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2015 Golden Globe Predictions: Best Actor in a Drama Series

2015 Golden Globe Predictions: Best Actor in a Drama Series

Indiewire’s TV Critic Ben Travers and Awards Editor Peter Knegt will provide regular updates on the Golden Globe races leading up to the ceremony on January 11 at 8pm ET.

The Nominees:

Clive Owen – “The Knick
The Case For – Clive Owen acted his ass off in “The Knick.” As Dr. John Thackery, Owen put much of his own sweat, blood and tears into the role — as evidenced by the gruesome surgical scenes depicted. He’s already won a Globe once, way back in 2005 for the film “Closer,” and he’s a first-time nominee for the freshman show, so the HFPA is on his side.
The Case Against – “The Knick” failed to score more than one nod, which doesn’t bode well for its overall appeal. Owen may not be able to surpass his more-beloved competition.

Kevin Spacey – “House of Cards
The Case For – The two-time Oscar nominee has never won a Golden Globe, despite being up for one eight times. His role is perfect for him, and he’s past due…
The Case Against – …or he’s cursed. The HFPA doesn’t often reward someone after spending too long on the bench. They prefer hot starts to the slow build-up, and if they didn’t give him a trophy for “The Usual Suspects,” (preferring Brad Pitt in “12 Monkeys”) how could they give him one for “House of Cards”?

James Spader – “The Blacklist”
The Case For – Spader has been nominated two years in a row now for “The Blacklist,” joining fellow nominees Kevin Spacey and Liev Schreiber as repeat inclusions. This is NBC’s only nomination, so you better believe they’ll try to get a win for their young thriller.
The Case Against – Spader has three total nominations at the Globes. That’s how many wins he has at the Emmys. The HFPA is not his friend. If he was going to win, it would’ve happened last year.

Liev Schreiber – “Ray Donovan”
The Case For – The Globes love Showtime, and they’re the only awards ceremony of note that seems to love “Ray Donovan.” Sure, Jon Voight snagged an Emmys nomination this year, but that was only after he won the Globe a few months earlier. Schreiber’s a long shot, but this is the best race for him to be running.
The Case Against – Similar to Spader, Schreiber needed more love last year to stand a shot now. “Ray Donovan” gets good ratings for Showtime, but its mixed critical reception and tepid engagement online mean it’s not the buzzy choice the Globes like to make. This isn’t where they want to stand their ground.

Dominic West – “The Affair”
The Case For – “The Affair” is the hottest freshman drama at the Globes, and West is absolutely on fire playing two versions of the same character every week. It’s a dream role for an actor. It could result in a dream-like win for its leading lad. Plus, West deserves some residual love after being ignored for “The Wire” all those years. 
The Case Against – He’s arguably the weaker half of “The Affair,” and West doesn’t have a rich history with the HFPA. They may not know him well enough to fall for him over these other veterans.

Ben’s Predictions: 

Will Win: Kevin Spacey – “House of Cards”
Could Win: Dominic West – “The Affair”
Should Win: Clive Owen – “The Knick”
Shoulda Been Here: Justin Theroux – “The Leftovers”

Peter’s Predictions: 

Will Win: Clive Owen – “The Knick”
Could Win: Dominic West – “The Affair”
Should Win: Clive Owen – “The Knick”
Shoulda Been Here: Jon Hamm – “Mad Men”

READ MORE: ‘The Knick’ – Great TV or a Waste of Steven Soderbergh?

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