  • Caitlin | January 4, 2012 7:54 PMReply

    How is Shailene Woodley not in the top 5? She gave an amazing performance. Bryce Dallas Howard was great in The Help also, I wish she was getting more love.

  • Gabriel | January 4, 2012 2:58 PMReply

    Carey Mulligan>Vanessa Redgrave and Shailene Woodley>Melissa McCarthy, Shailene already got a Golden Globe nom, and has also been praised, and has a lot of noms and wins, and Carey Mulligan has also been praised with Michael Fassbender and has a WHOLE lot of nominations than the movie Corionalus. Besides, Melissa was ditched at the Golden Globes, and choosed Kristen Wiig in the Best Actress in a Comedy Or Musical, so it might ruin her chances. Anyway, Hope you get it Jessica, or Carey, or Shailene, there so pretty :D

  • Alex | January 4, 2012 2:35 PMReply

    Maggie Smith.

  • That one guy | January 9, 2012 12:49 AM

    You read my mind.

  • Milene | January 4, 2012 12:21 PMReply

    I think Shailene Woodley should get a nomination instead of Melissa McCarthy but i like her too.

  • Daniel Q | January 4, 2012 3:53 AMReply

    Where is Elle Fanning on this list?! I know young actresses rarly get chosen in these catorgories, but her performance in Super 8 should have gotten her a long shot mention.

  • Michael | January 2, 2012 12:05 AMReply

    I just saw The Help and thought it was a spectacular film. Much deeper and emotional then I expected. The entire ensemble was nothing short of amazing. While I haven't seen any of the other films (I do plan to), I would like to see Jessica Chastain walk away with the supporting actress Oscar for the film. Her performance was heart breaking, energetic, quite organic and unexpected. I loved her so much.

  • bryan | January 1, 2012 3:07 AMReply

    I know this doesn't even have a shot of being nominated in this category, but Sarina Farhadi is spectacular in A SEPARATION. She displays a sublety that a lot of actors twice her age can only dream of. And I didn't realize this until afterwards, but she's also the director's daughter. If the young boy in GRAN TORINO had acting chops like this, it would have been hands down a better movie. Note the scene where Clint Eastwood's character locks him in the basement...ha ha

  • clyde | December 31, 2011 7:46 AMReply

    Where is Kim Wyanas for Pirah?

  • DANIEL | December 31, 2011 2:18 AMReply

    C'mon! Bridesmaids will not be nominated for anything!, it's not the kind of films the Academy recognized. This is my own prediction:

    Berenice Bejo - The Artist (I'm glad if she win)
    Jessica Chastain - The Tree of Life (she needs to be nominated for this role if she wants to win)
    Octavia Spencer - The Help (I don't know why so many attention on this acting, it's just ok!!)
    Janet McTeer - Albert Nobbs (I just saw the film and she stole the show!!, a beautiful character)
    Carey Mulligan - Shame (it will be a shame if she don't get the nomination, cause the voters could wait for her role in The Great Gatsby)

    What do you think?

  • Matt | December 31, 2011 12:37 AMReply

    Resse Witherspoon for Water for Elephants!! WHERE IS SHE?????

  • Phanny | January 7, 2012 7:52 AM

    Wait for the Razzie nominations.

  • Caity | January 5, 2012 3:30 AM

    Worst performance of the year.

  • Gaspar Marino | December 30, 2011 7:16 PMReply

    I saw Shame the other day and it would be a shame if Carey Mulligan is not nominated as best supporting actress. An excellent performance.

  • Lane | January 3, 2012 2:52 PM

    Totally.

  • Lola | December 30, 2011 5:10 PMReply

    Melissa McCarthy will be nominated!

  • flawed | January 7, 2012 9:05 PM

    Why? Because once every 20 years a Hollywood woman has an outrageously funny performance?
    What about Jim Carrey, Steve Carell, Mike Myers, Vince Vaughn, zack galifinackus or even Seth Rogan for 50/50?
    Comedies don't get nominated period. And that's not a bad thing.

