READ MORE: Indiewire Awards Season Spotlight

The only acting race with a full-on frontrunner that seems extremely unlikely to lose come Oscar night, best actor is all about Leonardo DiCaprio. You'd be unwise to think Leo won't be giving his first speech on the Oscars stage on February 28, for the only other contender with some critical support is Michael Fassbender, though even he is way back in second place.

Below is Anne Thompson's take on how things might shake down in the race for best actor. Check out Thompson on Hollywood's Oscar predictions page for more awards season analysis. Click here for more category breakdowns on Indiewire.

Nominees:
Bryan Cranston ("Trumbo")
Matt Damon ("The Martian")
Leonardo DiCaprio ("The Revenant")
Michael Fassbender ("Steve Jobs")

Eddie Redmayne ("The Danish Girl")

Predicted Winner: Leonardo DiCaprio
Potential Spoiler: Michael Fassbender

WINNER: Leonardo DiCaprio

For more insight into the 2016 awards season, visit the Indiewire Awards Season Spotlight homepage here.