Part one of Box Office Insider’s Fall Preview looked at every cinematic offering for September and October and in part two we move on to November and December, a time when a moviegoer’s mind turns to Oscar fare and holiday tentpoles. To make up for a less than exhilarating summer season we have a lot to look forward to in the coming months. So let’s get right to it…
Box Office Insider Fall Preview Part One: http://bit.ly/1qx69Om
BOX OFFICE INSIDER FALL PREVIEW: PART TWO
BIG HERO 6—BUENA VISTA
Who’s in it: Our hero Hiro and his robotic hero Baymax. Also the voices of Scott Adsit and Maya Rudolph
What it is: It’s as if Jimmy Neutron watched “My Bodyguard” at the Japanese Institute Of Technology
What it’ll do: Submitted for your approval, “Wreck-It Ralph” First week of November. 2012. Opened to $49, ended up at $189. Should be about the same, then monstrous overseas, especially in Asia. $185 million.
Who’s in it: Christopher Nolan (director), Matthew McConaughey, Anne Hathaway, Michael Caine, Jessica Chastain
What it is: 2014: A Space Odyssey
What it’ll do: What a way to start off the holiday season with BH6 and this. Think “Inception” more than “Dark Knight”. But oh by the way, “Inception” did $292 million. $225 million.
Who’s in it: Sarah Snook, Mark Webster
What it is: Woman returns to hometown to face the demons that have tormented her.
What it’ll do: Should land in the upper echelon of Sarah Snook movies.
THE THEORY OF EVERYTHING—FOCUS
Who’s in it: Eddie Redmayne, Felicity Jones, Emily Watson, James March (director)
What it is: “A Beautiful Mind” meets “Pride of the Yankees” (ok, we know it’s a stretch). The relationship between genius Stephen Hawking and his wife Jane (there, is that better?). Oscar buzz abounds.
What it’ll do: It will need to be as good as we hear it is to have it stand out at the box office from such November high brow fare as “Foxcatcher” and “The Imitation Game”
Who’s in it: Gael Garcia Bernal, Jon Stewart (director). Yes, THAT Jon Stewart
What it is: The kidnapping and torture of Iranian journalist Maziar Bahari
What it’ll do: Probably not all that much in Tehran. Prospects look brighter on these shores.
THE HOMESMAN—ROADSIDE ATTRACTIONS
Who’s in it: Tommy Lee Jones, Hilary Swank, James Spader, Tim Blake Nelson
What it is: Half “True Grit”, half “Little House on the Prairie”
What it’ll do: As is the case with most Roadside Attractions’ releases, far more on VOD than theatrical, unless this becomes “Snowpiercer 2”.
DUMB AND DUMBER TO–UNIVERSAL
Who’s in it: Jim Carrey, Jeff Daniels, Farrelly Brothers (directors)
What it is: “I Am Sam” with whoopee cushions
What it’ll do: The first did $127 million, the second did $26 million. No, we did not miss a digit. It’s the only comedy in November until you get to “Horrible Bosses 2” and Universal’s pre-release marketing and publicity campaigns have been first rate. $70 million
BEYOND THE LIGHTS—RELATIVITY
Who’s in it: Gugu Mbatha-Raw (“Belle”), Minnie Driver, Nate Parker, Danny Glover
What it is: “The Bodyguard” 22 years later
What it’ll do: Could catch on with an urban audience, although I doubt they caught “Belle” and know who or what a Gugu is. $25 million
Who’s in it: Steve Carell, Channing Tatum, Mark Ruffalo, Bennet Miller (director)
What it is: It’s what would happen if the guy from “Moneyball” directed “Vision Quest” featuring Kathy Bates from “Misery”
What it’ll do: Please remember come Oscar ballot time that Steve Carell spells his name with only one “r”. It will definitely be one of the most talked about movies of the fall and into January and February as it rides an Oscar wave. Just looking at Carell in the new one-sheet gives us the creeps.
THE HUNGER GAMES: MOCKINGJAY PART 1–LIONSGATE
Who’s in it: Jennifer Lawrence, Donald Sutherland, Josh Hutcherson, Woody Harrelson, Liam Hemsworth
What it is: By even asking this question we are assuming you’ve been living the last few years at a military outpost in Minsk
What it’ll do: The last one opened to $158 million and totaled $424 million and the reason to change that this time around is what again? $420 million.
