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Emmy Predictions 2018: Outstanding TV Movie

Netflix's "Black Mirror" and Amazon's mirror of "Black Mirror" go head-to-head as makeshift TV movies, while HBO offers up the real thing. [Updated: June 11]

Paterno Al Pacino HBO Movie

Atsushi Nishijima/HBO

Last Year’s Winner: “Black Mirror: San Junipero”
Still Eligible: Yes. (The series, not the episode/movie.)
Hot Streak: HBO has won more times in this category than all the other networks combined. The premium network has 19 total Emmys. In second place, CBS and NBC are tied — with six wins each.
Fun Fact: There have been four ties in the TV Movie category, but none since 1993.

Another year, another limited selection of TV Movies. After 2017 saw a Dolly Parton special nominated and an episode of “Black Mirror” win, 2018 is looking to be just as eclectic. Not only is Netflix’s anthology series back with another power player — the buzzed-about Season 4 starter, “U.S.S. Callister” — but Amazon’s original series, a mirror image of Netflix’s offering, is coming to play, too.

“Philip K. Dick’s Electric Dreams” earned a bit of chatter for two episodes: “Kill All Others,” written and directed by Dee Rees, and “The Commuter,” starring Timothy Spall. Both strong, standalone episodes, the former might have an easier time convincing voters it’s a legitimate TV movie, thanks to its visual flair and cinematic pedigree behind the camera.

And yet, there are actual movies in contention here. HBO has two, per usual, and they’re both quite strong (again, as always): “Paterno” comes from the same team that made “The Wizard of Lies” into a major player in 2017, and this one stars an Oscar-winner, too (Al Pacino). “Fahrenheit 451,” meanwhile, has Michael Shannon and Michael B. Jordan to help bring a classic piece of literature to life.

HBO has another offering in Andy Samberg’s cycling spoof, “Tour de Pharmacy,” Lifetime will be backing Catherine Zeta-Jones in “Cocaine Godmother,” and Netflix could decide to see if “The Christmas Prince” has awards legs in the dead of summer. (Hey, it was pretty popular.)

Below are IndieWire TV Critic Ben Travers’ predictions for Outstanding TV Movie (listed in alphabetical order), which will be updated throughout the season. Make sure to keep checking IndieWire for all the latest buzz and highlights from the 2018 race, and read predictions for the rest of the categories, as well.

Predicted Nominees:

  1. “Black Mirror: U.S.S. Callister”
  2. “Fahrenheit 451”
  3. “Flint”
  4. “Paterno”
  5. “The Tale”

Spoilers: “Black Mirror: Arkangel,” “Cocaine Godmother,” “The Christmas Prince,” “I Am Elizabeth Smart,” “Notes From the Field,” “Philip K. Dick’s Electric Dreams: The Commuter,” “Philip K. Dick’s Electric Dreams: K.A.O.”, “The Child in Time”

In a Perfect World: “Room 104: Ralphie,” “Tour de Pharmacy”

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