Oscar/Spirits Ballot 2011: Cynthia Fuchs

Cynthia Fuchs, PopMatters

Film Independent's Spirit Awards

Best Feature:
Will Win: "Winter's Bone"
Should Win: "Winter's Bone"

Best Director:
Will Win: Debra Granik, "Winter's Bone"
Should Win: Debra Granik, "Winter's Bone"

Best Female Lead:
Will Win: Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Should Win: Jennifer Lawrence, "Winter's Bone"

Best Male Lead:
Will Win: James Franco, "127 Hours"
Should Win: James Franco, "127 Hours"

Best Supporting Female:
Will Win: Dale Dickey, "Winter's Bone"
Should Win: Dale Dickey, "Winter's Bone"

Best Supporting Male:
Will Win: John Hawkes, "Winter's Bone"
Should Win: John Hawkes, "Winter's Bone"

Best Screenplay:
Will Win: "The Kids Are All Right"
Should Win: "Winter's Bone"

Best First Feature:
Will Win: "Tiny Furniture"
Should Win: "Night Catches Us"

John Cassavetes Award:
Will Win: "Daddy Longlegs"
Should Win: "Daddy Longlegs"

Best Cinematography:
Will Win: "Black Swan"
Should Win: "Winter's Bone"

Best Documentary:
Will Win: "Exit Through the Gift Shop"
Should Win: "Exit Through the Gift Shop"

Oscars:

Best Picture:
Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: Winter's Bone"

Best Director:
Will Win: Tom Hooper, "The King's Speech"
Should Win: David Fincher, "The Social Network"

Best Actor:
Will Win: Colin Firth, "The King's Speech"
Should Win: Javier Bardem, "Biutiful"

Best Actress:
Will Win: Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Should Win: Jennifer Lawrence, "Winter's Bone"

Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Christian Bale, "The Fighter"
Should Win: John Hawkes, "Winter's Bone"

Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win: Melissa Leo, "The Fighter"
Should Win: Jacki Weaver, "Animal Kingdom"

Best Original Screenplay:
Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "The Kids Are All Right"

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win: "The Social Network"
Should Win: "Winter's Bone"

Best Foreign Film:
Will Win: "Biutiful"
Should Win: "Biutiful"

Best Documentary Feature:
Will Win: "Inside Job"
Should Win: "Exit Through the Gift Shop"

Best Animated Feature:
Will Win: "Toy Story 3"
Should Win: "The Illusionist"

Best Cinematography:
Will Win: "Black Swan"
Should Win: "True Grit"

Best Original Score:
Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "Inception"