James Israel, indieWIRE [blog]
Film Independent’s Spirit Awards
Best Feature:
Will Win: “The Wrestler“
Should Win: “Wendy and Lucy“
Best Director:
Will Win: Courtney Hunt, “Frozen River”
Should Win: Lance Hammer, “Ballast”
Best First Feature:
Will Win/Should Win: “Medicine for Melancholy”
Best Screenplay:
Will Win/Should Win: Woody Allen, “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”
Best First Screenplay:
Will Win/Should Win: Lance Hammer, “Ballast”
Best Female Lead:
Will Win: Melissa Leo, “Frozen River”
Should Win: Michelle Williams, “Wendy and Lucy”
Best Male Lead:
Will Win/Should Win: Mickey Rourke, “The Wrestler”
Best Supporting Female:
Will Win/Should Win: Penelope Cruz, “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”
Best Supporting Male:
Will Win: N/A
Should Win: Haaz Sleiman, “The Visitor”
Best Cinematography:
Will Win: Harris Savides, “Milk”
Should Win: Lol Crowley, “Ballast”
Best Documentary:
Will Win/Should Win: “Man on Wire“
Academy Awards
Best Picture:
Will Win: “Slumdog Millionaire“
Should Win: “Milk“
Best Director:
Will Win: Danny Boyle, “Slumdog Millionaire”
Should Win: Gus van Sant, “Milk”
Best Actress:
Will Win/Should Win: Kate Winslet, “The Reader”
Best Actor:
Will Win/Should Win: Mickey Rourke, “The Wrestler”
Best Supporting Actress:
Will Win/Should Win: Penelope Cruz, “Vicky Cristina Barcelona”
Best Supporting Actor:
Will Win/Should Win: Heath Ledger, “The Dark Knight”
Best Original Screenplay:
Will Win/Should Win: Andrew Stanton, Jim Reardon, Pete Docte, “Wall-E”
Best Adapted Screenplay:
Will Win: Simon Beaufoy, “Slumdog Millionaire”
Should Win: N/A
Best Animated Film:
Will Win/Should Win: “WALL-E“
Best Foreign Language Film:
Will Win/Should Win: “Waltz With Bashir“
Best Documentary:
Will Win/Should Win: “Man on Wire“
Best Cinematography:
Will Win: Anthony Dod Mantle, “Slumdog Millionaire”
Should Win: Wally Pfister, “The Dark Knight”
Best Makeup:
Will Win: Greg Cannom, “The Curious Case of Benjamin Button”
Should Win: John Caglione, Jr., Conor O’Sullivan, “The Dark Knight”
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