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by Peter Knegt
February 28, 2013 1:34 PM
21 Comments
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For Your Consideration: Yep, It's The 2014 Oscar Predictions

With the Oscars now just a memory, the time has come for the final edition of this column (for this season). From the Toronto International Film Festival's unofficial awards season kickoff in September to last weekend's generally underwhelming ceremony, it's been six long months of speculation and anticipation and I'm ready to move on (as I'm sure many of you are as well).

There is one final column before letting awards talk rest in peace until September. It's been an annual tradition at Indiewire (and elsewhere) to take an ignorant stab at the following year well before there's any substantial evidence in its regard (Sundance aside, that is -- where this year it seems "Before Midnight" and to a lesser degree "Fruitvale" are the safest bets for Oscar).

Surprisingly, it's not always a total crapshoot. Last year, I did manage to properly predict 5 of the 9 best picture nominations (7 if you count the alternates), and managed to get nine of the 20 acting nominees. Which probably says more about how extraordinarily predictable this all is than any sort of skill, but still, before this column lies dormant until the fall... let's give it another shot. No one's taking this too seriously. (Right?)

There's certainly plenty to choose from, as 2013 looks to be a diverse and potentially quite fulfilling year for cinema. And one that could make for a pretty starry Oscar race.

"Gravity."

One of the men behind this year's best picture winner "Argo" -- Mr. George Clooney -- could be back in a big way with three films that all look like they could go over in big ways. He's a producer on this year's Oscar bait of all Oscar baits: Tracy Letts adapting his own Pulitzer Prize-winning play "August: Osage County." The film -- which has the backing of Harvey Weinstein no less -- is about a dysfunctional Oklahoma family and offers juicy roles to a remarkable cast including Meryl Streep, Julia Roberts, Chris Cooper, Ewan McGregor and Benedict Cumberbatch (who is like every movie in 2013). The only major question mark is its director, John Wells, who has all sorts of Emmys for shows like "ER" but has only made one previous film, the good-but-not-great "The Company Men." But if there's one thing to call a year in advance: It's that Meryl -- playing a drug-addicted woman with cancer -- is getting Oscar nomination #18.

Clooney's even more involved in another star-studded potential frontrunner, "The Monuments Men," which Clooney directs, stars in, co-produces and co-writes. Starting production in Berlin any second now (it's why Clooney -- and his co-star Jean Dujardin -- had beards at the Oscars), the film is a World War II drama (Oscar check!) about a group of folks in charge of saving art from the Nazis in the last days of the war. Sounds like an "Argo"-esque caper, and also happens to feature "Argo" (and "The Artist" -- what an Oscar good luck charm) co-star John Goodman (give him a nomination already), alongside Clooney, Dujardin, Cate Blanchett, Matt Damon, Bill Murray and Daniel Craig.

And then there's "Gravity." Alfonso Cuaron's long-awaited 3D space adventure stars Clooney and Sandra Bullock as two astronauts stuck in a space after a meteorite shower. Insiders suggest the film could be an extraordinarily impressive feat in both 3D technology and storytelling (if "Monument's Men" is this year's "Argo," this could be this year's "Life of Pi").

21 Comments

  • ^_^ | March 19, 2013 2:46 AMReply

    for me ...

    BEST PICTURE
    contenders:
    1. AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY
    2. GRAVITY
    3. THE WOLF OF WALL STREET

    BEST DIRECTOR
    contenders:
    1. GEORGE CLONEY - THE MONUMENTS MEN
    2. ALFONSO CUARON- GRAVITY
    3. MARTIN SCORSESE- THE WOLF OF WALL STREET

    BEST ACTOR
    contenders:
    1. LEONARDO DI CAPRIO- THE WOLF OF WALL STREET
    2. GEORGE CLOONEY- GRAVITY OR THE MONUMENTS MEN
    3. FOREST WHITAKER- THE BUTLER

