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by Peter Knegt
February 16, 2013 4:24 PM
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2013 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress

Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 85th Academy Awards through February 24th, when the winners are announced.

Jennifer Lawrence for the win? That was the story back in September, when "Silver Linings Playbook" soared out of the Toronto Film Festival with somewhat unexpected Oscar buzz, particularly for Lawrence -- who took charge in a category that had been a big mystery until then. And she held that position until Jessica Chastain popped up in mid-November even more out of nowhere for "Zero Dark Thirty." No one had any idea whether her role was lead in the film or if she/the film were any good.  All cases turned out true. So the race was soon pegged as J.Law vs. J.Cha. They pretty much evenly split the precursor awards, though Lawrence started to hold a growing edge over Chastain, particularly after "Thirty" didn't do quite as well at the Oscar nominations (and "Linings" did better than expected). But something else happened at the Oscar nominations: L'amour for "Amour" across the board, and a nomination for Emmanuelle Riva. Riva -- who will turn 86 years old on Oscar night -- is the oldest best actress nominee ever, and represents a rare case where she's both a sentimental choice and the most deserving winner.  If voters actually see "Amour" (which given voting hasn't even started yet, they have plenty of time to), Riva could very well take that Oscar from Lawrence and Chastain. Or not. Though this Oscar prognosticator's totally impossible fantasy? Riva ties the youngest nominee in this category -- Quvenzhané Wallis of "Beasts of the Southern Wild" -- and the two of them walk up to stage hand in hand, adorably play-arguing on stage ("I'm the man!"; "No, I'm the man").

Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here, and this list of all the Oscar-nominated films available ON DEMAND right now.

The nominees:
Jessica Chastain in "Zero Dark Thirty"
Jennifer Lawrence in "Silver Linings Playbook"
Emmanuelle Riva in "Amour"
Quvenzhané Wallis in "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Naomi Watts in "The Impossible"

Will win: Emmanuelle Riva
Could win: Jennifer Lawrence
Should win: Emmanuelle Riva

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

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424 Comments

  • Michael | October 22, 2013 8:27 PMReply

    Naomi Watts deserved the award. Jennifer Lawrence isn't even on Naomi Watts level of talent and her role was not even a modicum as challenging as Watts', who was playing a real life mother who went through the most traumatic experiences imaginable during one of the worst natural disasters in history. Naomi Watts had to go through hell shooting this film and brought such a beautiful and heartbreaking spirit to her character. She should have won her second Oscar this year, for she was devastatingly amazing and heartwrenching in 21 Grams and incredible in Mulholland Drive. She is one of our finest actresses and the fact that she doesn't have an Oscar yet just goes to remind us that Adrien Brody and Al Pacino have the same amount of Academy Awards. Now, how is that justice?

  • Jose | August 8, 2013 6:31 PMReply

    Emmanuelle Riva was the one to be by mile, Lawrence was good, but it was a mistake to give her the Oscar

  • JEREMY | July 31, 2013 9:57 PMReply

    academy members voted for Jennifer Lawrence because her performance for SLP deserve an oscar. and not just the academy even the other awards think so.

  • mili | May 26, 2013 4:49 PMReply

    just because people think that jennifer lawrence did not deserve the oscar, doesnt really mean that they hate her. l love jennifer lawrence. i think she is one of the most talented actresses right now, but an oscar for slp? i really dont think so. she was good, layered, and had a sort of dark comedic aura around it, but it was the performance of a commercial artist. one of the high levels of art in commercial cinema, but still not art. not the kind that world cinema produces. the kind that riva portrayed.
    i think ree in winter's bone was a MUCH better performance than tiffany in SLP. unfortunately, that year, natalie portman's nina was better than that. so jennifer lawrence lost an oscar when she had a pretty good claim, if not the best, over it. but just because she CAN deliver nomination worthy performances, doesn't mean she deserves to win an oscar every time she acts. and she has a great career ahead of her, she can get plenty more chances. let's not decide that she deserves an oscar just because she once delivereed a performance that could have got her the statuette.

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  • monkeypox6 | April 15, 2013 7:50 PMReply

    How I think it should have been:

    1. Jessica Chastain, "Zero Dark Thirty"*(WINNER)
    2. Marion Cotillard, "Rust and Bone"
    3. Jennifer Lawrence, "Silver Linings Playbook"*(Runner-up)
    4. Quvenzhane Wallis, "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
    5. Naomi Watts, "The Impossible"

  • Steve | March 6, 2013 7:15 PMReply

    Well first off ive seen all 5 performances and I'm not stating my opinion on who i think should have won, but being "the best" is all a matter of opinion. So in YOUR opinion Jennifer lawrence didn't deserve to win. However in the majority of the academy's opinion she did, and considering theirs is the one that matters no one except the academy really has the right to say anyone did/didn't deserve to win.

  • Elizabeth | March 3, 2013 7:50 PMReply

    Hey, Jennifer Lawrence did not deserve that Oscar. There were older, more experienced and better actors who had every right to win one, but didn't. Ralph Fiennes, Alan Rickman, Helena Bonham Carter, Jason Isaacs, Johnny Depp, Leonardo DiCaprio, and soo many others. The Oscars are stupid. They don't know what acting is.

  • zoe | March 1, 2013 5:00 AMReply

    I knew Naomi Watts couldn't win but it's sad that she didn't get as many mentions as she deserved. She is fantastic in The Impossible. At least she should've been considered as a frontrunner.I also think that Emaunelle Riva delivered the best performance and she should've won for Amour. Both of them are better than Jennifer Lawrence. Lawrence is great too but she really didn't deserve to win, it's not her fault of course.

