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by Peter Knegt
February 9, 2014 10:35 PM
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2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Director

Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are announced.

Here's our take on the best director category, which seems to be a little less of a question mark than best picture. While "American Hustle," "Gravity" and "12 Years a Slave" are battling it out for that prize, "Gravity" director Alfonso Cuaron has assumed frontrunner status here. Though definitely don't count out Steve McQueen or David O. Russell.

Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

The nominees:
“American Hustle” David O. Russell
“Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón
“Nebraska” Alexander Payne
“12 Years a Slave” Steve McQueen
“The Wolf of Wall Street” Martin Scorsese

Will win: “Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón
Could win: "12 Years a Slave" Steve McQueen
Should win: “Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón
Shoulda been here: "Inside Llewyn Davis"

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

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  • JD | March 2, 2014 1:54 PMReply

    Will Win- Alfonso Cuarón "Gravity"
    Could Win- Steve McQueen "12 Years a Slave''
    Should Win- McQueen "12 Years a Slave'' (but I'd be okay with Cuarón)
    Should be here- Spike Jonze "Her"
    Should not be here- Martin Scorsese “The Wolf of Wall Street”

  • Nicholas Guy | February 6, 2014 6:40 AMReply

    It has to be Cuaron. That film has the most beautiful flow, the performance are great and some of the shots are awe-inspiring.

  • Ivan | January 29, 2014 4:16 AMReply

    I like Gravity, because it's different then other movies I watched lately. On the other hand I like also that it lasts 90 minutes. Additional 10 minutes would be exhausting. My favorite is Scorsese, he made a really good movie and this 180 minutes passed very quickly. I wouldn't be disappointed even with McQueen. Still, I think that Russel will take it (together with best movie, best supporting actress, screenplay etc.)- not because it deserves it, but when you see Adams in nominees (and not Thompson). Cooper (and not Bruhl or Harrison Ford for 42),...If they had a chance, would nominate them also in animated movies.

  • Ivan | January 29, 2014 3:07 AMReply

    just a question, Inside Llewyn Davis should have been there instead of which movie?

  • Laut | January 27, 2014 2:03 PMReply

    Shoulda Been Here: Spike Jonze for Her.

  • dan | January 24, 2014 2:23 PMReply

    Steve McQueen could and should win Best Director, I mean he just destroyed it with 12 Years A Slave.

  • Dylan | January 13, 2014 7:10 PMReply

    My Nominations (Best Director):
    Alfonso Cuaron - GRAVITY
    David O. Russell - AMERICAN HUSTLE
    Joel & Ethan Coen - INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS
    Ryan Coogler - FRUITVALE STATION
    Spike Jonze - HER

  • Brett | January 13, 2014 5:29 PMReply

    If the Academy decided to expand the other major awards (like this one) to ten nominees, my top 10 picks here would be:
    The Coen Brothers
    Martin Scorsese
    David O. Russell
    Spike Jonze
    "Steve McQueen"
    Alfonso Cuaron
    Ron Howard
    Paul Grengrass
    Alexander Payne
    Woody Allen

  • Des Brown | January 11, 2014 9:12 AMReply

    Paul Greengrass, Steve McQueen, Martin Scorsese, David O. Russell and Alfonso Cuaron are the five nominees at the DGA and for BAFTA's Best Director prize. I expect the Academy to be the same. Cuaron is the early favourite to lift the prize. If McQueen were to win it would be a historic moment in the history of the Academy and British filmmaking. Heard him interviewed on BBC Radio last night and, apparently, 12 Years A Slave was shot in just 35 days. I can see McQueen winning the BAFTA but Cuaron winning the Oscar.

  • Anthony D. | January 9, 2014 11:27 PMReply

    The nominees will be:

    Martin Scorsese
    David O. Russell
    Paul Greengrass
    Steve McQueen
    Alfonso Cuaron

    I expect it to exactly mirror the DGA this year. The only possible difference I could see is Greengrass falling short in favor of either the Coens or Alexander Payne (both of which I feel deserve it more than him, so it could just be my own bias saying that). The winner will be, in a historic fashion, Steve McQueen. I do not know that 12 Years A Slave wins Best Picture, however.

  • Andre G. | January 10, 2014 7:25 PM

    Yep that's probably it. But I'm thinking Cuaran will win best director and 12 years a slave best picture.

