Indiewire will provide updates of our predictions for the 86th Academy Award nominations through January 16th, 2014, when the nominations are announced.
The submission list for the 86th Annual Academy Awards'
foreign-language category is complete, with a record 76
selecting films so far (last year, a then-record 71 countries submitted in
Nine finalists from among the dozens of
entries will be shortlisted in mid-January, with the final five nominees
to be announced on January 16, 2014. This category is notoriously difficult to predict, so our suggestions for the best bets to make those cuts should be taken with a serious grain of salt.
Among them are several high profile films from the international film festival circuit: Iran (which after much speculation they wouldn't submit, decided to go for it with Ashgar Farhadi's mostly France-set "The Past," two years after Farhadi won for "A Separation"), France (which selected Gilles Bourdos' "Renoir" after Abdellatif Kechiche’s Palme d’Or winner "Blue is the Warmest Color didn't meet the release date eligibility requirements), Chile (submitting Berlinale favorite "Gloria"), Canada (going for four in a row with Louise Archambault's Locarno Film Fest favourite "Gabrielle"), Japan (controversially submitting "The Great Passage" over heavy favorite and Cannes prize winner "Like Father, Like Son), Italy (Cannes favorite "The Great Beauty"), Belgium (Felix van Groeningen's "The Broken Circle Breakdown"), Hong Kong (Wong Kar-wai's "The Grandmaster") and Saudi Arabia (submitting for the very first time with Haifaa al-Mansour's "Wadjda," the first film in the country ever to be directed by a woman, no less).For 2012, the category ended up being won by Austria (for "Amour").
Predicting This Category Is Next To Impossible, But Here's Out Best Guess For The Final 5:
1. Saudi Arabia - Wadjda, directed by Haifaa al-Mansour (Arabic)
2. Denmark - The Hunt, directed by Thomas Vinterberg (Danish)
3. Belgium - The Broken Circle Breakdown, directed by Felix Van Groeningen (Dutch)
4. Chile - Gloria, directed by Sebastian Lelio (Spanish)
5. Iran - The Past, directed by Asghar Farhadi (French, Persian)
Next In Line:
6. Singapore - Ilo Ilo, directed by Anthony Chen (Mandarin, Hokkien, English, Tagalog)
7. Canada - Gabrielle, directed by Louise Archambault (French)
8. Australia - The Rocket, directed by Kim Mordaunt (Lao)
9. Italy - The Great Beauty, directed by Paolo Sorrentino (Italian)
10. Romania - Child's Pose, directed by Calin Peter Netzer (Romanian)
Could Easily Be Them Too:
11. Israel - Bethlehem, directed by Yuval Adler (Hebrew, Arabic)
12. Brazil - Neighbouring Sounds, directed by Kleber Mendonça Filho (Portuguese, Mandarin)
13. Cambodia - The Missing Picture, directed by Rithy Panh (French)
14. Germany - Two Lives, directed by Georg Maas (German)
15. Hong Kong - The Grandmaster, directed by Wong Kar-wai (Cantonese, Mandarin)
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