American Hustle David O. Russell Christian Bale
Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are announced.

Here's our take on the best director category, which seems to be a little less of a question mark than best picture. While "American Hustle," "Gravity" and "12 Years a Slave" are battling it out for that prize, "Gravity" director Alfonso Cuaron has assumed frontrunner status here. Though definitely don't count out Steve McQueen or David O. Russell.

Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

The nominees:
“American Hustle” David O. Russell
“Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón
“Nebraska” Alexander Payne
“12 Years a Slave” Steve McQueen
“The Wolf of Wall Street” Martin Scorsese

Will win: “Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón
Could win: "12 Years a Slave" Steve McQueen
Should win: “Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón
Shoulda been here: "Inside Llewyn Davis"

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

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