  • Mexicano | January 4, 2014 11:52 PMReply

    Leaving behind my national feelings, which would make me vote for Alfonso Cuaron, I think the winner should be Ron Howard for Rush or Woody Allen for Blue Jasmine. We know Howard/Allen don't have real chances to win. Then, my favorite to win is Cuaron.
    If the world was fair, Paolo Sorrentino for The Great Beauty and Amat Escalante for Heli would be nominated, but that is impossible.

    My update:
    1. Woody Allen for Blue Jasmine.
    2. Ron Howard for Rush.
    3. Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity.
    4. Abdellatif Kechiche for Blue is the Warmest Color.
    5. Richard Linklaker for Before Midnight -is not happening-
    Then, the Fifth spot would be for 12 years a Slave

  • jasper | January 1, 2014 12:04 AMReply

    I honestly don't know what David O. Russell has to do to actually win an Oscar.

  • Mexicano | January 4, 2014 11:28 PM

    If you think that David O. Russell should already have an Oscar as Best Director, then your film standards are ver los profile (very low). You have a lot good films to see in the history of cinema...

  • BOO | January 3, 2014 6:00 PM

    He could win Original Screenplay, although I don't really want that to happen, but it probably will.

  • Brett | December 31, 2013 4:41 PMReply

    1. Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
    2. Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
    3. Martin Scorsese for Wolf of Wall Street
    4. Joel & Ethan Coen for Inside Llewyn Davis
    5. David O. Russell for American Hustle
    6. Ron Howard for Rush
    7. Spike Jonze for Her
    8. Alexander Payne for Nebraska
    9. Woody Allen for Blue Jasmine
    10. Lee Daniels for The Butler
    11. John Lee Hancock for Saving Mr. Banks
    12. Paul Greengrass for Captain Phillips

  • erik393 | December 31, 2013 2:45 AMReply

    Cuaron, McQueen and Russell seem to be locks right now but I wouldn't be surprised if Russell got bumped for someone else. Greengrass should not be nominated for this. While Captain Phillips was a really good movie, these other films were better. It's hard to see Scorsese's name on the top 5 now after the backlash his film has gotten by certain people. But Wolf of Wall Street is great. I think it'll be...
    1. Cuaron
    2. McQueen
    3. Russell
    4. John Lee Hancock (the voters love a good happy family film)
    5. Spike Jonze

    People say this'll be the closest part of the Oscar race (the directors) once the final 5 are chosen but I might have to disagree. While I am certain 12 Years A Slave will win the best picture award, I'm almost certain Alfonso Cuaron will win for Gravity. Look at everything he's done in that film. It's one of the best of the year and something unique that you really don't see but once every decade.

  • Evan | December 29, 2013 6:29 PMReply

    Scorsese should definitely be a lock, still don't know why Greengrass is getting all this attention

  • FilmFan | December 29, 2013 1:48 AMReply

    Scorsese, Allen, coen brothers, not in need of another nod give it to Steve and spike and cuaron great directors getting good work. I'm i only one think American hustle getting snubbed in EVERYTHING hair makeup is its strongest win chances.

  • BOO | December 27, 2013 10:24 AMReply

    As much as I don't care for David O Russell to get nominated, he will. Jones and Payne are the ones who are battling to get in, maybe even the Coens, and I'd consider Scorsese the #5 spot.

  • Bob | December 23, 2013 3:39 AMReply

    Updated List

    Predicted Top 10

    1) 12 Years a Slave
    2) Gravity
    3) American Hustle
    4) The Wolf of Wall Street
    5) Her
    6) Nebraska
    7) Saving Mr.Banks
    8. Captain Phillips
    9) Inside Llewyn Davis
    10) Dallas Buyers Club

    Real Threats that Could Enter the Top 10

    11) Blue Jasmine
    12) Philomena
    13) Fruitvale Station


    14) Lee Daniel's The Butler
    15) August: Osage County
    16) All is Lost

    Long Shots

    17) Rush
    18. Mud
    19) Before Midnight
    20) Enough Said

    Best Director

    1) Steve McQueen - 12 Years a Slave
    2) Alfonso Cuaron - Gravity
    3) David O. Russel - American Hustle
    4) Martin Scorsese - The Wolf of Wall Street
    5) Alexander Payne - Nebraska

