Proud to be the 2012 Movie and Film Webby.Award.Winner.
February 26, 2012 12:36 PM | by Peter Knegt
582 Comments

2012 Oscar Predictions

Image courtesy of AMPAS.

Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 84th Academy Awards, which will be announced live in Los Angeles on February 26, 2012. Also check out our poll of blogger and critics as to who will and should win, as well as a personal rant on why this year's award season was a major disappointment.

Martin Scorsese's "Hugo" and Michel Hazanavicius's "The Artist" led the nominations with 11 and 10 mentions, respectively. They were both nominated for best picture, alongside "The Descendants," "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close," "The Help," "Midnight in Paris," "Moneyball," "The Tree of Life" and "War Horse."

"The Artist" certainly seems like the film to beat at this point, and in general most categories seem pretty sewn up. Check out predictions in all categories below.  For clips of the films nominated in major categories, take a look at Press Play's picks for who should win.

BEST PICTURE

BEST DIRECTOR

Brad Pitt and Jonah Hill in "Moneyball." Sony.

BEST ACTOR

BEST ACTRESS

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS 

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Steven Spielberg's "War Horse." Touchstone.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

BEST FILM EDITING

BEST ART DIRECTION

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

BEST SOUND MIXING

BEST SOUND EDITING

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

BEST MAKEUP

BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

BEST ANIMATED SHORT

BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT

Peter Knegt is Indiewire's Senior Editor and awards columnist. Follow him on Twitter and on his blog.

582 Comments

  • Games,Tv show,Products reviews | February 29, 2012 11:53 PMReply

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  • Games,Tv show,Products reviews | February 29, 2012 11:51 PMReply

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  • aakash | February 28, 2012 5:50 AMReply

    congratulation

  • Rackey | February 27, 2012 9:35 AMReply

    It sounds really good!

  • Lucia | February 26, 2012 10:27 PMReply

    War Horse deserves more credit than it has been given. It should definitly snag best sound mixing and best cinematagrophy and/or best picture. It was corny in some spots but it relieved an inspiring message and really was a genuinely good movie.

  • Silja | February 28, 2012 1:10 PM

    you know.... you could just read Black Beauty or watch the 1994-movie... War Horse is a total rip off of Black Beauty :P

  • Rackey | February 27, 2012 9:29 AM

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  • rams | February 26, 2012 9:53 PMReply

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  • Ronnie | February 26, 2012 9:18 PMReply

    Many people here commenting on movies apparently cannot spell words they use every day, nor form coherent sentences in the English language. Therefore, their opinion on movies should be disregarded, as would be a load of crap.

  • Roxanne I. | February 26, 2012 9:12 PMReply

    Viola looks stunning. Minnie awesome girl. You look beautiful. J. Lo you'd have to convince me that you have twins. You look untampered. Glen Close just an amazing transformation. You deserve the best always. George Clooney that's all I have to say. Can't forget Brad. I mean who could. You're everywhere and you're eye candy thank you for all the talent. Such wonderful movies.

  • Roxanne I | February 26, 2012 8:53 PMReply

    Someone get the sound manager's attention. feedback from microphones are coming through the television not pleasing to one's ears. Just thought you'd want to know. Thank-you.

  • Solem | February 26, 2012 8:44 PMReply

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  • kerrin | February 26, 2012 10:30 PM

    Please stop the feedback from the microphones. It is making us want to turn the Oscars off. thanks!

  • Oscars | February 26, 2012 7:56 PMReply

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  • KIM | February 26, 2012 6:47 PMReply

    I need "Hugo" to win

  • Jenny | February 26, 2012 5:20 PMReply

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  • Sally Kirkman | February 26, 2012 5:10 PMReply

    More astrological predictions for 2012. Find out more at http://www.sallykirkman.com/blog/who-will-win-at-the-oscars. How exciting, the results are almost in. Can't wait!

  • Bruno Claro | February 26, 2012 4:49 PMReply

    How about the new trailer about the War Horse: lol http://youtu.be/qbl2nmmwMEs

  • this is annoying | February 26, 2012 2:17 PMReply

    u should just write all the predictions on one page.