  • AKASH | December 29, 2011 6:29 PMReply

    Excuse me, but where's Maggie Smith? She was better than Shailene Woodley.

  • Laura | January 8, 2012 2:48 PM

    I'm not saying McCarthy deserves a nomination--but it's truly wrong comedies don't get more attention. I am not saying they should be nominated all of the time--but truly great comedic performances should be. The last one I can remember is Robert Downey Jr for Tropic Thunder...word is he would have won if Heath Ledger was not up that year. There have been many amazing comedic performances that get ignored.

  • none | December 28, 2011 2:15 PMReply

    A comedy like Bridesmaids has never been nominated, never will. (Although I love the movie) And Octavia Spencer deserves it all the way!

  • someguy | December 28, 2011 2:01 AMReply

    Bridesmaids nominated?? is the OSCARS , not the razzies.

  • HamIsYummy | December 27, 2011 3:55 PMReply

    Bridesmaids will not get nominated for anything in the Oscars.

  • Laura | January 8, 2012 2:51 PM

    I wouldn't be surprised. It was highly praised by both critics and audiences. And it's not like comedic performances haven't been nominated (Downey, Jr "Tropic Thunder," Joan Cusack, "In & Out", etc)

  • Juha Tapani | December 27, 2011 10:38 AMReply

    It`s A Tie....Octavia Spencer for "The Help" and Melissa McCarthy for "Bridesmaids".
    A Special Award Should Be Giving To Jessica Chastain For Truly Amazing Year In 2011 Movies. Thank You !

  • Hmm | December 20, 2011 3:04 AMReply

    Why do you seem to think The Help will pull any nominations at all, much less three of the biggest? It was a very entertaining movie, but it is EXTREMELY unlikely it will be nominated for any academy awards. The only one that's at all plausible is viola davis and that would be for supporting actress, because she definitely was not the lead in that movie

  • Kenny | January 9, 2012 2:42 AM

    Are you kidding? One of the most acclaimed films of the year and you are saying it won't receive any nominations? You have no idea what you are talking about.

  • Selenator | December 25, 2011 10:48 AM

    It should be nominated for even more acting nominations (Allison Janney?, Emma Stone?).
    Can anyone even say who was better of all of them? (Viola Davis, Emma Stone, Jessica Chastain, Octavia Spencer, Alison Janney, Bryce Dallas Howard, Sissy Spacek...). I hope it wins the ensemble cast at the SAG...

  • Mabs | December 22, 2011 7:57 PM

    Viola Davis was the led in that film contray to the belief that Emma Stones name came before her's on the credit! Al Pancio in godfather was nominated for supporting actor whilst Marlon Brando (Personfication of excellence) was deemed lead when Al had more screen time and the fact that film revolved around him! I dont mean to sound sexiest, cause i genreally don't think I am, but the supporting actress role never seems interesting, though Viola Davis deserved for her 7 minute performace in dobut all them years ago! There only ever one stand out like in the men's catreogy last year; Bale. But I love Melissa in Bridesmaid haha!

  • terry | December 22, 2011 2:51 AM

    The Help has major nominations and awards from every awards organizations and critics groups. Why on earth wouldn't it be nominated in three major categories. Of course it will received Oscar noms, it's a foregone conclusion.

  • terry | December 20, 2011 1:02 AMReply

    Maggie Smith ? Don't hold your breath. Harry Potter will receive nothing but technical nominations.

  • A. O. Zeta | December 16, 2011 9:52 AMReply

    For this category, all my favorites are currently on the list. But, would it be possible to include Maggie Smith's performance as Prof. Minerva McGonagall in Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2?

  • Mabs | December 22, 2011 8:00 PM

    The reason you think any of Harry Potter casts performace deserve an oscar nomination is because you have an emotional connection with the characters from the book and years of watching the films. Thats nice and loyal but look at it from a unbiased viewpoint and you wil see that their performaces though good are not oscar worth

  • jason | December 19, 2011 5:37 PM

    yess, she was good.