"Blue Jasmine"
"Blue Jasmine"

Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are announced.

Cate Blanchett has been poised to take home this award since the day "Blue Jasmine" was released, and she's still holding on nicely after wins from SAG, the Critics Choice and the Golden Globes. Had Amy Adams not been nominated, it would basically be a 99.9% done deal. But Adams -- the only nominee here who hasn't won -- gives this race a slight chance at an upset... Especially given a vote for Blanchett might seem like a vote for Woody Allen in light of the recent controversy facing the director. Though we're definitely not betting on it.

Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

The nominees:
Amy Adams in “American Hustle”
Cate Blanchett in “Blue Jasmine”
Sandra Bullock in “Gravity”
Judi Dench in “Philomena”
Meryl Streep in “August: Osage County”

Will win: Cate Blanchett in “Blue Jasmine”
Could win: Amy Adams in “American Hustle”
Should win: Cate Blanchett in “Blue Jasmine”
Shoulda been here: Julie Delpy in "Before Midnight"

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

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