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by Peter Knegt
February 18, 2013 10:27 AM
4 Comments
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Oscars: The Box Office Bonanza of This Year's Best Picture Nominees

"Silver Linings Playbook" TWC

Over a month ago -- before the Oscar nominations were announced -- we asked whether we were heading toward the biggest box office ever for a best picture race. In terms of the overall combined gross of the nominees, we acknowledged that was a bit of a longshot thanks to the inclusion of "Avatar" in the lineup 3 years ago. But we did, however, wonder if we would end up seeing a whopping 7 of the best picture nominees end up grossing $100 million -- something that has never happened before.

A possibility then, it's a certainty now. "Lincoln," "Argo," "Django Unchained," "Les Miserables" and "Life of Pi" already have, while "Silver Linings Playbook" and "Zero Dark Thirty" are about to.  And while that's impressive, what's even more so is how much of the box office activity has been going down during the period between the nominations being announced and next week's awards.

Five of the best picture-nominated films have grossed over $30 million in the period between the Oscar nominations and today. Last year, no films did. The closest that came to it was "The Descendants," which grossed $27 million in that range. Even best picture frontrunner "The Artist" managed only $19.4 million. This year, six nominees have grossed $19 million or more in the range, frontrunner status or not.

"Lincoln"

Take a look at the stats for this year compared to the previous 3:

2012 (44 days between nominations and awards):
Number of nominees: 9
Number of $100 million grossers: 7 (estimates final grosses)
Number to gross over $10 million after nominations: 7
Number to gross over $30 million after nominations: 5
Number to gross over $40 million after nominations: 3

2012 (32 days between nominations and awards):
Number of nominees: 9
Number of $100 million grossers: 1
Number to gross over $10 million after nominations: 4
Number to gross over $30 million after nominations: 0
Number to gross over $40 million after nominations: 0

2010 (33 days between nominations and awards):
Number of nominees: 10
Number of $100 million grossers: 3
Number to gross over $10 million after nominations: 3
Number to gross over $30 million after nominations: 1
Number to gross over $40 million after nominations: 1

2009 (33 days between nominations and awards):
Number of nominees: 10
Number of $100 million grossers: 5
Number to gross over $10 million after nominations: 2
Number to gross over $30 million after nominations: 1
Number to gross over $40 million after nominations: 1

In all fairness, this year there was a much longer period in between the nominations and the awards: 44 days, compared to 32 or 33 for the three previous years. However, the statistics here represent numbers up until yesterday, which is a much more comparable 37 days. Moreover, even if it were just 32 or 33 days, the numbers would not change that much. "Dhango Unchained," "Les Miserables," "Silver Linings Playbook" and "Zero Dark Thirty" all grossed over $30 million in the 32 days following the nominations, with "Lincoln" just under.

Take a look at this year in detail below. It's all pretty impressive, especially considering how well films that have been out since October and November ("Argo," "Lincoln," "Life of Pi," "Silver Linings Playbook") managed to play into the third and fourth months of theatrical release. In the end, the total gross of the big 9 should be just over $1 billion. Not quite "Avatar" level to be sure, but considering none of these films were at all intended to be blockbusters, it's even more impressive.

2012's Best Picture Race By The Numbers:

1. Lincoln
Gross Pre-Nominations: $145.5 million
Gross Post-Nominations: $30.7 million
Total So Far: $176.2 million
Estimated Final Gross: $190 million

2. Django Unchained
Gross Pre-Nominations: $112.4 million
Gross Post-Nominations: $44.5 million
Total So Far: $156.9 million
Estimated Final Gross: $165 million

3. Les Miserables
Gross Pre-Nominations: $107.7 million
Gross Post-Nominations: $37.8 million
Total So Far: $145.5 million
Estimated Final Gross: $152 million

4. Argo
Gross Pre-Nominations: $110.3 milllion
Gross Post-Nominations: $16.6 million
Total So Far: $126.9 million
Estimated Final Gross: $138 million

5. Life of Pi
Gross Pre-Nominations: $91.8 million
Gross Post-Nominations: $19.0 million
Total So Far: $110.8 million
Estimated Final Gross: $115 million

6. Silver Linings Playbook
Gross Pre-Nominations: $35.8 million
Gross Post-Nominations: $62.7 million
Total So Far: $98.5 million
Estimated Final Gross: $120 million

7. Zero Dark Thirty
Gross Pre-Nominations: $5.2 million
Gross Post-Nominations: $82.8 million
Total So Far: $88.1 million
Estimated Final Gross: $105 million

8. Beasts of the Southern Wild
Gross Pre-Nominations: $11.3 million
Gross Post-Nominations: $0.8 million
Total So Far: $12.1 million
Estimated Final Gross: $12.1 million

9. Amour
Gross Pre-Nominations: $0.4 million
Gross Post-Nominations: $3.6 million
Total So Far: $4.0 million
Estimated Final Gross: $11 million


 

4 Comments

  • Jan Lisa Huttner | February 19, 2013 9:17 AMReply

    Estimated Final Gross for ZD30: $105 million. Really? That seems a bit high to me give where it is right now, but if it happens that will be a big deal, right? It means Kathryn Bigelow becomes one of the very few female directors to cross the $100M mark, right?

  • jecob | February 19, 2013 1:31 AMReply

    as Philip responded I'm dazzled that a person able to earn $6558 in one month on the internet. did you see this site WOW92.COM

  • Jononfire | February 18, 2013 2:43 PMReply

    Neither of the factors mentioned by JD here matters a whit to me.

  • JD | February 18, 2013 11:09 AMReply

    The above coupled with Adele singing the James Bond theme tune as well as Seth Mc Farlane hosting should mean a huge audience for this years telecast of the Oscars