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by Peter Knegt
February 23, 2014 10:50 AM
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2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are announced.

"Gravity" vs. "12 Years a Slave"? That certainly seemed like the narrative we were heading into for quite some time, which would have shared  commonalities with the "Avatar" vs. "The Hurt Locker," "Hugo" vs. "The Artist" and "Life of Pi" vs. "Argo" showdowns that met the last three years (an expensive, 3D critical and commercial hit versus a smaller film tackling history in one way or another)... History won all three times, but this year is clearly closer than ever. The two films historically tied for the PGA top honors, which just goes to show how tight this is. Add in "American Hustle," which has received a ton of love from the precursors too, and we got ourselves a bonafide three-way race. Unless something truly shocking happens, one of these three films is winning best picture, and we've been going back and forth between "12 Years" and "Gravity" as my pick... I've finally landed on the former, but frankly am just excited to be this uncertain so late in the race.

Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

The nominees:
“American Hustle” Charles Roven, Richard Suckle, Megan Ellison and Jonathan Gordon, Producers
“Captain Phillips” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti and Michael De Luca, Producers

“Dallas Buyers Club” Robbie Brenner and Rachel Winter, Producers
“Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón and David Heyman, Producers
“Her” Megan Ellison, Spike Jonze and Vincent Landay, Producers
“Nebraska” Albert Berger and Ron Yerxa, Producers
“Philomena” Gabrielle Tana, Steve Coogan and Tracey Seaward, Producers
“12 Years a Slave” Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Steve McQueen and Anthony Katagas, Producers
“The Wolf of Wall Street” Nominees to be determined

Will win: "12 Years a Slave"
Could win: "Gravity"
Should win: "Her" (though "12 Years" or "Gravity" would suit me just fine).
Shoulda been here: "Inside Llewyn Davis"

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

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  • JD | March 2, 2014 1:50 PMReply

    Will Win ''12 Years a Slave''
    Could Win ''Gravity''
    Should Win ''12 Years a Slave''
    Should be here ''Saving Mr. Banks''
    Should not be here ''The Wolf of Wall Street''

  • Joe Cromwell | March 2, 2014 11:52 AMReply

    1. Only God Forgives
    2. Twelve Years A Slave
    3. Dallas Buyer's Club
    4. Her
    5. Inside Llewyn Davis
    6. Nebraska
    7. Mud
    8. Wolf of Wall Street
    9. Jack the Giant Slayer

  • fernando meibak | February 28, 2014 1:51 PMReply

    For me the best movie is Blue Jasmine, unbelivable that was not appointed inside the list of best pictures

  • Will | March 1, 2014 9:07 AM

    Blue Jasmine was boring beyond words. Only good thing about this tired rehash were the performances of Sally Hawkins, Bobby Cannavale, and Andrew Dice Clay. Alec Baldwin was a joke and the cartoon performance of Cate Blanchett is the most overrated acting of all time.

  • Faithy | February 27, 2014 11:15 PMReply

    After watching Nebraska, I can't even imagine anything else coming close to moving me the way this film did. I'm watching as many of the nominated films as I can, and nothing else holds a candle.

  • April Thomas | March 2, 2014 12:16 AM

    Faithy I agree with you 100%. That picture was so amazing and really touched my heart. None of the others compare to that one.

  • Green | February 27, 2014 3:35 PMReply

    Should have been here - INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS.

    I don't think anyone can say that enough. Did the Academy just not use the last spot to show how nit-picky they are? Pathetic.

  • KH | February 27, 2014 10:59 AMReply

    "The Butler" SHOULD definitely have been among the Best Picture nominees. The absence of ANY nominations for "The Butler" is a travesty. I guess only ONE Black film can be nominated in a year, heh????

  • Summernight | March 1, 2014 1:03 AM

    Hi Oprah :) I did not know you posted here or are some of your staff posting for you.

  • jesuschrist | February 27, 2014 9:40 PM

    Shut up

  • Jeff | February 26, 2014 8:51 AMReply

    I'm willing to bet that the majority of the people on this forum never even watched Nebraska. Why Bruce Dern, June Squibbs, and the movie as Best Picture isn't mentioned by most proves that most haven't watched it. What an amazing movie! Powerfully driven by strong performances. This is the movie that should win. This movie made me laugh so hard and was a breath of fresh air. I judge movies by how much they capture my attention, draw me in, make me feel, the tange of emotions....what a great movie

  • Lala | February 27, 2014 10:09 PM

    Agreed. Nebraska and Gravity are my two personal favourites this year, followed by Dallas Buyers Club and American Hustle.