    Runner ups

    6) Spike Jonze - Her
    7) Paul Greengrass - Captain Phillips
    8. John Lee Hancock - Saving Mr.Banks

    Best Actor (Pretty damn strong year; only surefire nominees are Ejiofor and McConaughey honestly)

    Chiwetel Ejiofor - 12 Years a Slave
    Matthew McConaughey - Dallas Buyers Club
    Leonardo DiCaprio - The Wolf of Wall Street
    Bruce Dern - Nebraska
    Christian Bale - American Hustle

    Real Threats/Runner ups

    Robert Redford - All is Lost
    Tom Hanks - Captain Phillips


    Joaquin Phoenix - Her
    Oscar Isaac - Inside Llewyn Davis
    Michael B. Jordan - Fruitvale Station

    Best Actress

    Cate Blanchett - Blue Jasmine
    Emma Thomphson - Saving Mr.Banks
    Judi Dench - Philomena
    Meryl Streep - August: Osage County
    Sandra Bullock - Gravity

    Runner ups

    Amy Adams - American Hustle
    Brie Larson - Short Term 12

    Best Supporting Actor

    Jared Leto - Dallas Buyers Club
    Michael Fassbender - 12 Years a Slave
    Jonah Hill - The Wolf of Wall Street
    Daniel Bruhl - Rush
    Barkhad Abdi - Captain Phillips

    Runner ups

    Tom Hanks - Saving Mr.Banks
    James Gandolfini - Enough Said
    Bradley Cooper - American Hustle

    Best Supporting Actress

    Lupita Nyong'o - 12 Years a Slave
    Jenifer Lawrence - American Hustle
    June Squibb - Nebraska
    Julia Roberts - August: Osage County
    Oprah Winfrey - Lee Daniel's The Butler

  • Bard | December 19, 2013 7:06 AMReply

    Best Director will go to Alfsonso Cuaron. Other nominees would be Steve McQueen, David O. Russel en Spike Jonze for sure and possibly Martin Scorsese

  • Brett | December 22, 2013 12:33 PM

    Gravity is good but directing wise? Not really, I think Cuaron will win for editing

  • BOO | December 16, 2013 10:40 PMReply

    As much as I loved Her, American Hustle is a huge contender and probably will not miss this. Also wow, Nebraska not a lock. Nebraska a maybe. Scorsese replace him.

  • Brett | December 16, 2013 1:40 PMReply

    Put Ron Howard back on this list!!

  • Aliya | December 15, 2013 11:04 AMReply

    Abdellatif Kechiche definitely deserves a nomination for Blue is the warmest colour. Shocked he's not been included in other lists or award nominations.

  • Brett | December 12, 2013 5:08 PMReply

    1. "Steve McQueen" for 12 Years a Slave
    2. Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
    3. Joel & Ethan Coen for Inside Llewyn Davis
    4. Martin Scorsese for Wolf of Wall Street
    5. Ron Howard for Rush
    6. Alexander Payne for Nebraska
    7. Woody Allen for Blue Jasmine
    8. John Lee Hancock for Saving Mr. Banks
    9. Lee Daniels for The Butler
    10. Spike Jonze for Her
    11. David O. Russell for American Hustle
    12. Paul Greengrass for Captain Phillips

  • Jack | December 10, 2013 11:02 PMReply

    Miyazaki should definitely be put under Long Shot, but honestly I think there is a very good chance he could get a nomination if only because it is his last film.

    I expect the nominations to be

    1. Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
    2. Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
    3. Alexander Payne, Nebraska
    4. Spike Jonze, Her
    5. Joel & Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis

  • Brett | December 8, 2013 3:18 PMReply

    Scorsese is my favorite director and I'm pretty sure Wolf of Wall Street will be good, but I really don't think that movie would be worth a directing nomination, he's pretty much directing a biopic version of Get Him to the Greek, and would anybody be talking about this Scorsese picture as much as other ones like Raging Bull (which is overrated), Taxi Driver, Goodfellas, Hugo, Casino, The Aviator, and The Departed?

  • JC | December 7, 2013 8:36 AMReply

    1. Steve McQueen for 12 Years a Slave
    2. Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
    3. Alexander Payne for Nebraska
    4. David O'Russell for American Hustle
    5. Paul Greengrass for Captain Phillips

    I wouldn't be surprised if Scorsese doesn't make it onto the list.

