By Peter Knegt | Indiewire December 16, 2014 at 12:26PM
This race has developed into an unexpected snoozefest. Yet it was open to many possibilities not that long ago, with countless sight unseen potential from films like "Selma," "Unbroken," "The Gambler," "Into The Woods" and "A Most Violent Year." But they all came and went with no one breaking into the race. The result is that the same four men we saw coming since September have firmly planted their feet: Ethan Hawke and J.K. Simmons (with their Sundance premieres "Boyhood" and "Whiplash," respectively), Mark Ruffalo (Cannes premiere "Foxcatcher") and Edward Norton (Venice premiere "Birdman"). And if the Globes and SAGs have anything to say about it, the man that's joining them -- by default, apparently -- is Robert Duvall for "The Judge."
"The Judge" opened the Toronto Film Festival to little acclaim or buzz, and then came and went very quickly from theaters. But Duvall is pretty good in it and is obviously a highly respected actor, so it seems safe to predict he'll rise above the film's many shortcomings. But we still just can't quite picture it, especially with Josh Brolin waiting in the wings with "Inherent Vice." He's really the only other possible contender here, and while "Vice" isn't an easy sell as a whole, Brolin sure is. He'll also benefit from the fact that the film is just getting out into theaters now, long after "The Judge" already felt like an afterthought.
Check out our predictions in other categories here.
Looking Pretty Solid:
1. J.K. Simmons, "Whiplash"
2. Edward Norton, "Birdman"
3. Ethan Hawke, "Boyhood"
4. Mark Ruffalo, "Foxcatcher"
5. Josh Brolin, "Inherent Vice"
6. Robert Duvall, "The Judge"
7. Tom Wilkinson, "Selma"
Will Be Tough For Them To Break Through (But It's Still Possible):
8. Tim Roth, "Selma"
9. Miyavi, "Unbroken"
10. Chris Pine, "Into The Woods"
11. Tyler Perry, "Gone Girl"
12. John Goodman, "The Gambler"
13. Alec Baldwin, "Still Alice"
14. Charlie Cox, "The Theory of Everything"
15. Andy Serkis, "Dawn of the Planet of the Apes"READ MORE: J.K. Simmons on Why Miles Teller is ‘Such a Slappable Little Bastard’