  • zoe | March 1, 2013 4:58 AMReply

    I knew Naomi Watts couldn't win but it's sad that she didn't get as many mentions as she deserved. She is fantastic in The Impossible. At least she should've been considered as a frontrunner.I also think that Emaunelle Riva delivered the best performance and she should've won for Amour. Both of them are better than Jennifer Lawrence. Lawrence is great too but she really didn't deserve to win, it's not her fault of course.

  • TRUTH | February 27, 2013 1:37 AMReply

    Jennifer Lawrence did not deserve to win Oscar!
    Before anybody call me a hater, I want to explain something!
    I have nothing against her as a person – but after watching SLP and knowing that she win Oscar for this, I lost all my credibility to Academy.
    Naomi Watts and Emaunelle Riva delivered breathtaking perfomances and make me cry, Jessica Chastain do the best as she can with that ZD30 script and if her role play any other less powerfull actress – in will be mega bomb, she literally carry whole film, Hushpuppi was good, but still better than Lawrence because at least she was LEAD and movie work on her.
    Jlaws character was poorly developed – there was no info who she is, what her job, family, friends, home -only that she is widow – which is clearly supporting role, but Harvey Weinstein knew there is no any chance win over Anne Hathaway so put it in Lead, which is FRAUD! just like he put Christoph Waltz in supporting, while it was lead. All Jennifers dialogues in movie (besides one) very short and not really impressive. It was too easy role for the Oscars category.
    Think about last years nominees and all hard massive complex work that Roony Mara made for Lisbeth Salander or Michelle Williams for Marilyn Monroe, or Meryl Steep for Margaret Thatcher – that is what traditionally called Oscars caliber role, not some “Tiffany” with 2 screaming scene and 1 crying.
    What work Jennifer Lawrence did for her character??? Did she change her look, lost weight, studied singing, some phisical training or intelligence research??? NO! She even didnt manage learn how to dance and she moves really BAD! Remember Natalie Portmans finale dance in Black Swan? That is what DESERVE Oscar! Tiffany too superficial, banal, mediocre and even unlikeble.
    And I didnt felt her pain like I felt Viola Davis in THE HELP. She was just Ok – average, not more, So FOR WHAT actually that Oscar was given?
    And I find it absolutely ridiculous craziness that really great brilliant actors like Leonardo dicaprio, Tom cruise, Gary oldman, Johnny Depp, Joaquin Phoenix, Clint Eastwood Matt damon, Bill Murray, Tom Wilkinson, Annette bening, Julianne Moore, Amy Adams, Patricia Clarkson and many many others did not has Oscar, but some 22 year old upcoming actress that alredy dissed Meryl Streep from Golden Globe stage and her fellow nominees, endlessly takling about her farts, boobs, butt, admitted that she didnt learn her lines before movie set – HAS!
    There is only one explanation to it madness -God Bless Harvey Weinstein!

    PS. Sorry for all mistakes if there is ones, my native language not English,
    And will be interesting to know what you think about subject of discussion)))

  • Elizabeth | March 3, 2013 7:52 PM

    Amen. Telling the truth doesn't make you a hater. :D

  • ^_^ | February 27, 2013 11:54 PM

    YOU ARE ABSOLUTELY RIGHT :-) YOU HAVE SAID ALL THINGS THAT I WANT TO SAY:-)

  • cecilia | February 27, 2013 10:35 AM

    Por fin alguien se anima a decir la posta! yo pienso igual, no me llegó para nada, ni un poco, no le creí, todos los demás actores me llegaron de cierta manera, hasta te diré que me dió bronca la parte donde hablaba de fútbol, muy estructurado, como que decía todo estudiado, sin sentimiento... nose... hay muchas actrices y muchas otras pelis que merecían estar en ese lugar.

  • kamran | February 26, 2013 5:36 AMReply

    Well if you have great campaign and nice tits and hot ass like lawrence have, u can win oscar with any lame performance. for me her win is essentially as made by campaign. first her lame movie win eight oscar nomination with the waste of supporting cast and direction and editing nominees (by the way her role is suitable for suppoting). they win all nominee because of cooper and lawrence campaign. Cooper campaign stop with nomination because lincoln, lewis and oscar made for each other but in lawrence competition riva and watts are forigner and chastian she has no campaign. That shit thing happen in win of sovino in 95 who we barely know won over british winslet and other three actress who has no campaign , hunt in 97 win from all british actresses with no american campaign , paltrow in 98 win from foriegners and streep who doesnt need this at that time , barry win in 2001 as black campaign , witherspoon in 2005 from two british , felicity and theron with win already , her career will be now same like those ladies i mention. she is bitch and fake and lawrence welcome to the worst winners list same as the others , as far watts she will win for daina next year which will be more desrving

  • Amie | February 24, 2013 12:31 AMReply

    Jennifer is the best here. Why can't they all see that? She is the best actress in history.

  • Elizabeth | March 3, 2013 7:57 PM

    What have you been smoking lately? Meryl Streep, Maggie Smith, Julie Andrews, Helena Bonham Carter, Naomi Watts, and I are the best actresses in history! Jennifer Lawrence has only won because she is young. Old men are the ones voting on who the best is. What does that tell you? Come on now, I know you have at least an ounce of common sense.