THE IMITATION GAME—WEINSTEIN
Who’s in it: Benedict Cumberbatch, Keira Knightley, Matthew Goode, Charles Dance
What it is: Sherlock breaks the World War II German Enigma code, thereby helping to save the Western world And the thanks he gets? He’s hauled off to face prosecution for homosexuality.
What it’ll do: Should enjoy tremendous popularity with an upscale crowd as well as a GLBT audience.
THE PENGUINS OF MADAGASCAR—DREAMWORKS/FOX
Who’s in it: Voices: Benedict Cumberbatch (talk about going from the sublime to the ridiculous), John Malkovich, Ken Jeong
What it is: “Madagascar”, minus the zebra, hippo, lion and giraffe
What it’ll do: The last two have done $216 million and $180 million, respectively. Take away Ben Stiller and Chris Rock and you have something less than that this time around. $160 million, as every kid in America cries, “Daddy, please take me to the new Benedict Cumberbatch movie!!!”
HORRIBLE BOSSES 2—WARNER BROTHERS
Who’s in it: Jason Bateman, Jason Sudeikis, Charlie Day, Jennifer Aniston, Christoph Waltz
What it is: If Ronco pitch-man Ron Popeil wrote “Horrible Bosses” 1.
What it’ll do: HB was one of the most consistently funny movies of 2012 and grossed $117 million. it’s tough for adult fare to open at Thanksgiving as you get a big opening five day total but then head into some of the lightest box office weeks of the year. $75 million.
Who’s in it: Josh Hutcherson, Benicio del Toro
What it is: “Meet The Parents” meets “Scarface”
What it’ll do: A Radius release usually means the focus is on VOD
Who’s in it: Ashley Hinshaw (“True Blood”), James Buckley (“The Inbetweeners”)
What it is: Eli Roth presents Rick Steves’ Egypt
What it’ll do: The last time a film opened north of $10 million on the first week of December was…was…was…
Who’s in it: Reese Witherspoon, Jean-Marc Vallee (director)
What it is: Based on Cheryl Strayed’s memoir of self-discovery via a 1,000 mile trek across the Pacific Northwest. Kind of a “Shoot Up, Hike, Love”
What it’ll do: Sometimes you just kind of have a good feeling about a movie. Maybe it’s because the book is so popular with women, perhaps it’s because this is Reese’s pet project, maybe it’s due to the fact that this is “Dallas Buyers Club” director Jean-Marc Vallee’s follow-up to that or maybe it’s because Nick Hornby did the screenplay. Just please don’t let it get lost in early December.
EXODUS: GODS AND KINGS–FOX
Who’s in it: Christian Bale, Joel Edgerton, Sigourney Weaver, Ridley Scott (director)
What it is: “The Ten Commandments” meets “Gladiator”
What it’ll do: Ridley already did “Gladiator” to the tune of $187 million back in 2000. Figure close to that this time out (although we still giggle a bit when we see Sigourney Weaver in that period costume). $160 million.
Who’s in it: Frank Grillo, Maria Bello, story by James Wan (“Saw”, “The Conjuring”)
What it is: All you really need to know is that it’s an R rated horror film from James Wan.
What it’ll do: Do I need to remind you that “The Conjuring” grossed $131 million? Granted, Wan isn’t directing this one but he’s the main selling point. $40 million
INHERENT VICE—WARNER BROTHERS
Who’s in it: Joaquin Phoenix, Reese Witherspoon, Josh Brolin, Paul Thomas Anderson directs (“The Master”, “There Will Be Blood”)
What it is: Drug-fueled detective (is there any other kind?) investigates the disappearance of a former girlfriend.
What it’ll do: Quite the pedigree here. WB will roll this out slowly, waiting to go wide until January 9th. $30 million.
THE HOBBIT: BATTLE OF THE FIVE ARMIES—WARNER BROTHERS
Who’s in it: Martin Freeman, Ian McKellan, Cate Blanchett, Orlando Bloom
What it is: Oh come now
What it’ll do: “HB: Desolation of Smaug” amassed $258 million after the first outing’s $303 million. Based on that math, let’s go with $210 million.
