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2023 Oscars Predictions: Who Will Win at the Academy Awards?

Follow along for predictions on what films will make an impact at the 2023 Oscars.

An Oscar statue is seen along the red carpet outside at the 94th Academy Awards held at Dolby Theatre at the Hollywood & Highland Center on March 27th, 2022 in Los Angeles, California.

An Oscar statue is seen along the red carpet outside at the 94th Academy Awards held at Dolby Theatre at the Hollywood & Highland Center on March 27th, 2022.

Gilbert Flores for Variety

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Editor’s Note: Throughout Oscars season IndieWire will update this page with in-depth Oscar predictions from Editor-at-Large Anne Thompson, Executive Editor Eric Kohn, Crafts & Animation Editor Bill Desowitz, and Awards Editor Marcus Jones. A link to each category will lead to lists of the ever-changing contenders, plus reporting on what films have captivated voters, rules changes made by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences, interviews with potential nominees, and more.

The State of the Race

The 95th annual Academy Awards are already top of mind as not only the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences goes through major changes under the new CEO Bill Kramer and President Janet Yang, but the film industry itself is at a turning point in 2022.

We have already seen big swings like “Top Gun: Maverick,” “Elvis,” and “Everything Everywhere All at Once” enter the awards conversation, and fall festival premieres like “The Fabelmans,” “Bardo,” and “Empire of Light” seem sure to make an impact as well.

If that were not enough, there’s still “Avatar: The Way of Water” and “Black Panther: Wakanda Forever” to keep in mind, two highly anticipated sequels to Best Picture nominees that also happened to be a couple of the highest grossing films of all time.

For insight on the films, filmmakers, and stars we expect to make it all the way to Oscars night, see the individual prediction pages listed below. IndieWire’s Oscar predictions will be refreshed throughout the race, so bookmark this page for the most accurate list of frontrunners out there, and make sure to follow IndieWire on Twitter and Facebook for all the latest Oscars news.

2023 Academy Awards Predictions

Best Picture
Best Director
Best Actor
Best Actress
Best Supporting Actor
Best Supporting Actress
Best Original Screenplay
Best Adapted Screenplay
Best Animated Feature
Best Production Design
Best Cinematography
Best Costume Design
Best Film Editing
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Best Sound
Best Visual Effects
Best Original Score
Best Original Song
Best Documentary Feature
Best International Feature
Best Animated Short
Best Documentary Short
Best Live-Action Short

The nomination round of voting will take place from January 12 to January 17, 2023, with the official Oscar nominations to be announced on January 24, 2023. The final voting is between March 2 and 7, 2023. Finally, the 95th Oscars telecast will be broadcast on Sunday, March 12 and air live on ABC at 8:00 p.m. ET/ 5:00 p.m. PT.

Make sure to bookmark this landing page, and to keep checking IndieWire to stay on top of the latest news from the 2023 Oscar race.

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