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Wed Feb 06 12:13:00 EST 2013
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Oscar Voting Has Begun!
2013 Oscar Predictions: Best Documentary Feature
Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 85th Academy Awards through February 24th, when the winners are announced.
"Searching for Sugar Man"
Sure, Malik Bendjelloul's "Searching For Sugar Man" feels like the frontrunner here. It's the only real box office hit, and is coming off wins with the PGA and DGA. But this category is notoriously hard to predict, and this year for the first time all Academy members were sent screeners of all the docs and can all vote in the category, which entirely changes voting patterns and gives this category no precedent. So while "Sugar Man" has the momentum, it's just as easy to see Emad Burnat and Guy Davidi's "5 Broken Cameras" or Dror Moreh's "The Gatekeepers" or David France's "How To Survive a Plague" or Kirby Dick's "The Invisible War" pushing through . For one, they all feel like much more "important" documentaries, which may or may not help them (last year's winner -- high school football doc "Undefeated" -- also had that sense about it compared to its fellow nominees).
Our guess, though -- and it's a risky one -- is that "How To Survive a Plague" pulls this off.
Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here, and this list of all the Oscar-nominated films available ON DEMAND right now.
The nominees:
"5 Broken Cameras"
"The Gatekeepers"
"How to Survive a Plague"
"The Invisible War"
"Searching for Sugar Man"
Will win: "How To Survive a Plague"
Could win: "Searching For Sugar Man"
Should win: Honestly, they're all great.
Check out all predictions in all the categories here.
Sign up HERE for Indiewire's Awards Season newsletter and receive a twice-weekly email roundup of our awards stories, hand-picked by our editors from across the Indiewire Network, plus additional coverage in the final run up to the Oscars.
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11 Comments
playbot | Thu Jan 17 19:40:56 EST 2013
i just check frinzee.com and "How To Survive a Plaque" got the most votes for Best Documentary. Is it official? Check it out guys
mehrdad | Thu Jan 10 03:45:25 EST 2013
This list sooms to be fixed even after all the awards "This is not a film" received from different circles of critics...!!!
Sorry to say but am quite sure that Jafar panahi would be on the final nomination list...!
Joseph Philistine | Wed Jan 09 06:51:01 EST 2013
Sugar man should win this
Steven Krams | Tue Dec 18 17:58:45 EST 2012
Samsara deserved to be in yhr top 10 contenders for best Doc Feature. It was extraordinary in every way.
Cinema | Tue Dec 11 22:06:23 EST 2012
I so hope Bully gets nominated. It so deserves it.
TheGrave | Tue Dec 11 17:51:05 EST 2012
No Indie Game: The Movie? That was easily one of the best documentaries of the year. Though I suppose it isn't exactly Oscar-friendly.
Jim | Mon Dec 10 09:12:15 EST 2012
I find it ridiculous that Obama 2016 isn't on the list. ANYWHERE. Hmmm.... I wonder why....
Francesco | Tue Dec 04 13:02:11 EST 2012
Because of TWC, I have a feeling Bully will at least be nominated. Sadly, the controversy surrounding Iran pulling out of the Foreign Language Film race probably means This is Not a Film will be snubbed. Such a pity.
Daniel Pratt | Tue Dec 04 11:46:13 EST 2012
I'm astonished that The Imposter has made the short-list. 2012 saw so many incredible documentaries that, in my opinion, were far superior. Off the top of my head, what about Jiro Dreams of Sushi, Gerhard Richter Painting or Marina Abramovic: The Artist is Present? While I'll admit The Imposter was certainly a compelling viewing experience it was reminiscent of something you'd see on Dateline NBC.