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February 18, 2011 7:56 AM
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Oscar/Spirits Ballot 2011: Gary Kramer

Gary Kramer, Gay City News

Film Independent’s Spirit Awards

Best Feature:
Will Win: "The Kids Are All Right"
Should Win: "Winter's Bone"

Best Director:
Will Win: Darren Aronofsky, "Black Swan"
Should Win: Lisa Cholodenko, "The Kids Are All Right"

Best Female Lead:
Will Win: Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Should Win: Annette Bening, "The Kids Are All Right"

Best Male Lead:
Will Win: James Franco, "127 Hours"
Should Win: James Franco, "127 Hours"

Best Supporting Female:
Will Win: Allison Janney, "Life During Wartime"
Should Win: Daphne Rubin-Vega, "Jack Goes Boating"

Best Supporting Male:
Will Win: John Hawkes, "Winter's Bone"
Should Win: John Ortiz, "Jack Goes Boating"

Best Screenplay:
Will Win: "The Kids Are All Right"
Should Win: "Winter's Bone"

Best First Screenplay:
Will Win: "Tiny Furniture"
Should Win: "Jack Goes Boating"

Best First Feature:
Will Win: "Tiny Furniture"
Should Win: "Get Low"

John Cassavetes Award:
Will Win: "The Exploding Girl"
Should Win: "Lbs."

Best Foreign Film:
Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives"

Best Cinematography:
Will Win: "Black Swan"
Should Win: "Winter's Bone"

Best Documentary:
Will Win: "Exit Through the Gift Shop"
Should Win: "Marwencol"

Oscars:

Best Picture:
Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "True Grit"

Best Director:
Will Win: David Fincher, "The Social Network"
Should Win: Darren Aronofsky, "Black Swan"

Best Actor:
Will Win: Colin Firth, "The King's Speech"
Should Win: James Franco, "127 Hours"

Best Actress:
Will Win: Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Should Win: Annette Bening, "The Kids Are All Right"

Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Christian Bale, "The Fighter"
Should Win: Geoffrey Rush, "The King's Speech"

Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win: Melissa Leo, "The Fighter"
Should Win: Amy Adams, "The Fighter"

Best Original Screenplay:
Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "The Kids Are All Right"

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win: "The Social Network"
Should Win: "True Grit"

Best Foreign Film:
Will Win: "Incendies"
Should Win: "Dogtooth"

Best Documentary Feature:
Will Win: "Inside Job"
Should Win: "Exit Through the Gift Shop"

Best Animated Feature:
Will Win: "Toy Story 3"

Best Cinematography:
Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "True Grit"

Best Original Score:
Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "The Social Network"

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