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2016 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

2016 Oscar Predictions: Best Picture

READ MORE: Indiewire Awards Season Spotlight 

After months of speculation and predictions, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences have finally announced their nominations for best picture. As expected, Tom McCarthy’s early frontrunner “Spotlight” made the cut, and it seems to be taking the same route as “Boyhood” last year in that it is a critically beloved indie that also happens to be relatively small scale and very talkie. 

While “Spotlight” may seem like the early frontrunner, the drama faces some serious competition from four strong studio nominees, all of which joined the journalism drama as DGA nominees. These titles are “The Big Short” and “The Revenant,” both of which have been surging at the box office lately, and the latter of which won three Golden Globes, including best picture, as well as “The Martian” and “Mad Max: Fury Road.” Rounding out the nominees are “Bridge of Spies,” “Room” and “Brooklyn,” though none of them are posing a serious threat to the top five. 

READ MORE: Why This Could Be the Year Only 5 Films Get Nominated for Best Picture

Below is Anne Thompson’s take on how things might shake down in the race for best picture. Check out Thompson on Hollywood’s Oscar predictions page for more awards season analysis. Click here for more category breakdowns on Indiewire.


“The Big Short”
“The Revenant”
“Mad Max: Fury Road”
“The Martian”
“Bridge of Spies”
Predicted Winner: “The Revenant”
Potential Spoiler: “Spotlight”

WINNER: “Spotlight”

For more insight into the 2016 awards season, visit the Indiewire Awards Season Spotlight homepage here.

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