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2014 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

Photo of Peter Knegt By Peter Knegt | Indiewire February 23, 2014 at 10:50AM

"American Hustle," "Gravity," and "12 Years A Slave" face off in the competitive Best Picture race.
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12 Years A Slave
Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are announced.

"Gravity" vs. "12 Years a Slave"? That certainly seemed like the narrative we were heading into for quite some time, which would have shared  commonalities with the "Avatar" vs. "The Hurt Locker," "Hugo" vs. "The Artist" and "Life of Pi" vs. "Argo" showdowns that met the last three years (an expensive, 3D critical and commercial hit versus a smaller film tackling history in one way or another)... History won all three times, but this year is clearly closer than ever. The two films historically tied for the PGA top honors, which just goes to show how tight this is. Add in "American Hustle," which has received a ton of love from the precursors too, and we got ourselves a bonafide three-way race. Unless something truly shocking happens, one of these three films is winning best picture, and we've been going back and forth between "12 Years" and "Gravity" as my pick... I've finally landed on the former, but frankly am just excited to be this uncertain so late in the race.


Nominees and predictions below. Check out all predictions in all the categories here.


The nominees:
“American Hustle” Charles Roven, Richard Suckle, Megan Ellison and Jonathan Gordon, Producers
“Captain Phillips” Scott Rudin, Dana Brunetti and Michael De Luca, Producers

“Dallas Buyers Club” Robbie Brenner and Rachel Winter, Producers
“Gravity” Alfonso Cuarón and David Heyman, Producers
“Her” Megan Ellison, Spike Jonze and Vincent Landay, Producers
“Nebraska” Albert Berger and Ron Yerxa, Producers
“Philomena” Gabrielle Tana, Steve Coogan and Tracey Seaward, Producers
“12 Years a Slave” Brad Pitt, Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Steve McQueen and Anthony Katagas, Producers
“The Wolf of Wall Street” Nominees to be determined

Will win: "12 Years a Slave"
Could win: "Gravity"
Should win: "Her" (though "12 Years" or "Gravity" would suit me just fine).
Shoulda been here: "Inside Llewyn Davis"

Check out all predictions in all the categories here.

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This article is related to: Academy Awards