READ MORE: Indiewire Awards Season Spotlight 

Almost as confusing as its male counterpart (though not quite), best supporting actress seems like a wide open race at this point. Kate Winslet was always going to be a surefire nominee for her brilliant turn in "Steve Jobs," but even with her surprise Globe win, this category is far from a done deal.

As expected, Alicia Vikander and Rooney Mara landed where their studios wanted them, and both have strong critical support and rising star power the Academy may take not of, especially because Winslet is an Oscar-winning veteran with no shortage of nominations to her name.

The other two nominees, Jennifer Jason Leigh ("The Hateful Eight") and Rachel McAdams ("Spotlight"), fit effortlessly into their ensemble, though Leigh's ferocious turn has many pegging her as the category's ultimate victor. For now, it's anyone's guess.

Below is Anne Thompson's take on how things might shake down in the race for best supporting actress. Check out Thompson on Hollywood's Oscar predictions page for more awards season analysis. Click here for more category breakdowns on Indiewire.


Nominees:
Jennifer Jason Leigh ("The Hateful Eight") 
Rooney Mara ("Carol")
Rachel McAdams ("Spotlight")
Alicia Vikander ("The Danish Girl")

Kate Winslet ("Steve Jobs")

Predicted Winner: Alicia Vikander
Potential Spoiler:

Kate Winslet

WINNER: Alicia Vikander

For more insight into the 2016 awards season, visit the Indiewire Awards Season Spotlight homepage here.