  • kamran | February 28, 2013 1:08 PM

    In a history? REALLY. Oh my god r u watching her boobs , her ass or her acting. she is a kid and her win is made by campaign not base on acting. Her character is good for supporting and i dont say she is worst actress but for right now she is probably the worst oscar winner. Watch film again, my problem her nomination in lead. Her role is supporting role, its all bradley film and her win is fixed. Her acting in winter bone is winning worthy but this one is commerciel and easy and not played well by her. Now she is taking the worst oscar winner from zellewager, bengini and sorvino and so much more

  • andreiza94 | February 28, 2013 1:45 AM

    you silly silly person.i have watched silver linnig and i dare to say yes it was for being nominated but no for winning it! emmanuelle riva and Jessica Chastain deserved it way way way more than lawrence and it's not an opinion it's a fact both riva in amour and chastain in zero dark thirty gave not only top acting but were immersed o the paper lawrence did the well but there is no way in HELL!! she deserves it and not only that both chastain and riva character were ten times harder to do than of lawrence's.You must be either 1-a fanboy of lawrence 2-have not seen both movies and only see silver linnings or 3-have watched both movies and decided to ignore both because of your blind fanboysm with lawrence cause of both silver and hunger games.

  • @CHRIS | February 24, 2013 2:28 PM

    Seen Amour and wasn't impressed? Not only was her part FAAAAAR more difficult than Lawrence's but Amour was also the better movie. You silly blind man. You sound like a kid.

  • Chris | February 24, 2013 8:36 AM

    Seen Amour, not impressed. Jennifer did the best performance hands down. By no means should another old lady get the award. Oh but its her 86 birthday? WHO CARES!! That should have no effect on the voting whatsoever. IMO so people dont think im just some fanboy, the best actress ever was Vivien Leigh, so I watch all films. But Jennifer deserves it hands down.

  • ANYA | February 24, 2013 7:23 AM

    You are insane. Or 12 years old.

  • zarina | February 24, 2013 12:20 AMReply

    MERYL STREEP always..

  • taz | February 23, 2013 7:41 PMReply

    naomi watts doesnt get a mention..? and whats with the abbreviations? I thought for a wierd second that Jude Law was up for a best female nom. i liked silver linings, but oscar worhty? i dont think so. i vote either Riva or Watts, but then having seen Chastain in The Help and thinking her performance was outstanding im sure she was good in zero dark thirty too

  • GERARD KENNELLY | February 23, 2013 1:40 PMReply

    will somebody anybody please tell me
    why Mary Elizabeth Winstead was ignored after her astonishing performance in SMASHED

  • Dixie Normous | February 22, 2013 2:00 PMReply

    "Riva ties the youngest nominee in this category -- Quvenzhané Wallis of "Beasts of the Southern Wild" -- and the two of them walk up to stage hand in hand, adorably play-arguing on stage ("I'm the man!"; "No, I'm the man")."

    That's the cringiest thing I've ever read. So cringey in fact I've had to make up adjectives to describe it. What were you thinking?!

  • chloe | February 21, 2013 1:59 AMReply

    First of all i'd like to say that i've seen all 5 of the movies. and I'm in love with all of their performances.
    -Emmanuelle Riva: at first she wasn't ranked in the top to win the oscar, she was the outsider. but i think her performance was absolutely fabulous. but her emotions were so deep because that's how the character was, not because she was that perfect like some said. She also has been favorite lately because of her age. what i think can hurt her is that she hasn't won MANY awards.

    -Jessica Chastain: her performance was incredible, she was able to show us how good she actually was. What i think can hurt her is the fact that the character required to be strict, one sided. which people sometimes think is because she was a bad actor, which she is not.

    -Naomi Watts: there has been a lot of controversy about the impossible. some people love it and some people hate it. that is definitly going to affect her.

    -Wallis: she showed us that actresses don't have to be a certain age to give us an outstanding performance. she is a revelation. she is definitely going to grow a lot in this industry. what i think can hurt her is her age. She's only 9 and the academy usually does not give the oscar away to young actresses. she also hasn't won many awards.

    -Jennifer Lawrence: she is to me an incredible actress, her character in SLP was very hard to play. it was very tricky, but she was able to play it to perfection. Her acting is very versatile. she is also really loved by the academy, knowing it's her second oscar nomination. What i think can hurt her is the fact that she is so popular for The hunger games, people think she'll win only because of that.

    Who will win: Jennifer Lawrence
    Who could win: Emmanuelle Riva
    Should win: Seriously they ALL deserve that award.

  • Truth | February 23, 2013 2:05 AM

    ALLIS GET NO RESPECT!: When did the Oscars get a age limit? Tatum Oneal was 10 when she won her Oscar for Paper Moon. She did a fantastic job and deserves to be nominated and to win! Besides why nominate her if she can't win? Why would she grow up to be a lawyer? Jodi Foster was nominated for Taxi Driver at a young age and continued acting. What about Ron Howard? He was Opie on Andy Griffith and went on to win academy awards for directing. I'm just saying...

  • Lily | February 20, 2013 3:27 PMReply

    All these actresses delivered great performances this year, each deserves to win. That being said winning an Oscar doesn't have the same prestige as it used to, just because you win one doesn't mean you're a better actor in the long run and loosing doesn't have an effect on their career either.

    And what I like about this year is that these actresses have completely different profile :
    The young Wallis, great performance for such a young child. Her acting was very intuitive and natural, she has a promising future ahead of her as a young actress. But child acting and adult acting is very different, young actors generally lose that spark as they grow and have to make a lot of effort to make the transition, but who knows, maybe she'll want to be a lawyer later.

