"Fruitvale Station"
TWC "Fruitvale Station"

Best Feature
Predicted five:
12 Years a Slave
Before Midnight
Frances Ha
Inside Llewyn Davis
Short Term 12

But watch out for:
All is Lost
Blue Jasmine
Fruitvale Station
Spring Breakers

Best Documentary
Predicted five:
20 Feet From Stardom
The Act of Killing
After Tiller
God Loves Uganda
The Square

Blue Jasmine
But watch out for:
America Promise
Cutie and the Boxer
Inequality For All
Tim's Vermeer
The Unknown Known

Best Actress
Predicted five:
Cate Blanchett, Blue Jasmine
Julie Delpy, Before Midnight
Greta Gerwig, Frances Ha
Brie Larson, Short Term 12 (or will she just be in for "breakthrough" -- not sure of rule here)
Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Enough Said

But watch out for:
Lake Bell, In a World
Rooney Mara, Ain't Them Bodies Saints
Meryl Streep, August: Osage County
Robin Weigert, Concussion
Oprah Winfrey, Lee Daniels' The Butler
Shailene Woodley, The Spectacular Now

Best Actor
Predicted five:
Bruce Dern, Nebraska
Chiwetel Ejiofer, 12 Years a Slave
James Franco, Spring Breakers
Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
(same sitiuation as Brie Larson)
Matthew McConaughey, Dallas Buyers Club

Dallas Buyer's Club Matthew McConaughey

But watch out for:
Casey Affleck, Ain't Them Bodies Saints
James Gandolfini, Enough Said
Michael Fassbender, 12 Years a Slave
Ethan Hawke, Before Midnight
Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station
Robert Redford, All Is Lost

Best Breakthrough Director (Bingham Ray Award)
The predicted five:
Lake Bell, In a World
Ryan Coogler, Fruitvale Station
Destin Daniel Cretton, Short Term 12

David Lowery, Ain't Them Bodies Saints
Jill Soloway, Afternoon Delight

But watch out for:   
Joseph Gordon-Levitt, Don Jon
John Krokidas, Kill Your Darlings
Adam Leon, Gimme The Loot
Randy Moore, Escape From Tomorrow
Stacie Passon, Concussion
Amy Seimetz, Sun Don't Shine

Best Breakthrough Performance
The predicted five:
Dane DeHaan, Kill Your Darlings
Oscar Isaac, Inside Llewyn Davis
Michael B. Jordan, Fruitvale Station
Brie Larson, Short Term 12
Lupita Nyong'o, 12 Years a Slave

But watch out for:
Kaitlyn Dever, Short Term 12
Jonathan Groff, C.O.G.
Danai Gurira, Mother of George
Waad Mohammed, Wadjda
Patrick Riester, Computer Chess
Mickey Sumner, Frances Ha

Peter Knegt is Indiewire's Senior Writer and awards columnist. Follow him on Twitter.

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