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by Peter Knegt
February 22, 2013 7:37 PM
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Oscars Poll: Who Will Win and Who Should Win According To 103 Critics and Bloggers

Pixar's "Brave."
Best Animated Film
Who Will Win: A very close call, with "Brave" (38%) topping "Wreck-It-Ralph" (37%) by just one vote. "Frankenweenie" has a respectable 19% of the vote as well.

Who Should Win: A much different srory, with "ParaNorman" taking a 34% lead over "Frankenweenie" (26%) and "Wreck-It-Ralph" (24%).

Best Foreign Language Film
Who Will Win and Who Should Win:  If there's one thing you be sure of, according to our pollsters, its "Amour" winning this. 96% said so, and another 80% said it should. While only 2% said "No" would win, a respectable 13% said it should.

'Searching for Sugar Man'
Best Documentary Feature
Who Will Win: 74% say "Searching For Sugar Man." "How To Survive a Plague" was pegged at the most possible upset with 12% of the vote.

Who Should Win: "How To Survive a Plague" won a very close poll with 34% of the vote. "Sugar Man" (26%), "The Invisible War" (17%), "The Gatekeepers" (14%) and "5 Broken Cameras" (10%) all got sizeable vote counts as well.

Best Cinematography
Who Will Win: "Life of Pi" wins here, with cinematographer Claudio Miranda winning 69% of our voters predictions. Roger Deakins had 15% for "Skyfall" and Janusz Kaminski had 11% for "Lincoln."

Who Should Win: Our poll suggests Roger Deakins should finally win an Oscar for "Skyfall," with 54% saying so. "Life of Pi" had 23% of the support, while "Lincoln," "Anna Karenina" and "Django Unchained" each had 7%-9%.

Best Original Score
Who Will Win and Who Should Win: In only one or two races where the woulds and the shoulds lined up, it was "Life of Pi" again, this time for composer Mychael Danna (46% for would, 31% for should). Alexandre Desplat ("Argo," 24% for would, 27% for should), John Williams ("Lincoln," 19% for would, 13% for should), Thomas Newman ("Skyfall," 8% for would, 24% should) also did well on both fronts.

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  • ecto | February 24, 2013 7:36 PMReply

    where is the rest of the list?

  • Lauren | February 24, 2013 5:51 PMReply

    More predictions here! Not a professional critic; just a woman with a passion for film and a lot of time on her hands! http://livingfastlivingstrong.wordpress.com/2013/02/22/and-the-oscar-goes-to/

  • May Jailer | February 23, 2013 1:14 PMReply

    I thought The Master was a fantastic movie, and the acting was outstanding. I'm glad to see it's actors have been recognized by The Academy, but it saddens me that Amy Adams in particular will not take home the Oscar. It's also a shame when looking at the case of Daniel Day Lewis and Phoenix, both were excellent, maybe Day Lewis slightly better, but i would love to see Phoenix finally take home the award.

  • Patrik | February 23, 2013 4:22 AMReply

    Interesting to see that critics seem to think The Master should win in the categories
    it's nominated. I could not agree more. It's a shame that for example Philip Seymour Hoffman doesn't seem to beat the much less fantastic, overrated Tommy Lee Jones.

    Daniel Day-Lewis on the other hand steals the show all the time in Lincoln and is a much more worthy predicted winner compared to TLJ. Though, in my opinion, Phoenix stretches himself a bit further in The Master.

    When it comes to best picture I think that in a perfect world "fantastic" movies like Django Unchained and Silver Linings Playbook would take home this award. But in the world we live in today it's only the "good" movies like Argo and Lincoln that will propably win. And also the unoriginal, terrible bore of a movie, Les Miserables seem to have a better shot at the top prize than for example Django Unchained.

  • Mass | February 22, 2013 10:42 PMReply

    Whoever thinks LINCOLN deserves a best director/screenwriter win should stick to polling for MTV movie awards. Seriously. One of the worst "best" films if seen in a looooong time. Corny dialogue, awful pacing, factually innacurate storytelling, and some obvious biased deceiving makes this film a rotten no go. If I wanted to watch fanboy fiction unfold before my eyes, I'd talk to some Lincoln award honorary college professor.

    Spielberg said he researched this guy for 5 years? Well he either completely omitted the majority of President Lincoln's racist bigotry, or he's lying. Even a 7th grade history book aknowledges the fact that President Lincoln was planning on deporting every freed African American slave from the U.S to diseased South American Countries, simply because President Lincoln thought white citizens could not co-exist in the same Country. This is of course after the fact that the Presidet suspended Habeas Corpus, arrested newspaper editors on no criminal charges, starved the South, and arguably provoked the South into the bloodiest War the Unitrd States has ever seen simply because he wanted to preserve his precious Union and expand his Train business. Freeing Slaves was not a moral thing, it was a profit thing. The fact that this film completely re-writes history and claims its realistic/based on fact is absolutely insulting to its viewers.

    LINCOLN had its moments, in particular the brutally realistic opening fight scene, and the fantastically acted scene where President Lincoln and his son visit the injured Union soldiers, unfortunately, for the most part, the rest of the film is an absolute bore. I really expected more out of Spielberg. Post 1990s this guy just really stopped giving a damn.