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Golden Globes 2017 Predictions: Bold Picks in Every TV Category

Predicting the Golden Globes is one of the trickier tasks for any awards prognosticator, but these are the TV shows with the best odds. (We think.)


Best Drama Series

  • “The Crown”
  • “Game of Thrones”
  • “Mr. Robot”
  • “This Is Us”
  • “Westworld”

Spoiler: “Stranger Things”

There’s an outside chance a true long shot like the Audience Network’s “Kingdom” or Hulu’s “Chance” sneaks in here, but that’s because there’s an outside chance just about anything happens at the Golden Globes. Shows like “Game of Thrones,” “Westworld,” and even “Stranger Things” should ride a wave of online buzz and star power to the show, and NBC sure would love to see its hit new drama included in the Best Drama category. Last year’s winner certainly seems like a necessary inclusion, too, but far be it from us to say anything’s a lock.

READ MORE: ‘This Is Us’ Looks Like an Awards Darling, and That’s Absolutely Terrifying

Best Comedy or Musical Series

Gael Garcia Bernal Mozart In the Jungle

  • “Atlanta”
  • “Divorce”
  • “The Get Down”
  • “Mozart in the Jungle”
  • “Veep”

Spoiler: “Transparent”

It should be noted that “Mozart in the Jungle” won last year, but it very well could miss out on the race itself this year. The same goes for Emmy winner “Veep,” if the HFPA prefers newcomer “Insecure,” or if Hulu slides “Casual” into the conversation again. Since the Golden Globes do like to showcase the musical half of the category, we think Netflix will find a slot for “The Get Down,” but only “Atlanta” seems like a sure thing of the series above.

READ MORE: The Top 10 TV Shows of 2016

Best TV Movie or Limited Series

The Night Of Season 1 Finale John Turturro & Riz Ahmed

  • “All the Way”
  • “American Crime”
  • “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
  • “The Night Of”
  • “The Night Manager”

Spoiler: “Gilmore Girls: A Year in the Life”

The big question in this category is whether two high profile streaming series can top the well-reviewed awards favorites. “Gilmore Girls: A Year in the Life,” the Netflix revival, is coasting on a surge of fandom that could carry it across the finish line, and Amazon could finagle a slot for Woody Allen’s “Crisis in Six Scenes” (if and only if they really wooed the HFPA). But we’re betting the high-rated hits above — other than “American Crime,” which was nominated last year — will stave off the competition.

READ MORE: ‘Gilmore Girls’: That Ending Was Perfect, and We Need to Accept It

Best Actor in a Drama Series

Westworld Season 1 Episode 10 Anthony Hopkins

  • Anthony Hopkins, “Westworld”
  • Rami Malek, “Mr. Robot”
  • Bob Odenkirk, “Better Call Saul”
  • Kiefer Sutherland, “Designated Survivor”
  • Milo Ventimiglia, “This Is Us”

Spoiler: Matt Smith, “The Crown”

Last year’s winner, Jon Hamm, is no longer eligible, so this category may see even more turnover than normal. Emmy winner Rami Malek seems likely given the show’s buzzy status, and we’re hoping Bob Odenkirk’s impressive efforts aren’t thrown out in favor of new blood. But there are some threats looming, especially former winner and six-time nominee Kiefer Sutherland. We’d rather see Matthew Rhys snag a spot for “The Americans,” but we’re guessing Milo Ventimiglia will turn those “This Is Us” ratings into his first Golden Globe nod.

READ MORE: ‘Westworld’: How Fan Theories Affected the Cast and How to Handle Them in Season 2

Best Actress in a Drama Series

Stranger Things Winona Ryder Season 1

  • Viola Davis, “How to Get Away With Murder”
  • Claire Foy, “The Crown”
  • Taraji P. Henson, “Empire”
  • Winona Ryder, “Stranger Things”
  • Evan Rachel Wood, “Westworld”

Spoiler: Mandy Moore, “This Is Us”

This is where we test the power of “Stranger Things.” Winona Ryder hasn’t been nominated for a Golden Globe since she won the trophy for “The Age of Innocence” in 1994, and the competition is quite heated. Can she push out Mandy Moore (“This Is Us”), Claire Foy (“The Crown”), or Keri Russell (“The Americans”) and represent the breakout hit of 2016? We think so, if only because if Ryder misses here — for the best performance of Season 1 – then “Stranger Things” may be blanked.

READ MORE: ‘Togetherness,’ ‘Rectify’ and More: A Tribute to the Canceled & Retired TV of 2016

Best Actor in a Comedy Series

Graves Season 1 Nick Nolte Sela Ward

  • Anthony Anderson, “Black-ish”
  • Gael Garcia Bernal, “Mozart in the Jungle”
  • Donald Glover, “Atlanta”
  • Nick Nolte, “Graves”
  • Jeffrey Tambor, “Transparent”

Spoiler: Zach Galifianakis, “Baskets”

Nick Nolte might be the wild card pick here, but it’s worth noting that some of the less name brand networks have a better shot at the Globes than they do elsewhere. We won’t elaborate on why, other than to say there are fewer members to make aware of your product. So perhaps “Graves” network Epix can break through, alongside fellow Globe newcomers Donald Glover in “Atlanta” and Anthony Anderson in “Black-ish.”