  • movienotesbook.blogspot.com | February 25, 2012 9:58 PMReply

    Movie Notebook's predictions: http://movienotesbook.blogspot.com/2012/02/84th-academy-awards-2012-predictions.html

  • Content Engine | February 25, 2012 7:59 PMReply

    For anyone interested in the Oscars or astrology or both, check out this series of Oscar predictions as divined by a talented and experienced astrological prognosticator on ContentEngine.tv -- a dedicated to content for Content Creators. http://www.contentengine.tv/tag/astrology/

  • nikki | February 25, 2012 1:58 PMReply

    Midnight in Paris wins based on the wine alone: http://grapefriend.com/2012/02/24/and-the-grapefriend-oscar-goes-to-midnight-in-paris-wine/

  • Perrito | February 24, 2012 10:30 PMReply

    Viola Davis is an excellent actress. She gets me every scene she shows up. But there's no way she would be superior to Meryl Streep. No one can portray the most powerful PM of Britain. They casted her, 'american actress' while there're so many great british actress with a real british accent. Meryl could do what Viola simply did in The Help. But Viola couldn't do what Meryl did in The Iron Lady. If Viola won, which she seems to, she would join the list the actress who should have not won Best Actress like Gwyneth Paltrow (rob Cate Blanchett), Julia Roberts(rob Ellen Burstyn), Reese Witherspoon(rob Felicity Huffman), Sandra Bullock(rob Gabourey Sidibe). Period.

  • scharere | February 26, 2012 11:58 PM

    Thank you for pointing out that Cate Blanchett was robbed! Since then I've never been able to take the Oscars seriously.

  • Film50 | February 24, 2012 5:23 PMReply

    With all respect, Viola Davis was 'a help', not a leader. Should not have been in the Best actress category (of any award).

  • Eric | February 24, 2012 4:56 PMReply

    While it is true that the Oscars don't always nominate the best films, I feel their nominations do, typically, go to good films. However, I was confused by the inclusion of "Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close" and "War Horse." Neither of these films are Oscar-worthy, especially in a year where so many quality films were snubbed. The fact that Stephen Daldry's exploitative tear-jerker gets a nod when the excellent "Drive" was completely ignored is, in my opinion, an absolute embarrassment to the Academy. And "War Horse" was typical Spielbergian over-the-topness. Are the Oscars the new Grammys?

  • pat hayek | February 24, 2012 1:24 PMReply

    Please send me the updated on the acedemy awards, thx

  • Observer | February 24, 2012 12:48 PMReply

    Viola Davis was SPECTACULAR in The Help. She defientely deserves an oscar.

  • ugo straniero | February 24, 2012 5:41 AMReply

    I think the best actress is Glenn Close in the film Albert Nobbs, with Janet McTree always in the sam film.

  • Dan | February 23, 2012 9:23 PMReply

    The Artist is a trivial, totally predictable, gimmicky but mildly attractive movie, but has no business being considered a Best movie. 80 + years later, somebody made a reasonably competent, pleasant silent movie. A Nice trifle. But this year there were at least a half dozen Much better movies, i.e. more thought-provoking, better acted and directed, with actual plots. For example, Hugo, The Descendants, Moneyball, The Help, and I personally liked much more Tree of Life, Melancholia, and The Adjustment Bureau. But I guess they are only talkies, as far as Hollywood cares.

  • Dan | February 24, 2012 7:47 AM

    Further follow-up: With all due respect to the other very good movies I mention above [Not the Artist], my easy selection as Best Movie of the Year would be Hugo. As a movie about silent movies, and Cinema, compared to the trivial Artist, it is vastly more interesting, inspired, visually dynamic and stimulating, much better music, much better acted and directed. Ben Kingsley should have been nominated for it. As a fan of many of Scorsese's movies, I predict that in 20 or 50 years Hugo will be considered one of the Master's very best.

  • venkat | February 23, 2012 2:40 AMReply

    The Artist - The Best Movie

  • WylieR | February 22, 2012 12:56 AMReply

    Keep in mind that the Academy membership consists of A-list talent - the same talent that makes the movies that most of you love and cherish.

  • WylieR | February 22, 2012 12:45 AMReply

    test comment - ignore

  • picwatcher99 | February 19, 2012 10:55 PMReply

    To realize how ridiculous the Oscars are (as people like George C. Scott did turning down two best actor awards; other notable no shows = woody allen; marlin brando) you only have to rem ember that Rocky was chosen best picture over what continues to be regarded as a masterpiece, Taxi Driver. The Oscars are midly entertaining, but are a true joke in terms of a measure of the craft.

  • ali afazal | February 19, 2012 9:55 AMReply

    Reply yellou y sou brasileiro gosto da premiasao do oscar pois vemos atores famosos de muitos filmes que conhecemos sendo premiados como os melhores no oscar uma cerimonia que reune gente famosa do mundo todo todo ano assisto mas esse ano quero saber quando vai transmitir pela globo onde aconpanho o espetaculo que os americanos USA sempre fasem

  • moises dos santos cambras | February 15, 2012 1:43 PMReply

    yellou y sou brasileiro gosto da premiasao do oscar pois vemos atores famosos de muitos filmes que conhecemos sendo premiados como os melhores no oscar uma cerimonia que reune gente famosa do mundo todo todo ano assisto mas esse ano quero saber quando vai transmitir pela globo onde aconpanho o espetaculo que os americanos USA sempre fasem

  • Deanne | February 15, 2012 12:25 PMReply

    I really think 'The Artist ' should win. It is a fabulious film. The lead actor is so sexy/handsome. The Help, was a really good movie too.

