Alright, so its about 24 hours from showtime (and since I’m in Utah, the already horrible 8:30am wakeup call has now become 6:30am), and I’m ready to give my last shot at predicting glory. I tried to be as ballsy as possible (which actually was somewhat easy considering the 8 for 5 best picture blowout), and this is most demonstrated in my likely-wrong Michael Clayton best picture snub and my Amy Adams for best actress risk.. I’m going with Blood as the big leader. So in all its questionable glory, my predictions after the jump (supplemented with own personal choices).
Best Picture:
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into The Wild
Juno
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
If I Had A Ballot: 4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days, No Country For Old Men, Once, Ratatouille, There Will Be Blood
Best Director:
Paul Thomas Anderson
Joel and Ethan Coen
Tony Gilroy
Sean Penn
Julian Schnabel
If I Had A Ballot: Paul Thomas Anderson, Joel and Ethan Coen, David Fincher, Todd Haynes, Cristian Mingui
Best Actor:
George Clooney
Daniel Day-Lewis
Johnny Depp
Emile Hirsch
Viggo Mortensen
If I Had A Ballot: Daniel Day-Lewis, Ryan Gosling, Phillip Seymour Hoffman, Viggo Mortensen, Gordon Pinsent
Best Actress:
Amy Adams
Julie Christie
Marion Cotillard
Angelina Jolie
Ellen Page
If I Had A Ballot: Julie Christie, Nicole Kidman, Laura Linney, Anamaria Marinca, Ellen Page
Best Supporting Actor:
Casey Affleck
Javier Bardem
Hal Holbrook
Phillip Seymour Hoffman
Tom Wilkinson
If I Had A Ballot: Casey Affleck, Javier Bardem, Paul Dano, Robert Downey Jr, Hal Holbrook
Best Supporting Actress:
Cate Blanchett
Catherine Keener
Saorise Ronan
Amy Ryan
Tilda Swinton
If I Had A Ballot: Cate Blanchett, Jennifer Jason Leigh, Kelly Macdonald, Tilda Winton, Marisa Tomei
Best Original Screenplay:
Juno
Knocked Up
Michael Clayton
Ratatouille
The Savages
If I Had A Ballot: Before The Devil Knows Youre Dead, Juno, Margot at the Wedding, Ratatouille, The Savages
Best Adapted Screenplay:
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into The Wild
No Country For Old Men
There Will Be Blood
If I Had A Ballot: Away From Her, No Country For Old Men, Persepolis, There Will Be Blood, Zodiac
Best Animated Feature:
Persepolis
Ratatouille
The Simpsons Movie
If I Had A Ballot: Same!
Best Cinematography:
The Assassination of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford
Atonement
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
Into The Wild
There Will Be Blood
If I Had A Ballot: The Assassination of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, I’m Not There, There Will Be Blood, Zodiac
Best Film Editing:
The Bourne Ultimatum
Michael Clayton
No Country For Old Men
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
If I Had A Ballot: Atonement; The Bourne Ultimatum, I’m Not There, No Country For Old Men, There Will Be Blood
Best Original Song:
“Come So Far” (Hairspray)
“Grace is Gone” (Grace is Gone)
“Guaranteed” (Into The Wild)
“Falling Slowly” (Once)
“That’s How You Know” (Enchanted)
If I Had A Ballot: “Falling Slowly”, “Guaranteed”, “If You Want Me”, “Lyra”, “When Your Minds Made Up”
Best Original Score:
Atonement
Eastern Promises
Lust, Caution
Ratatouille
There Will Be Blood
If I Had A Ballot: The Assassination of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford, Atonement, Eastern Promises, Ratatouille, There Will Be Blood
**UPDATE: There Will Be Blood is deemed ineligible according to awardsdaily.com! So I’m switching it for Beuwolf. Fucking rules. Fucking rules!
Best Art Direction:
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
If I Had A Ballot: Atonement, The Darjeeling Limited, Sweeney Todd, There Will Be Blood, Zodiac
Best Costume Design:
Atonement
Elizabeth: The Golden Age
Hairspray
Lust, Caution
Sweeney Todd
If I Had A Ballot: The Assassination of Jesse James By The Coward Robert Ford, Atonement, Hairspray, Sweeney Todd, Zodiac
Best Sound Mixing:
The Bourne Ultimatum
No Country For Old Men
Sweeney Todd
There Will Be Blood
Transformers
If I Had A Ballot: Same, though switch Transformers for Ratatouille, which makes me question my predictions
Best Sound Editing:
Pirates of the Caribbean: At Worlds End
Ratatouille
Transformers
Best Visual Effects:
The Golden Compass
Pirates of the Caribbean: At Worlds End
Transformers
If I Had A Ballot: The Bourne Ultimatum, No Country For Old Men, Ratatouille
Best Makeup:
The Diving Bell and the Butterfly
La Vie En Rose
Sweeney Todd
If I Had A Ballot: Same
Best Foreign Language Film:
12
Beaufort
The Counterfeiters
Mongol
The Year My Parents Went On Vacation
If I Had A Ballot (and the rules were changed): 4 Months, 3 Weeks and 2 Days, Les Chansons D’Amour, The Diving Bell and the Butterfly, Persepolis, XXY
Best Documentary:
Body of War
Lake of Fire
No End in Sight
Sicko
Taxi To The Darkside
If I Had A Ballot: My 5 predicted nominees are the 5 docs I saw last year, save Taxi and replaced with Manufactured Landscapes… but if its any consolation I’m already well on my way to tripling that number in ’08 with Sundance…
Top Nominees:
THERE WILL BE BLOOD – 8
INTO THE WILD – 8
NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN – 6
THE DIVING BELL AND THE BUTTERFLY – 6
SWEENEY TODD – 6
ATONEMENT – 6
MICHAEL CLAYTON – 6
RATATOUILLE – 4
JUNO – 4
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