  • MaCarmen Bereco | February 26, 2014 11:52 PM

    I saw Nebraska yesterday. Totally agree with you Jeff. Loved every character. What an impeccable cast selection. Even the nasty cousins. Perfect portraits of small town good for nothing fellows. The nagging loving wife, the greedy neighbors, the eternal silent love, the rescuing of a father/son relationship. Best movie, best performing actor… Touched me, moved me, captured my attention and every emotion. Gran película!

  • Andrew | February 26, 2014 1:48 AMReply

    Gravity had stunning cinematography and intense scenes, but the plot/story was seriously lacking. I might be crazy for saying this, but I feel that an oscar-winning movie should have an exceptional plot... otherwise the movie shouldn't even be considered. Doesn't mean its a horrible movie, just not an oscar winning movie.

  • Lala | February 27, 2014 10:11 PM

    I believe the winner must be innovative, and Gravity was nothing if not that. Sure, the plot was lacking, but if it weren't, it would win by a long shot. The fact that the story wasn't great makes 12 Years a Slave a possible winner, otherwise, Gravity would definitely have won.

  • anon | February 24, 2014 5:50 PMReply

    Christian Bale was phenomenal in Hustle, as was the entire cast. The nominees for best pic, I think, were all lacking in some way, none of them are movies I care to see again, EXCEPT Hustle, because there were so many twists and the clothes and music made it fun to go back to that time.

  • Tom Dye | February 23, 2014 3:23 PMReply

    Only Hollywood "political correctness" could propel a lousy movie like Twelve Years a Slave into Oscar contention.

  • Joe H. | February 22, 2014 1:39 PMReply

    Brett's got the right idea.

    Best Pic:
    Prediction: 12 Years
    Deserving: Wolf of Wall Street

    Best Director:
    Prediction: Alfonso Cauron
    Deserving: Alfonso Cuaron

    Best Actor:
    Prediction: McConaughey
    Deserving: Ejiofor

    Best Actress:
    Prediction: Blanchett
    Deserving: Blanchett

    Supporting Actor:
    Prediction: Leto
    Deserving: Fassbender

    Supporting Actress:
    Prediction: Lawrence
    Deserving: Nyong'o

  • Brett | February 21, 2014 2:50 PMReply

    Best Picture:
    Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
    Deserving: American Hustle

    Prediction: Alfonso Cuaron
    Deserving: David O. Russell

    Prediction: McConaughey
    Deserving: Bale

    Prediction: Blanchett
    Deserving: Adams

    Supporting Actor:
    Prediction: Leto
    Deserving: Cooper

    Supporting Actress:
    Prediction: Lawrence
    Deserving: Lawrence

  • Patrice | February 27, 2014 11:04 PM

    It's obvious you favor American Hustle. I loved American Hustle but come on. Cate Blanchet deserves to win over Adams in the best actress category, after that I'd give it to Meryl Streep in August Osage and maybe Adams in third position. In the supporting category, even if Leto doesn't win the next choice should be Fassbender. In the best acting category, Bale gave a great performance but I'd give the Oscar to Leonardo after McConaughey, I was surprised Bale was even nominated. American Hustle was a great movie with great performances but there were tons of more solid performances. I agree with John it is going to come out short.

  • John | February 25, 2014 9:53 PM

    ^^^Sounds like you are a little biased in favor of American Hustle. None of these are even logical. In no way does Bradley Cooper deserve supporting actor over Jared Leto, as well as every prediction here. American Hustle was in fact a great movie, but it is going to come out short in this year's oscars.

  • Juan | February 21, 2014 1:30 AMReply

    I really don't understand the hate towards American Hustle. I mean it really isn't as great as some people are saying but it is not as terrible as people in here are saying. It was a bit of let down for me since it's not as excellent as O. Rusell's to previous films but it is still a great film. Anyways in my opinion Her should win because it was innovative, entertaining and simply beautiful with a great script, amazing characters and great performances. Nebraska is a close second since it was truly a work of art.
    In MY opinion this should be the Oscar winners in the "major" categories.
    Best Picture: Her.
    Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón.
    Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey/Leonardo DiCaprio.
    Best Actress: Cate Blanchett.
    Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto.
    Best Supporting Actress: June Squibb/Jennifer Lawrence.
    Best Original Screenplay: Her.
    Best Adapted Screenplay: The Wolf Of Wall Street.

