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2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Original Screenplay

Photo of Peter Knegt By Peter Knegt | Indiewire February 10, 2014 at 1:29PM

Can David O. Russell finally get his Oscar? Here's our take on the best original screenplay category.
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Spike Jonze, Her
Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are announced.

There was a time when Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell's script seemed like the surest win for "American Hustle," finally giving Russell his first Oscar. But then it unexpectedly lost to Spike Jonze's script for "Her" at the Golden Globes, Critics Choice and WGA.  Which would seem to suggest that it's actually Jonze -- who has also never won an Oscar -- who is the frontrunner here. But "American Hustle" has considerably more momentum than "Her," and the Oscar voters will want to reward it somewhere (though there is a genuine chance that it ends up going home completely empty-handed despite 10 nominations). This all makes for a full-on nail biter, interestingly pitting Jonze and against the man who directed him in "Three Kings."  Or perhaps they'll split the vote, allowing Bob Nelson to sneak in for "Nebraska"?

Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

The nominees:
“American Hustle” Written by Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell
“Blue Jasmine” Written by Woody Allen
“Dallas Buyers Club” Written by Craig Borten & Melisa Wallack
“Her” Written by Spike Jonze
“Nebraska” Written by Bob Nelson

Will win: “Her” Written by Spike Jonze
Could win: “American Hustle” Written by Eric Warren Singer and David O. Russell
Should win: “Her” Written by Spike Jonze
Shoulda been here: "Inside Llewyn Davis" Written by Joel & Ethan Coen

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

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