Best Picture:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Beasts of the Southern Wild"; "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel," "Moonrise Kingdom"
Dark Horses: "Amour," "The Avengers," "Ruby Sparks," "The Sessions"

Best Director
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: Michael Haneke, "Amour"; Benh Zeitlin, "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Dark Horses: Wes Anderson, "Moonrise Kingdom"; Ben Lewin, "The Sessions"

Best Actor
Safe Bets: John Hawkes, "The Sessions"
Reasonable Maybes: None
Dark Horses: Paul Dano, "Ruby Sparks"; Jean-Louis Trintignant, "Amour"; Channing Tatum "Magic Mike"

Best Actress
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: Quvenzhané Wallis, "Beasts of the Southern Wild"; Helen Hunt "Six Sessions"; Marion Cotillard, "Rust and Bone"
Dark Horses: Zoe Kazan, "Ruby Sparks"; Emmanuelle Riva "Amour"; Rachel Weisz "The Deep Blue Sea"; Michelle Williams "Take This Waltz"; Mary Elizabeth Winstead, "Smashed"

Best Supporting Actor
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: William H. Macy, "The Sessions"; Matthew McConaughey, "Magic Mike"
Dark Horses: Michael Fassbender, "Prometheus"; James Gandolfini, "Killing Them Softly"; Dwight Henry "Beasts of the Southern Wild"; Bill Nighty, "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel," Bruce Willis, "Moonrise Kingdom"

Best Supporting Actress
Safe Bets: Judi Dench, "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"
Reasonable Maybes: Maggie Smith, "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"
Dark Horses: Frances McDormand, "Moonrise Kingdom"

"Prometheus."
"Prometheus."

Best Original Screenplay:
Safe Bets: "Moonrise Kingdom"
Reasonable Maybes: "Amour"; "The Sessions"
Dark Horses: "Brave"; "Gimme The Loot"; "Magic Mike"; "Ruby Sparks"; "Take This Waltz"; "Your Sister's Sister"

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Safe Bets: "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Reasonable Maybes: "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"
Dark Horses: "The Avengers"; "Killing Them Softly" "On The Road"

Best Animated Feature:
Safe Bets: "Brave"
Reasonable Maybes: "The Lorax"
Dark Horses: "Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted"

Best Foreign Language Film:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Amour"
Dark Horses: "Barbara"; "Beyond The Hills"; "The Hunt"; "Laurence Anyways"; "Rust and Bone"; "Tabu"; "War Witch"

Best Documentary Feature:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Ai Weiwei: Never Sorry"; ""Bully"; How To Survive a Plague"; "The Imposter"; "The Invisible War"; "The Queen of Versailles"
Dark Horses: "5 Broken Cameras"; "The Ambassador"; "China Heavyweight"; "Detropia"; "The House I Live In"; "Marina Abramovic: The Artist is Present; "Planet of Snail"; "Searching For Sugar Man"

Best Cinematography:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Dark Horses: "Lawless"; "Moonrise Kingdom"; "Prometheus"

Best Film Editing:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Beasts of the Southern Wild"
Dark Horses: "The Avengers"; "Moonrise Kingdom"; "Prometheus"; "The Raid: Redemption"; "The Sessions"

Best Art Direction:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Moonrise Kingdom"
Dark Horses: "Dark Shadows"; "Mirror Mirror"; "On The Road"; "Prometheus"; "Snow White and the Huntsman"

Best Costume Design:
Safe Bets: "Mirror Mirror"
Reasonable Maybes: None
Dark Horses: "Dark Shadows"; "The Deep Blue Sea"; "Moonrise Kingdom"; "On The Road"; "Snow White and the Huntsman"

Best Original Score:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Beasts of the Southern Wild"; "Moonrise Kingdom"
Dark Horses: "The Best Exotic Marigold Hotel"; "Brave"; "On The Road"; "Prometheus"; "Rust and Bone"; "The Sessions"

Best Original Song:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: None
Dark Horses: "Safe & Sound" (The Hunger Games)

Best Sound Mixing/Best Sound Editing:
Safe Bets: "The Avengers"
Reasonable Maybes: "Brave"; "Prometheus"
Dark Horses: "The Amazing Spiderman"; "Battleship"; "The Grey"; "The Hunger Games"; "Men In Black 3"; "Snow White and the Huntsman"

Best Visual Effects:
Safe Bets: "The Avengers"
Reasonable Maybes: "Prometheus"
Dark Horses: "The Amazing Spiderman"; "Battleship"; "The Hunger Games"; "John Carter"; "The Raid: Redemption"; "Snow White and the Huntsman"

Best Makeup and Hairstyling:
Safe Bets: None
Reasonable Maybes: "Dark Shadows"; "Men In Black 3"
Dark Horses: "The Avengers"; "Prometheus"; "Snow White and the Huntsman"

Peter Knegt is Indiewire's Senior Editor and awards columnist. Follow him on Twitter and on his blog.