  • QUENTIN STRUM | February 20, 2014 11:13 PMReply

    I love the underdog (American Hustle). Here is how my preferential voting went for best motion picture nominations.

    1. American Hustle
    2. 12 Years A Slave
    3. Dallas Buyers Club
    4. Her
    5. Captain Phillips

    With preferential voting for the Oscar, you don't have to list all ten films. So, obviously, my vote for the win goes to my number 1. Let's see what happens come Oscar night.

  • MTN | February 20, 2014 2:02 AMReply

    "Gravity" is the best film of 2013. It should win and I hope it does win. It would break through the glass ceiling for Sci- Fi if it wins. I hope the Academy will get it right. It will be a serious letdown if 12 Years wins. How many more Oscars need to be awarded to films dealing with the Holocaust. Slavery and racism before we can award something new and truly groundbreaking like "Gravity."
    A film that got audiences back to theaters.

  • Edward J. Cunningham | February 22, 2014 2:34 PM

    I hope you are right, but there are many, MANY deserving films going all the way back to "King Kong" that have been denied Best Picture solely because of their genre. The difference between a film like "Gravity" and "Avatar", is that although because I wanted to root for "Avatar" because it was a science fiction movie, ultimately I couldn't care enough about the characters in that film. This is different, and because it's different I think that even if "Gravity" doesn't win BP it could win Best Director and Sandra Bullock could win Best Actress.

  • Juha Tapani | February 19, 2014 6:22 AMReply

    Now that I have seen all the nominated best picture movies....The winner should be:
    "Gravity"... Instant classic.
    "12 Years..." will be forgotten in the same way as most mediocore winners..."Ordinary People",
    "Out Of Africa", "Driving Miss Daisy", "Shakespeare In Love" among others...
    Some under-rated movies should have been nominated for best picture: "Rush", "Prisoners", The Place Beyond The Pines" and "Blue Jasmine". Just to mention few....
    I do know that "Gravity" won`t stand a change for winning, but to the end I keep hoping for a miracle...That won`t happen.
    "American Hustle" was a neat fashion show, "The Wolf Of Wall Street" was just boring porno- and drugshow. The rest....Nothing special.
    If you want to watch a film about slavery, then try "Mandingo" or tv-serie "Roots". They have showed all there is to know about slavery subject.
    For whatever reason people disliked or hated "Gravity" it will be labelled a masterpiece years to come. End of discussion.

  • Brett | February 20, 2014 11:53 AM

    I actually love Ordinary People a lot more than Raging Bull, and Shakespeare in Love better than Saving Private Ryan tbh

  • Kay Roper | February 18, 2014 5:41 PMReply

    I l ike the movie gravity and 12 years a slave

  • Fan | February 16, 2014 6:44 AMReply

    Literally any other movie besides american hustles. American Hustle was so boring and disappointing. This is coming from someone who loves the actors in the cast and the director but the movie is over hyped and has no substance.

  • Lala | February 16, 2014 12:25 AMReply

    Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave (Should: Gravity/Nebraska)
    Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron (Should: Cuaron)
    Best Actor: Matthew McConaughey (Should: Bale/McConaughey)
    Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (Should: Streep/Bullock)
    Best Supp. Actor: Jared Leto (Should: Leto/Cooper)
    Best Supp. Actress: Lupita Nyong'o (Should: Anyone but Roberts)
    Best Original Screenplay: Her (Should: Her/Nebraska)
    Best Adapted Screenplay: 12 Years a Slave (Should: Wolf of Wall Street)
    Best Documentary: Act of Killing (Should: Act of Killing/20 Feet From Stardom)
    Best Animated Film: The Wind Rises (Should: None of the ones nominated)
    Best Cinematography: Gravity (Should: Gravity/Nebraska)
    Best Editing: Gravity (Should: Gravity)

  • Minhyuk | February 14, 2014 8:15 PMReply

    I REALLY WANT PHILOMENA TO WIN!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

  • Denny J | February 14, 2014 5:11 PMReply

    I think that American Hustle is one of those movies that gets a ton of nominations but ends up with nothing. Derivative and cheesy with overblown everything. Tease your hair and show as much cleavage as possible and you get a nomination. Let's face it, box office receipts are what drive the Oscars which leads me to Gravity. Basically a live action cartoon with Sandra Bullock whining for a couple of hours. Since Her has no chance whatsoever, I'll go with 12 Years A Slave - good story, solid performances from everyone, well done on every level. In a perfect world, the list of the actual best pictures of the year would have been quite different. Among the nominated films, I'd rather see Captain Phillips or Philomena win than either American Hustle or Gravity.