  • Brett | December 5, 2013 12:40 PMReply

    1. Martin Scorsese for Wolf of Wall Street
    2. "Steve McQueen" for 12 Years a Slave
    3. Joel and Ethan Coen for Inside Llewyn Davis
    4. Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
    5. Ron Howard for Rush
    6. Alexander Payne for Nebraska
    7. JC Chandor for All is Lost
    8. Woody Allen for Blue Jasmine
    9. John Lee Hancock for Saving Mr. Banks
    10. David O. Russell for American Hustle
    11. Paul Greengrass for Captain Phillips
    12. Lee Daniels for The Butler

  • Bob | December 5, 2013 3:11 AMReply

    I can see...

    1) Steve McQueen - 12 Years a Slave
    2) Alfonso Cuaron - Gravity
    3) Martin Scorsese - The Wolf of Wall Street
    4) Joel & Ethan Cohen - Inside Llewyn Davis
    5) Alexander Payne - Nebraska

    Runner ups that could easily sneak in

    6) David O. Russel - American Hustle
    7) Paul Greengrass - Captain Phillips
    8) Spike Jonze - Her

  • Juha Tapani | December 4, 2013 6:30 AMReply

    Cuaron all the way. And Lisa....Why is it shocker all men again??? Which movie this year directed by female is worth of a nomination? Just asking. I have not seen even one this year.

  • Brett | December 4, 2013 4:54 PM

    I guess you can count that one Sofia Coppola movie with Emma Watson...which is really not that worthy but that's the only one I know this year

  • Brett | December 3, 2013 5:30 PMReply

    Ron Howard needs to be put back on this list

  • Lisa | December 1, 2013 8:21 PMReply

    Shocker. All men. Again.

  • T | November 30, 2013 6:21 AMReply

    I wish Richard Linklater would be among the nominees for Before Midnight, but I won't hold my breath. In the same vein as Peter Jackson for LOTR, he really deserves to be recognized for the "Before trilogy"...though there will hopefully be more to come. They are special films, even more so when considered together. He is such a great director! Other hopes: Alexander Payne, Alfonso Cuaron, Woody Allen (probably Cohen Brothers, Scorcese and steve mcqueen-but I haven't seen these films)

  • WS | November 22, 2013 7:43 PMReply

    Only god forgives deserves a nomination, but alas the critics gutted the feature and completely dismissed the formal mastery of this incendiary masterpiece.

  • Mxicano | November 18, 2013 3:14 PMReply

    1. Ron Howard for Rush
    2. Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
    3. Woody Allen for Blue Jasmine
    4. Steve McQueen for 12 years a slave
    5. Abdellatif Kechiche for Blue is the warmest colour.

  • Mirko | November 17, 2013 1:35 PMReply

    I thinks an nomination to John Lee Hancock for Saving Mr Banks.

  • Brett | November 15, 2013 3:48 PMReply

    1. Martin Scorsese for Wolf of Wall Street
    2. "Steve McQueen" for 12 Years a Slave
    3. Paul Greengrass for Captain Phillips
    4. Joel and Ethan Coen for Inside Llewyn Davis
    5. Ron Howard for Rush
    6. Alfonso Cuaron for Gravity
    7. David O. Russell for American Hustle (say that 3 times fast)
    8. John Lee Hancock for Saving Mr. Banks
    9. Lee Daniels for The Butler
    10. Alexander Payne for Nebraska
    11. Woody Allen for Blue Jasmine
    12. Peter Berg for Lone Survivor

  • Oscarfan | November 5, 2013 4:57 PMReply

    Ron Howard needs to be put back on this list! He directed Rush so well! I don't see any reason to bring him out of the running, usually the Academy never ignores him (except Cinderella Man for some strange reason)

  • K.W. | October 30, 2013 4:54 PMReply

    My Top 10 (combination of what I've seen and predictions)
    1. Steve McQueen
    2. Alfonso Cuaron
    3. Abdellatif Kechiche
    4. Joel & Ethan Coen
    5. Martin Scorsese
    6. Derek Cianfrance
    7. Paul Greengrass
    8. Terrence Malick
    9. Lars von Trier
    10. J.C. Chandor

    Academy Predicted Noms.