  • cory | February 24, 2012 8:48 PM

    Deanne, you are right! The Artist is masterful movie-making. Only the dim-witted would not be uplifted by this film

  • Jaybo | February 22, 2012 10:59 PM

    You're a buffoon.

  • Jerry Cabot | February 15, 2012 9:46 AMReply

    I would love to see surprises this year. That the winner or winners would be more the greatness of heart than the excelence in technical things. I really want that to happen.

  • Jaybo | February 22, 2012 11:00 PM

    You, too, are a buffoon.

  • Steve the GREAT | February 14, 2012 10:38 PMReply

    Dicaprio got snubbed. The man who broke Tom Bradys wife in gave the best performance of his career. Far better actor than Brad Pitt. The oscars have been like politics for many years.

  • Monica S | February 14, 2012 4:22 PMReply

    If you are interested in making your own predictions for this years Academy Award's winners check out http://getinmedia.com/contest We are having a predict and win contest for the 2012 Academy Awards. The winner will receive $100 Fandango.com gift card.

  • guest | February 25, 2012 4:46 PM

    Steve-the-not-so-great: Your descriptive phrase is such an insult that I can't believe you typed it out and sent it into the webworld without complete shame. Where's Jaybo when he's needed?

  • Bradford | February 24, 2012 8:59 AM

    Agree

  • Susan c | February 14, 2012 4:05 PMReply

    I have to agree with everyone here , the academy awards are just not logical or even worth watching any more , I stopped taking it serious when Avatar lost there butt to the hurt locker , Really , no one I knew when back to the theater to watch hurt locker over and over ,as did so many people with avatar ,,, but they hate the man who is better then them in film making and cast there voite els were ,

  • David | February 25, 2012 4:22 PM

    The Hurt Locker was a spellbinding, timely, heart pounding drama about a REAL situation happening as we speak, the characters based on true people, incredibly original and complex. No fancy sets or spectacles, it was every movement of each character's face and the tauntness of dialogue coming from their do or die situation and the relationship therein that held up captive through every moment; whereas, Avatar was a technical, formulaic "spectacle" [look it up]. We are awash now in these spectacles thanks to technology, and most movies today cater to the masses with spectacle, offering little in the way of substance and "content" -- though I would consider Avatar a step above that cliche, as nobody does "special effects" set against a sentimental love story sub plot as well as James Cameron. So, yeah, Avatar was a very enjoyable and entertaining film that I would see again and it had lots of eye candy and action, but just because people went to the movies over and over again to see Avatar [probably high on drugs, hoping to glean a far-out experience, man] -- doesn't equal movie greatness -- only "cult" movie status, BIG DIFFERENCE. I appreciate that you may be movie lovers and know what you personally like, you are obviously not aware of what makes a great film.

  • Archie_Leach | February 18, 2012 5:26 PM

    crapatar didn't get BP cause cameron took a technically great movie and inserted a simpleton manipulative "shove-the-message-in-your-face" propagandistic storyline into it and it turned a LOT of people off from crapatar. Not that The Hurt Locker is Citizen Kane or something but only 2 years later crapatar is not holding up well and will never get on any film historians list of great films I can guarantee you. The Hurt Locker may not age well either but it's reputation will never drop like craptars is.

  • Sandy | February 18, 2012 2:46 AM

    Susan - why don't you try to write or spell correctly? I think that your thoughts might be taken more seriously if you did so. Just trying to help.

  • Donna Miller | February 14, 2012 3:48 AMReply

    Phooey for not nominating michael Fessbinder for Shame and Bryce Dallas Howard for the help

  • One Love | February 10, 2012 2:16 PMReply

    The Academy Awards will slowly be forgotten within years to come due to the fact that the Oscar officials and voters no longer vote for the best, they just vote for who they like to see win... In the acting category, one should vote base on transformation and ability to execute an outstanding performance. Then again, in recent years many good performance were overlook and not acknowledge which account for the decreasing popularity of the Oscars. One can honestly say that the Academy Awards is no longer valid nor does it marks a person position in the Film Industry. The Academy Award can prevent this from occurring by changing the pattern to which films are nominated and process of electing a winners. In short terms, change the length of voters allowed to vote, instead of more than 5000 voters where bias votes exist, why not allow a minimum of 150 voters to prevent racial and bias votes from occurring and make it more considerable. That is of-course my opinion on the Academy Awards which i believe will sooner disappear from the public image. One more thing, the Oscars will never have as much rating as the Super Bowl.................................................