  • Edward J. Cunningham | February 22, 2014 3:52 PM

    If box office receipts are all that the Academy cared about, do you really think "The Hurt Locker" would have beaten "Avatar" for Best Picture?

  • Brett | February 13, 2014 12:08 PMReply

    I want American Hustle to win but it might go to 12 Years a Slave, which I don't mind much because it'll be Brad Pitt's first Oscar

  • FRANCISCO | February 13, 2014 8:22 AMReply

    By the way...where is "The Butler", ''Inside Llewin Davis'', ''Mandela, long walk to freedom'', "Saving Mr. Banks", ''Rush'', or ''Before midnight'' ?? I do really believe they deserve something else...

  • John | February 25, 2014 9:56 PM

    sorry but Mandela was awful

  • Jay | February 13, 2014 2:37 AMReply

    12 Years a Slave was a work of art. One of the most beautiful movies I've ever been blessed enough to see. Has to win. Anything else would be a joke.

  • John | February 25, 2014 10:00 PM

    I would have to completely disagree with both of you. 12 Years a Slave was probably the most over-rated movie of the year. I expected a lot more out of McQueen, being his past movies Shame and Hunger being way better than 12 Years a Slave. The only reason why it is getting attention is because it is politically correct. People will soon forget about it. I believe that Gravity should win because it was simply the best movie of the year. It will become a classic.

  • FRANCISCO | February 13, 2014 7:58 AM

    Completely agree...I think the same...

  • Travis | February 13, 2014 12:13 AMReply

    American Hustle was boring, and very disappointing. There was a good story, but it did not deserve a 2 hour and 15 min runtime. It's a con film which failed at letting the audience know the plan and setup of the operation, unlike The Sting or even Ocean's Eleven. Filled with idiot characters like in Pulp Fiction which is completely fine to have, only unlike Pulp Ficiton, here half of the film's dialogue is not interesting or worth following along with.
    My true best picture pick is: Nebraska
    Okay with winning: Her, The Wolf of Wall Street, Gravity, or 12 Years A Slave
    Which film was snubbed: The Place Beyond The Pines

  • Denny J | February 14, 2014 5:15 PM

    The Place Beyond the Pines, particularly the first third of the movie, was far better than some of the frontrunners this year.

  • foozy | February 12, 2014 3:11 PMReply

    gravity should win. can the academy afford to make the same mistake as avatar vs. hurt locker. let's hope someone there is using their brains...

  • Lala | February 15, 2014 11:44 PM

    I'll agree completely to Gravity deserving the award, but Avatar was terrible, and shouldn't have even been nominated. Avatar doesn't compare in the slightest to Gravity, which was a work of art. The Hurt Locker deserved its win (at least it would have if it hadn't been for Inglorious Basterds, one of the best films of the decade).

  • Juha Tapani | February 12, 2014 12:48 PMReply

    "Gravity" all the way… "12 Years…" was zero, nothing. Watch "Mandingo"(1975) and then come back. ! Lupita`s "acting" was media core and came from make up department.
    Michael Fassbinder was nominated because he should have won for "Shame".
    Only positive thing about 12 y…. The other woman…Sarah Paulson. She did the best acting in this movie…Of course they did not nominate her. Whatever she did or said…Was the only moments when 12….came alive.
    Well…When all the hype is gone….It will look just dull, white guilt thing…Masterpiece…never.
    Last year a tv-movie "Argo" won….What a joke…But that`s Oscar.
    Does somebody wants to see…"Ordinary People", "Out Of Africa", "Driving Miss Daisy", "Rainman", "Shakespeare In Love"…Etc…
    Did not think so…
    Same route/thing will happen to "12 y.i.s"…Dead on arrival…

  • Lala | February 15, 2014 11:48 PM

    I don't think it deserves the Academy Award, but it certainly wasn't zero. 12 Years a Slave was very well made, but lacked the innovation that a Best Picture needs. Gravity, Her, and Nebraska all had that innovation.

    Additionally Rain Man is still a movie that people want to see, but I'll agree to Miss Daisy.

    Jay, while Fassbender was pretty good, DiCaprio did a much better job at an even more demanding role in Django Unchained. The only reason why the Academy might prefer Fassbender to Leo is the fact that Fassbender rapes a woman.

