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Emmy Predictions: Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie

The Best Actor in a Limited Series race is seeing more and more prime contenders like "Under The Banner of Heaven" star Andrew Garfield.

UNDER THE BANNER OF HEAVEN — “When God Was Love” Episode 1 (Airs Wednesday, April 28th) — Pictured: Andrew Garfield as Jeb Pyre. CR: Michelle Faye/FX

Andrew Garfield in “Under the Banner of Heaven”

Michelle Faye / FX / Hulu

Last Year’s Winner: Ewan McGregor, “Halston”
Still Eligible: No.
Hot Streak: “American Crime Story” is the only series to win in the Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie category more than once, so there is a chance that Clive Owen could keep that streak going by being recognized for performance as President Bill Clinton in “Impeachment.”
Notable Ineligible Series: Tom Hiddleston, “Loki” (submitted as a Drama Series); Taron Egerton, “Black Bird” (the season will not air in time to be eligible); Woody Harrelson and Justin Theroux, “The White House Plumbers” (the season will not air in time to be eligible)

This article will be updated throughout the season, along with all our predictions, so make sure to keep checking IndieWire for the latest news from the 2022 Emmys race. The nomination round of voting will take place from June 16 to June 27, with the official Emmy nominations to be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The Creative Arts Emmy Awards will be given out over two consecutive nights on Saturday, September 3 and Sunday, September 4, with an edited presentation on the ceremonies to be broadcast on Saturday, September 10, at 8:00 p.m. ET on FXX. Finally, the 74rd Annual Primetime Emmy Awards will take place on Monday, September 12, and air live on NBC at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.

While the Limited Series categories as a whole seem more likely to recognize the performances that folks have had more time to watch, Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited or Anthology Series or Movie has had many contenders show up at the last minute looking like they have a real shot at winning. Andrew Garfield has already had an incredible year before “Under The Banner of Heaven” even premiered. Same goes for Oscar Isaac who has two eligible performances, but is top of people’s minds with the Marvel Studios project “Moon Knight.” That said, Michael Keaton should feel secure in receiving a nomination for his work on “Dopesick” given how he has already won this kind of category at other awards shows that have voter overlap with the TV Academy.

Current Contenders (In Alphabetical Order):
Andrew Garfield, “Under The Banner of Heaven” (FX)
Ben Foster, “The Survivor” (HBO)
Clive Own, “Impeachment: American Crime Story” (FX)
Colin Firth, “The Staircase” (HBO Max)
Himesh Patel, “Station Eleven” (HBO Max)
Jared Leto, “WeCrashed” (Apple TV+)
Jon Bernthal, “We Own This City” (HBO)
Joshua Jackson, “Dr. Death” (Peacock)
Liev Schreiber, “Ray Donovan: The Movie” (Showtime)
Michael Keaton, “Dopesick” (Hulu)
Oscar Isaac, “Moon Knight” (Disney+)
Paul Bettany, “A Very British Scandal” (Amazon Prime Video)
Samuel L. Jackson, “The Last Days of Ptolemy Grey” (Apple TV+)
Sean Penn, “Gaslit” (Starz)
Sebastian Stan, “Pam and Tommy” (Hulu)

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