    Joel & Ethan Coen
    Alfonso Cuaron
    Paul Greengrass
    Steve McQueen
    Martin Scorsese
    Woody Allen
    Ryan Coogler (Behn Zeitlin got his, Coogler must get one as well)
    Alexander Payne
    David O. Russell

  • Brett | November 5, 2013 4:55 PM

    Terrence Mallick? I'd replace that with Ron Howard, because I don't know any Terrence Mallick film that comes out this year

  • r. | October 28, 2013 11:36 AMReply

    Steve McQueen (12 Years a Slave)
    Richard Linklater (Before Midnight)
    Abdellatif Kechiche (Blue Is the Warmest Color)
    Alfonso Cuarón (Gravity)
    Joel Coen, Ethan Coen (Inside Llewyn Davies)

  • Brett | October 23, 2013 4:57 PMReply

    How come Rush is out of the running? I don't mind much if it's not nominated for Best Picture, but the Academy never ignores Ron Howard he should get a director nomination

  • Mexicano | October 27, 2013 10:35 PM

    Agreeeee! Rush should contend for Picture, Director, Score, Screenplay, Sound and the incredible Bruhl's performance... At least

  • Dawlish | October 22, 2013 3:35 AMReply

    Cuaron deserves this, I will always feel that he was cheated for "Children of men". HE DIRECTED AN AMAZING STORY, TOLD IT BEAUTIFULLY AND DID IT ALL THE WAY WITH STUNNING VISUALS AND CINEMATOGRAPHY - HE HAS TO WIN!!!!!!!!


  • Brett | October 17, 2013 4:56 PMReply

    Actually Steff, early reviews for The Blind Side weren't that great either, so maybe the same could go for Walter Mitty

  • Bob | October 16, 2013 2:37 AMReply


    Steve McQueen - 12 Years a Slave
    Alfonso Cuaron - Gravity
    Spike Jonze - Her
    David O. Russell - American Hustle
    Martin Scorsese - The Wolf of Wall Street

    Runner ups

    Paul Greengrass - Captain Phillips
    Joel & Ethan Cohen - Inside Llewyn Davis

  • The Brady Critic | October 14, 2013 1:17 PMReply

    Will win:Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity

    might win: Steve McQueen, 12 years of slave

    should win: martin Scorsese, the wolf of wall street

  • JM | November 26, 2013 3:58 PM

    I agree

  • Brett | October 14, 2013 10:32 AMReply

    If there's going to be 12 (Because 12 Years a Slave) My picks are:
    Martin Scorsese
    Coen Brothers
    Ben Stiller
    "Steve McQueen"
    David O. Russell
    Paul Greengrass
    John Lee Hancock
    Alexander Payne
    Woody Allen
    George Clooney
    Lee Daniels
    Alfonso Cuaron

  • Brett | October 14, 2013 10:29 AMReply

    Where's Ben Stiller?

  • Steff | October 16, 2013 8:21 AM

    Out of the running. Early reviews for Mitty weren't strong.

  • Bob | October 10, 2013 12:29 AMReply

    Best Director

    Alfonso Cuaron - Gravity
    Steve McQueen - 12 Years a Slave
    Joel & Ethan Cohen - Inside Llewyn Davis
    David O. Russell - American Hustle
    Martin Scorsese - The Wolf of Wall Street

    Runner up

    Spike Jonze - Her

  • Josh | October 9, 2013 8:02 AMReply

    I bet come February there will be a split like last year between the winners of best pic and director - Cuaron wins best director, 12 Years will win best picture.

  • JM | November 26, 2013 3:59 PM

    me too

  • tommy | November 18, 2013 10:27 PM

    I'd put money on this

  • BOO | October 6, 2013 8:50 AMReply

    I feel like you're underestimating Wolf of Wall Street. All of Scorsese's past films since 2000 besides Shutter Island have gotten a LOT of Oscar nominations and wins, all getting picture and director.

  • Mexicano | October 6, 2013 2:12 AMReply

    If I was member of The Academy I would vote:
    1. Poncho Cuaron - Gravity
    2. Woody Allen - Blue Jasmine
    3. Ron Howard - Rush
    4. Abdellatif Kechiche - Blue is the warmest color
    5. Ashgar Faradio - Le passe

    But I am not member of the Academy =( and some of them will probably be replaced by Steve McQueen, Martin Scorcese, the overrated Cohens or the "stupid-face of puke when Emmanuelle Riva wins" David O. Russell.