    Lawrence is a very talented actress, she has started very young and has a natural talent for drama and comedy. Hollywood and her peers have given her accolades since she starred in her very 1st movie Winter's Bones. If she manages her career wisely there'll be more noms to come.

    Chastain one of the most versatile and reliable actress in the industry nowadays. She can do anything and is a professionally trained actress. Unlike Lawrence, she has struggled 10 years before getting public recognition. (you really need to have talent to get your breakthrough at 30+ in Hollywood. This is generally when the "average talented actresses" are put aside if their look start to fail them.) But I feel like Chastain is here to stay because of her great acting skills. Just like Lawrence, I feel like it won't be her last nomination.

    Watts, she can do great but weirdly enough she never got that recognition from the public or from the profession. She has been working for so long and has done so many movies but people only know her for work in Mulholland Drive, maybe 21 Grams and now the Impossible.

    Riva, she embodies the essence of acting. She's talented, has been working in films her whole life - away from the star system and Hollywood, never sought for fame. And now all of a sudden her name resonate and means something to the general public.

    This year's Oscar is very exciting and unpredictable, I'm looking forward for this category! I'll be glad if either of Riva, Watts, Chastain or Lawrence wins. I'll be very surprised if the young Wallis wins though.

  • Truth | February 23, 2013 2:03 AM

    WALLIS GET NO RESPECT!: When did the Oscars get a age limit? Tatum Oneal was 10 when she won her Oscar for Paper Moon. She did a fantastic job and deserves to be nominated and to win! Besides why nominate her if she can't win? Why would she grow up to be a lawyer? Jodi Foster was nominated for Taxi Driver at a young age and continued acting. What about Ron Howard? He was Opie on Andy Griffith and went on to win academy awards for directing. I'm just saying...

  • MWeyer | February 20, 2013 3:21 AMReply

    To the people saying Riva's BAFTA win means Oscar win, keep in mind, Streep last year and Cottilard in 2008 also had Golden Globe victories, which Riva does not. And to correct a post below that if you won a BAFTA and are nominated for Best Actress, you win Oscar in the last decade, that's not true either:
    2000: Annette Benning, lost Oscar to Hillary Swank
    2002: Judi Dench, lost Oscar to Halle Berry
    2004: Scarlett Johansson, wasn't even nominated for Oscar
    2005: Imelda Staunton, lost Oscar to Hillary Swank
    2010: Carey Mulligan, lost Oscar to Sandra Bullock

    Here's one very important statistic to remember: Since 1994, NO ONE has won the Best Actress Oscar when they weren't even NOMINATED for the SAG. (that includes Kate Winslet who lost the Best Actress SAG for Revolutionary Road but won the Supporting Actress SAG for "The Reader" which the Academy bumped up to Leading which she won). You honestly think Riva, left off of Globe wins and zero Hollywood presence, is going to be the one to do that?

    You can't go by just folks talking of "oh, I know lots of people changing votes" and all that. After all, in a bunch of those "secret ballots" things in magazines and newspapers, folks talking of voting for Naomi Watts instead of others. Every year we hear of this stuff yet the front-runners wind up taking it after all (consider Melissa Leo supposedly out of the running after her ad campaign in 2011 yet she got it after all the "oh, I know folks voting others" talk). Yes, Riva can gain sympathy votes but also buzz from "Time's" Corliss on how some older Academy members stay away from "Amour" due to the brutal look at againg.

    Riva is worthy, no one can doubt it but to say she can top two rising talents in acclaimed performances that have earned multiple trophies in Hollywood seems a bit much and more "oh, let's make this about the merit of film" than the realities of the Oscars.

  • Elizabeth | March 3, 2013 8:00 PM

    HILARY SWANK IS SO AWESOME! I LOVE HER! SHE DESERVED THOSE OSCARS AND MORE!

  • KooKoo | February 24, 2013 2:30 PM

    The only reason Riva doesn't have a golden globe though is because they regulate foreign films into one category...remember that...

  • Casey | February 19, 2013 1:31 PMReply

    Let me just start by saying I think all 5 give exceptional performances.
    Here is how I would rank them:

    5. Naomi Watts - The Impossible (a stunning performance, but I feel she should have been put in the supporting actress category, as her screen time is very limited, and halfway through the movie she is phased out. The lead is the son, and everyone else is supportive to his journey. No knock to Ms. Watts who I feel is a great actress and should already have an Oscar for Mulholland Drive)

    4. Jennifer Lawrence - Silver Linings Playbook (another great performance which I feel was betrayed by its own film. Tiffany is a very layered and complex character and I think the script betrays her by painting her as desperate and ending the film in the veign of most PG13 romantic comedies. My problem here was the last 40 minutes of Silver Linings - not necessarily Lawrence, who I think is a phenomenal actress. I enjoy her performance, but not as an Oscar winning performance, especially considering the 3 below)

    3. Jessica Chastain - Zero Dark Thirty (she is truly one of the most versatile actresses out - and this is a highlight performance of hers. The subtlety is not lost on me - this is a character who has been trained to be emotionless, and Chastain reigns herself in very tightly in ZD30. Really stunning work)

    2. Quavanzhane Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild (I wonder if the people who complain about "a little kid" being nominated - have actually seen the film. Its a stunner and Q leads the pack. A performance that many actresses will never top in their careers. Although I'm sure she has no chance to win, but this is a career making performance. I cannot wait to see more of her.)