NIGHT AT THE MUSEUM: SECRET OF THE TOMB—FOX
Who’s in it: Ben Stiller, Robin Williams, Dan Stevens, Owen Wilson
What it is: “Night at the Museum” characters set loose on the streets of London with Downton Abbey’s Matthew Crawley in tow.
What it’ll do: There will be a renewed interest in this franchise due to the tragic death of Robin Williams. Moviegoers may find this to be a nice way to say goodbye. The last NATM did $177 million. Figure $200 million this time out.
Who’s in it: Quvenzhane Wallis (“Beasts of the Southern Wild”), Jamie Foxx, Cameron Diaz. Will Gluck (director)
What it is: Really? Cute kid? Even cuter dog? Sun will come out tomorrow? Ringing any bells?
What it’ll do: Young girls bursting into song is normally reserved for slumber parties or episodes of “Toddlers and Tiaras” so here’s hoping Sony doesn’t go so sweet that it only appeals to girls between the ages of 7.
MR. TURNER—SONY CLASSICS
Who’s in it: Timothy Spall. You don’t know him now, but trust me you will
What it is: Biopic of British landscape painter J.M.W. Turner (and if THAT didn’t just whip you into a frenzy, you should check your pulse)
What it’ll do: It won’t blow the doors down on its initial release but here’s a guarantee…Spall will be one of the five Best Actor nominees and will no longer be best known as Posh Fruit from 1998’s “Still Crazy”
INTO THE WOODS—BUENA VISTA
Who’s in it: Meryl Streep, Johnny Depp, Anna Kendrick, Chris Pine, Rob Marshall directs
What it is: “Chicago” helmer at the controls of Disney fairy tale mash-up
What it’ll do: I know it’s a musical, settle down. Need I remind you “Chicago” grossed $170 million in 2002? Let’s say $145 million
Who’s in it: James Franco, Seth Rogen, a guy who looks just like Kim Jong-un
What it is: Try to imagine if Ryan Seacrest and the guys from “Pineapple Express” made “Day of the Jackal”
What it’ll do: The problem it faces is having to share its audience with “Hot Tub Time Machine”. $80 million
HOT TUB TIME MACHINE 2—PARAMOUNT
Who’s in it: Craig Robinson, Rob Corddry, Clark Duke
What it is: Bill (but no Ted)’s Excellent Adventure at the Cure Spa
What it’ll do: The first HTTM did a surprising $50 million in 2010 but John Cusack isn’t around this time. I still feel like Paramount will move this out of December so stay tuned. If it does stay here then $35 million is the absolute maximum.
Who’s in it: Jack O’Connell, Domhall Gleeson, Garrett Hedlund, Angelina Jolie (director)
What it is: The incredible true story of Olympic track star/Japanese POW survivor Louis Zamperini.
What it’ll do: If all early accounts are correct, the film is a triumph and Jolie’s presence will make this a going concern throughout the holidays and awards season. $80 million.
Who’s in it: Nicole Kidman, Hugh Bonneville and the voice of Ben Whishaw
What it is: Lost bear makes London’s Paddington Station his home while he searches for a family to love him. Awwwww.
What it’ll do: These shores: “What’s a Paddington?” Those shores: “OMG, THE PADDINGTON MOVIE IS COMING OUT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!”
AMERICAN SNIPER—WARNER BROTHERS
Who’s in it: Bradley Cooper, Sienna Miller, Clint Eastwood (director)
What it is: The story of one of the most dangerous Navy SEAL snipers in American history. The film gets a limited release on Christmas week and wide on January 16th.
What it’ll do: Won’t match “Lone Survivor”‘s $125 million unless it’s off-the-charts good. $50 million.
Who’s in it: Amy Adams, Christoph Waltz, Tim Burton (director)
What it is: No, not Burton’s follow-up to “Big Fish”, but rather 1950’s painter Margaret Keane’s legal battle with her husband for control of her paintings.
What it’ll do: Adams already has five Oscar nominations and this figures to be a sixth. But the subject matter will hold this back from breaking out at the box office. $25 million.
Who’s in it: Alessandro Nivola, Tom Wilkinson, David Oyelowo
What it is: 1965 civil rights march in Selma, Alabama, produced by Brad Pitt’s Plan B. Goes limited December 25th and wide January 9th
What it’ll do: Shoo-in for multiple Oscar nominations, especially considering the current civil rights landscape. $80 million.