  • Jay | February 13, 2014 2:33 AM

    Ummm...EXCUSE ME?! 12 Years a Slave was WHAT?! Zero?! Okay...let me make this nice and sweet for you. Number one, Lupita's acting was incomparable. She hands down have one of the most beautiful and haunting performances of the year. Number two, Michael Fassbender was nominated because he made you HATE him as a sadistic and manipulative slave owner. Number three, Sarah Paulson gave the best performance? What movie did you see? Because although she was very good as the vengeful wife of a slave owner, she did not even slightly give the best performance. Chiwetel did, then Lupita, then Fassbender, THEN PAULSON! And Gravity better not win Best Picture. 12 Years has that down packed. Really doesn't have much competition. Thank you!

  • joe | February 12, 2014 4:25 AMReply

    I found Gravity extremely boring and thought Sandra Bullock was annoying and whiny. Her was just strange and not really my cup of tea.
    12 years a slave was the best show I've watched this year, so it should win. I really enjoyed all the other nominations for best flick though. (except Gravity and Her)

  • Lester | February 11, 2014 4:31 AMReply

    i post this site in Frinzee it really helps me decide lol

  • Ronnie d. | February 11, 2014 1:03 AMReply

    Her should NOT win best picture.

  • minhyuk | February 10, 2014 7:51 AMReply

    Will Win: American Hustle
    Should Win: Her, Gravity or 12 Years A Slave
    Should Not Be Here: Nebraska
    Should Have Been Here: Saving Mr. Banks
    Dark Horse : Philomena or The Wolf Of Wall Street

  • Lala | February 15, 2014 11:52 PM

    a) American Hustle will not likely win. In fact, I'd put my money on 12 Years a Slave
    b) As creative and beautiful as Her was, I don't think it deserves a win at Best Picture. The two that most deserve it are Gravity and Nebraska
    c) Nebraska was much better than most or all of the films above. Funny, creative, and beautifully filmed. Excellent film!
    d) Inside Llewyn Davis should have been here. Saving Mr. Banks was nice, but not Oscar-worthy.
    e) Have yet to see Philomena. Wolf of Wall Street was great, but again, doesn't deserve Best Picture.

  • Fabricio | February 11, 2014 11:53 AM

    Okay, I agree that Hustle will probably win, but don't tell me that Nebraska doesn't deserve to be there. I can think of five movies that should not be there, but Nebraska isn't one of them.

  • Kyle Wells | February 10, 2014 6:17 AMReply

    Ok. The race is absolutely between Gravity and 12 Years A Slave. But who would be the winner ? I mean, the Academy, historically, would choose 12 Years A Slave, as it is obvious because historical drama about slavery impresses the most. But Gravity, I don't know, it connects more and it delivered great visual effects. While the plot was predictable, but the film does have better chance of winning than 12YAS. And yeah, Her is awesome, but it should win Best Original Screenplay, rather than this one. I prefer Philomena or Captain Phillips. But yeah, it would suit me fine

  • Mia | February 10, 2014 12:38 AMReply

    Gravity was horrible. Complete;y cheesy and predictable. The only thing good about it was the imagery and special affects. I dont understand how it made the "best Picture" nomination.

  • Andrew | February 26, 2014 2:00 AM

    Lala, what do you mean by "deep" and "complex"? You cant just make a statement like that and not make any argue to back it up. It was a very simple plot with decent acting. The only thing it really brought to the table was the stunning cinematography, but is that really "best picture" worthy in of itself? I agree with Mia, it was very predicable... but then again, what can you really do with a movie centered on being stranded in space.

  • Lala | February 15, 2014 11:57 PM

    What I don't understand is how one can make so many grammatical errors in three short sentences. Gravity's last 10 minutes were kind of cheesy, but the film brought a whole new level to blockbuster. In fact, it's definitely one of the most deep, complex blockbusters in history. Also, the amount of critics that liked it are staggering, much more than any other film listed up there. Frankly, my favourite Best Picture contenders are Gravity and Nebraska, though Inside Llewyn Savis should've been there.

  • Klamentyne | February 8, 2014 4:28 AMReply

    i think the best director is a lock for Alfonso Cuaron but not so sure about "Gravity". but i absolutely agree that "Her" should win!

  • Antonio | February 7, 2014 8:10 PMReply

    I agree with you on everything except the "will win" category: I think "12 Years a Slave" will win. The biggest disappointment for me is also that the Coens' movie is not within the best 10 films of the year according to the American Academy. I expect "American Hustle" won't win. It's too simple and the denouement is very predictable.

  • Dan | February 7, 2014 11:00 AMReply

    I can't see Gravity beating 12 Years A Slave to be honest.

