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For Your Consideration: Indiewire's Mid-Year Oscar Analysis

Photo of Peter Knegt By Peter Knegt | Indiewire July 6, 2012 at 12:44PM

It's been roughly four months since Indiewire's coverage of the mammoth 2010-2011 awards season came to an end. Our "For Your Consideration" column has lain dormant ever since, its most recent edition an advance stab at what might become of the next awards season. But with the Venice Film Festival and Toronto Film Festival just two months away, "next" is soon to be now. Thus, we welcome you to a special mid-year edition of our "For Your Consideration" column, which will run regularly beginning in September.
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Best Picture:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Beasts of the Southern Wild"; "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel," "Moonrise Kingdom"
Dark Horses: "Amour," "The Avengers," "Ruby Sparks," "The Sessions"

Best Director
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: Michael Haneke, "Amour"; Benh Zeitlin, "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Dark Horses: Wes Anderson, "Moonrise Kingdom"; Ben Lewin, "The Sessions"

Best Actor
Safe Bets: John Hawkes, "The Sessions"
Reasonable Maybes: None
Dark Horses: Paul Dano, "Ruby Sparks"; Jean-Louis Trintignant, "Amour"; Channing Tatum "Magic Mike"

Best Actress
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: Quvenzhané Wallis, "Beasts of the Southern Wild"; Helen Hunt "Six Sessions"; Marion Cotillard, "Rust and Bone"
Dark Horses: Zoe Kazan, "Ruby Sparks"; Emmanuelle Riva "Amour"; Rachel Weisz "The Deep Blue Sea"; Michelle Williams "Take This Waltz"; Mary Elizabeth Winstead, "Smashed"

Best Supporting Actor
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: William H. Macy, "The Sessions"; Matthew McConaughey, "Magic Mike"
Dark Horses: Michael Fassbender, "Prometheus"; James Gandolfini, "Killing Them Softly"; Dwight Henry "Beasts of the Southern Wild"; Bill Nighty, "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel," Bruce Willis, "Moonrise Kingdom"

Best Supporting Actress
Safe Bets: Judi Dench, "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"
Reasonable Maybes: Maggie Smith, "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"
Dark Horses: Frances McDormand, "Moonrise Kingdom"

"Prometheus."
"Prometheus."

Best Original Screenplay:
Safe Bets: "Moonrise Kingdom"
Reasonable Maybes: "Amour"; "The Sessions"
Dark Horses: "Brave"; "Gimme The Loot"; "Magic Mike"; "Ruby Sparks"; "Take This Waltz"; "Your Sister's Sister"

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Safe Bets: "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Reasonable Maybes: "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"
Dark Horses: "The Avengers"; "Killing Them Softly" "On The Road"

Best Animated Feature:
Safe Bets: "Brave"
Reasonable Maybes: "The Lorax"
Dark Horses: "Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted"

Best Foreign Language Film:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Amour"
Dark Horses: "Barbara"; "Beyond The Hills"; "The Hunt"; "Laurence Anyways"; "Rust and Bone"; "Tabu"; "War Witch"

Best Documentary Feature:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Ai Weiwei: Never Sorry"; ""Bully"; How To Survive a Plague"; "The Imposter"; "The Invisible War"; "The Queen of Versailles"
Dark Horses: "5 Broken Cameras"; "The Ambassador"; "China Heavyweight"; "Detropia"; "The House I Live In"; "Marina Abramovic: The Artist is Present; "Planet of Snail"; "Searching For Sugar Man"

Best Cinematography:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Dark Horses: "Lawless"; "Moonrise Kingdom"; "Prometheus"

Best Film Editing:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Dark Horses: "The Avengers"; "Moonrise Kingdom"; "Prometheus"; "The Raid: Redemption"; "The Sessions"

Best Art Direction:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Moonrise Kingdom"
Dark Horses: "Dark Shadows"; "Mirror Mirror"; "On The Road"; "Prometheus"; "Snow White and the Huntsman"

Best Costume Design:
Safe Bets: "Mirror Mirror"
Reasonable Maybes: None
Dark Horses: "Dark Shadows"; "The Deep Blue Sea"; "Moonrise Kingdom"; "On The Road"; "Snow White and the Huntsman"

Best Original Score:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Beasts of the Southern Wild"; "Moonrise Kingdom"
Dark Horses: "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"; "Brave"; "On The Road"; "Prometheus"; "Rust and Bone"; "The Sessions"

Best Original Song:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: None
Dark Horses: "Safe & Sound" (The Hunger Games)

Best Sound Mixing/Best Sound Editing:
Safe Bets: "The Avengers"
Reasonable Maybes: "Brave"; "Prometheus"
Dark Horses: "The Amazing Spiderman"; "Battleship"; "The Grey"; "The Hunger Games"; "Men In Black 3"; "Snow White and the Huntsman"

Best Visual Effects:
Safe Bets: "The Avengers"
Reasonable Maybes: "Prometheus"
Dark Horses: "The Amazing Spiderman"; "Battleship"; "The Hunger Games"; "John Carter"; "The Raid: Redemption"; "Snow White and the Huntsman"

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Dark Shadows"; "Men In Black 3"
Dark Horses: "The Avengers"; "Prometheus"; "Snow White and the Huntsman"

Peter Knegt is Indiewire's Senior Editor and awards columnist. Follow him on Twitter and on his blog.





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