Oscar/Spirits Ballot 2011: Nigel M. Smith

Nigel M. Smith, indieWIRE

Film Independent’s Spirit Awards

Best Feature:
Will Win: "Winter's Bone"
Should Win: "Black Swan"

Best Director:
Will Win: Darren Aronofsky, "Black Swan"
Should Win: Darren Aronofsky, "Black Swan"

Best Female Lead:
Will Win: Jennifer Lawrence "Winter's Bone"
Should Win: Natalie Portman "Black Swan"

Best Male Lead:
Will Win: James Franco, "127 Hours"
Should Win: Aaron Eckhart "Rabbit Hole"

Best Supporting Female:
Will Win: Dale Dickey "Winter's Bone"
Should Win: Dale Dickey, "Winter's Bone"

Best Supporting Male:
Will Win: John Hawkes "Winter's Bone"
Should Win: John Hawkes "Winter's Bone"

Best Screenplay:
Will Win: "The Kids Are All Right"
Should Win: "Please Give"

Best First Screenplay:
Will Win: "Tiny Furniture"
Should Win: "Lovely, Still"

Best First Feature:
Will Win: "Tiny Furniture"
Should Win: "Tiny Furniture"

Best Foreign Film:
Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "The King's Speech"

Best Cinematography:
Will Win: "Black Swan"
Should Win: "Black Swan"

Best Documentary:
Will Win: "Exit Through the Gift Shop"
Should Win: "Thunder Soul"

Oscars:

Best Picture:
Will Win: "The King's Speech"
Should Win: "Black Swan"

Best Director:
Will Win: David Fincher, "The Social Network"
Should Win: David Fincher, "The Social Network"

Best Actor:
Will Win: Colin Firth, "The King's Speech"
Should Win: Jesse Eisenberg "The Social Network"

Best Actress:
Will Win: Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"
Should Win: Natalie Portman, "Black Swan"

Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win: Christian Bale, "The Fighter"
Should Win: Geoffrey Rush, "The King's Speech"

Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win: Helena Bonham Carter, "The King's Speech"
Should Win: Amy Adams, "The Fighter"

Best Original Screenplay:
Will Win: "The Kids Are All Right"
Should Win: "The Kids Are All Right"

Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win: "The Social Network"
Should Win: "The Social Network"

Best Foreign Film:
Will Win: "Incendies"
Should Win: "Incendies"

Best Documentary Feature:
Will Win: "Exit Through the Gift Shop"
Should Win: "Waste Land"

Best Animated Feature:
Will Win: "Toy Story 3"
Should Win: "Toy Story 3"

Best Cinematography:
Will Win: "True Grit"
Should Win: "The Social Network"

Best Original Score:
Will Win: "The Social Network"
Should Win: "The Social Network"