  • FRANCISCO | February 13, 2014 7:53 AM

    Neither can I...even I really believe tt '12 years a slave' is ''just the film'' as it seems to me a clear ''work of art'' tt never should lose anyway...

  • Nicholas Guy | February 6, 2014 6:38 AMReply

    It has to go to Gravity. That film was concise, every image packed a punch and the whole package was incredible.

  • Typeaux | February 5, 2014 5:36 PMReply

    I'm leaning toward American Hustle for Best Picture over Gravity, and to tell the truth, I'm getting tired of the historical guilt-laden films and so haven't bothered to see "12 Years a Slave" (even though I like Ejifor's past work). You say "Her" should win, but it was a film that was more thought-provoking than enjoyable for my tastes. Far too many holes in the premise that were not addressed or glossed over. The surrogate scene was simply uncomfortable and served no real purpose in that film. Amy Adams was the best part of the picture, and Johannsen always has a terrific voice, even if she's playing a disembodied cartoon of a character here.

    "Gravity" is a terrific escape film -- again with far too many holes, but far easier to ignore than the "Aw c'mon" moments in "Her," of which there were far too many.

    Definitely Cate Blanchett for Best Actress. In fact, if there were a higher award for her work in "Blue Jasmine," she'd deserve that too.

    I have to go with Jennifer Lawrence for "American Hustle." She's just too good to pass over.

    I'll go (not too far) out on a limb to pick McConaughey for Best Actor. Simply outstanding.

    I'll pick Jared Leto for the same film. He brought a world of range and sensitivity to his part.

  • Kyle Wells | February 10, 2014 6:21 AM

    You were right in every single comment, but I think Lupita Nyong'o "12 Years A Slave" would win for Best Supporting Actress. I mean, she shaved her head and acted in a movie that needed more expressions and feelings than Jennifer from American Hustle. I mean, 2 years in a row ?

  • Julia F | February 3, 2014 10:54 AMReply

    Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave

    Best Actor: Chiwetel Ejifor or Matthew McConaughey (both equally deserving)

    Best Actress: Cate Blanchett

    Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto

    Best Supporting Actress: Lupita N'yongo or Sally Hawkins

    Best Director: Alfonso Cuarón

  • Kyle Wells | February 10, 2014 6:22 AM

    Sally Hawkins ? Really ?

  • James S. | January 31, 2014 3:39 PMReply

    You lost all respect in my eyes the moment you said that stinking pile of crap 'Her' should win.

  • Ollie D | February 9, 2014 2:15 PM

    Gain: most people I've talked to who have seen all of these movies agree that Her is the best movie of the year. I review movies with a small group of amateur movie critics on Rotten Tomatoes, and it's almost unanimous amongst us that Her should win Best Picture. It's the biggest achievement in art this year as it's a totally original story that features a tour de force performance from Phoenix accompanied by the best music and score of the year. Also, it is piercing social commentary that is relevant in both contemporary society and future society. It's the most original and unique take on artificial intelligence, social media, and online networking/dating that I've ever seen. I agree with you: Her should win, but it won't. Don't rule out an upset, though, as American Hustle, Gravity, and 12 Years A Slave will all get votes, which could set up a win for Her if it can garner 27% to 33% of the vote.

  • Gain | February 2, 2014 12:52 PM

    It's unfortunate that you can't appreciate and undertand the gorgeousness and beauty of Her.

    Her SHOULD win,but it won't

  • Andrea | January 31, 2014 12:33 PMReply

    Life of Pi vs Argo? Lol.
    Don't you mean LES MIS vs Argo? It was never going to be Life of Pi. Not even close.

  • Blahrig | February 12, 2014 4:06 PM

    Well. I agree it wasn't really life of Pi vs Argo... It was more like Argo vs Argo. In my honest opinion there were better movies last year than Argo (although it was still damn good), however no one ever stood a chance at beating it, from the moment they started giving out awards Argo was going to win!

  • Will | February 5, 2014 4:58 AM

    What? Lez Miz's reviews wasn't even good (70-odd percentage rating on RottenTomatoes, for example), and if it were really Lez Miz vs Argo, Ang Lee wouldn't have won Best Director.

  • Adsy | January 31, 2014 2:54 AMReply

    Best Picture:
    12 Years a Slave

    Best Director:
    Steve McQueen

    Best Actor:
    Matthew Mcconaughey

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Michael Fassbender

    Best Supporting Actress:
    Lupita Nyong'o

  • Ivan | January 29, 2014 4:04 AMReply

    All good movies (but I'm very sorry to not watch Nebraska yet) and almost any of them could win and would deserve it. Still, when I'm thinking which of these movies I will remember most in let's say 10 years- I think it will be Wolf of Wall Street. It would be a great moment that finally one "comedy" get Oscar- this one really deserves it.

