Indiewire will provide regular updates of our predictions for the 86th Academy Awards through March 2nd, when the winners are announced.
The short film races are
always extremely tough to call -- especially now that the entire Academy
membership is eligible to vote for them. But we tried our best to help you win your Oscar pools despite that difficulty, with predictions in all three short film categories listed below.
Best Live Action Short: Mark Gill and Baldwin Li's
"The Voorman Problem" -- the only film here in unsubtitled English (7
of the last 10 winners have been in English) seems like the one to beat.
Featuring Martin Freeman as a psychologist up against a patient who
believes he is god, it has the kind of accessibility that seems likely
to go over well with voters as a whole. Though watch out for Xavier
Legrand and Alexandre Gavras's "Just Before Losing Everything" and Kim
Will win: The Voorman Problem
Could win: Just Before Losing Everything or Helium
Should win: Just Before Losing Everything
Best Animated Short: Disney looks like it will have
matching feature and short Oscars this year, thanks to "Get a Horse,"
which just so happened to be paired in theaters with "Frozen." The film
features Mickey Mouse trying to save Minnie from Peg-Leg Pete, the kind
of throwback one would think Oscar voters would eat right up.
Will win: Get a Horse
Could win: Mr. Hublot
Should win: Mr. Hublot
Best Documentary Short: This is definitely Malcolm
Clarke and Nicholas Reed's extremely moving "The Lady in Number 6: Music
Saved My Life"'s to lose. A portrait of Alice Herz Sommer -- who passed
away in the midst of Oscar voting at the age of 110 -- the film breaks
your heart as it recalls who until recently was the world's oldest
Holocaust survivor. It's a subject matter that has won many an Oscar in
the past, and it's a lovely film to boot.
Will win: The Lady in Number 6
Could win: Facing Fear
Should win: The Lady in Number 6
Check out all predictions in all the categories here.
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