    BEST ACTRESS
    contenders:

    1. MERYL STREEP- AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY (meryl can also say " I BEAT LAWRENCE")
    2. NAOMI WATTS- DIANA
    3. KATE WINSLET- LABOR DAY

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
    contenders:

    1. JAVIER BARDEM- THE COUNSELOR
    2. JAMES FRANCO- SPRING BREAKER
    3. MICHEAL FASSBENDER- TWELVE YEARS A SLAVE

    BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
    contenders:
    1. AMY ADAMS - HER
    2. OPRAH WINFREY - THE BUTLER
    3. JULIA ROBERTS - AUGUST: OSAGE COUNTY or OCTAVIA SPENCER- FRUITVALE


    ^_^

  • GERARD KENNELLY | March 11, 2013 6:49 AMReply

    here are my very early predictions

    BEST ACTRESS..

    lindsay burdge A TEACHER
    shailene woodley THE SPECTACULAR NOW
    zoe saldana BLOOD TIES
    Trieste Kelly Dunn LOVES HER GUN
    kate winslet LABOR DAY
    rooney mara SIDE EFFECTS
    carey mulligan THE GREAT GATSBY
    noomi rapace DEAD MAN DOWN
    Jessica Chastain THE DISAPPEARANCE OF ELEANOR RIGBY
    rooney mara AINT THEM BODIES SAINTS
    nicole kidman GRACE OF MONACO
    eva mendes THE PLACE BEYOND THE PINES
    cate blanchett BLUE JASMINE
    carey mulligan INSIDE LLEWYN DAVIS
    jennifer lawrence SERENA
    naomi watts DIANA
    meryl streep AUGUSY OSAGE COUNTY
    michelle monaghan GUS
    michelle pfeiffer MALAVITA
    brie larson SHORT TERM 12
    julianne moore WHAT MAISIE KNEW

    BEST ACTOR…

    robert deniro MALAVITA
    bruce dern NEBRASKA
    michael fassbender THE COUNSELOR
    casey affkleck AINT THEM BODIES SAINTS
    billy crudup BLOOD TIES
    benedict cumberbatch THE FIFTH ESTATE
    forest whitaker THE BUTLER
    tom hanks CAPTAIN PHILIPS
    leonardo dicaprio WOLF WALL STREET
    joseph gordon levitt DON JON
    robert redford ALL IS LOST
    ashton kutcher JOBS
    leonardo dicaprio THE GREAT GATSBY
    matthew mcconaughey MUD
    ryan gosling ONLY GOD FORGIVES
    paul walker HOURS
    edward james olmos GO FOR SISTERS
    robert redford THE COMPANY YOU KEEP
    josh brolin OLDBOY

    BEST SUPP ACTRESS..

    kristin scott thomas ONLY GOD FORGIVES
    catherine keener CAPTAIN PHILIPS
    sally hawkins BLUE JASMINE
    cameron diaz THE COUNSELOR
    radha mitchell GUS
    julie christie THE COMPAY YOU KEEP
    scarlett johansen DON JON
    hailee steinfeld CAN A SONG SAVE YOUR LIFE
    olga kurylenko TO THE WONDER
    julia roberts AUGUST OSAGE COUNTY
    elizabeth olsen OLDBOY

    BEST SUPP ACTOR..

    tom hanks SAVING MR BANKS
    max von sydow CAPTAIN PHILIPS
    russell crowe RUSH
    ben foster AINT THEM BODIES SAINTS
    james caan BLOOD TIES
    sam rockwell THE WAY WAY BACK
    brad pitt THE COUNSELOR
    will forte NEBRASKA
    tommy lee jones MALAVITA
    shia labeouf THE COMPANY YOU KEEP
    javier bardem TO THE WONDER
    chris cooper AUGUST OSAGE COUNTY
    tobey maguire THE GREAT GATSBY
    matthew mcconaughey DALLAS BUYERS CLUB
    terence howard DEAD MAN DOWN
    bradley cooper THE PLACE BEYON THE PINES
    sharlto copley OLDBOY
    matthew mcconaughey WOLF WALL STREET
    alan rickman THE BUTLER
    javier bardem THE COUNSELOR
    tony danza DON JON
    ray liotta THE PLACE BEYOND THE PINES