  • johnny b goode | September 30, 2013 2:24 PMReply

    1. Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
    2. Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
    3. Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
    4. David O. Russell, American Hustle
    5. George Clooney, The Monuments Men

  • Josh | September 30, 2013 8:45 AMReply

    I really can't see Saving Mr Banks competing in this or the Best Picture category. I bet it will be alot like last year's Hitchcock. A movie about a movie, with great performances but average in all other aspects.

  • Brett | September 27, 2013 4:32 PMReply

    What about Joseph Gordon Levitt for Don Jon

  • Brett | September 26, 2013 5:21 PMReply

    Where's Alexander Payne for Nebraska?

  • Will | September 25, 2013 9:02 AMReply

    I'd really like to see Derek Cianfrance for The Place Beyond The Pines on here. It got its wide release this year and nothing else this year has even come close to it in my opinion.

  • Brett | September 17, 2013 5:09 PMReply

    Steve Mcqueen is alive? Does that mean Jimmy Stewart is resurrected as well?

  • M | October 8, 2013 8:50 PM


  • OSS 117 | September 16, 2013 12:28 AMReply

    The Coen's will have a run for their money in the directorial department.

  • derrick | September 16, 2013 11:15 AM

    Agreed Mcqueen has undoubtedly stolen the thunder from 'Gravity'. 'The Wolf of Wall Street' and 'American Hustle' better deliver.

  • BOO | September 15, 2013 8:06 PMReply

    I'd replace Paul Greengrass with Scorsese.

  • BOO | September 15, 2013 8:07 PM

    Because he's been nominated for every other movie from the past 12 years except Shutter Island.

  • Giamboni | September 14, 2013 5:26 PMReply

    Possibility nomination for John Lee Hancock, if Saving Mr Banks is very beautiful. In my opinion this film wins the Oscar original score.

  • Brett | September 13, 2013 5:27 PMReply

    If the Academy decided to nominate 12 (Because 12 Years a Slave) my picks would be:
    1.Steve Mcqueen (12 Years a Slave)
    2.Scorsese (Wolf of Wall Street)
    3.Woody Allen (Blue Jasmine
    4.Paul Greengrass(Captain Phillips)
    5.John Lee Hancock (Saving Mr.Banks)
    6.Bennett Miller (Foxcatcher)
    7.Ben Stiller (Secret Life of Walter Mitty)
    8.Ron Howard (Rush)
    9.Lee Daniels (The Butler)
    10.David O.Russell (American Hustle)
    11.Alfonso Cuaron (Gravity)
    12.The Coen Brothers (Inside Llewyn Davis)

  • jjules | September 10, 2013 9:36 PMReply

    Paul Greengrass should be nowhere near this list.

  • Mexicano | September 2, 2013 3:19 AMReply

    Great!! A Mexicano leading the buzz... It didn't happened since Alejandro Gonzalez Inarritu with Babel.
    Hopefully Cuaron will be luckier than Alejandro, his brother Carlos, Del Toro, Arriaga, Hayek, Bichir, Lubezki or Adriana Barraza and he will finally bring that Oscar to Mexico. This year, a young Mexicano director won Best Director in Cannes for Heli. So I hope Heli will be in the 5 nominees to Best Foreign Language Film (For the second consecutive year a Mexicano director won Cannes), which certainly be leaded by Le Passe -unless France sends the wrong film again and chooses Blue is the Warmest Colour-.

    My list:
    1. Alfonso Cuaron
    2. Woody Allen
    3. Martin Scorcese
    4. Ashgar Farhadi
    5. Bil Condon
    6. John Wells
    7. John Lee Hancock

  • Patrick from Baltimore | August 30, 2013 10:20 PMReply

    After seeing Blue Jasmine last night, there are two spots that should be locks. Cate Blanchett at Best Actress and Woody Allen for Director. Blanchetts portrayal in that movie is simply the best acting performance I have ever seen by a woman on film in a theater. Her break down after a bad divorce is legendary and having Woody be the one to help her to push her over the edge NEEDS to be acknowledged. I am not a Woody Allen fan. In my opinion, his work is extremely over rated. But he deserves credit for helping develop and pull this character out on to the screen. It would be a sad omission if he is left off the nominee list come next year!