READ MORE: Nick Nolte Knows What’s Wrong With America, and It’s Not Racism

Best Actress in a Comedy Series

BETTER THINGS "Only Women Bleed" Episode 10 Rebecca Metz as Tressa, Pamela Adlon as Sam Fox

  • Pamela Adlon, “Better Things”
  • Rachel Bloom, “Crazy Ex-Girlfriend”
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, “Veep”
  • Sarah Jessica Parker, “Divorce”
  • Issa Rae, “Insecure”

Spoiler: Minnie Driver, “Speechless”

Man oh man do we want to see Pamela Adlon snag a nod. Her performance on “Better Things” was an addictive mix of entertaining exhaustion and take-command humor. She may not be the Star-with-a-capital-“s” the HFPA is looking for, but we’d sure be glad to see her on the carpet with Queen Louis-Dreyfus and the always elegant Sarah Jessica Parker. Kristen Bell would be a welcome presence for “The Good Place,” and Tig Notaro could also steal a spot if Amazon gives her the right push. But we’re betting on Issa Rae stopping by the Globes for her magnetic turn on “Insecure.”

READ MORE: ‘Better Things’: Pamela Adlon & Constance Zimmer Explain the Inside Joke Behind That Audition Scene

Best Actor in a TV Movie or Limited Series

Tom Hiddleston The Night Manager

  • Riz Ahmed, “The Night Of”
  • Bryan Cranston, “All the Way”
  • Benedict Cumberbatch, “Sherlock and the Abominable Bride”
  • Tom Hiddleston, “The Night Manager”
  • Courtney B. Vance, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”

Spoiler: Cuba Gooding Jr., “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”

I’m not sure if I’m contractually obligated to mention IndieWire contributor James Franco here (just kidding — of course I am), but he really is a contender. “11.22.63” earned solid reviews, and Hulu is certainly in need of some extra buzz. His famous face could be their ticket to the Globes, but he’d have to beat out a lot of other big names to do so. Riz Ahmed has a little movie called “Star Wars: Rogue One” coming out, Benedict Cumberbatch is still riding high on “Doctor Strange,” and Tom Hiddleston is Tom Hiddleston. Good luck, Mr. Franco. We’d love to see it happen (and not just because your Team IndieWire).

READ MORE: James Franco’s Movie Column: My Favorite Horror Movies to Watch on Halloween

Best Actress in a TV Movie or Limited Series

Riley Keough, "The Girlfriend Experience"

  • Lauren Graham, “Gilmore Girls: A Year in the Life”
  • Felicity Huffman, “American Crime”
  • Riley Keough, “The Girlfriend Experience”
  • Sarah Paulson, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
  • Kerry Washington, “Confirmation”

Spoiler: Lili Taylor, “American Crime”

Sarah Paulson’s victory parade should continue, barring any unexpected ill-will toward “The People v. O.J.,” but who will join her in the category? Huffman is hoping to make it two years in a row for “American Crime,” but Lili Taylor may have a better shot for her expanded role in Season 2. Lauren Graham, who earned her only Golden Globes nod for “Gilmore Girls” in 2002, could make a return trip to the Beverly Hilton as well. But we’re really hoping that Riley Keough’s standout work in “The Girlfriend Experience” earns her the accolades she deserves.

READ MORE: ‘The Girlfriend Experience’: Why Riley Keough Sizzles

Best Supporting Actor

Kit Harington in "Game of Thrones."

  • Sterling K. Brown, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”
  • Kit Harington, “Game of Thrones”
  • Ed Harris, “Westworld”
  • Hugh Laurie, “The Night Manager”
  • John Turturro, “The Night Of”

Spoiler: John Travolta, “The People v. O.J. Simpson: American Crime Story”

Just how much love will the HFPA show “The People v. O.J. Simpson”? The first season of FX’s new anthology series dominated the Emmys and has landed on a lot of year-end Top 10 lists. But… it’s also been around all year. If the HFPA embrace their role as a “kingmaker” rather than “been there, done that,” they could toss a few obligatory nods to “People,” but shine a light on new, less heralded series instead. “Westworld” and “The Night Of” are certainly hoping for the latter.

READ MORE: The Best TV Posters of 2016

Best Supporting Actress

Millie Bobby Brown, “Stranger Things”
Judith Light, “Transparent”
Chrissy Metz, “This Is Us”
Thandie Newton, “Westworld”
Maura Tierney, “The Affair”

Spoiler: Miley Cyrus, “Crisis in Six Scenes”

Wildly unpredictable because of so many candidates, the above conglomeration is almost entirely based off gut instinct. It seems impossible that the HFPA wouldn’t invite “Stranger Things” breakout Millie Bobby Brown, and we’d like to think that Maura Tierney is a safe bet considering she won last year. But nothing is written in stone here until Monday morning. We’ve got our fingers crossed for Constance Zimmer, though!

The 74th Golden Globe nominations will be announced Monday, December 12 at 5:30am PT. 

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