    1. Emmanuelle Riva - Amour (The fact that there is even a question as to who gives the best performance of the 5 is laughable - and keep in mind I enjoyed ALL performances. But there is no way that Riva should not win this award. And I think when Amour was nominated for picture, director, screenplay, foreign film, and actress - Academy members will feel they MUST see the film, which they may have overlooked beforehand. It also shows a strong support for the film. Anyhow, reguardless of who has won awards so far, none of it matters. This award is Riva's, I just feel it. And its so deserved!)

    If I would have had my way, my nominations would have been:
    Marion Cotillard - Rust and Bone
    Zoe Kazan - Ruby Sparks
    Kierra Knigtley - Anna Karenina
    Emmanuelle Riva - Amour
    Quavenzhane Wallis - Beasts of the Southern Wild

    .. with Riva winning.

  • bs | February 19, 2013 1:18 PMReply

    if Lawrence wins over Riva the academy awards is a joke

  • Chris | February 25, 2013 12:53 AM

    I CAN NOT believe that Jennifer Lawrence won over Emmanuelle Riva. Or Naomi Watts or Jessica Chastain. The Academy Awards ARE a joke and frankly they can kiss my backside for giving the Best Actress award to Lawrence. You guys have no credibility any more at all in my opinion.

  • boss | February 23, 2013 10:37 AM

    Agreed, I loved SLP as a great romantic comedy, but I had trouble with the entire performance of J-Law in its entirety, especially the final 45 minutes of the movie. I felt that Watts had the better performance as a whole, with the range of emotions she sent me through in the film, literally begging the director to let her survive, the entire ordeal. Alas, Oscars isn't about acting performance but who can out-PR the others in the awards party run-ups, which unfortunately, Harvey Weinstein has been beating everyone at thoroughly for the last ten years. As Watts doesn't have the capacity to market herself like J-Law unashamedly has this awards season, Riva probably has the best chance to beat J-Law as her performance stands out amongst the Hollywood elite. Forget the cynicism regarding the "leaked Oscar ballot", about not choosing Lawrence because of the arrogant skit she performed on SNL, I truly don't believe that she exhumed an Oscar-worthy performance, the character was an instrument in the larger context of a feel-good movie. Nice performance, but Oscar worthy? Come on man!

  • Baby-Boi | February 16, 2013 8:19 PMReply

    I agree, had it not been for THG people would not care about JL winning. Her performance in THG was a lot better than SLP. Her performance in SLP is Oscar-nomination worthy, but it's not an Oscar winning performance.

  • Cinema | February 17, 2013 6:09 PM

    Ugh. Seriously!?! First off if she wasn't the star of THG people would still care a lot about if she would win or not. Before those movies she had already become fairly popular and already secured an Oscar nomination for Winter's Bone. Also people want her to win because she was fucking brilliant in Silver Linings and deserves a win. And I can not believe you think her performance in THG was better!! She was good in it but in the end she was predictable and somewhat flat, not her worst but not her best. In SLP she was gripping and brought everything she had but at the same time made it feel effortless.

  • gaymansgirl | February 16, 2013 2:09 PMReply

    Naomi Watts is winning Best Actress for "The Impossible". Actors have publicly acknowledged her work, anyone read the letter Reese Witherspoon wrote Naomi in "EW"? Lawrence is only 22 and will have other chances, Wallis's and Riva's nominations are their wins, and Chastain's film falls flat.

  • Lindsey | February 14, 2013 9:51 AMReply

    I am biased because I am a big fan of Sliver Linings Playbook, either way I am happy because Jennifer hasn't left award shows empty handed. Oscar or not, she has been nominated twice and since she is only 22 she has a chance of being nominated again. I would like SLP to at least win some awards, but tough competition.

  • M4 | February 14, 2013 7:55 AMReply

    LOL!...There is NO large amount of Jennifer Lawrence hate...it's one or two people posting basically the same message over and over again to make people THINK that a lot of people have the same anti-Lawrence opinion. The truth is, Jennifer Lawrence is hands down the most naturally gifted actress out there right now, incredibly talented and she was brilliant in SLP. Having said this, Riva will win but not because her performance was better, but because Lawrence is only 22, and the Academy will not hand an Oscar over to a 22 year old. Jennifer Lawrence will be in the Oscar conversation (along with Chastain, Watts,Wallis) for decades to come...they ALL have time to win. My guess is, many of these actresses will be back next year in the Oscar race; Jennifer Lawrence has Serena coming up which is already eagerly anticipated, Chastain has The Disappearance of Eleanor Rigby, Watts has Diana the biopic. I'm a big fan of Lawrence but I wouldn't be upset if she doesn't win...she has time, she's a wonderful actress, she has time and she'll win, no doubt long before she's 30.

  • Gero | February 14, 2013 3:25 PM

    It seems like one or two people are writing the same Jennifer Lawrence loving comments here.
    I like her acting but why does everyone think she will win? I seriosuly don't think she will win.
    I saw Silver Linings and Amour, Emanule gave the better performence. End of story.

  • ykwaria | February 14, 2013 2:58 AMReply

    Halle Berry Won SAG Awards 2002 For Best Actress (MONSTER'S BALL), Sissy Spacek Won Golden Globe Awards 2002 for Best Actress Drama (IN THE BEDROOM), and Judi Dench Won BAFTA Awards 2002 For Best Actress (IRIS). But then HALLE BERRY who won Oscar 2002 For Best Actress (Monster's Ball).

