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These Oscar Categories Are the Hardest to Predict

With one month to go until the end of the season, several major categories could be tossups.

The Whale

On March 2, 2023, final Oscar voting begins; five days later, it closes. With less than one month of frantic campaigning to go, a few categories remain surefire bets: “Everything Everywhere All at Once” continues to be a Best Picture frontrunner and “All Quiet on the Western Front” seems to have Best International Feature Film locked up. Ke Huy Quan can rest easy about his future Best Supporting Actor trophy and Angela Bassett is in a good position for Best Supporting Actress. Sarah Polley is on track to win Best Adapted Screenplay for “Women Talking.”

From there, however, things get murky.

In this week’s episode of Screen Talk, Eric Kohn and Anne Thompson discuss the hardest categories to predict at this stage of the season, from Best Makeup and Hairstyling to Best Actor (and why those categories in particular may be linked). Anyone hoping to win their Oscar pool will want to pay close attention to this one. (And stay tuned next week for a closer look at the short film nominees.)

This week’s episode also deals with Gina Prince-Bythewood’s searing editorial about the Academy snubbing “The Woman King” and the continuing presence of racial bias across the industry. What can the Academy do to address this problem now? There are a few possibilities.

Kohn and Thompson also touch on why President Joe Biden’s State of the Union speech made for great television, and close by offering some thoughts on recent film and TV.

Watch the full episode above or listen to it below.

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