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2015 Oscar Predictions: Best Actress

Photo of Peter Knegt By Peter Knegt | Indiewire December 15, 2014 at 1:02PM

Is this Julianne Moore's to lose?

'Still Alice'
'Still Alice'
Indiewire will provide updates of our predictions for the 87th Academy Award nominations through January 2015, when the nominations are announced.

Felicity Jones ("The Theory of Everything"), Julianne Moore ("Still Alice"), Rosamund Pike ("Gone Girl") and Reese Witherspoon ("Wild") all seemed to have their nominations locked down since September, and the precursors didn't do much to change it. People keep complaining about how "weak" this race is, but in reality what's been "weak" is the performances that have been perceived as the ones in contention. It was actually a great year for female performances: Think Scarlett Johannson ("Under The Skin") or Essie Davis ("The Babadook") or TIlda Swinton ("Only Lovers Left Alive") or Anne Dorval ("Mommy"). The only actual problem with those performances is that no major voting body vouched for them.

So who did they vouch for? Jennifer Aniston. Once a very dark horse in this race, the Globes, SAGs and Critics Choice all went for Aniston's work in "Cake," a film that has not exactly been met with much critical acclaim. But now it seems like this race is more or less settled. Marion Cotillard ("Two Days, One Night"), Amy Adams ("Big Eyes") and Hilary Swank ("The Homesman") are really the only women with reasonable chances to spoil Aniston's momentum. Still, even if they do, there's no way Julianne Moore is losing here. The race was settled a few months ago, and it's even more of a lock now.

Check out predictions in other categories here.

An Absolute Lock (To Win?):
1. Julianne Moore, "Still Alice"

Extremely Likely To Join Her:
2. Reese Witherspoon, "Wild"
3. Felicity Jones, "Theory of Everything"
4. Rosamund Pike, "Gone Girl"

Battling It Out For The Last Slot:
5. Jennifer Aniston, "Cake"
6. Marion Cotillard, "Two Days, One Night"
7. Hilary Swank, "The Homesman"
8. Amy Adams, "Big Eyes"
9. Gugu Mbatha-Raw, "Belle"
10. Shailene Woodley, "The Fault In Our Stars"

Dark Horses:
11. Emily Blunt, "Into The Woods"
12. Anne Dorval, "Mommy"
13. Mia Wasikowska, "Tracks"
14. Jenny Slate, "Obvious Child"
15. Tilda Swinton, "Only Lovers Left Alive"

READ MORE: 'Gone Girl' Rosamund Pike On Nailing the Part of a Lifetime (Spoilers)

This article is related to: Awards, Awards Season, Oscars 2015


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