    In 2013.
    Jennifer Lawrence Won SAG Awards 2013 Best Actress + Golden Globe Awards 2013 Best Actress Comedy/Musical for Silver Linings Playbook
    Jessica Chastain Won Golden Globe Awards 2013 for Best Actress Drama for Zero Dark Thirty
    Emmanuelle Riva Won Bafta Awards 2013 Best Actress for Amour
    and
    The Oscar Goes to?????

  • ^_^ | February 16, 2013 6:35 PM

    but remember..... VIOLA WON THE SAG AWARDS BUT MERYL STREEP WON THE OSCARS.. :-)

  • ykwaria | February 14, 2013 2:51 AMReply

    based on datahuffingtonpost(dot)com , Jennifer Lawrence leads chance winning 72,8%. Emmanuelle Riva 17,2 %. Jessica Chastain 9,8%. Naomi Watts 0,2%. Quvenzhané Wallis 0%.

    Based on Prediction of Intrade(dot)com : Prediction for Best Actres Academy Awards 2013 Winner : Jennifer Lawrence 61,5%. Emmanuelle Riva 24,6%. Jessica Chastain 13,0%. Naomi Watts 0,8%. and Quvenzhane Wallis 0,4%.

  • Leticia | February 13, 2013 1:03 PMReply

    NAOMI WATTS should win!!!!!!!!! AMAZING in The Impossible!!! So touching!!

  • SARAH | February 12, 2013 4:41 PMReply

    Sincerely Jennifer Lawrence..... I've watched all these performances and I have to say that Jennifer Lawrence (not JLaw) is just amazing.
    who should win: Lawrence
    could win: Riva
    who will win? IDK

  • trebz | February 12, 2013 10:13 AMReply

    After seeing each of the movies from which the actresses secured nominations its clear that Naomi Watts delivered the best performance for her role in The Impossible. It was emotional, gripping and most importantly it was the most memorable. If she does not win the academy clearly have no idea. Chastain was good and Lawrence was ok, but Watts delivered an outstanding performance.

  • Kevin | February 12, 2013 2:18 AMReply

    J Law??? J Cha???

    Are you that lazy that you can't spell a person's name out? What happens when Jennifer Lawrence and Jude Law are in the same movie? Will your brain freeze up as you try and decide on what to do?

  • Bruce | February 11, 2013 10:43 PMReply

    Not all of us hate Jennifer Lawrence, I think everyone in this category deserves the Oscar ( I don't have any comments on the 9 year - old nominee ). They've all given their very best performance, Jessica Chastain for me is so amazing and badass ( This is her best performance ever), JLaw is also the best in her performance (Her next best since The Winter's Bone), Emmanuelle Riva, she's the oldest and a veteran so she knows how to give away a damn fine performance and know this, we're all have different support so just bare with us

  • Roberta | February 10, 2013 5:38 PMReply

    I cannot understand why all of you hate Jennifer Lawrence, seriously guys, have you seen the movie?! Do you know her?! She's AMAZING! An amazing actress and most of all: an amazing, incredible person! So unique, so special, original, and down-to-earth! And she has so much talent, she touches your heart and in 'Silver Linings Playbook' she was so.. I can't even find words to describe her performance! She took my breath away. Completely. SHE DESERVES THIS FUCKING OSCAR.

  • LIS NADA | February 23, 2013 11:38 PM

    THIS IS ABOUT THE BEST ACTRES NOT ABOUT WHO IS MORE SPECIAL OR DOWN TO EARTH

  • Tanya | February 22, 2013 4:00 PM

    Having a different opinion = HATE you?
    + Your arguments suck. "An amazing actress and most of all: an amazing, incredible person! So unique, so special, original, and down-to-earth! " I didn't know you should get an Oscar for being a unique person. I saw SLP and she didn't take my breath away at all... Emmanuelle Riva on the other hand. That's a performance Oscar worthy.

  • ^_^ | February 11, 2013 2:48 AM

    all of us has a different opinion in judging a performer and it doesn't mean that if we hate her performance, we will be hating her in her whole life...... i like her performance in HUNGER GAMES.. and not all people will be liking her performance in SLP.. and not all people also like her as an actress.. it is normal that somebody or someone will not like you... we're not perfect and we have different feeling and opinions in judging a person, so don't get mad if you're idol will be dislikes by other people. :-)

  • Fact | February 9, 2013 12:48 AMReply

    Ok seriously stop sayings rude things about Jennifer Lawrence, you just all wish you were as amazing as her

  • Chloe | February 21, 2013 1:06 AM

    She did not only got nominated because she was popular ! The first time nobody knew her for winter's bones ! And I LOVE her but her performance in the hunger games was not as good as in Silver Lining's Playbook !

  • ^_^ | February 10, 2013 4:29 AM

    we are just saying what have seen in her acting... actually, he was only nominated because she was POPULAR !! :-) and that is true... (truth really hurts :-( )

  • Wish you were | February 9, 2013 12:47 AMReply

    Sincerely Jennifer Lawrence

  • Phil | February 8, 2013 9:08 PMReply

    Can I just say that I don't mind who wins? I've seen all of the movies and I loved all the a tresses in them. The winning to me is just a cherry on top...these genres ate so different it's hard to pick a favorite. So no, I will not be mad if chastain or Lawrence wins. I wouldn't be upset if wallis or Rita wins. I think it'd be nice for watts to win. I just can't decide on my favorite, but they all moved me in some way or another and I'm happy for ALL of them. Is that so wrong?