  • Bull | February 10, 2012 1:09 PMReply

    My wife an I have recently completed watching most of the nominees. We were quite surprised how slow/lengthy/dragged down three of the notable nominess became about 2/3 thru. "My Week w/Marilyn", "Hugo" and "The Artist" just didn't have the content to support the length of the film, which REALLY surprised me mostly from Scorcese. We are particularly amused (and to some extent, saddened) the the shallow Hollywood rush to this year's great gimmick: "The Artist". Look, it was enjoyable, but really? In our minds, the Best Picture is either "The Help" or "The Descendants", but hmmm..., no gimmick. There's no question that this year SHOULD BE George Clooney's year for best actor. If Clooney doesn't win, then it will be very similar to Cheryl's comment below, when somehow Cher beat out Glenn Close in one of Close's best (if not the best) role of her life. As I recall "Hollywood" said it was for Cher's "Body of Work". It really is sad how shallow Hollywood can be. We're pulling for you Geroge! Maybe you'll get some respect for YOUR body of work. But, who knows with the fickle, silly Hollywood crowd.

  • gregg | February 9, 2012 9:52 PMReply

    i stopped really taking the oscars seriously after adrian brody beat daniel day-lewis in 2003. that made absolutely no logical sense to me. one man slightly altered his accent and acted nervous and emotional, and one actor transformed every single thing about themselves to unbelievable lengths. and the former won the award. i still cant get over it

  • Jerry Cabot | February 15, 2012 9:44 AM

    Adrien Brody was perfect in The Pianist as it was Day- Lewis in There Will be Blood. I still remember Brody in that movie and sometime want other actors to be that good or maybe himself again.

  • unkie469 | February 12, 2012 9:29 PM

    Saw all 5 performances the year Adrian Brody won. I thought he was, by far, the best, and The Pianist should have gotten best picture.

  • Alex | February 8, 2012 10:19 PMReply

    The fact that Take Shelter has recieved little to no attention in the awards season sickens me, such a quality piece of work deserves recognition. Michael Shannon's performance is so far above anything else ive seen this year and the fact that he hasnt atleast received a nomination, has for me, detracted completely from the majesty of these awards...

  • mikey | February 24, 2012 12:52 AM

    your the first person i have seen mention take shelter. u are so right. that movie is incredible and the performance given by michael shannon is worth of an oscar all day long. i believe drive and melancholia were all worthy of nomitations as was the beaver.

  • Dennis Diosomito | February 8, 2012 10:21 AMReply

    All these people at the Oscars are stupid. They really don't make the films, wormholes that surround Earth does. No person has ever made a motion picture in their life besides pornography. What you have to figure out is how do the wormholes get thier faces to look just like them. It's not the real people at the Oscars who think their accepting awards for things they've never done. Cerebral Frotal Brain Pole Stimulation: "Idiot..."

  • Nanny | February 25, 2012 4:53 PM

    Don't you hate people who act like nannies on web sites? But seriously, many of you might want to read a few more books and watch a few fewer movies. The majority of the fine comments here are spoiled by misspellings, childish abbreviations, endings left off words, etc.

  • Ryan Martinez | February 10, 2012 9:48 AM

    I recently saw most of the contenders and how Michael Shannon was overlooked is beyond me! He took a role that could have easily been overdone and got under your skin! He does not deserve a nomination for that perfromance he deserves the award. He stood head to head with Jessica, who is so amazing it is not easy to do! Sorry Mike, but you deserve it

  • Dennis Diosomito | February 8, 2012 10:18 AMReply

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  • Gary B. | February 7, 2012 2:17 AMReply

    A correction to one of my comments about the great original music score from "The Artist". It was not the musical piece by Bernard Hermann from the Hitchcock film "Vertigo". It was from "North by Northwest" when Cary Grant was sneaking up on James Mason's compound near Mt. Rushmore to rescue Eva Marie Saint.

  • Gary B. | February 7, 2012 1:33 AMReply

    "The Artist" should get the award for "Biggest Artistic Gimmick of the Year". It was not a bad movie and an okay tribute to the silent era but why Best Picture nominee? I'm amazed at how many people loved this film and think it's so original. First of all it's "A Star is Born" done for the fourth time (they've tried to give that storyline the Best Picture Oscar before). Secondly, these comments I've read about how great the music was. Is it just me that noticed that they borrowed music by Bernard Hermann from the Alfred Hitchcock film "Vertigo" towards the climax of the film? I was expecting something unique for a silent film to be done in 2012 but it never came. I felt it was an average retro film. For those of you who love this so much, just turn on Turner Classic Movies on Sunday evenings. There are many original silent films that are far better than this one.