  • Jeff | March 8, 2013 8:43 AMReply

    If the reviews are solid, I definitely think James Franco is a possibility for Best Supporting Actor in "Spring Breakers." Like ahem Robert Disney Jr. got nominated for Tropic Thunder.

  • Dave Y | March 4, 2013 1:00 AMReply

    These are very good predictions. It's great that so many people are putting up 2014 predictions so early. Check out ours over at Awardsfrenzy.com

  • Jeff | March 2, 2013 8:56 PMReply

    A year from now when I read these I will laugh so hard.

  • torvalds | March 1, 2013 5:51 PMReply

    Hey, what about Martin Freeman or Richard Armitage ? They were simply amazing in "The Hobbit" !!!

  • BEASLEY | March 1, 2013 5:48 PMReply

    Hm, do you guys think that, if Ashton Kutcher starts acting like he did in "jOBS" (OK, it wasn't perfect, but it showed us that he can really act), and keeps improving, he can get a nom someday in near future ?

  • afghul | March 1, 2013 11:23 AMReply

    Didn't Shailene Woodley (The Spectacular Now) already get some buzz from Sundance?

  • GERARD KENNELLY | March 11, 2013 6:51 AM

    i was very pissed off when she wasn't nominated for THE DESCENDENTS

  • santi | February 28, 2013 11:40 PMReply

    Nicole Kidman is the the frontrunner for Grace Of Monaco!

  • GERARD KENNELLY | March 11, 2013 6:52 AM

    last year..
    best actress was maggie thatcher versus lisbeth salander

    next year it will be grace kelly versus princess diana

  • jodie | February 28, 2013 8:28 PMReply

    FYI, Bradley Cooper will be campaigned as Lead Actor in The Place Beyond the Pines. It was screened at Toronto this year and, when its distributor briefly considered releasing it in time for the 2012 noms, Cooper's name was on the Lead list.

  • GERARD KENNELLY | March 11, 2013 6:54 AM

    cooper looks so different in the trailer for PLACE BEYOND PINES compared to silver linings

  • Kate | February 28, 2013 5:42 PMReply

    I don't care whether they're good/bad predictions, I would scream with delight if Delpy, Hawkins, Ejiofor, or Fassbender were nominated.

  • Jim | February 28, 2013 5:06 PMReply

    Jean Dujardin in The Wolf of Walt Street & The Monument Men, right? So why isn't he mentioned anywhere? When I saw him at the Oscars, it definitely remembered me why I loved him so much in The Artist. Plus, Scorsese is a big fan of him and he has the best supporting role in The Wolf of Walt Street's adapted book.

  • GERARD KENNELLY | March 11, 2013 6:55 AM

    but come on
    let's be honest the BEST performance that year was fassbender in SHAME

  • Liam | February 28, 2013 5:00 PMReply

    No mention of James Gray anywhere! Guillaume Canet's Blood Ties too!
    PETER KNEGT, Shame on you!

  • Daniel | February 28, 2013 3:14 PMReply

    What about Ron Howard's Formula 1 movie "Rush"?

  • GERARD KENNELLY | March 11, 2013 6:57 AM

    chris hemsworth --Best Actor
    ron howard --Best Director
    olivia wilde-- Best Supp Actress
    russell crowe --Best Supp Actor

    i think
    the reason RUSH is being kind of under anticipated is the popularity of the doc SENNA

  • dan | February 28, 2013 2:39 PMReply

    Did you actually not consider Ryan Gosling at all?

  • jinkaz | February 28, 2013 1:47 PMReply

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