  • Ralph | February 7, 2013 7:31 PMReply

    No one seem to like Quvenzhane Wallis, PLEASE Watch the film and you will see how perfectly talented she is and how powerful she is at connecting with viewers who have seen the movie. I would love to see her win so that everyone can stop arguing about Riva, Watts, Chastain or Lawrence.

  • Truth | February 23, 2013 1:56 AM

    WALLIS GET NO RESPECT!: When did the Oscars get a age limit? Tatum Oneal was 10 when she won her Oscar for Paper Moon. She did a fantastic job and deserves to be nominated and to win! Besides why nominate her if she can't win?

  • Chloe | February 21, 2013 1:10 AM

    I agree ! Her performance was memorable , it seemed like she'd been acting for years. She was outstanding , but I think that the academy won't give an award away to someone that young even though she deserves it.

  • Jess | February 17, 2013 6:13 PM

    I totally agree. People keep writing her off because of her age, but if they would just watch the movie their minds would change. That girl is amazing and gave a performance actors much older than her only wish they could give.

  • mse | February 7, 2013 7:39 AMReply

    Stop saying that Lawrence or anyone in this category for that matter doesn't deserve to win. These women are here because they all did an amazing job in film this year. Just because some nominees have advantages or disadvantages when it comes to voting doesn't mean that they are more or less deserving of the award. That being said, in a way I think that everyone is at a certain disadvantage here. A lot of the Academy members won't watch Amour, much less The Impossible, the controversies around ZDT could hurt Chastain, Wallis is obviously too young, and so is Lawrence, h

  • Truth | February 23, 2013 1:55 AM

    WALLIS GET NO RESPECT!: When did the Oscars get a age limit? Tatum Oneal was 10 when she won her Oscar for Paper Moon. She did a fantastic job and deserves to be nominated and to win! Besides why nominate her if she can't win?

  • Tom | February 7, 2013 7:30 PM

    Many Academy members must have seen Amour, or else it most certainly wouldn't have been nominated for as many awards as it did in the biggest categories. So I don't think Riva is at a great disadvantage there. As for Lawrence, yes, she is young - but she has the advantage of having been nominated once before, so she's not a fresh "newcomer" for the Academy per se. As for the others, I may be inclined to agree, especially about ZDT controversy possibly hurting Chastain. Her performance wasn't very dynamic either. Wallis is very young indeed and she hasn't won any major awards so far, with Lawrence and Chastain mostly dividing them between themselves. Still an open category, though. I'd say everyone but Watts stand a chance to win, but it's really a three-horse race between Riva, Lawrence and Chastain.

  • JPH | February 7, 2013 5:41 AMReply

    RIVA winning Best Actress would be one of the worst in Academy historoy. Naomi Watts deserves the Oscar and that is the end of the story.

  • Chloe | February 21, 2013 1:14 AM

    Why would you say that ?! Have you even seen Amour ? How gripping and touching it was. How OUTSTANDING Emmanuelle Riva's performance was ? I personally don't think Naomi Watts out beat Riva. She didn't have as much screen time. However I think she's an amazing actress but she still has time.

  • Jess | February 17, 2013 6:16 PM

    Why would it be the worst? Have you seen Riva's movie? Every single person nominated deserves a win. Stop being so dramatic. Kristin Stewart winning best actress for Twilight is a much better example of the worst in academy history.

  • glenn | February 7, 2013 1:24 PM

    Naomi yes !!!!

  • :-) | February 7, 2013 5:16 AMReply

    THEY SAID....

    IF LAWRENCE WIN THAT'S BECAUSE SHE'S POPULAR.
    IF RIVA WIN THAT'S BECAUSE SHE'S THE OLDEST.

    FOR ME... THEY SAID ABOUT LAWRENCE IS RIGHT BUT THEY ARE WRONG ABOUT RIVA.. :-) RIVA FOR THE WIN :-)

  • ^_^ | February 7, 2013 5:03 AMReply

    i will not be surprised if:
    WATTS and CHASTAIN win....

    i will be surprised if:
    WALLIS win

    i will be very sad if :
    LAWRENCE win

    i will be very happy if:
    RIVA win (she deserves the oscars not because of her age but because of her lovely performance and in every performance, you need to fall in love of what performance you are watching and that's the time you can feel the lovely performance that gives by a performer like what RIVA do in AMOUR. )

  • ^_^ | February 22, 2013 6:18 AM

    @CHARLENE that is my opinion... and if i like her in HUNGER GAMES than in SLP... theres nothing wrong with that... if you like her performance in SLP.. well i respect it because that is you're opinion... I already watch all of her past films and her performance was great.. but what I am talking about is her performance in SLP... and if you would compare it to other nominees... for me,, she has BETTER performance but not BEST :-) JUST RESPECT THE DIFFERENT OPINIONS OF EVERYBODY :-)

    RIVA FOR THE WIN :-)

  • Charlene | February 21, 2013 1:19 AM

    @^-^ you really think her performance in the hunger games was better ?! Then you are wrong. She was good but in SLP she had a very hard character to play, ( which not many actresses could've done) but you can watch any of her other performances like The Poker House or Winter's bones to see how phenomenal she is.