  • JERRY JARAMILLO | February 3, 2012 11:40 PMReply

    los miembros de la academia, se han ensañado en tres ocaciones con Glenn Close negandole el derecho a reclamar el galardon.¿para que nominan a tan exelente actiz si no la van a ratificar como lo que es,? la mejor de todas las actrices. Araccion Fatal, Relaciones Peligrosas,Hamlet, La Casa de los Espiritus. son algunas de las grandes injusticias que se han cometido contra ella y sus maravillosos personajes, ojala este año con Albert Noobs la academia por fin deje sus intereses y reconosca todos los errores pasados para con esta espectacular mujer y actriz. por ultimo pienso que la mismisima Meryl Strep reconoce que Glenn Close hace demaciado tiempo tendria que haber ganado un Oscar de la Academia.

  • yo | February 3, 2012 12:30 AMReply

    My wife Ani likes Di Caprio in J Edgar Hoover and The Help. Oscar for both. Chao Rod

  • Donna | February 1, 2012 2:33 PMReply

    The Oscars have been on a downward spiral since Cher collected the best actress against Glenn Close and Holly Hunter.

  • Spark | February 1, 2012 3:04 PM

    Curiously... it was Meryl Streep who lost against Cher like trillion years ago!!!

  • Raymond | January 31, 2012 11:49 PMReply

    J. Edgar of Leonardo d Caprio's movie was never liked by Academy instead included The Descendants which I also watched! Leo shud be nominated for best actor...they never like Leo??? Brad Pitt acting, ughhh!!!

  • Kasper / Mude | January 30, 2012 2:07 PMReply

    War Horse is the best movie I've ever seen. So I really hope it will win the 6 Awards.

  • Altair | February 21, 2012 2:20 AM

    War Horse has everything I want to see in a movie. It kept me glued to the screen for all 2 plus hours. Very moving and with a story line only Spielberg could translate to the screen. NO comparison with any other of the movies it's up against. I can't wait to watch it again.

  • Bridget | February 13, 2012 11:35 PM

    I thought that the cinematography and soundtrack were absolutely stunning. If nothing else, I want it to see it win in those categories.

  • juby | February 7, 2012 1:30 PM

    Really? Stallions become friends? Hides? Saves pal? Finds owner and reunites under Gone With the Wind sky? Really?

  • Raymond | January 31, 2012 11:45 PM

    yesss...saw the movie and should win best Picture, Director, Story...man I cried 2X when the dou separated and finally met again! Spielberg always the best!

  • Ana87 | January 29, 2012 3:00 PMReply

    I hope this year the Oscar goes to The Artist (of course I'm referring to Meryl Streep).

  • Janis | January 28, 2012 8:25 PMReply

    I CANNOT believe Giovanni Ribisi's name is not on this list for Best Supporting Actor in Rum Diaries. He was by far, one the best performances of the year. And Charlize Theron for Young Adult was amazing. What is wrong with these people who are doing the nominations?

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  • Shahnaaz | January 28, 2012 3:03 PMReply

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  • bright | January 28, 2012 4:08 AMReply

    The Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences determined Friday that it will officially credit four producers, instead of three, for “The Tree of Life.” so where is Johnny Depp for Hugo ‘s producer .his company ‘s logo is after GK .what’s the hell. why they didn’t say any thing? he should be nominated .

  • joe | January 28, 2012 4:07 AMReply

    I'm curious as to why the IN logo was so prominently shown at the beginning of Hugo, and Johnny Depp's name was in the credits at the end as one of the producers, yet he's never mentioned in any of these award nominations--the only two ever mentioned are Scorcese and King.

  • Rich | January 26, 2012 8:04 AMReply

    Everyone is missing the point. Our views and opinions on films and performances are highly personal and formed from our own emotional experiences and capabilities to think. It just so happens that these are the nominees based on the personal views of Academy Members and therefore all the criticism and backlash coming from critics and fans for the likes of Shame, We Need To Talk About Kevin etc is a little ill-thought out about what it is about films that draws us in to them in the first place.

  • Mike | January 31, 2012 7:06 AM

    That seems a bit strong arm of the Academy.

  • 4tell.me | January 26, 2012 7:04 AMReply

    We've set up a game where you can make your own predictions and win points. It includes the Oscars. Try it at www.4tell.me

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