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Spirit Awards Poll: Who Will Win and Who Should Win According To 80 Critics and Bloggers

Photo of Peter Knegt By Peter Knegt | Indiewire February 23, 2013 at 8:41AM

Indiewire conducted a poll of its writers and 80 of its Criticwire participants, asking two simple questions about this year's Film Independent Spirit Awards: Who will win, and who should win? In thirteen categories, insiders suggested who might take home an award at the ceremony tomorrow afternoon in Santa Monica, California.
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Helen Hunt, The Sessions
Helen Hunt in 'The Sessions'
Best Supporting Female
Who Will Win: Another win for "The Sessions," says our poll. Helen Hunt took 47% of the predictions, with Ann Dowd close behind 43%.

Who Should Win: Ann Dowd was by far the winner here, taking 43% over Rosemarie DeWitt (22%), Helen Hunt (20%), Brit Marling (8%) and Lorraine Toussaint (7%).

Best Supporting Male
Who Will Win and Who Should Win: It's all about Matthew McConaughey, who took 75% of the "will win" and 54% of the "should win" vote for "Magic Mike." Michael Pena was second in the "will" poll (with 8%) and Bruce Willis was second for "who should" (16%).

Best Screenplay
Who Will Win: Separated by just one vote, our poll said David O. Russell would win this for "Silver Linings Playbook" over "Moonrise Kingdom" scribes Wes Anderson and Roman Coppola by a 1% margin. Together, they took up 97% of the vote, with the screenplays "Ruby Sparks" and "Keep The Lights On" making up the remainder of the vote.

Who Should Win: "Moonrise Kingdom" was the favorite here by a much wider margin, taking 50% of the vote.  "Silver Linings" (20%) and "Ruby Sparks" (15%) were next.

Best First Feature
Who Will Win and Who Should Win: Stephen Chbosky and his "Perks of Being a Wallflower" topped both the will and the should, with 64% saying the former and 38% saying the latter. "Safety Not Guaranteed" took 19% of the vote in both instances, while 12% said "Sound of My Voice" will win and 19% said it should. "Fill The Void" and "Gimme The Loot" got a handful of votes on both occasions.

"Middle of Nowhere."
"Middle of Nowhere."
John Cassavetes Award
Who Will Win: Ava DuVernay's "Middle of Nowhere" seems like a shoo-in here, with 66% saying so. "The Color Wheel" (23%) and "Starlet" (11%) got the underdog vote.

Who Should Win: "The Color Wheel" topped "Middle of Nowhere" here, taking 44% of the vote compared to 35% for "Nowhere." "Starlet" also managed a respectable 18%.

Best First Screenplay
Who Will Win and Who Should Win: Derek Connolly's script for "Safety Not Guaranteed" won in both polls, with 67% saying it will win and 44% saying it should. Rashida Jones and Will McCormack's script for "Celeste and Jesse Forever" was second in the "will" poll with 11%, while Rama Bernstein's "Fill The Void" script was runner-up in the "should" with 18%.

Best Documentary
Who Will Win and Who Should Win: Another double consensus pick was "How To Survive a Plague" here, with 70% saying it will win best documentary and another 55% saying it should. "The Invisible War" had 19% of the "will win" vote, while "Central Park Five" was the runner-up in "should" with 24% of the vote.

Best Foreign Film
Who Will Win and Who Should Win: Unsurprisingly, "Amour" took 95% of the vote in the "will win" poll and 56% in the "should." "Once Upon a Time in Anatolia" had a respectable 25% of the vote in the latter, while "Sister" and "Rust and Bone" both had many supporters as well.

Best Cinematography
Who Will Win and Who Should Win: Here lies another Spirit Award for "Beasts of the Southern Wild," said 82% of the poll, with 47% saying it deserved it. "Moonrise Kingdom" was a very close second in the "should" poll, taking 46% of the vote.

This article is related to: Criticwire, Spirit Awards





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