  • ^_^ | February 10, 2013 4:24 AM

    @LEXI.. i respect your opinion but.... all i wanna say is her acting in SLP and not in HUNGER GAMES because for me.. she has done a better performance in HUNGER GAMES THAN IN SLP,, and anyone can do her role in SLP.. for me,, her acting is just normal and i really want to say is there is many actresses(and one of those is Cottilard!) that are deserving to be in nominated in the OSCARS than her. :-)))

  • Lexi | February 9, 2013 12:33 AM

    I would just like to say that people haven to stop looking at the fact that Jennifer lawrence was in the Hunger Games not saying she is bad in it she is very good in fact, but when people look at that they think "ahh big blockbuster movie star" like there is soo much hype around her it's self that people don't realize that her acting is what should be praised. She is honestly phenomenal, yes I know she has not been in very much but you watch any movie she has every been in and Jennifer Lawrence disappears and she becomes another person. And in Silver Linings Playbook you have to think about how hard it must be to play the character that she does, she is supposed to be a slutty, sexy person, with mood a mood disorder and is a little crazy. That is not easy and she nails it. You just wish you were her... Don't even bother trying to dinigh!

  • Robert | February 6, 2013 10:35 PMReply

    I think Lawrence has the best odds of winning, and I think she deserves her spot as the favorite. She brought so much emotional depth to a role that at first looks unappealing and underdeveloped. I think the problem with Riva and Watts, and possibly Wallis, people get caught up so much in the pathos of the role that they fall in love with the character and forget so much about the acting itself. People keep referring to how Riva is in another league, and I would have to disagree. She was very good, but the pathos of her role was deeper than any other of the nominees, and so it is easy to think she is the best because of her role, not because of her (on the otherhand, her male couterpart was outstanding, I think he got robbed of a nomination) Don't get me wrong, all of them were fabulous performances, and I have seen each of these movies, but I think that Lawrence conquered a far more difficult role. A side-note on Chastain, I thought she was very good, but I think she modeled her entire character off of Claire Danes in Homeland, they were strikingly similar even in their manuerisms, so it really took away from her performance that could have been surreal.

  • Truth | February 23, 2013 1:53 AM

    WALLIS GET NO RESPECT!: When did the Oscars get a age limit? Tatum Oneal was 10 when she won her Oscar for Paper Moon. Wallis did a fantastic job and deserves to be nominated and to win! Besides why nominate her if she can't win? She had more screen time then the other actresses.

  • Tom | February 7, 2013 4:07 AM

    Glad I'm not the only one who noticed the similarities to Claire Danes's role!

  • CS | February 6, 2013 8:31 PMReply

    I am seriously tired of people saying J-Law shouldn't win. I have seen all of the movies nominated for oscar this year, and Riva did give a better performance. But why the hell is people including Chastain, she was terrible and only had one facial expression except for a few scene. Lawrence was by far better, her character was complex and the way she acted out her character was amazing. It should be either Riva or Lawrence, not Chast-aint.

  • PJ | February 6, 2013 7:54 PMReply

    All this Riva love is hilarious to me. She has so many obstacles. I mean what has she won in order for her to be a frontrunner? Seeing her movie does not count. The best performances don't always equal Oscar. For example, Ewan MacGregor from The Impossible got passed up for Alan Arkin. Jennifer Lawrence won SAG over Chastain. Lawrence has cleaned up comedy and action awards. Meanwhile, Riva couldn't even win Critics Choice. Now, all of sudden she is going to win Oscar. LOL Come on Man!

  • ^_^ | February 7, 2013 4:47 AM

    BUT REMEMBER....viola won the SAG but MERYL GOT THE OSCARS... YOU CAN'T SURE WHO WILL WIN THE OSCARS :-)

  • Michael M. | February 6, 2013 8:47 PM

    You couldn't be any more fucking wrong aha.

  • Seriously | February 6, 2013 7:07 PMReply

    Can everyone Please stop saying that Riva should just win because she's old?! Her performance is in another league to the others (and especially Lawrence in my humble opinion), it was just a far more challenging and impressive role and she completely delivered. It was nothing short of breathtaking.

  • John | February 6, 2013 6:15 PMReply

    Who should win? Riva without a second thought. Not only did she give a shockingly realistic and physically demanding performance for an 86-year old lady, but she was also heartbreaking without ever being showy, but handling the role with class, grace and superb subtlety.

    Now, I think the frontrunner is Lawrence. But if anyone could surprise it's going to be Emmanuelle Riva. In fact, I think that the BAFTA is between these two ladies. In case Riva wins it, this bodes well for her Oscar chances.

  • Kyle Windchester | February 6, 2013 6:03 PMReply

    VOTES, VOTES, VOTES......... It's Politics people........ Jennifer Lawrence will win because she is the most favorite HOT YOUNG actress of the bunch. I hate when the Oscar choose FAVORITE (Lawrence) over the BEST (Chastain).

  • Cindy | February 6, 2013 5:58 PMReply

    There is a reason why all 5 talented actress was nominated. The Oscar is the biggest Awards in the film industry world wide which is to say that the five nominee are the top 5 best actress in the world for that particular year. In order of BEST PERFORMANCES
    5. Naomi Watts,
    4. Jessica Chastain,
    3. Jennifer Lawrence
    2. Quvenzhane Wallis
    1. Emmanuelle Riva.

  • Manny | February 6, 2013 2:16 PMReply

    Seen all five of the performances in the category. It will come down to Riva and Lawrence. Riva was heartbreaking in her role, but Julie Christie did it better in Away From Her. Lawrence was radiant and tender in SLP. She was breathtaking. Lawrence for the win, and it won't even be close.