  • Embar | August 29, 2013 3:37 PMReply

    It's embarrassing how you guys have no faith in anything until other critics start loving it.... i.e. Gravity. This should have been at the top of your heavyweights in about 12 categories the moment it was announced.

  • M. | August 29, 2013 5:42 PM

    Well not everyone is aware of Cuaron's ingenuity. And ive had faith in him since the beginning, read below

  • M | August 29, 2013 2:52 AMReply

    1. Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity
    2. Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
    3. David O. Russell, American Hustle
    4. Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
    5. Joel & Ethan Coen, Inside Llewyn Davis

    Runner up: Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station

  • Bob | August 29, 2013 4:30 PM

    This is a pretty good list IMHO. Runner ups should also include Greengrass, Miller, and Wells.

  • BOO | August 28, 2013 6:41 PMReply

    I don't know why you're moving down Monuments Men.

  • Mirko | August 27, 2013 1:20 PMReply

    I don't know if John Lee Hancock in nomination. It must to see Saving Mr bnks all.

  • noob | August 26, 2013 7:52 PMReply

    You are likely so wrong about Paul Greengrass and Captain Phillips. A movie starring Tom Hanks with success? What are the odds? Bad predictions.

  • BOO | August 20, 2013 8:16 PMReply

    I have a feeling McQueen won't make it here because the film will not be as accessible as it seems.

  • #blessed | August 16, 2013 9:47 PMReply

    But David O'Russell already has this win in the bag. Like, there's no debate so you can guys literally not with all these lists. Idiots.

  • oscar | August 14, 2013 9:45 PMReply

    and lee Daniels not on the list because come on form everyone in that movie it him deserve it and he's been nominated before.

  • Mexicano | August 10, 2013 2:15 PMReply

    Peter, your blog is great, you are doing a fantastic work. You need to know that you are trespassing borders. I am mexican and I've been following your predictions all year long from Mexico, France and Germany. This is widely the best site for Oscar Predictions. Congrats.

  • iasdf | August 8, 2013 10:40 PMReply

    Don't forget Ron Howard for Rush. It's been getting some raves from test screenings.

  • MichaelM | August 8, 2013 5:14 PMReply

    What in the hell is so hard about this? Captain Phillips for Best director? as if that desensitized racial bullshit is likely to get any recognition. Why not 'All is Lost', 'Her', 'Foxcatcher', 'American Hustle', 'The Monuments Men'. Gimme a break, noone is getting these things right, when it's the easy prognostication on the planet. Easier than flipping a quarter at this point.

  • Reilly | August 6, 2013 3:29 AMReply

    Stop kissing the backsides of the Coen Brothers! They have enough already and the smug bastard looks on their faces to prove it. STOP NOW!!!

  • Mercedes S. | August 5, 2013 9:16 AMReply

    You guys sure are male-centric! No "Lovelace", "Frances Ha", "The East", "Fill the Void" or "All You Need is Love". And still no "Mud", "Way, Way Back", or "The Spectacular Now".

  • BOO | August 20, 2013 8:17 PM

    That's because none of those will be nominated

  • sam | August 3, 2013 7:09 PMReply

    Again Im going to have to say Farhadi deserves more credit here. Doesn't speak french and directed a movie with stellar reviews coming out of cannes. He should be in the top 5 for sure.

  • Jean | August 2, 2013 12:28 AMReply

    My two cents:

    1. David O. Russell, American Hustle
    2. Martin Scorsese, The Wolf of Wall Street
    3. George Clooney, The Monuments Men
    4. Steve McQueen, 12 Years a Slave
    5. Alfonso Cuarón, Gravity

    Runner ups:
    J.C Chandor, All is Lost
    Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station
    Bennett Miller, Foxcatcher
    Richard Linklater, Before Midnight
    John Lee Hancock, Saving Mr. Banks
    John Wells, August: Osage County

  • Jean | August 8, 2013 5:16 PM

    Because of a little something called forgetful memory.

  • Teddy | August 2, 2013 9:17 PM

    How on Earth can you have John Lee Hancock on here but not Joel and Ethan Coen, or Alexander Payne or Jason Reitman? Saving Mr. Banks looked mediocre at best, while Inside Llewyn Davis not only looks great, but has gotten phenomenal reviews thus far (It has a 100 on Metacritic, though that is only from about 8 reviews. Still it is impressive, as only The Godfather still holds a 100 on just 14 reviews).