  • Riley | January 24, 2014 5:11 PMReply

    IMO. I'd rank them this way
    1. Wolf of Wall Street
    2. Her
    3. 12 years a slave
    4. Dallas Buyers Club
    5. American Hustle
    6. Gravity
    7. Captain Phillips
    8. Nebraska
    9. Philomena

    All very very good movies. I think 12 Years a Slave or American Hustle will win. Wolf of Wall Street should win.

  • Ollie D | February 9, 2014 2:20 PM

    Great list. Almost identical to mine. The only major change I'd make is switching Her with The Wolf. Here is my list:
    1. Her
    2. The Wolf of Wall Street
    3. Dallas Buyers Club
    4. 12 Years A Slave
    5. American Hustle
    6. Gravity
    7. Nebraska
    8. Captain Phillips
    9. Philomena

  • Asmartperson | January 22, 2014 3:06 PMReply

    Her?.... Is that a joke? That has to be the dumbest comment on the history of this site, hands down. You're telling us "Her" should win the oscar for best picture... Ok then

  • THE TRUTH | February 15, 2014 3:47 PM

    Her was absolute garbage. A anti-social nerd having awkward phone sex with his computer and randoms online. That basically sums up the movie.

  • Ollie D | February 9, 2014 2:26 PM

    I'm sorry, but if you think Her is a "horrible" film, then you probably have really bad taste in movies. I can understand if you don't think it's great or the best film of the year, but to say that it's horrible? Almost every film critic in the world has lauded Her. Sorry, but there's no way that 99.9% of the population is wrong and you're right. Yeah, it's subjective, but obviously you missed something (or everything) when you watched Her. Also, saying that it's a "terrible script" is pretty crazy considering it's winning almost every best screenplay award.

  • Typeaux | February 5, 2014 5:42 PM

    I have to agree with the folks who didn't like "Her." Interesting premise, well acted, and a terrible script with gaping holes in both reasoning and believability. It got downright silly and predictable for me. Does anyone really understand that "Artificial Intelligence" stresses "artificial" meaning "man made"? This didn't even qualify as decent science fiction.

  • Jason | January 26, 2014 12:13 AM

    Her was a terrible film, massively overrated. IMO, American Hustle or Wolf of Wall Street should take it, 2 of the best films of the year.

  • Riley | January 24, 2014 5:04 PM

    Her was better than American Hustle or Gravity I thought

  • Juan | January 20, 2014 5:14 PMReply

    12 Years a Slave should win this. It's truly a masterpiece. If not, then Her should win. American Hustle and Gravity were very good movies but they aren't overall amazing. Hustle it's all about the performances while Gravity about Special Effects and those are the categories where they should be rewarded.

  • M. | January 20, 2014 2:53 PMReply

    Since 12YAS won the PGA and Nyong'o has won all the awards an actress is supposed to to win, it looks like the film will win all the important Oscars. So...does that mean the producers, the PR people, studio, etc., will call off the dogs and end their smear campaigns against all the other films especially American Hustle?. A lot of bullshit smear campaigns going on.

  • John | February 7, 2014 10:05 PM

    Don't forget. 12YAS tied with Gravity at the PGA's.

  • Beth Sinatra | January 20, 2014 8:18 AMReply

    Have you seen the YouTube video by Ted Stevenson and Samantha Massell "Predicting the Oscars" it is a wonderfully done and entertaining performance. They should win an Oscar.

  • ZAK | January 17, 2014 5:34 AMReply

    Prediction and Deserving possible nominees that might win and what I want to win:

    Best Picture:
    Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
    Deserving: American Hustle

    Best Director:
    Prediction: Alfonso Cuaron
    Deserving: David O. Russell

    Best Actor:
    Prediction: Matthew McConaughey
    Deserving: Leonardo DiCaprio

    Best Actress:
    Prediction: Cate Blanchett
    Deserving: Amy Adams

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Prediction Jared Leto
    Deserving: Michael Fassbender

    Best Supporting Actress:
    Prediction: Lupita Nyong'o
    Deserving: Jennifer Lawrence

    Best Original Screenplay:
    Prediction: Her
    Deserving: American Hustle

    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
    Deserving: Before Midnight

