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2013 Emmy Predictions: The Drama Categories

Photo of Peter Knegt By Peter Knegt | Indiewire September 17, 2013 at 8:48AM

The Emmys haven't exactly been perfect at nominating the most deserving dramatic television -- see the widespread dismissals of the likes of "Sons of Anarchy," "Battlestar: Galactica," "Gilmore Girls," "Buffy The Vampire Slayer," and most horrifyingly, "The Wire." But they have improved significantly in recent years, particularly in embracing a new era of intensely acclaimed, mostly cable-made "smart TV."
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"Homeland"
"Homeland"

The Emmys haven't exactly been perfect at nominating the most deserving dramatic television -- see the widespread dismissals of the likes of "Sons of Anarchy," "Battlestar: Galactica," "Gilmore Girls," "Buffy The Vampire Slayer," and most horrifyingly, "The Wire." But they have improved significantly in recent years, particularly in embracing a new era of intensely acclaimed, mostly cable-made "smart TV."

That's certainly evident with this year's nominees, the second batch in a row to ignore series from NBC, ABC, Fox and CBS altogether: "Breaking Bad," "Downton Abbey," "Game of Thrones," "Homeland," "House of Cards" and "Mad Men." It's a diverse and generally deserving lineup (though "The Americans," "Justified," "Orphan Black" and "Sons of Anarchy" all really deserved to be here too, particularly instead of the lazy third season of "Downtown Abbey"), and one that offers a serious race for the trophy. Any of them could take it, though if you had to take out one contender it would actually be three time winner "Mad Men," which seems to be old news to Emmy voters this time around (for the first time ever, it didn't get an acting nomination).

Emmy voters clearly have loved "Breaking Bad" over the years (giving stars Bryan Cranston and Aaron Paul multiple Emmys), so it seems like this year is a good occasion to finally give it the top prize. But then again, it makes almost just as much sense to see the massively popular "Game of Thrones" take it, or maybe "House of Cards," given how much unusual "of the times" credibility the Emmys got for nominating it in the first place.

We'll see in September. For now, here's our predictions.


The nominees and the predictions:

Outstanding Drama Series
Breaking Bad • AMC • Sony Pictures Television

Downton Abbey • PBS • A Carnival / Masterpiece Co-Production

Game Of Thrones • HBO • Bighead, Littlehead, Television 360, Startling Television and Generator Productions in association with HBO Entertainment

Homeland • Showtime • Showtime Presents, Teakwood Lane Productions, Cherry Pie Productions, Keshet, Fox 21

House Of Cards • Netflix • Donen/Fincher/Roth and Trigger Street Productions, Inc. in association with Media Rights Capital for Netflix

Mad Men • AMC • Lionsgate Television

Will Win: Breaking Bad
Could Win: Truly any of them (this is a very tight race), but House of Cards seems like the most reasonable spoiler given the buzz attached to it even being nominated.
Should Win: Breaking Bad
Shoulda Been Here: The Americans


Outstanding Lead Actor In A Drama Series

Breaking Bad • AMC • Sony Pictures Television
Bryan Cranston as Walter White

Downton Abbey • PBS • A Carnival / Masterpiece Co-Production
Hugh Bonneville as Robert, Earl of Grantham

Homeland • Showtime • Showtime Presents, Teakwood Lane Productions, Cherry Pie Productions, Keshet, Fox 21
Damian Lewis as Nicholas Brody

House Of Cards • Netflix • Donen/Fincher/Roth and Trigger Street Productions, Inc. in association with Media Rights Capital for Netflix
Kevin Spacey as Francis Underwood

Mad Men • AMC • Lionsgate Television
Jon Hamm as Don Draper

The Newsroom • HBO • HBO Entertainment
Jeff Daniels as Will McAvoy

Will Win: Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
Could Win: Kevin Spacey, House of Cards
Should Win: Jon Hamm, Mad Men
Shoulda Been Here: Timothy Olyphant, Justified

Outstanding Lead Actress In A Drama Series
Bates Motel • A&E • Universal Television, Carlton Cuse Productions and Kerry Ehrin Productions
Vera Farmiga as Norma Bates

Downton Abbey • PBS • A Carnival / Masterpiece Co-Production
Michelle Dockery as Lady Mary Crawley

Homeland • Showtime • Showtime Presents, Teakwood Lane Productions, Cherry Pie Productions, Keshet, Fox 21
Claire Danes as Carrie Mathison

House Of Cards • Netflix • Donen/Fincher/Roth and Trigger Street Productions, Inc. in association with Media Rights Capital for Netflix
Robin Wright as Claire Underwood

Mad Men • AMC • Lionsgate Television
Elisabeth Moss as Peggy Olson

Nashville • ABC • ABC Studios
Connie Britton as Rayna James

Scandal • ABC • ABC Studios
Kerry Washington as Olivia Pope

Will Win: Kerry Washington, Scandal
Could Win: Claire Danes, Homeland
Should Win: Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
Shoulda Been Here:  Tatiana Maslany, Orphan Black





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