    Best Animated Feature:
    Prediction: Frozen
    Deserving: Frozen

  • Brett | January 16, 2014 12:59 PMReply

    Are you kidding me? Rush got completely shut out! Inside Llewyn Davis only got ONE nomination that's pretty insulting to the Coens, where's Young and Beautiful from The Great Gatsby? Where's American Hustle for Makeup? Where's Tom Hanks?! Really?! Saving Mr. Banks only got a Score nod? What the hell is Alone but Not Alone? Where's Daniel Bruhl? Where's Emma Thompson? Where's Jake Gyllenhall for Prisoners? Instead they nominate Jonah Hill for playing Jonah Hill? Not the worst year but still disappointing, at least American Hustle got a lot of love

  • Laut | January 17, 2014 1:34 PM

    Animated Feature:
    Prediction: Frozen
    Deserving: The Wind Rises

  • Jack | January 15, 2014 7:51 PMReply

    Best Picture:
    Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
    Deserving: 12 Years a Slave

    Best Director:
    Prediction: Alfonso Cuaron
    Deserving: Steve McQueen

    Best Actor:
    Prediction: Chiwetel Ejiofor
    Deserving: Robert Redford

    Best Actress:
    Prediction: Cate Blanchett
    Deserving: Cate Blanchett

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Prediction Jared Leto (ugh)
    Deserving: Michael Fassbender

    Best Supporting Actress:
    Prediction: Lupita Nyong'o
    Deserving: Lupita Nyong'o

    Best Original Screenplay:
    Prediction: Her
    Deserving: Her

    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
    Deserving: Before Midnight

    Best Animated Feature:
    Prediction: The Wind Rises
    Deserving: The Wind Rises

    Best Foreign Film:
    Prediction: The Great Beauty
    Deserving: The Hunt

  • kami | January 15, 2014 2:31 AMReply

    I actually go with the golden globes top 10 and except the last two i am sure of all 8

    1. Gravity
    2. Her
    3. 12 Years a Slave
    4. American Hustle
    5. Inside Llewyn Davis
    6. Captain Phillips
    7. Nebraska
    8. Philomena
    9. The Wolf of Wall Street (Too graphic for oscar)

    10. Rush (May be)

    Blue Jasmine / Dallas Buyers Club (Could be)

  • Brett | January 14, 2014 5:04 PMReply

    Prediction and Deserving possible nominees that might win and what I want to win:

    Best Picture:
    Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
    Deserving: American Hustle

    Best Director:
    Prediction: Alfonso Cuaron
    Deserving: David O. Russell

    Best Actor:
    Prediction: Matthew McConaughey
    Deserving: Christian Bale

    Best Actress:
    Prediction: Cate Blanchett
    Deserving: Amy Adams

    Best Supporting Actor:
    Prediction Jared Leto (That'd be neat, the lead singer of a hard rock band winning an Oscar)
    Deserving: Daniel Bruhl

    Best Supporting Actress:
    Prediction: Jennifer Lawrence
    Deserving: Jennifer Lawrence

    Best Original Screenplay:
    Prediction: Her
    Deserving: American Hustle

    Best Adapted Screenplay:
    Prediction: 12 Years a Slave
    Deserving: Captain Phillips

    Best Animated Feature:
    Prediction: The Wind Rises
    Deserving: The Wind Rises

    Best Foreign Film:
    Prediction: The Hunt
    Deserving: The Hunt (despite that weird opening scene where a completely nude man jumps in the water)

  • Typeaux | February 5, 2014 5:48 PM

    "Her" for best screenplay? Interesting premise, but the actual screenplay suffered from a lack of believability. If I could hit "Pause" in the theater, I would have stopped it at several places and shouted at the screen that the dialog and leaps in logic were simply atrocious. Just my opinion...

  • ZAK | January 14, 2014 5:17 AMReply

    After due thought and consideration and just how the Golden Globes turned out

    Best Picture: 12 Years a Slave
    Best Director: Alfonso Cuaron
    Best Actor: Matthew McConaughay
    Best Actress: Cate Blanchett (definite lock)
    Best Supporting Actor: Jared Leto (definite lock)
    Best Supporting Actress: Jennifer Lawrence (one can hope)

    What do you guys think?

  • Dylan | January 13, 2014 9:31 PMReply

    My Nominations (Best Picture):

  • ZAK | January 14, 2014 5:19 AM

    Blue Jasmine and Fruitvale Station have literally NO CHANCE of getting nominated.
    It'd be Philomena or Saving Mr Banks or Dallas Buyers club in that place.